Seeking Alpha

couldashoulda » Comments |

Sort by:
Latest | Highest rated
  • Get Ready for the Bond ETF Boom [View article]
    Good info. Thanks for your efforts. learned much
    Sep 14 17:49 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • 38 Companies with Top Financial Strength [View article]
    Thanks for the analysis you did here and have done
    in the past. I enjoy your work.

    Some thoughts for whatever its worth
    Per my math these stocks( equally weighted) have gained (excluding dividends) about 12% YTD and 31% since March 1. S&P 500 has gained 5% and 29% over the same periods. S&P equal weighted (more comparative) has gained 17% and 43%

    If these stocks are , say, twice as valuable fundamentally as the other 460 or so stocks in the S&P 500, then the market really doesn't reward fundamentals. If this analysis was true, say, 1/1/2008. The results would be better. They would have lost 22% vs 40% or so for the S&P 500. Of course you cant use the criteria for this list as valid necessarily retroactive for 2008.

    This and other analyses has led me to some rules for my own investing.
    1. Don’t invest in individual stocks usually. Use aggregates such as ETF's or mutual funds.
    2. Success is dependent on the following general scale:
    What you buy 10%
    When you buy 25%
    When you sell 65%
    Which leads me to a requirement to have some form of a technical analysis game plan vs fundamental.

    Just for fun and hopefully learning, I am selecting
    the best 6 or so of these per my technical criteria
    and I will track them over coming months
    Jun 13 10:40 am |Rating: +1 0 |Link to Comment
  • 2 of Morningstar's Favorite ETFs [View article]
    I wish I had teachers that graded on this kind of curve !!!
    S&P lost 42%, but our best ever fund lost only 35% ! take a bow.
    Jun 01 14:04 pm |Rating: 0 -1 |Link to Comment
  • U.S. Stocks: Today vs. 1938 [View article]
    I view the charts not so much as a comparison of causes and effects on the market of this recession versus the 30's depression but rather
    simply a comparison of this market sell off to an earlier one of similar amplitude and duration regardless of causes. I find it instructive if not definitive as to what might happen. (history rhymes).

    If folks can identify charts for other market sell offs that are similar to today and the resultant market dynamics, I would like to see them
    May 20 17:06 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Asset Allocation: The Key to Proper Diversification [View article]
    My asset allocation model for the last year:
    "If it ain't goin' up, don't buy it.. Nothing is goin' up so dont buy anything..'cept gold.. maybe
    Feb 17 16:34 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Dennis Gartman: Go Long Infrastructure, Short Everything Else [View article]
    Trillions of $ in infrastructure may be the right area but it would seem it is the slowest to get off the ground. Even with industrial capacity down, it still would take alot of time to get the right industries/providers/c... geared up and spending. Maybe Leap options are a good bet.
    Dec 29 09:17 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Emerging Market ETFs: Investors Appear to Be Regaining Appetite for Risk [View article]
    Any comments on today's rather precipitous drop?
    Dec 11 18:53 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Solar Stocks on Sale [View article]
    Much of your articles points were true when the stock was at 25. May be a great VALUE but nobody wants to buy it now so its dead money. If it aint going up, dont buy it
    Oct 25 09:39 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Too Late to Short SPY? An Historical Perspective [View article]
    Sundays NYT has a great interactive chart comparing every bear market as to depth and duration. Very Interesting. More yet to fall looks like
    Oct 11 19:48 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Largest Bond ETF Now Trading At a Massive Discount [View article]
    I believe AB is pointing out that the ETF is at a discount to the total value of the 174 bonds in the index. Each of the 174 would of course have the exposure you identify, but the article concerns "tracking error" which seems to be more prevalent in ETF's given reason volatility, especially in commodities.
    Same thing as a closed end fund
    Oct 11 19:30 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Take a Look at Junk - Barron's [View article]
    whoops ! my above post was intended for a different article. SORRY
    Oct 06 19:52 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Take a Look at Junk - Barron's [View article]
    ETF AGG has cheaper fees by 1/2, better perfromance in past year by factor of 2 and is more flexible. Why use these mutual funds ??
    Oct 06 19:50 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Stop Yelling About FDIC Limits - In Fact, Just Stop Yelling [View article]
    If Promontory is a good thing, doesn't that ifso facto mean that the base law should be raised from 100,000. Why force folks into a dance amoung banks.
    Sep 30 14:59 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Tactical Asset Allocation, Part I [View article]
    perhaps a simpler approach is the Point and Figure methodology which is probably the oldest in investment methodology.
    It helps you determine three things;
    1. what is the risk level of the total market.
    2. what sectors are performing best relative to all others
    3. What is the risk level of individual stocks within each of the best sectors.

    The foundation of the method is relative strength. I find it very helpful, once learned. just a suggestion. Many books/sites availble to teach it.
    Sep 30 14:49 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Attractively Valued International Dividend Stocks [View article]
    DS
    Thanks for the fine analysis. One worry --- Some of these have a high(er) Div yield because the stock has dropped significantly over the past x months. Is there anywhere someone might have insight on this potential problem other than doing the homework you identify.
    I'm lazy. Thanks again
    Sep 03 18:34 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
Comments by Ticker
couldashoulda's
Comments Stats
25 comments
Rating: 0 (1 is - 1 is )