perhaps a simpler approach is the Point and Figure methodology which is probably the oldest in investment methodology. It helps you determine three things; 1. what is the risk level of the total market. 2. what sectors are performing best relative to all others 3. What is the risk level of individual stocks within each of the best sectors.
The foundation of the method is relative strength. I find it very helpful, once learned. just a suggestion. Many books/sites availble to teach it.
Attractively Valued International Dividend Stocks [View article]
DS Thanks for the fine analysis. One worry --- Some of these have a high(er) Div yield because the stock has dropped significantly over the past x months. Is there anywhere someone might have insight on this potential problem other than doing the homework you identify. I'm lazy. Thanks again
Consumer Discretionary Sector is Going Down [View article]
For future ref. wanted to understand your thinking. XLY broke thru 10 ,50 and 100 day averages recently. P&F technical chart shows considerable recovery . a print of 32 to 33 would be quite bullish. I dont understand your logic.
Risk Management in Trending Markets [View article]
Excellent article. Much to think aboout. However I dont see the reason for the trend line you draw for the DOW beginning in 1982. Seems arbitrary. If you drew the line starting in 2002, the "trend" would have been broken significantly already. Arbitrary straight trend lines dont appear to help manage a portfolio for the near term. Nevertheless, much to think about in terms of todays market and tendencies to revert to means. Thank you for your hard work
3 Reasons To Be Bullish on Solar Stocks - Cowen [View article]
Supershort - thanx for your comments. This sector has had its day probably for some time. It is on the shelf with ethanol, clean energy etc. Most have dropped 50% or more this year and any technical chart shows them still to be buried. imho
Commodity ETFs Overbought; Gold Least So [View article]
"short term pullback" is not necessary to adjust "overbought" as defined by the author. If the stock simply slows the speed of acceleration (continues to increase at a slower level), it will eventually not be overbought statistically.
Ben Stein, Global ETFs and The Dollar [View article]
If you happened to be someone who retired in the late 90's early 00's and put your retirement into the market and then watched it go to hell, you would (as I do) think Ben is nuts. One must have a way to manage risk and be largely our of the market when a bus is comming. The trick is to develp a methodology which may not get you in at the bottom and out at the top, but will dampen the vibes and allow one to sleep.
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Latest | Highest ratedTactical Asset Allocation, Part I [View article]
It helps you determine three things;
1. what is the risk level of the total market.
2. what sectors are performing best relative to all others
3. What is the risk level of individual stocks within each of the best sectors.
The foundation of the method is relative strength. I find it very helpful, once learned. just a suggestion. Many books/sites availble to teach it.
Attractively Valued International Dividend Stocks [View article]
Thanks for the fine analysis. One worry --- Some of these have a high(er) Div yield because the stock has dropped significantly over the past x months. Is there anywhere someone might have insight on this potential problem other than doing the homework you identify.
I'm lazy. Thanks again
Consumer Discretionary Sector is Going Down [View article]
Risk Management in Trending Markets [View article]
Calling It Quits on Gold, Platinum - It's Time to Go Financials! [View article]
Bear Stearns Launches First Ever Active ETF [View article]
3 Reasons To Be Bullish on Solar Stocks - Cowen [View article]
ETFs For the Bear Market [View article]
Good article. Thank you
Commodity ETFs Overbought; Gold Least So [View article]
God Told Me The Market Will Crash Soon - Pat Robertson [View article]
JP Morgan and BNP Paribas' Commodity Indexes Battle Contango [View article]
Ben Stein, Global ETFs and The Dollar [View article]