couldashoulda

Asset Allocation: The Key to Proper Diversification

My asset allocation model for the last year:
"If it ain't goin' up, don't buy it.. Nothing is goin' up so dont buy anything..'cept gold.. maybe

Tactical Asset Allocation, Part I

perhaps a simpler approach is the Point and Figure methodology which is probably the oldest in investment methodology.
It helps you determine three things;
1. what is the risk level of the total market.
2. what sectors are performing best relative to all others
3. What is the risk level of individual stocks within each of the best sectors.

The foundation of the method is relative strength. I find it very helpful, once learned. just a suggestion. Many books/sites availble to teach it.

Risk Management in Trending Markets

Excellent article. Much to think aboout. However I dont see the reason for the trend line you draw for the DOW beginning in 1982. Seems arbitrary. If you drew the line starting in 2002, the "trend" would have been broken significantly already. Arbitrary straight trend lines dont appear to help manage a portfolio for the near term. Nevertheless, much to think about in terms of todays market and tendencies to revert to means. Thank you for your hard work

Ben Stein, Global ETFs and The Dollar

If you happened to be someone who retired in the late 90's early 00's and put your retirement into the market and then watched it go to hell, you would (as I do) think Ben is nuts. One must have a way to manage risk and be largely our of the market when a bus is comming. The trick is to develp a methodology which may not get you in at the bottom and out at the top, but will dampen the vibes and allow one to sleep.