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Anonymous 2

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  • Biotech Weekly: The Value In Beaten-Down Biotech IPOs [View article]

    I liked reading your article since I too view the IPO after market opportunities in the BioPharmaMedTech (BPMT) sector as a source of opportunistic investment opportunities of early stage growth companies. My list OF LONG POSITIONS includes the following in Alpha order. Some I have held for a couple years - and have taken partial profits to continue to diversify in terms of number of issues with the intention of reducing portfolio volatility. I use the following "quote" site since it provides a lot of fundamental data as well as access to the past 18 months of corporate news releases and personal, corporate, founding, angel, VC and institutional insider changes in ownership:
    http://bit.ly/1tgQEfm.
    I'd be interested to know if you have had any occasion to review any of the following:
    ALNY, ATRA, BIND, CBST, CERU, CLSN, CTIC, ENZ, FCSC, FATE, GALE, GEVA, HALO, ISIS, MNKD, MRTX, NMBL, OGEN, PGNX, RGLS, ROSG, RXII, SNGX, SYN, UNIS, XON, ZIOP.
    I am not seeking "sponsorship/support" per se but as those who know this sector, there are many strategically important "inter-relationships" between the Founding Members, Senior Medical Officers, Board members and early stage Angel and VC investors of many of the above companies - for just one example - between ALNY, CBST, GEVA, ISIS, and RGLS.
    Conclusion: Personal relationships at the initial senior level are important to a successful BPMT investment.
    Nov 25, 2014. 12:51 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Nasdaq New Highs [View article]
    Next stop >5,000 to q new post 2000 record ??
    Nov 25, 2014. 02:48 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Wall Street Overreacts To BIND Therapeutics Presentations [View article]
    Nice "cautious bull" report - and nice to see that using following GTC stop-loss orders helps risk management despite what appeared to have been good fundamental news from the press and the street.
    It is ALSO interesting to note that the RSI(14) indicator during the last 60 days provide both a "buy" (when the indicator dropped below 30 at the end of September at a price of 7.99) as well as a "sell" (when the indicator closed at or above 70 for a day or two when "coincidentally" the stock was topping out at 10.75.
    Now - only a week or so later - Once again, if fundamentals are as good as they seem to be, and what with the stock back down to new all time lows - below 7/share, the RSI(14) indicator is once again very close to being "at or below 30" - representing another opportunity to attempt to" catch the baby as the dirty water is being thrown out" by investors selling their losers for end of year tax loss reasons - and fundamental investors opportunistically backing up the truck ??
    Nov 24, 2014. 11:20 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Investors Should Choose Royal Bank Over Wells Fargo [View article]
    For "Buyandhold 2012", one way to help "...concentrate on buying these stocks when they are cheap..." is to use the RSI(14) indictor to buy and add when the indicator makes drops to an "at or below" 30 Level.
    Look at the three year StockCharts for each of these four and note the stock price levels during each of these instance.
    In the case of RY it occurred 6 times - the last time in mid October 2014 at which time it traded as low as 65.71 - only a month ago.
    Nov 19, 2014. 09:56 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • PGF Vs. SPFF: 2 Preferred Stock ETFs Compete On Their Merits [View article]
    Another reason to seek convertible preferreds or convertible bonds? Only problem not a big choice.
    Nov 15, 2014. 05:46 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 10.6% Dividend Annaly Capital Management's Calm Attitude May Be Right For This Environment [View article]
    NLY - Timing - Past three years, the RSI(14) levels above 70 (over bought) and below 30 (over sold) have provided a "reasonably good"* indicator to take profits off the table and initiate or add to positions. *defined as so far it worked every time.
    Current RSI(14) value is 51.23 - precisely in the "very neutral" state.
    Might as well look elsewhere if expecting any big move up or down.
    For example, the RSI(14) of RWT is currently at 73.98 - above the 70 level - profit taking might be in order.
    Nov 10, 2014. 10:08 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Atara Biotherapeutics: Ripe To Buy Leading Up To Quiet Period Expiration [View article]
    You were not long prior to the IPO
    Are you now long ATRA? at what prices?
    Which of the Underwriters are expected to come out with initial reports
    I do not have the offering doc
    What are the names of the VC investors and
    to what extent did they get out on the IPO and
    until what date are they restricted to hold current positions
    and based on public records which of the relatively well known early (VC and Founder) stage biotech "scientific community" investor names* now - or since the IPO - publicly known investors in ATRA ?

    * Names such as Including those, for example only, who have been long time investors in stocks such as FATE, BIND, ALNY, ISIS, CERU, GEVA.
    Nov 9, 2014. 07:08 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • PGF Vs. SPFF: 2 Preferred Stock ETFs Compete On Their Merits [View article]
    I use the following to compare the Average Annual total Returns between two different securities - stocks or ETFs: http://bit.ly/Hyaf5H
    It would be interesting to compare each of the Inception to date AATRs of all the preferreds.
    Are there any ETFs which hold any and all preferreds but esclude all financial preferreds?
    Are there any ETFs which hold only Convertible Preferreds?
    How do those preferred ETfs which hold only International preferreds or are GlobalPreferred ETFsw which have both USA and international preferreds?
    Nov 8, 2014. 05:14 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Expect Rate Sensitive ETFs To Extend Their Lead Due To Housing Uncertainty [View article]
    To what extent will this also influence these past 12 months of "soft" stock prices of the rate sensitive BDC sector. BIZD, BSCS, BDCL. etc. ??
    Oct 29, 2014. 03:38 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Asset Class Performance Since The October 15th Short-Term Low [View article]
    What can you learn - USING hindsight?
    During the last month - or at any time - let's assume you were looking to invest/"allocate" dollars to current or new sectors which you - based on fundamental research valuations - believed would be good to add to during this past month.
    IN HINDSIGHT, this article points out the best sectors in which the stocks making up the QQQ, IJH, XLE, XLB and XLV sectors.
    If - a month ago, you had been monitoring all the charts of all the sectors, you would have noticed that the companies which were part of the QQQ (OTC High tech) and IJH (Mid cap) and the companies in the sectors - XLE, XLB and XLV -
    were each approaching and closing at or below their RSI 30 levels.

    It also appears that selecting those individual companies which were in these sectors AND deemed "fundamentally sound and of good value" and were also falling in price to create RSI levels at or below RSI 30 would be good candidates to begin accumulation of a position.

    The charts of any and all stocks can be reviewed to determine the extent to which these "at or below RSI 30" levels provided a good indicator of the time and price at which shares were being "over sold" and thereby providing good values.

    SharpCharts service provides this RSI(14) indicator within each of their charts. I am sure other services also do the same - but perhaps in an easier format to peruse a long list of monitored stock prices with a column which shows RSI levels. If anyone knows of such a service, it might be of interest to other readers.
    Oct 23, 2014. 03:36 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Comparing The Best Dividend ETFs [View article]
    As a PS to my earlier 11:29 am posting:
    If one were to have invested $10,000 in each of the ETFs mentioned in the article and the above comments on 1/3/2007 and assuming the DRIP plan to enable "brainless" compounding of reinvested dividends, the following would have been the ending values as of 10/17/2014 including the indicated Average Annual Total Returns - AATR - for each.
    VWO $12,857 3.28%
    DVY $13,340 3.77%
    VNQ $13,593 4.02%
    VYM $15,502 5.79%
    SDY $15,605 5.88%
    VTI $16,129 6.33%
    VIG $16,200 6.39%
    QQQ $22,942 * OBVIOUSLY THIS IS A NON DIVIDEND OPTION AND NOT COMPARABLE
    Although the difference between the ending $ values of the first 7 listed above is
    $3,343, and the AATRs a difference of only 3.11%, this is a significant (33.43%) difference in return on the original $10,000 investment.
    Thus, using a portfolio approach of selecting dividend paying ETFs focusing on dividend paying sectors including a handful of each of the following U.S. Based as well as international based Equity Dividend Growth, REITs, Business Development companies and other fixed income securities makes for a reasonable investment plan
    ====
    The following are the ending values of an $10,000 investment dated from the inception of the respective funds and thus are NOT comparable to the above mentioned funds in existence on 1/1/2007.

    HDV $15,988 3/31/11 14.3%
    BND $14,231 4/10/07 4.80%
    JNK $15,424 12/4/07 6.51%
    VEA $9,841 7/26/07 -0.22%
    BKLN $11,360 3/21/11 3.63%

    Calculator used is
    http://bit.ly/Hyaf5H
    Oct 19, 2014. 05:47 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Comparing The Best Dividend ETFs [View article]
    Using the DRIP calculator which provides the Average Annual Total Return assuming reinvestment of dividends, the following are the results based on a start date of 1/3/2007 a year before the top of the equity markets
    Symbol AATR
    VIG 6.39%
    SDY 5.88%
    VYM 5.79
    DVY 3.77%

    Hard to believe that anyone selecting common stocks or ETFs to provide them with dividends as an important component for long term total returns does not use the DRIP to optimize this important power of compounding taught in the first grade of investing.
    Oct 19, 2014. 11:29 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What The Plunge In U.S. Treasury Yields Means For The Next 10 Years [View article]
    Curious - did any of you hear the Jerffrey Gudlach comments 9/9 last month ?
    It is NOT too dated - as a matter of fact his message more than supports the views of this author - some view him as the heir apparent to Gross. Obviously a google will help put his words into perspective. Just yesterday he provided additional up-to-date thoughts: a false rally - "correction" not yet over. He is not bullish. But he too makes sense to understand his unique reasons why -
    Oct 16, 2014. 10:38 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • BDC Pricing For Q4 2014: Part 1 [View article]
    Year to date most of the BDCs have been lagging the large cap equity markets. But based on fundamental research a number have recently declined more steeply in terms of percentage declines toward their 12 month lows faster . Eighty percent of the 54 BDCs (including BDCS, BDCL and BIZD) have recently dropped steeply to within 10% of their 52 week lows. Perhaps many are throwing out the babies with the dirty water. This might be a good opportunity to combine good and improving fundamentals with a technical indicator - RSI - which measures relative acceleration of declines in price (as well as advances).
    RSI stands for ‘Relative Strength Index'. It is a popular indicator used by technically focused investors to indicate potential "buying weakness" or "selling strength". . It compares the average of gains in days that closed up to the average of losses in days that closed down; readings above 70 suggest an asset is overbought, while an RSI below 30 suggests undervalued conditions are present.
    SharpCharts is one source which provides this indicator .
    Based on today's closings, the following DBCs have an RSI at or below 30:
    ACAS 14., MCC 20, MCGC and BDCS 21, FULL, TCAP and BDCL 24, BIZD 25, TICC 28, PSEC 29, TCPC, GLAD and SLRC 30.
    Be sure to look at the charts - back to the last times the RSI was at or below 30 and this will probably give you some indication that RSI can help determine opportune times to catch a falling baby.
    Also note the selling opportunities when the indicator is over 70. Does anyone else use this to help determine when "buying the dip" might make sense? .
    Oct 2, 2014. 11:10 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • A New 2x ETN From ETRACS Focuses On High Dividends And Low Volatility [View article]
    I have attempted to avoid ETNs for the reasons mentioned in the above comments and responses.
    Other than the risks of the issuer (UBS) which have been discussed, what are the issues of holding ETNs in an IRA with regard to receiving and or reinvesting the regular distributions/payments of cash ("Dividends" or "Interest" or ?) .?
    For example I have held my DOD ETN position in my IRA since before the 2007-8 "crash" and it has out performed the "aristocratic quality company growing dividend" SDY ETF. I started both from March 3. 2009 - the bottom of the crash - and assumed that the SDY dividends were reinvested (and DOD did not distribute anything during this period).
    Based on the Drip Calculator DOD's AATR was 28.05% and SDY's was "only" 22.53%. So I can't complain - but are there issues about holding an ETN which may not be apparent to this performance only review. I must be missing something.
    Oct 2, 2014. 01:27 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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