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  • Unilife: Ready For Phase 2 Of A Huge Move [View article]
    Since 1/29 SA article price has moved down 11% from 4.40 close to 3.90 most recent. Subsequently, an offering was priced at a big (4.4-3.75=)15% discount.
    the stock opened below 4.20 and has been as low as 3.85 (Nice support by the u/w's) 10 cents above the offer price (good deal, for those invited into the
    offering).
    Interestingly,in the meantime, the HIGHEST target price offered by the 5 sell side analysts has move from as low as 9 in early January to a new high target Price of 15.25 !! This was recorded on on 1/27 !! prior to the date of the SA updated report (which used a TP of 11/share).
    It will be "of interest" to learn about the "profile" of those investors and the extent to which there are reasonable time restriction on such privileged buying supporters from selling to those of us who'd like to accumulate stock at NOT "rigged" prices.
    In the meantime, going from the current 3.90 to the high TP of 15 plus will make my day.
    Feb 3, 2015. 02:12 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • BDCL: The Third Leg Of The High-Yielding Leveraged ETN Stool [View article]
    I just re -reviewed your almost year ago analysis
    Maybe it would be time to do another review - IT seems that there have been enough changes since May 2014 to reevaluate the concept.
    I did not notice any follow ups, but will check again
    Thanks
    Romeo F
    Jan 31, 2015. 04:18 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Procera Networks' (PKT) CEO James Brear on Q3 2014 Results -- Earnings Call Transcript [View article]
    Anything new to report past 2.5 months?
    Jan 23, 2015. 06:50 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Will Audi's Hybrid Q7 Cause Tesla's Model X Backlog To Evaporate? [View article]
    I did not read all of the 300 plus questions/comments - so may have missed this:
    Does either or both the Tesla and or the Audi offer 4WD for their 7 seat SUV vehicles?
    Recognizing that some "7" seat vehicles include small backward looking seats good only for "children size" persons, which of the 7 seat 4WD OR 2WD (SUV) vehicles enable 7 adults to sit comfortably?
    For example a driver plus 6 adults or 3 couples?
    And, thus, might be appropriate for consideration by the professional Personal Transportation industry (Cabs including Uber type businesses.)
    Jan 2, 2015. 03:39 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 2015 Could Be A Good Year For Europe ETFs [View article]
    What would you need to see take place prior to using RSX in a globally diversified portfolio seeking "the opposite" (or perhaps a non correlated country fund) of the profile of the U.S. Equity markets in terms of the valuation of the equities in the RSX portfolio with emphasis on energy and "commodity" sectors after 6 up years
    in developed countries.
    Based on the discounted values of the RSX portfolio during past 6 plus years, at what point and what signs will you use to include RSX as an "undervalued" "contrary" play on one of the largest countries in the world?
    Basically - what i am attempting to figure out is when will RSX represent the same "oversold valuations" which existed in March April 2009 in the IVV or SPY or DJIA?
    Dec 31, 2014. 09:24 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Putin Overestimates Russia's Economic Strength [View article]
    "Rational" Global Diversification" seems to make "rational" sense in most market environments and brings the following concepts to a "rational mind":
    Buy out of favor !! (Vodka Bottle - Half Full or Half Empty - Straw Hats - Blood in the Streets - Fear vs Greed )
    A well known and recent (almost 6 years ago) Macro Historic Example
    Buy the USofA !! the ETF - "SPY" -
    This was a pretty good idea 5-6 years ago !!
    Potential for LONG term Capital Gains?
    Less than 6 years ago, the SP500 ETF SPY was at 74 in April of 2009 -
    down more than 50% from 155 in less than 6 months in Sept of 2008..
    a year later it was at 119 - up 60%
    It is currently at an all time high - at 208 up 181%.
    Was Buying a basket full of USofA Blue Chips an example of "Rational Speculation"?

    Using similar considerations:
    Are today's markets providing Another GLOBAL opportunity for
    Global Diversification Or should the following be considered "Rational Speculation"?
    Buy out of Favor ?? - seems "rational" (etc.)
    Is Russia "out of favor"?
    In May of 2008 the RSX was at 58 - it's all time high
    LESS than 10 trading days ago RSX was as low as 12.01 -
    Down 80% in six years from it's all time high.
    In less than a week later, it traded as high as 16.53 - up almost 40%.

    A political comment:
    "Most rational investors know that Russia is NOT the U.S.of A !!"
    (Even Putin knows this )

    But ...

    Is the Russia "Dow Jones" (RSX) really going down another 12 or 15 points --- to Zero ?
    ... before the "combined rational wisdom" of the global market investors have "fully" discounted the fact that it JUST MIGHT have some macro problems - some of which are not within the control of it's current Head of State?
    Is there any global investor on this planet who does not already KNOW that investing in Russia is not viewed as a blue chip investment for LOLs ?
    Will RSX stock price go lower from this POINT ?
    "I Guarantee that it most probably will".
    Will there be a "GLOBAL Market Collapse" in the future? Of Course !(That is a rational question - and answer)
    But all markets do not move up or down at the same time.
    And I also doubt that Putin is of a mind to ring any "global" bell to let the world know "when" he has done what it takes to encourage shorts to cover their shorts !!
    If (or should I use "when"?) the Technical Indicator (as an example) RSI(14) registers an (At or below) 30 level, one might rationally and thoughtfully consider to speculate (if that is the correct description) on the long term survival and recovery of the current Russia Economic problems by owning a basketful of Russia Blue chips (similar to theDJIA) using the RSX ETF as a proxy which just might reflect the eventual recovery of whatever factors have created these PAST 6 years of Russia's "Market Collapse".
    I am not sure which number to use - but it will be somewhere between zero and 14.74 - the current low for today. And that is a fact !!
    If in fact the global markets are due to a collapse, perhaps the RSX past
    6 year decline of 83% from the May 25, 2008 highs will provide a "relatively valued" investment opportunity for a timely and rational "speculation" (vs investing in those countries with equity markets hitting all time multi year highs which have not yet suffered a market collapse).
    =======
    Re ..."Western lying-Propaganda..." During these past 100 years, most oil and gas producing countries - NOT JUST "Western" - have continued to include the most recent and increasingly efficient "innovative technologies" to remain competitive
    in the global markets of producers and users. Russia has not and has been paying for such backwardness for decades. I am bullish on eventual recovery of the Russian economy, but it may not be with a belligerent and out of touch Putin riding half naked on a horse attempting to bring back the old ways of the past centuries. Putin is not a necessary factor in my optimistic outlook for the eventual macro recovery. He is and has been one of the common factors responsible for these past decades of decadent declines.
    Dec 29, 2014. 03:33 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • John Hussman: The Line Between Rational Speculation And Market Collapse [View article]
    "Rational" Global Diversification" seems to make "rational" sense in most market environments and brings the following concepts to a "rational mind":
    Buy out of favor !! (Vodka Bottle - Half Full or Half Empty - Straw Hats - Blood in the Streets - Fear vs Greed )
    A well known and recent (almost 6 years ago) Macro Historic Example
    Buy the USofA !! the ETF - "SPY" -
    This was a pretty good idea 5-6 years ago !!
    Potential for LONG term Capital Gains?
    Less than 6 years ago, the SP500 ETF SPY was at 74 in April of 2009 -
    down more than 50% from 155 in less than 6 months in Sept of 2008..
    a year later it was at 119 - up 60%
    It is currently at an all time high - at 208 up 181%.
    Was Buying a basket full of USofA Blue Chips an example of "Rational Speculation"?

    Using similar considerations:
    Are today's markets providing Another GLOBAL opportunity for
    Global Diversification Or should the following be considered "Rational Speculation"?
    Buy out of Favor ?? - seems "rational" (etc.)
    Is Russia "out of favor"?
    In May of 2008 the RSX was at 58 - it's all time high
    LESS than 10 trading days ago RSX was as low as 12.01 -
    Down 80% in six years from it's all time high.
    In less than a week later, it traded as high as 16.53 - up almost 40%.

    A political comment:
    "Most rational investors know that Russia is NOT the U.S.of A !!"
    (Even Putin knows this )

    But ...

    Is the Russia "Dow Jones" (RSX) really going down another 12 or 15 points --- to Zero ?
    ... before the "combined rational wisdom" of the global market investors have "fully" discounted the fact that it JUST MIGHT have some macro problems - some of which are not within the control of it's current Head of State?
    Is there any global investor on this planet who does not already KNOW that investing in Russia is not viewed as a blue chip investment for LOLs ?
    Will RSX stock price go lower from this POINT ?
    "I Guarantee that it most probably will".
    Will there be a "Market Collapse" in the future? Of Course !(That is a rational question and answer)
    But all markets do not move up or down at the same time.
    But I also doubt that Putin is of a mind to ring any "global" bell to let the world know that he has covered his shorts !!
    If (or should I use "when"?) the Technical Indicator (as an example) RSI(14) registers an (At or below) 30 level, one might rationally thoughtfully consider to speculate (if that is the correct description) on the long term survival and recovery of the current Russia Economic problems by owning a basketful of Russia Blue chips (similar to theDJIA) using the RSX ETF as a proxy which just might reflect the eventual recovery of whatever factors have created these PAST 6 years of Russia's "Market Collapse".
    If in fact the global markets are due to a collapse, perhaps the RSX past
    6 year decline of 83% from the May 25, 2008 highs will provide a "relatively valued" investment opportunity for a timely and rational "speculation" (vs investing in those countries with equity markets hitting all time multi year highs which have not yet suffered a market collapse).
    Not sure if this qualifies as a "voice of reason" but it might win out in the end.
    Dec 29, 2014. 03:02 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Dogs Of The Dow 2015 Firming Up [View article]
    Is it correct to assume you did not mention the SDY since it is an ETF?

    Based on the DRIP calculator, SDY has significantly beat the SPY since inception in 2004 assuming a DRIP in place. http://bit.ly/Hyaf5H

    Not sure how the SDY would compare with the DOD or SPY - or how best to compare it, but DOD seems to beat both the SPY and the SDY using the yahoo Finance comparative chart from the yahoo quote page - since 1/4/10 DOD is up 123% vs the SP500 up 88% and sdy up 72%.
    Dec 23, 2014. 05:25 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why I'm Short Synthetic Biologics After Phase II Relapsing-Remitting MS Data [View article]
    Anonymous 2
    Comments (317)| + Follow | Send Message
    I'd like to know - is LTBio STILL SHORT?
    If LTB was a short at 1.40/share does current price provide him with an even better "SHORT" value? ...
    ANY reasons to double down and short more?
    Or did I miss interim updates with continued reasons to short after almost 8 months.
    ... I would suspect that the fundamental sell side analysts will modify their current price targets from the current average of 4.0 per share - still more than 100% above the current.
    Currently 3 sell side analysts are pretty much in agreement using target prices between 6 and 6.5 - each of whom are now using higher target than back in May when this short was suggested in SA
    Dec 22, 2014. 10:18 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Put South Korea ETFs On Your 2015 Lists [View article]
    Using the RSI(14) indicator can help your followers with taking advantage of relatively short term price weakness to determine price and time to initiate positions in weak stocks.
    If and when "at or below 30" this indicator represents relatively oversold prices and therefore potentially good values to start building a position.
    for example the RSI for HKOR was "at or below 30" in mid September into mid October provided the potential for a recovery into early November.
    Like wise the RSI for VWO just recently was below 30 when became oversold as low as 37.30 earlier this week.
    The RSI for EEM was below 30 early this week when the price was oversold down to 36.70 before it bounced back up .
    This is a good time of year to select tax loss candidates which are being sold and thrown out with the dirty wash resulting on "oversold" valuations and enabling investors to initiate positions before this "under 30" indicator is relieved of this relatively weak selling pressure.
    Just an aid fundamental investors to use to fine tune the time and pricing of attractive opportunities.
    Dec 18, 2014. 02:58 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Contrarian ETFs To Capitalize On Year-End Tax Selling [View article]
    For my TWO BITS: If any StockChart shows an RSI(14) indicator on any ETF (or stock) with an "at or below 30" level just for a "taxloss", be cautious about selling it without being able to buy a very similarly situated alternative ETF or stock in the same sector with the similar "oversold" RSI indicator.
    Dec 17, 2014. 03:29 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Imprivata: Signs Of Decline Heading Into Late December Lockup Expiration [View article]
    Interesting generalities with no specifics.
    There have been 6 sell side analysts who cover this new IPO based on fundamental analysis since the IPO each rendering an independently determined target price ranging from 18 to 22 which based on the 12/11 opening price of 13 or so amounts to a 12 month potential move of from 40 to 70% gain. Since the IPo the stock has ranged between about 12 to about 17. Have you read any of these independent reports or have you read the IPO prospectus and or do you have any Target Price (range would be nice) we should remember when you update your views 3, 6 or 12 months out? Being down from the IPO.i would suspect "some additional" tax loss selling since all current and recent owners since in inception have a short term loss. What with the potential reward assuming one or more of the 6 bulls turns out to be more accurate - how does your potential short compare with the bull reward if they turn out to be "more better" than your target?
    Dec 12, 2014. 03:45 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tax-Loss Harvesting For BDCs [View article]
    Surfgeezer- and others who are looking for opportunistic indicators to help in the PRICE and TIMING of fundamentally derived buy/add and partial/full liquidate decisions, I would encourage you to view the RSI(14) indicator.
    If and when thisindicator is at or above 70, the Relative Strength Indicator is showing relatively strong (bullish) "over bought" short term price action and thus may be used to help take opportunistic "TIMELY" advantage of PRICE to take profits and or full liquidation depending on personal investment objectives and strategies.
    Similarly, if and when the RSI(14) indicator is at or below 30, the opposite conclusions are in order.
    In reviewing the RSI(14) indicators for the 26 BDCs listed above, the following RSI levels show that the great majority are showing relatively neutral levels of relative price changes:
    Of the 26 listed BDCs:
    only one is showing "at or above 60" - GBDC is showing 60.
    6 are showing "at or above 50 (to 59):TSLX, PFLT, NMFC, HRZN, TCPC,HTGC.
    9 are showing "at or above 40 (to 49): FSIC, MAIN, GLAD, KCAP, BKCC, ARCC, TICC, MCGC, SUNS.
    7 are showing "at or above 30(to 39): AINV, FSC, PNNT, SLRC, PSEC, TCRD, TCAP.
    ONLY 3 ARE SHOWING BELOW 3O: MCC 22, FULL 17, FDUS 25
    TWO OBSERVATIONS:
    It is interesting to note that most (22) of the 26 listed are currently trading in the lower "technically Neutral to bullish " zone between above 30 and below 60.

    The only three BDC ETF/ETN s with RSI levels near the "at or below 30" (as follows BDCS 30, BDCL 29, and BIZD 28). Based on these past relatively weak 11 months, such a break (at or below RSI 30) would suggest an opportunistic TIME to pick up a basket full of BDCs if/when an illiquid market and big seller might result in an opportunistic PRICE - charts show previous support levels:
    BDCS 21.60-23.20; BIZD 18 -18.5; BDCL 19.60 to 21.20
    Long: HTGC, BDCL, FSIC, MCC, NMFC, BIZD, MAIN, ARCC, PFLT, TCPC, TSLX, GBDC.
    Dec 8, 2014. 12:57 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Prospect Capital And Share Issuances Below NAV [View article]
    The StockCharts for past 3 years indicate that if investors only bought shares AFTER the RSI(14) indicator for PSEC fell below 30 (only 4 times prior to current drop in the past 36 months) and then buys only on the days that the stock price moves up resulting in the RSI indicator (currently at 28.54 !! ) - to close above 30 - estimate stock would be at recovery price of 9.0 to 9.04- (using a following buy Stop) - has presented a good price and timing indicator to make an opportunistic trade using an exit whenever to stock trades at a subsequent price level which results in an RSI(14) indicator to exceed the 70 threshold.
    So far , each of the first three times - November 2012, June 2013 and May 2014 - have provided significant gains if sold when the RSI indicator closed at or above 70.
    The most recent BELOW RSI below 30 occurred only 2months ago in October at which time PSEC traded as low as 8.3 and subsequently rallied about 15% to the 9.60 levels without hitting the RSI70 level.
    Dec 5, 2014. 10:48 AM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Black Friday Massacre [View article]
    Obviously - but worth noting - that the RSI(14) indicator for most of these is now at or below the 30 level reflecting the "relatively oversold" levels which - based on review of the past three years has only occurred a few times with each stock mentioned and within a very short days later each of these stocks were up "relatively significantly".
    At this time of year, the seasonal "tax loss selling" may delay by a few days the snap back recovery.
    Might as well also observe the price action of these stocks following the very few occasions when the RSI was at or above (and subsequently fell back below) the RSI(14) 70 level - representing "relatively over bought" levels.
    Using hindsight, these were nice time to have taken some profits off the table.
    Nov 30, 2014. 05:26 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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