I am a former sell-side analyst -- UBS 1996-2002, Needham 2002-2006 and ThinkEquity 2006-2008. These days I review automobiles and other technology products, as well as analyze the automotive and technology industries, and coming up with long/short ideas. I also continue to write (less frequently) on macroeconomics and politics.
Perhaps more than any other time in the last six decades, the fate of markets is inextricably intertwined with the ebb and flow of geopolitics. From the ECB's attempts to use the central bank's balance sheet to influence political outcomes across the eurozone to Saudi Arabia's efforts to transform the kingdom's influence over crude prices into an instrument of foreign policy, it's become increasingly clear that one simply cannot fully comprehend market movements without a thorough understanding of concurrent political outcomes. Drawing on extensive experience in both politics and finance, Heisenberg will help demystify a world in which investors can no longer hope to conceptualize markets as existing in anything that even approximates a vacuum. "I am the one who knocks."
Seeking Alpha's editors are responsible for selecting and editing contributed articles and producing Seeking Alpha's own content. Seeking Alpha produces news briefs ( http://seekingalpha.com/by/type/news-briefs) which are collated every morning into Wall Street Breakfast (http:// seekingalpha.com/by/type/wall-street-breakfast), our Housing Bubble and Real Estate Market Tracker (http://seekingalpha.com/tag/housing-bubble-and-real-estate-market-tracker), key excerpts from new IPO filings (http://seekingalpha.com/by/ type/ipo-analysis), portfolios (http://seekingalpha.com/tag/portfolios) of well-known investors, and summaries of Jim Cramer's stock picks (http://seekingalpha.com/by/type/cramers-picks). Seeking Alpha's editors also monitor our Interactive Q&As (http://seekingalpha.com/by/type/interviewsqa) to ensure cordiality. All Seeking Alpha editors adhere to our full compliance standards.
I have been interested in the market my entire life. From my first equity purchase when I was 15- Chrysler just before the government bailout to managing the portfolio of my father- and outperforming the major indexes with lower risk for over 20 years, I have been attracted to the intellectual and financial challenges of identifying opportunity and making above average returns- again on a risk adjusted basis.
Professionally, I am currently the CFO of a post-start up software development company with a focus on mobile telecom applications. I have served as the CFO,COO, CRO and President of public and private companies. My academic background includes a BS in accounting from the University of Illinois and an MBA in finance and corporate strategy from the University of Michigan. I have CPA and CGMA designations.
Generally, I seek outsized appreciation opportunities with below average risk and often favor stocks that have downside protection through one or more of the following- robust dividend yield, high book value, cash balance or other backstop. I tend to shy away from momentum stocks and those with very high PEs or PEGs.
I was born in 1980, became fascinated with stocks when first encountering a book about Warren Buffett in a bookstore in Zurich in 2000. I have been investing ever since. I hold a degree in economics. Have been working in the banking industry since 2005.
My goal is to achieve financial independence through ownership of dividend stocks one can hold forever.
Daniel Kim is the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Investment Officer of Blackcrane Capital, LLC, an investment management firm based in Bellevue, Washington that provides advisory services to individual and institutional clients. Previously, he was a Portfolio Manager and Partner at Mastholm Asset Management.
I am an activist investor in US and Chinese stocks. I was previously an investment banker in New York Hong Kong and London for 9 years, focused on Equity Capital Markets. I look at both long ideas and short ideas and typically focus on a small number on names where I can spend the time to conduct very deep research. I spend my time living between Los Angeles and Beijing, China.
Alex Cho is a top contributor on Seeking Alpha in both the long ideas and technology section of the website. Alex Cho's articles have been featured on The Motley Fool, The Street, and Benzinga. Alex Cho has been featured on ValueWalk's throwback Thursday for his analysis on Apple. Furthermore, Alex Cho's financial expertise ranks him in the top 100 on TipRanks, and his recommendations have a 80% success rate according to Tip Ranks.
To reach out to him for business opportunities, to share ideas, guest writing opportunities, consulting opportunities e-mail him at firstname.lastname@example.org
Motek Moyen is a retired art director (but still active graphic artist) residing in the Philippines. He is learning options trading based on algorithmic forecasts.
Motek Moyen is also a senior analyst for www.iknowfirst.com. He loves Adobe Photoshop and Premiere. He is currently self-learning Adobe Illustrator CC for mobile game assets creation and UI/UX design.
Motek Moyen still has his 1994-era signed one-dollar bill given to him by Warren Buffett. Motek's college years were spent on B.S. Mathematics, Commercial Advertising, and B.S. Computer Science.
Motek Moyen is only 42 and still has a lingering political ambition.
Larry Swedroe is director of research for Buckingham Asset Management (www.investmentadvisornow.com), a Registered Investment Advisor firm in St. Louis, Mo and an independent member of the BAM ALLIANCE (www.thebamalliance.com). He is also director of research for BAM Advisor Services, LLC (www.bamservices.com), a service provider to investment advisors across the country, most of whom are affiliated with CPA firms. Previously, Larry was vice chairman of Prudential Home Mortgage. Larry holds an MBA in finance and investment from NYU, and a bachelor’s degree in finance from Baruch College.
To help inform investors about the passive investment approach, he was among the first authors to publish a book that explained passive investing in layman’s terms — The Only Guide to a Winning Investment Strategy You'll Ever Need. He has authored seven more books: What Wall Street Doesn't Want You to Know (2001), Rational Investing in Irrational Times (2002), The Successful Investor Today (2003), Wise Investing Made Simple (2007), Wise Investing Made Simpler (2010) and The Quest for Alpha (2011), and Think, Act, and Invest Like Warren Buffett (2012).
He also co-authored five books: The Only Guide to a Winning Bond Strategy You’ll Ever Need (2006, with Joe Hempen), The Only Guide to Alternative Investments You’ll Ever Need (2008, with Jared Kizer) and The Only Guide You’ll Ever Need for the Right Financial Plan (2010, with Tiya Lim and Kevin Grogan), Ivestment Mistakes Even Smart Investors Make (2011, with RC Balaban) and Reducing the Risk of Black Swans (2013 with Kevin Grogan). He writes the blog Wise Investing for CBS’s personal finance Web site http://www.cbsnews.com/search/author/larry-swedroe, He also writes for IndexUniverse.com http://www.indexuniverse.com/sections/index-investor-corner.html and you can follow him on Twitter (http://twitter.com/larryswedroe).
Christopher Grosvenor, CFA, CMT, a nine-year finance professional, provides clients with bottom up company and industry research. He believes that this is the best way to generate alpha for clients. Chris specializes in the enterprise application industry, and broadly the technology, media, and telecom sectors. He also manages a portfolio and was a financial advisor at Merrill Lynch.
Readers should judge the suitability of investments in light of their own unique circumstances.
My name is Joe Marwood and I am an independent trader and writer with 6+ years experience trading stocks, bonds, commodities and futures. I trade small cap stocks using a semi automated model. I am also concerned with macroeconomic trends and longer term investing strategies.
Editor for The Biotech Forum (www.biotechforumsa.com), the #2 subscribed to Marketplace investment service offered through SeekingAlpha. Top 5% ranked analyst (TipRanks) 2013 through first half of 2015. Daily contributor for Real Money Pro. Hedge fund manager from 2008 to 2011. Previously technology executive at Fortune 100 firm for a decade. For Free weekly investment reports on small, attractive biotech stocks just register at www.bretjenseninvests.com
Geoff is the founder of Quantext. Geoff was an early contributor to SeekingAlpha and now writes regularly for Advisor Perspectives and Financial Planning. He has been working in asset management analytics and research for more than ten years. Before entering finance, Geoff was a research scientist for NASA. Geoff holds a PhD in Atmospheric Science and a BS in Physics.
Quantext is a strategic adviser to FOLIOfn,Inc. (www.foliofn.com (http://www.foliofn.com)), an innovative brokerage firm specializing in offering and trading portfolios for advisors and individual investors.
You can find additional resources, including how to download and run a fully-functional trial version of Quantext's Monte Carlo portfolio planning solution, on the Quantext website (http://www.quantext.com/).
Suna Reyent started her career in derivatives trading at Susquehanna Investment Group. At New York Futures Exchange she developed derivatives pricing models and later moved to Worldco, LLC where she worked on building trading algorithms in equity trading. At Bear Stearns & Co. Suna served as a quantitative analyst in the Global Emerging Markets Strategy Group, where she was instrumental in developing a comprehensive global database of companies from 23 countries to assist in asset allocation, equity valuation modeling and foreign exchange forecasting. She currently develops company valuation and screening tools, derivatives models and asset allocation and optimization applications for a financial data provider. Suna is a CFA Charterholder.
Peter Way Associates is the only known provider of the price range forecasts of widely-held, actively traded stocks derived from the hedging activities of market-making [MM] firms as they balance big-$-fund sellers and buyers in large block trades. The price ranges offer explicit downside exposure forecasts not commonly found in publicly published investment analyses.
This is all forward-looking data, based on what the MMs will pay for protection against coming unwanted price change while temporarily committed firm capital is exposed to market risks. It is available by modest subscription cost at blockdesk.com.
The behavioral analysis involved has been performed daily since Y2K, now on over 3,000 stocks, ETFs, and market indexes. That has built an actuarial history of how market prices have subsequently behaved following several million price range forecasts, issue by issue.
That data provides a qualitative backdrop to current forecasts in terms of odds of profitable positions, size of prospective gains, credibility of forecasts, and worst-case price drawdown exposure experiences.
Peter F. Way is a veteran Chartered Financial Analyst, having taken and passed the CFA Institute’s required 3 examinations in the first years they were given, 40+ years ago.
Armed with BS in Economics from the Wharton School and an MBA degree from Harvard Business School, he has managed staffs of dozens of Investment Researchers and Quantitative Analysts for the nation’s largest bank, arbitraged index options for NYSE Specialists, and managed portfolios of hundred-million-dollar equity investments for Fortune 100 corporate pension funds and non-profit endowments.
He has been elected President of professional Investment Analyst Societies in San Diego and New York City and has served on the editorial boards of the Financial Analysts Journal and the CFA Digest. He has spoken at numerous schools and professional meetings.
Stephen Simpson, CFA, is a freelance financial writer and investor.
I have worked for both sell-side and buy-side firms (equities and fixed income), with the largest percentage of my working time spent in med-tech. At this point I am now effectively in a "working retirement".
I write because I find that the process helps me take better notes, be more disciplined about modeling, and come up with a more coherent investment view for my portfolio management needs. If I'm writing about a stock, it's generally because I'm interested in it as an investment prospect or I think there's an interesting story to tell.
I don't share my models, so please don't ask.
More of my writings can be found at my blog Kratisto Investing (kratistoinvesting.blogspot.com), or Twitter (@Kratisto_Invest).
Brad Thomas is a research analyst and he currently writes weekly for Forbes and Seeking Alpha where he maintains research on many publicly-listed REITs. In addition, Thomas is the Senior Analyst at iREIT Forbes and Editor of the Forbes Real Estate Investor, a monthly subscription-based newsletter.
Thomas has also been featured in Forbes Magazine, Kiplinger’s, US News & World Report, Money, NPR, Institutional Investor, GlobeStreet, and Fox Business. He was the #1 contributing analyst on Seeking Alpha in 2014 (as ranked by TipRanks) and he is currently writing a book on the legendary investor Donald Trump.
Thomas has co-authored a book (The Intelligent REIT Investor) that is available on Amazon.
Thomas received a Bachelor of Science degree in Business/Economics from Presbyterian College where he played basketball. He resides in South Carolina with his wife and kids.
I graduated with a BSEE from NCSU. Following technology companies and developments is a hobby of mine when I have free time. A few years ago I started investing, and have tremendously enjoyed it. I try and share a unique view from an engineering vice an investor standpoint, and enjoy learning from others in the SA community.
Retired Engineer, consults on unusual and/or difficult technical and marketing problems.
Author of the Amazon E-Book "Rich Geeks and Gifts from Greeks"
Intel and Tektronix
DARPA Principal Investigator
Management experience including six startups
High level management training and experience
Long term investor, infrequent trading
Todd E. Campbell, President & Founder
Follow my latest updates on Twitter: https://twitter.com/ebcapital
Mr. Campbell has been providing alpha generating independent equity research to professional money managers for nearly 15 years. In 2003, Mr. Campbell founded E.B. Capital Markets, LLC, an independent research firm serving professional money management firms. Mr. Campbell founded Gundalow Advisors, LLC, a State Registered Investment Advisor providing investment management services to institutions and high net worth clients in 2013. Today, some of the largest money management firms in the country trust the proprietary research developed by Mr. Campbell, including the Power 7 methodology featured in Mr. Campbell's book "Your Guide to Better Stock Picks: Tips from an Advisor's Advisor". Prior to founding E.B. Capital Markets, LLC, Mr. Campbell was Vice President and Partner of Alpha Equity Research, an independent equity research firm. At Alpha Equity Research, Mr. Campbell's responsibilities included institutional sales and client services. Mr. Campbell also developed new research and distribution products. Additionally, Mr. Campbell was responsible for Alpha’s individual brokerage business, providing investment services to high net worth families. In the past decade, Mr. Campbell’s articles have been featured in the Market Technician’s Association trade journal and his insights have been featured in various print and online financial publications, including Barron’s & SmartMoney. Mr. Campbell has also appeared on the financial news network, CNN/fn. Mr. Campbell is a graduate of the University of New Hampshire, where he studied English, Psychology and Business Administration with a focus on economics.
I'm a well-informed retail investor and post on SA in order to expose my thought process to critical examination and comment from readers. It makes me a better investor.
I'm particularly proud of bullish macro articles posted in 2009 and later, in which I presented ideas that encouraged me to invest very profitably in a rising market. I also did articles on individual stocks, many of which contained insights not available elsewhere. Finally, I wrote a number of thoughtful articles critical of financialism and the lack of ethics on Wall Street.
I do not post for compensation, as I am concerned that editorial policy encourages and pays a premium for articles that invite the reader to speculate on the short term movements of microcaps, penny stocks, and controversial issues. The best way for me to monetize my insights is to invest accordingly.
As a retail investor, I don't give investment advice. I write about what I'm investing in, and the thought process involved in decision making and stock selection. Hopefully some of what I write is of benefit to others, by sharing my experience as I interpret it and helping them improve their investment thinking and process.
Chris Ciovacco is the founder and CEO of Ciovacco Capital Management (CCM), an independent money management firm serving individual investors nationwide. The thoroughly researched and backtested CCM Market Model answers these important questions: (1) How much should we allocate to risk assets?, (2) How much should we allocate to conservative assets?, (3) What are the most attractive risk assets?, and (4) What are the most attractive conservative assets?
Chris is an expert in identifying the best ETFs from a wide variety of asset classes, including stocks, bonds, commodities, and precious metals. The CCM Market Model compares over 130 different ETFs to identify the most attractive risk-reward opportunities.
Chris graduated summa cum laude from The Georgia Institute of Technology with a co-operative degree in Industrial and Systems Engineering. Prior to founding Ciovacco Capital Management in 1999, Mr. Ciovacco worked as a Financial Advisor for Morgan Stanley in Atlanta for five years earning a strong reputation for his independent research and high integrity. While at Georgia Tech, he gained valuable experience working as a co-op for IBM (1985-1990). During his time with Morgan Stanley, Chris received extensive training which included extended stays in NYC at the World Trade Center.
His areas of expertise include technical analysis and market model development. CCM’s popular weekly technical analysis videos on YouTube have been viewed over 700,000 times. Chris’ years of experience and research led to the creation of the thoroughly backtested CCM Market Model, which serves as the foundation for the management of separate accounts for individuals and businesses.
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Brad Zigler's stints as a contributing editor for the Corporate Communications Broadcast Network, the Journal of Indexes, and CRB Trader set the stage for his role as managing editor of Hard Assets Investor and later as alternative investments editor of Registered Rep. magazine, the most highly subscribed publication for financial advisors.
Brad's feature articles have appeared in Registered Rep., Mutual Funds, Financial Planning, Financial Advisor, Futures and Ticker magazines, TheStreet.Com and MarketWatch Web sites, and in journals published by Institutional Investor. After heading up marketing, research and education at the Pacific Exchange's (now NYSE Arca's) option marketplace and Barclays Global Investors, Brad became a financial correspondent for the European Press Network, and a Public Broadcasting System/National Public Radio affiliate. He continues his work as a financial research and communications consultant for a number of private and public organizations.
I have retired from a 35 years career in the semiconductor industry. I now have the time to do the deep research necessary for successful investing.
I freely provide investment information for friends and family.
I am a member of MENSA, which means precisely nothing except I wake up in the middle of the night doing pointless math problems in my head:)
At Valuentum, we think the best opportunities arise from a complete understanding of all investing disciplines in order to identify the most attractive stocks at any given time. Valuentum therefore analyzes each stock across a wide spectrum of philosophies, from deep value through momentum investing. We think companies that are attractive from a number of investment perspectives--whether it be growth, value, momentum, etc.--have the greatest probability of capital appreciation and relative outperformance. The more investors that are interested in the stock for reasons based on their respective investment mandates, the more likely it will move higher.
Brian Nelson is the President of Equity Research at Valuentum Securities, an investment research firm serving individual and institutional investors, as well as financial advisors. Before founding Valuentum, Mr. Nelson worked as a director at Morningstar, where he was responsible for training and methodology development within the firm's equity and credit research department. Prior to that position, he served as a senior industrials securities analyst, covering aerospace, airlines, construction and environmental services companies. Before joining Morningstar in February 2006, Mr. Nelson worked for a small capitalization fund covering a variety of sectors for an aggressive growth investment management firm in Chicago. He holds a Bachelor's degree in finance and a minor in mathematics, magna cum laude, from Benedictine University. Mr. Nelson has an MBA from the University of Chicago Booth School of Business and also holds the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) designation.
Get to Know Brian:
Brian led the charge in developing Morningstar's issuer credit ratings, developing and rolling-out one of the firm's proprietary credit metrics, the Cash Flow Cushion. http://select.morningstar.com/welcome/credit/pdfs/Morningstar_CashFlowCushion.pdf
Brian is frequently quoted in the media and has been a frequent guest on Nightly Business Report, Bloomberg TV, and the Money Show.
Mr. Nelson is very experienced in valuing equities, developing Morningstar's discounted cash-flow model used to derive the fair value estimates for the company's entire equity coverage universe.
Brian worked on a small cap fund and a micro cap fund that were ranked within the top 10th percentile and top 1st percentile within the Small Cap Lipper Growth Universe, respectively, in 2005.
Mr. Nelson is also a contributor to Seeking Alpha and an opinion leader in the Industrial Goods space.
You can reach Brian at email@example.com.
Please read our Disclaimer that applies to all articles published on Seeking Alpha: http://www.valuentum.com/categories/20110613
Follow us on Twitter: @Valuentum