Fundamental S&P 500 Forward Price Projections [View article]
The best managers use normalized long-term P/E averages, which would be the 15-16X, and that's effective to have been used in the past at market bottoms.
Yes we have been sellers of gold, please give us great bids for our remaining gold stocks. Gold is an answer for market troubles, but only a little answer.
Six Reasons Why it May Be a Jolly Christmas [View article]
you are saying on the margin things have turned, and we have heard that from others. This is the anecdotal evidence that in my 50 plus years of past observing, has signalled the turn sooner than government statistics
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Canada- over 50% cyclicals. High beta. 10 years MSCI equity only Canada and Australia are still positive. Obama visits Canada, tells economist-trained leader of pro-business party in power, don't sell your oil sands to the Chinese. Go Canada go.
Today's Data: Are Economists Too Bearish? [View article]
As a trained economist, I agree that the economists are bad at inflectin points, as is true in any field. As a student of markets, I would like to see many examples rather than just one to make the anecdotal case
Why Is Oil Trading at $53 When Supply and Demand Is So Bearish? [View article]
thanks for your insight
On Mar 25 05:40 PM Pink Panther wrote:
> Yes, even "poor" countries can afford $150 or even $250 oil: > People there are used to crowded trains and buses and will drive > to work in Nanos using carpools of 4 people or more, achieving like > 50-80 miles on a dollar per person. They will use the expensive resources > much more efficiently than people in the developed countries. > > On Mar 24 05:26 PM ValueInvestor wrote:
This Is Not Your Grandfather's Stock Market [View article]
Good point, specific stock risk has increased. Dumb money is even more diversified than in previous generations when there were many conglomerates of companies.
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As a student of markets, I would like to see many examples rather than just one to make the anecdotal case
Why Is Oil Trading at $53 When Supply and Demand Is So Bearish? [View article]
On Mar 25 05:40 PM Pink Panther wrote:
> Yes, even "poor" countries can afford $150 or even $250 oil:
> People there are used to crowded trains and buses and will drive
> to work in Nanos using carpools of 4 people or more, achieving like
> 50-80 miles on a dollar per person. They will use the expensive resources
> much more efficiently than people in the developed countries.
>
> On Mar 24 05:26 PM ValueInvestor wrote:
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