wise

Fundamental S&P 500 Forward Price Projections

The best managers use normalized long-term P/E averages, which would be the 15-16X, and that's effective to have been used in the past at market bottoms.

Back to Brazil, China and Hong Kong for Intermediate Term

Charts or no charts, no one consistently makes money timing the markets, long term studies show.

In March, Another Bouncing Cat

73% chance the bottom is in based on history. That's enough probability to make money by going for it.

Canadian Investment Bankers Bullish on the Market

Canada- over 50% cyclicals. High beta. 10 years MSCI equity only Canada and Australia are still positive. Obama visits Canada, tells economist-trained leader of pro-business party in power, don't sell your oil sands to the Chinese. Go Canada go.

This Is Not Your Grandfather's Stock Market

Good point, specific stock risk has increased. Dumb money is even more diversified than in previous generations when there were many conglomerates of companies.

Is it Time to Jump Back into the Market?

good work. A clear point.

Global Markets in Review: Economy, Markets

stock market always has been a leading indicator, everywhere and every time. long term investing has always worked tioll now, and shall rise again

U.S. Market: Margins Are Leveling Off

good point to make, i like your deductive analysis, though some may read into it differently

Financials Are Masking the Market's Potential

to look beyond this, the best p/e to use is normalized p/e of 15 to 16 times, def supporting a broad market, a stock picker's universe, that allows for 1050 or better
all of the strategists being up at that range suggests, as they historically are too conservative on turning points including on the upside.

It's a Winter Warming Spell - But More Snow Ahead for Markets

I do not accept 40 earnings--
SP earnings not indicative of the entire market,i.e.
what about the leaders such as commodities?
your comments take and borrow from the other bears and is subjective and not balanced

Wednesday Market Recap

well banks, with a third increase in deposits paying almost nothing, could still lead us out of this

Searching for the Bottom

good article and chart. Thank you

Where Are Jim Rogers, Marc Faber and Doug Casey Investing Their Money in This Market?

they are wrong on timing? SO is everybody on average. Invest for a longer term than the next few days, and on fundamentals is the surer way to wealth

Do Equities Want to Rally?

how about earnings momentum turning up?

Contrarian Indicator: It's Really Not Different This Time

no, 2.5 years


On Feb 24 09:50 PM juan77 wrote:

> It took 2.5 years for the stock market to reverse course after the
> crash of 2000. The current economic downturn is much more serious
> and severe. If it is twice as severe as the previous one, it might
> take 5 years for the markets to turn around. This is not a market
> to be a perma bear or a perma bull. Make trades on either side with
> tight stops and get out quickly before you get trapped.