auto44

Investments that Could Hold Up to a Double Dip

It is emerging from the abuse of nazi Germany and the USSR.


On Nov 20 03:44 PM wozdan wrote:

> "Australia was the only developed country to avoid recession"
> - this sentence holds true only for the narrowest of definitnions
> of the term developed. The validity of your statement depends on
> what you mean by developed. Poland is a second developed country
> that had also positive growth during the 'crisis. If we use CIA's
> definition, then Poland would be a developed country as it is a member
> of the OECD. It's also a member of the EU, which makes the case a
> bit stronger. - this comment is not intended as criticism or anything
> of that sort, I thought it's just a good opportunity to underscore
> the not very well known fact (especially in the West) that there
> really is some country between Germany and Russia - with a pretty
> interesting history, too.

Is the Fed Blowing Bubbles? JPM on Asset Reflation Myths

The catalyst would be real profits, not imagined profits, not estimated profits, not beat the analyst profits, but real profits. The BS foot print is growing larger it may be what engulfs the polar bear.

GE's Immelt Turns Dem

If what you say is true how do you explain NBC? WHY WOULD A CEO WHO ISN'T LIBERAL THROUGH AND THROUGH LET ONE OF HIS COMPANIES ACT LIKE THEY DO?

10 Reasons to Believe That We're in a Depression

Every year China give birth to ten times as many geniuses as we do. Now that they are not forced to work the fields and are allowed to read watch out.


On Nov 20 07:55 PM Go Lakers wrote:

> Hooray, finally someone who speaks some sense. This line is absolute
> garbage:
>
> "Without America discovering the “next new thing” our previous standard
> of living will accelerate downward."
>
> America pretty much has a mortgage on this business, particularly
> in the tech space. I don't understand how because a large group of
> people wanted to buy homes and they were lent money they shouldn't
> have been that the American ability to innovate has somehow disappeared
> into this air.
>
> Can you please explain that to me Mr. Clark? Or anyone else?

10 Reasons to Believe That We're in a Depression

He is great but not God.


On Nov 19 02:11 PM bobbybutte wrote:

> As a person who has become financially independent SOLELY through
> investing let me add a few things
>
> Ill give you 158 billion reasons why we will have no depression<br/>
>
> Mr warren Buffett the only person to ever earn over 150 billion for
> he and his investors allocating capital has told you it is not happening
>
>
> Want more proof. none of the big shorts like paulson Rogers Soros
> chanos kass are shorting financials here like they were
>
> Want more proof Chinese economy would fold if america's 12 trillion
> dollar econmy just died out or even went back drastically
>
> Fact is you can continue to get debt as long as someone is willing
> to back you
>
> China will back us but at what price?
>
> Forget all this depression crap.not happening
>
> what happened last year wa sa massive deleveraging

Faber: Gold a Better Buy than at $300/oz.

Try using 1998 instead and tell me how things work out.


On Nov 19 12:57 PM bobbybutte wrote:

> Fromeher i follow you
>
> But let me add something
>
> Gold was 300 when the S&amp;P was grossly overvalued and many stocks
> like IBM had high pes
>
> Now large cap multinationals are undervalued historically for the
> most part and gold is a very crowded trade
>
> For example is 1990 gold was about 400 bucks today its over 1100
> and the 100K you invested would be be about 275 K but you have gotten
> no income
>
> But if you bought KO in 1990 at teh same pe its at now you would
> have gotten more appreciation in the last 7 years of dividends than
> golds entire cap gain was
>
> You would have been taxed less and also the 100000 you put in Ko
> would have spit you out over 200k in the past 8 years alone
>
> and your Ko would be worth 1,150,000 now
>
> Large cap multinationals are better than gold UNLESS gold is at record
> lows and stocks are overvalued like in most of this decade
>
> Remember what wise people do in the beginning fools do in the end

Faber: Gold a Better Buy than at $300/oz.

These numbers sound suspicious to me.


On Nov 19 12:57 PM bobbybutte wrote:

> Fromeher i follow you
>
> But let me add something
>
> Gold was 300 when the S&amp;P was grossly overvalued and many stocks
> like IBM had high pes
>
> Now large cap multinationals are undervalued historically for the
> most part and gold is a very crowded trade
>
> For example is 1990 gold was about 400 bucks today its over 1100
> and the 100K you invested would be be about 275 K but you have gotten
> no income
>
> But if you bought KO in 1990 at teh same pe its at now you would
> have gotten more appreciation in the last 7 years of dividends than
> golds entire cap gain was
>
> You would have been taxed less and also the 100000 you put in Ko
> would have spit you out over 200k in the past 8 years alone
>
> and your Ko would be worth 1,150,000 now
>
> Large cap multinationals are better than gold UNLESS gold is at record
> lows and stocks are overvalued like in most of this decade
>
> Remember what wise people do in the beginning fools do in the end

Faber: Gold a Better Buy than at $300/oz.

yuk!!!!!!!


On Nov 19 08:31 AM Fibozachi wrote:

> Please put that call up on the wall right next to Dick Bove's US
> Dollar to zero; utterly ridiculous and without any technical merit.
>
>
> Technical Profiles of Gold vs Silver, the US Dollar vs Gold and the
> US Dollar with highlights from an interview with the winner of the
> 2008 Automated Trading Championship
>
> www.zerohedge.com/arti...
>
>
> As for a quick overview of price action within the primary domestic
> equity and international currency markets ... yesterday’s internal
> market readings were reflective of only one thing: HFT algos attempting
> to pin XOM et al. ahead of OpEx as the DJIA takes decisive leadership
> across domestic equity markets while the NDX-100, SP-500 and RUSSELL
> 2K considerably under-perform. For a more detailed explanation of
> this concept, please see “Technical Profiles of 8 Key Stocks: AIG,
> BIDU, CAT, CELG, DRYS, GS, IBM, SKF.”
>
>
> VOLD lame … ADD weak … TICK highly erratic while the VIX continues
> to coil lower and register serious positive divergences on the weekly.
> The $DXY US Dollar Index plotted a new swing low yesterday at 74.68
> yet reversed sharply to close well over the 75 handle. ONLY a 135
> minute (1/3 the cash) or 144 minute close above 75.77 will shift
> the hourly profile from bearish to neutral; and until there are two
> consecutive closes above 76.89 there is NO uptrend to speak of. The
> EURO appears to be initially confirming a possible USD bottom. Swissie
> (CHF) and EuroYen (EURJPY) are the next two majors/ crosses needed
> to confirm any possible US Dollar bottom.

U.S. Commodity Funds to Begin Trading 'United States 12 Month Natural Gas Fund'

How far in the future can you foresee?


On Nov 17 04:51 PM SCN4 wrote:

> It will be interesting to see how this ETF plays out. For now, it
> appears UNG is still a good short. Market remains soft for the foreseeable
> future IMHO.
>
> www.liveenergy.com/200.../

Cheap Borrowing Migrates to Canada

You mean Canadian banks can't get money from their gov't for free? Man what a concept!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1

Meredith Whitney: 'I Haven't Been This Bearish in a Year'

What part of her logic are folks having difficulty understanding. Thankfully there are a few people around who are more than cheerleaders. Truth is what we need to help us make the very difficult decisions involved here, not glossing over facts and raising hope.

Insiders Still Quite Bearish on Their Own Companies

Gates charitable trust does't buy microsoft stock. It buys railroads trash haulers and etc.


On Nov 16 10:50 AM p2i wrote:

> Bearish? It's more likely that they postponed their sales until recently
> to get at least an OK price. Even Bill Gates has bills to pay and
> future needs and wants. I don't think that he is after a safe money
> market return of 1/4% to preserve his capital. Even MSFT pays a better
> dividend than most nice "safe" investments.

In Support of the 'Tobin Tax'

I gave your comment a + but investors are not idiots. If they were they would not have money to invest. Most of them are hard working folks raising families and they don't have the time or energy to do what we do. I give investing a great deal of time and energy as I am sure you do and find it very difficult to make wise decisions.


On Nov 13 10:05 AM User 176317 wrote:

> From your article:
>
> " For the last few years about 30% of Harvard's MBA graduates have
> been heading to Wall Street jobs. These are the business leaders
> who could be entrepreneurs inventing new services or managers finding
> ways to increase labor productivity. Instead, they're "playing poker"
> (e.g. pursuing technical analysis, algorithmic trading, and low latency
> trading) with astrophysicists and electrical engineers who have also
> been enticed by the higher pay of Wall Street. It's impossible to
> estimate the cost to society of having these otherwise productive
> people spend their time siphoning money off the general public."
>
>
> Wait -- you want THEM to go back to work, presumably so that it can
> be YOU who is sitting around writing these articles and adding no
> value? Come on.
>
> The answer is not to tax the system, and not to question the usefulness
> of the people working in it. The answer is to let the free market
> operate. Right now, the reason why there is money to be made in the
> markets (from, for example, high-frequency trading) is because the
> markets have a ways to go before they are efficient. And efficient
> markets (ones which react quickly and correctly to news) ARE a good
> thing for society. Companies that make good decisions SHOULD get
> rewarded with higher stock prices. Companies that make poor decisions
> SHOULD get punished with lower stock prices. The fact that engineers
> are working to shave off milliseconds should not be a concern to
> you or other people sitting around articles about things they know
> nothing about. What we should ask ourselves is, "Why is there so
> much money to be made doing that, and not much money to be made curing
> cancer or creating cheap energy?". The answer is twofold: First,
> investors are idiots. Second, there is no reward system for being
> brilliant anywhere EXCEPT for Wall Street.
>
> To the first point: For a long, long time investors have been absolute
> idiots when it comes to investing their money. They plop money into
> their 401K and let Fidelity manage it, and the fees that Fidelity
> charges (while not onerous to any single investor) really add up
> when spread across millions of accounts. If people would use sites
> like Morningstar to actually look at survivorship bias and fund performance
> AFTER fees and AFTER all of the other numerical obfuscations, they
> would see that their funds suck. And they would pull their money
> out, thus reducing the fees and removing money from the system. If
> this were to happen ("efficient investing"), then you would start
> to see the engineers leave Wall Street because there would be no
> fees sloshing around to pay them. I don't think it will happen anytime
> soon though, because people just don't seem to take much of an interest
> in their portfolios.
>
> To my second point, the reason why there is no reward system for
> curing cancer is because of how corporations are set up. They need
> to pay upper management less and reward the researchers more. But
> that's a whole other topic....

The Art of Silver Manipulation

I understand how covering a short position makes a thing rise. I fail to understand how shorting a thing makes it go down. Especially if it is not a naked short which should be illegal. Is it that noticing the large short positions scares people into selling out. Can anyone help. Thanks, Bob

Vietnam: Gold Already Trading at $1,300 Per Ounce

The only thing problematic about GLD is that the commission to buy is so low that it is a thorn in the side of those selling physical gold and those charging to store it and insure it. In the words of Casey (stangle) apology for the spelling, you could look it up. The real problem is the trading and storage costs of physical gold and the danger of theft, counterfeiting, or loss from other disasters. Don't we all really know that nothing no matter what the form is risk free or fool proof. So far owning GLD has worked out well for me, but then I am not in the Armageddon/ lawless period camp but the slow devaluation inflation trying to maintain or increase my purchasing power camp. Good luck to all. Regards, Bob