The Truth About Fossil Fuels and Renewable Energy (Part II) [View article]
You don't think half our land area is a big issue???????????????
On Aug 09 09:16 AM oferdror wrote:
> Just to get the numbers straigh: you need 2,000 (not 20,000) acres > of land to generate about 1GW of solar electricity. Sunlight hits > the ground at an intensity of about 1kW/m^2. That means that at 100% > efficiency you would need 1 million m^2 or 250 acres. If you assume > about 12.5% efficiency (not a high number by today's standards and > we can probably expect double that in time) you get 2000 acres. Not > that I think solar power can solve all our prolems. But it is very > close to the point (i.e. will be there in less than 10 years) that > it can (if the political will exists....) become a major source of > electricity (over 10% of US needs). > > By the way, even you take your 20,000 acre number, the area needed > to provide 100% of US electricity needs (500GW or so) is only about > 40,000 kM^2 which is less that 1/2% of the land area of the US. So > land is simply not the issue.
The Truth About Fossil Fuels and Renewable Energy (Part II) [View article]
You must be one of those starry eyed tourist the author refered to.
On Aug 09 09:12 AM jerrydd wrote:
> > The author manages to get so much right and wrong. > > First why would we need more refineries when we don't need the ones > we have now? We won't ever use as much oil as he have before as the > price is going to rise fast, high. So now the oil industry is shutting > down or closing refineries to cut oversupply. > > Your drill, baby, drill rant has one small problem, we have little > to drill for as not much left. If we do as you say we'll be completely > out of oil in 10yrs. I'd rather stretch what we have over a longer > time frame. > > You seem to think there is an energy shortage for some reason. There > is plenty of energy all around you if you are smart enough to catch > it. Judging from how uninformed on basic physics, econo101 you are, > you may not be smart enough. But I think you are, just letting your > bias get in the way and you believe the bull big oil, coal have fed > you. > > Let's start with our biggest energy resource, eff, conservation. > WE can over the next 10 yrs cut our energy use by 50%, enough to > make us independent of both coal and imported oil without hurting > our lifestyle other than not being wasteful and thinking a little. > > > For $10k a 1500sq' home can have wind, CSP units to give the eff > home all it's power needs, charge an EV and in many cases, sell it > back at a profit. Facts are now home wind is only $2k/kw and CSP > solar is about $3k/kw plus much heat as a bonus. > > I'm not sure what big wind, solar farms energy costs but it's not > higher than coal especially if all coal's costs are in it. But home > size wind that's lower than coal power is available now though one > has to hunt for it. Google axial flux or magnets4less. > > I like nukes and if their price can be brought down to $4-6k/kw then > yes but now recent bids for plants are in the $9k/kw range and likely > to be underbid by as much as all nuke plants in the last 20 yrs have > had 50-100% cost over runs. So old nuke, OK, new nuke only if cost > effective. > > NG is a good thing. It's far cleaner than coal and without the military, > economic costs of oil as we have enough. NG will fill the times when > RE isn't making power and Semi's, other trucks. > > Cars are going electric as it's the only way we can afford them. > Why is they use 1/3-1/6 the energy/mile depending on your energy > source and one can by wind and/or solar make your own power/fuel. > Since EV's are simple, cheap to build, they will in 5 yrs cost no > more than ICE's but cost 1/4 to run. > > So basically we need to do Obama's energy, transport plan, Cap and > Tax oil, coal so they pay all their direct, indirect subsidies, not > what congress is doing, with a tax cut from the revenue plus help > switching to a stable, inexpensive energy future. > > Now compare that to going fossil fuel instead, we'll be broke, owned > lock, stock and barrel by big coal, oil, OPEC, Russia and every little > oil dictator on earth, continually in oil wars or poisoned by coal. > Your choice. > > Actually I shouldn't say it's your choice as next yr oil will spike > back to $150, even $200bbl and stay there until we go back into recession, > then everyone will agree we need off oil. And the invisible hand > will sweep down and clear the path for new thinking. > > There are no technical problems to do this cost effectively, the > problem is political, bought and paid for congress by big oil, nuke > and coal who want to keep their huge subsidies, corporate welfare > coming their way..
The Truth About Fossil Fuels and Renewable Energy (Part II) [View article]
On Aug 09 09:16 AM oferdror wrote:
> Just to get the numbers straigh: you need 2,000 (not 20,000) acres
> of land to generate about 1GW of solar electricity. Sunlight hits
> the ground at an intensity of about 1kW/m^2. That means that at 100%
> efficiency you would need 1 million m^2 or 250 acres. If you assume
> about 12.5% efficiency (not a high number by today's standards and
> we can probably expect double that in time) you get 2000 acres. Not
> that I think solar power can solve all our prolems. But it is very
> close to the point (i.e. will be there in less than 10 years) that
> it can (if the political will exists....) become a major source of
> electricity (over 10% of US needs).
>
> By the way, even you take your 20,000 acre number, the area needed
> to provide 100% of US electricity needs (500GW or so) is only about
> 40,000 kM^2 which is less that 1/2% of the land area of the US. So
> land is simply not the issue.
The Truth About Fossil Fuels and Renewable Energy (Part II) [View article]
On Aug 09 09:12 AM jerrydd wrote:
>
> The author manages to get so much right and wrong.
>
> First why would we need more refineries when we don't need the ones
> we have now? We won't ever use as much oil as he have before as the
> price is going to rise fast, high. So now the oil industry is shutting
> down or closing refineries to cut oversupply.
>
> Your drill, baby, drill rant has one small problem, we have little
> to drill for as not much left. If we do as you say we'll be completely
> out of oil in 10yrs. I'd rather stretch what we have over a longer
> time frame.
>
> You seem to think there is an energy shortage for some reason. There
> is plenty of energy all around you if you are smart enough to catch
> it. Judging from how uninformed on basic physics, econo101 you are,
> you may not be smart enough. But I think you are, just letting your
> bias get in the way and you believe the bull big oil, coal have fed
> you.
>
> Let's start with our biggest energy resource, eff, conservation.
> WE can over the next 10 yrs cut our energy use by 50%, enough to
> make us independent of both coal and imported oil without hurting
> our lifestyle other than not being wasteful and thinking a little.
>
>
> For $10k a 1500sq' home can have wind, CSP units to give the eff
> home all it's power needs, charge an EV and in many cases, sell it
> back at a profit. Facts are now home wind is only $2k/kw and CSP
> solar is about $3k/kw plus much heat as a bonus.
>
> I'm not sure what big wind, solar farms energy costs but it's not
> higher than coal especially if all coal's costs are in it. But home
> size wind that's lower than coal power is available now though one
> has to hunt for it. Google axial flux or magnets4less.
>
> I like nukes and if their price can be brought down to $4-6k/kw then
> yes but now recent bids for plants are in the $9k/kw range and likely
> to be underbid by as much as all nuke plants in the last 20 yrs have
> had 50-100% cost over runs. So old nuke, OK, new nuke only if cost
> effective.
>
> NG is a good thing. It's far cleaner than coal and without the military,
> economic costs of oil as we have enough. NG will fill the times when
> RE isn't making power and Semi's, other trucks.
>
> Cars are going electric as it's the only way we can afford them.
> Why is they use 1/3-1/6 the energy/mile depending on your energy
> source and one can by wind and/or solar make your own power/fuel.
> Since EV's are simple, cheap to build, they will in 5 yrs cost no
> more than ICE's but cost 1/4 to run.
>
> So basically we need to do Obama's energy, transport plan, Cap and
> Tax oil, coal so they pay all their direct, indirect subsidies, not
> what congress is doing, with a tax cut from the revenue plus help
> switching to a stable, inexpensive energy future.
>
> Now compare that to going fossil fuel instead, we'll be broke, owned
> lock, stock and barrel by big coal, oil, OPEC, Russia and every little
> oil dictator on earth, continually in oil wars or poisoned by coal.
> Your choice.
>
> Actually I shouldn't say it's your choice as next yr oil will spike
> back to $150, even $200bbl and stay there until we go back into recession,
> then everyone will agree we need off oil. And the invisible hand
> will sweep down and clear the path for new thinking.
>
> There are no technical problems to do this cost effectively, the
> problem is political, bought and paid for congress by big oil, nuke
> and coal who want to keep their huge subsidies, corporate welfare
> coming their way..