Chris DeMuth Jr. is the founder of Rangeley Capital LLC. Rangeley is an investment firm that focuses on event driven, value-oriented investment opportunities. Rangeley Capital and his value investing forum, Sifting the World (StW), search the world for misplaced bets. Rangeley exploits them for its investors and then Mr. DeMuth writes about them on StW.
I've been investing for nearly 30 years. I've lost a lot of money. I've made a lot of money. The school of hard knocks is rough sometimes, but you never forget the lessons. These days, I trade mostly volatility and momentum strategies.
Wall Street Breakfast, Seeking Alpha's flagship daily business news summary, is a one-page summary that gives you a rapid overview of the day's key financial news. It's designed for easy readability on the site or by email (including on mobile devices), and is published before 7:00 AM ET every market day.
Wall Street Breakfast readership of over 900,000 includes many from the investment-banking and fund-management industries.
Sign up here to receive the Wall Street Breakfast in your inbox every business day: http://seekingalpha.com/account/email_preferences
Since 1998, WhisperNumber.com has been the leader in social media analytics ('crowd sourced estimates') for earnings. Receive email alerts on those companies most likely to move higher or lower when they beat or miss the whisper number. These are the Whisper Reactors. http://www.whispernumber.com/suboptions_wr.jsp When earnings season gets underway, traders, analysts and investors are watching closely to see if companies' results squared with Wall Street's expectations. Of particular interest is the "whisper number". A veteran in the business, WhisperNumber.com takes a unique approach: its earnings estimates come from regular polling of its members. The site points to independent academic studies supporting its claims that the crowd is wiser than the Wall Street priesthood (www.whispernumber.com/study.jsp). WhisperNumber.com's free registration buys voluminous information related to the profit histories of companies entering earnings season. Type a ticker into its search engine for an exhaustive earnings profile of a company, alongside a calendar of coming earnings and an education center with whisper strategies for trading. A subscription payment of $395 for six months buys access to the company's premium offering, Whisper Reactors (http://www.whispernumber.com/signIn_wr.jsp), a list of highly volatile companies whose prices show a high correlation to their earnings outcomes. WhisperNumber.com claims a variety of double-digit returns for different types of plays over holding periods of 1-to-30 days. Trading on whispers is a technical play on market psychology, rather than a bet on a company's fundamental strengths. To a technician, share price is just a market-clearing mechanism that strikes a balance between buyer greed and seller fear.
I Know First is a financial services firm that utilizes an advanced self-learning algorithm to analyze, model and predict the stock market.
Co-Founder Dr. Lipa Roitman, a scientist, with over 20 years of experience created the market prediction system. The algorithm is based on artificial intelligence, machine learning and incorporates elements of artificial neural networks as well as genetic algorithms to model and predict the flow of money between 2,000 markets from 3-days to a year: stocks, ETF's, world indices, gold, currencies, interest rates, and commodities.
The algorithm outputs a predicted trend as a number, which in turn, is used by traders to identify when to enter and exit the market. While forecasts can be used for intra-day trading, the predictability tends to become stronger over longer time-horizons such as the 1-month, 3-month and 1-year forecasts.
Visit us at iknowfirst.com
Over 30 years of investing in individual stocks. Extensive business experience with small to mid-size companies, including as CEO. Many hundreds of blog posts on financial and economic matters since 2008. Focus on value with catalysts for upside price action. Background as a physician and pharmaceutical inventor and entrepreneur, however focus now is global and involves almost all economic categories.
I have retired from a 35 years career in the semiconductor industry. I now have the time to do the deep research necessary for successful investing.
I freely provide investment information for friends and family.
I am a member of MENSA, which means precisely nothing except I wake up in the middle of the night doing pointless math problems in my head:)
Author of Quantitative Investing (4.4 stars on Amazon). Designer of the Global Household Index and the systemic risk score MTS10 (click here to learn more). PhD in computer science, Software Engineer, Civil Engineer, 20+ years working in various sectors and countries. Investor focused on market-neutral and low risk portfolios, looking for profitable combinations of value and quality factors. Also interested in short volatility trading and excess returns in closed-end-funds.
Richard Zeits is an Oil & Gas industry analyst and consultant. His background includes fourteen years as Energy industry-focused investment banker, portfolio manager and senior investment analyst with bulge bracket firms in New York. Zeits Energy Analytics use elaborate proprietary analytics and data bases to provide in-depth industry research, market intelligence, and forecasting.
I work in NYC and try to put some of my ideas on Seeking Alpha when I can. I usually look at special situations which involves value plays with catalysts. You can also follow me on my blog, which is - http://valuestocks-kedar.blogspot.com
Editor for The Biotech Forum, the #2 subscribed to Marketplace investment service offered through SeekingAlpha. Top 5% ranked analyst (TipRanks) 2013 through first half of 2015. Daily contributor for Real Money Pro. Hedge fund manager from 2008 to 2011. Previously technology executive at Fortune 100 firm for a decade.
Please go to biotechforumsa.com for more on the Biotech Forum service available through SeekingAlpha. For Free Investment Reports on a variety of topics go to bretjenseninvests.com
Kiran is an independent research consultant in the areas of volatility-based and leveraged instruments, including several proprietary strategies.
His services include hypotheses generation, back-testing, risk/return analytics, and predictive modelling for proprietary trading strategies, as well as research consulting in the above areas. Expected and realized returns for his 2 flagship strategy portfolios exceed 100% on an annualized basis, while maintaining expected and realized Sharpe ratios over 3 times higher than the S&P 500. Kiran was mentored by Wall Street research veteran Mark Gomes. Alongside Mr. Gomes, he brought Wall Street level research to retail and institutional investors through PTT Capital's flagship newsletters.
I hold a B.S. in Accounting.
"[T]he function of the margin-of-safety is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the future. If the margin is a large one, then it is enough to assume that future earnings will not fall far below those of the past in order for an investor to feel sufficiently protected against the vicissitudes of time."
"Needless to say, the analyst must take possible future changes into account, but his primary aim is not so much to profit from them as to guard against them. Broadly speaking, he views the future as a hazard which his conclusions must encounter rather than as the source of his vindication."
"[F]inding the really outstanding companies and staying with them through all fluctuations of a gyrating market proved far more profitable to far more people than did the more colorful practice of trying to buy them cheap and sell them dear…These opportunities did not require purchasing on a particular day at the bottom of a great panic."
I am a retired professor, a retired investment adviser, and currently a private investor and full-time tennis pro. I bought my first stock in a custodial account in 1958. I am a student of history, particularly military and economic/market history. The intellectual passions of my retirement years are markets, mathematics, and quantum theory. I like to travel. I served in Vietnam.
Eli Inkrot is a writer. Check out his website: thecurrencyoftime.com, his articles here on Seeking Alpha or his book - "You Don't Have A Money Problem" - on Amazon.com.
Additionally, here is a quick bio:
Eli has held the title of Vice President and Portfolio Manager at EDMP Inc. - a money management firm - along with Vice President for F.A.S.T. Graphs - a financial software company.
Prior to that, he began his investment career as an analyst in private real estate for a public pension fund. During his time in real estate he was the lead for a variety of accounts with net asset values totaling nearly two billion dollars. Eli received a Master’s in Finance from the University of Tampa where he earned “highest honors” whilst receiving the distinction of being named the “most outstanding graduate student.” He also holds undergraduate degrees in both Economics and Business Administration from Otterbein University, graduating “magna cum laude” with distinct honors in each major. During his tenure at Otterbein, Eli was a member of the varsity golf team, held the departmental Senator position for Business, Economics and Accounting and studied abroad in the Netherlands.
Independent. Insightful. Trusted. Morningstar provides stock market analysis; equity, mutual fund, and ETF research, ratings, and picks; portfolio tools; and option, hedge fund, IRA, 401k, and 529 plan research. Our reliable data and analysis can help both experienced enthusiasts and newcomers.
Fusion Research is managed by a team that has been actively involved in the financial research industry for over 5 years. Our business is rooted in principles of trust, integrity and fundamentals-driven markets.
We provide independent research, on deserving public companies without the built-in conflicts of interest.
Our team of equity analysts have extensive experience, and are highly qualified and credentialed CFA's, CA's or MBA’s. The research we provide is unbiased as any on the market. We create strategic partnerships with companies and firms to gain unprecedented domestic and international following of our coverage. Our reports are used by both institutional and individual investors to obtain accurate, independently-compiled securities analysis.
I have done my Graduation in Commerce and am tracking Stock Markets since past 7 years and have keen interest in Large and Mid cap stocks and aspire to become a Portfolio Manager. I am fascinated with capital market, bonds and alternative investments and have always handled my own portfolio, and have been successful in identifying micro and nano cap companies in a quest for searching hidden gems.
My inspiration comes from my 2 daughters.
Analyst and Fund Manager with almost 20 years investment experience. Coverage includes a variety of industries, with a focus on technology.
Particularly focused on value stocks, poorly understood or under-followed situations, and contrarian perspectives.
Primarily invest in special situations with value that is poorly understood or not fully appreciated, or where we believe there is a highly asymetric risk/reward profile. Also look for long/short ideas in mid/larger cap names where we believe we have a variant view, and the market is dramatically mispricing value.
Follow me on Twitter @valinsights
Zacks.com brings the decades of study and stock picking expertise of Zacks Investment Research to individual investors. Now, you don't to be an investment bank or brokerage firm to get the professional power of Zacks' research. It's all available on Zacks.com. Learn more about Zacks' history and company below.
Bachar Samawi is Founder of Bachar Samawi Ventures (http://www.samawi.net).
Bachar Samawi has 29-years international experience in finance, trading, new business development, private equity and investment management, spanning multiple sectors including Banking, Energy, Technology, Agro, Industry, Healthcare and Real Estate.
As Chief investment Officer for one of Qatar Holding’s international $5 Billion subsidiary partnerships (Qatar Holding / Qatar Investment Authority is the $250 Billion Qatar Sovereign Wealth Fund), Mr. Samawi was primarily responsible for evaluating and determining investment opportunities (which include Healthcare, Banking, Energy, Agriculture, and other), as well as launching projects with expected private equity requirement in excess of $100 Million per project. To such effect, Mr. Samawi deployed his Wall Street experience to lead meetings and negotiations with all stakeholders, including government officials and ministers, major banks, investors, financiers, international organizations, global corporations, diplomatic missions, and more.
As Vice Chairman of the Board of Directors and Managing Partner for Caltech Developments Limited - Your Global Partner in Energy, Mr. Samawi led strategy & structuring on multi-billion dollar long-term crude oil refining supply negotiations.
Mr. Samawi held senior level positions with multi-Billion dollar institutions in the USA and the Middle East including National Energy Group in the Washington DC area (non-regulated subsidiary of $18 Billion Pacific Gas & Electric), where he built the power trading department, Sanwa-BGK in New York (US Primary Dealership subsidiary of Sanwa Bank, which later merged with Tokai Bank and Mitsubishi Tokyo Financial Group, to become today’s $75 Billion Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group), where he co-founded the Fixed Income OTC Options department, and other international holding companies (diversified in Banking, Industry, Real Estate, Services and Trade).
His responsibilities included launching new businesses, setting up departments generating income in excess of $100 Million annually, negotiating and securing partnerships with Top Five international conglomerates in Energy and Finance, advising Board of Directors on Strategic Ventures, acting as Interim CEO, trouble-shooting and turning around struggling businesses, optimizing financial and real estate portfolios, and more.
Samawi graduated from Yale University with a double major in Computer Science and Economics. He has also completed numerous certifications in Finance and Management & Leadership training and is fluent in English, French and Arabic. Samawi has also authored numerous articles and white papers, and has given speeches throughout the world including France, Germany and the USA.
Charles (Chuck) C. Carnevale is the creator of F.A.S.T. Graphs™. Chuck is also co-founder of an investment management firm. He has been working in the securities industry since 1970: he has been a partner with a private NYSE member firm, the President of a NASD firm, Vice President and Regional Marketing Director for a major AMEX listed company, and an Associate Vice President and Investment Consulting Services Coordinator for a major NYSE member firm. Prior to forming his own investment firm, he was a partner in a 30-year-old established registered investment advisory in Tampa, Florida. Chuck holds a Bachelor of Science in Economics and Finance from the University of Tampa. Chuck is a sought-after public speaker who is very passionate about spreading the critical message of prudence in money management. Chuck is a Veteran of the Vietnam War and was awarded both the Bronze Star and the Vietnam Honor Medal.
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Love the trill of the hunt. Finding that little gem which is set to take off. I check daily and will trade partial position to accumulate shares for the longer haul.
I have been trading for a while, the first shares I ever bought were in the B.P. IPO. I have lived and worked all over the world in a number of capacities, including as a teacher and a Corporate Director. I now spend much of my time at Home with my four children ( hence my name), leading a much more settled life.
I believe that core growth and dividend returns are important, but a small manageable portion of your portfolio must always be invested in High risk High return scenarios. Don't bet more than you can afford and whenever possible play with the houses money. Start a position early. Start Small and accumulate.
Frank Grossmann (founder and partner of logical-invest.com)
I am Swiss and living in Zurich. I studied Microtechnics at the Federal Institute of Technology in Lausanne and Business Administration at the Federal Institute of Technology in Zurich. After the studies in 1989 I founded Labocontrol AG. This company was sold to the US company Digital Now Inc. where I continued to work as a chief scientist.
Since 13 years I have my own software company Colour-Science.com which develops algorithms for digital image processing. These algorithms do things like image enhancement, red eye removal or pattern (face) detection. My passion however was always to search for pattern in financial data and then develop and back test rule based investment strategies.
Our mission is to help individual investors earn profits by providing a source of independent, unbiased and profitable investing ideas. StreetAuthority provides in-depth research, plus specific investment ideas and immediate action to take based on the latest market events. We accomplish this via one of the most popular financial web sites in the nation, StreetAuthority.com, and by publishing over a dozen widely-followed financial newsletters with a total of more than a million subscribers.
Follow us on Twitter: @StreetAuthority
The author has a background in Chemical Engineering and an MBA specializing in Finance and Biotech Management. He is primarily focused on alternative investment strategies that aren't widely covered in the mainstream press such as hedging strategies, non-market correlated instruments, high-yield investments, international/developing markets, small biotechs and arbitrage.
In addition to his contributions here at Seeking Alpha you can also visit him at his blog ETFBase (http://www.etfbase.com/), which provides free independent stock research, a real-time personal accounting of his personal trading portfolio, market commentary, and personal finance advice.
Visit: ETFBase (http://www.etfbase.com/)
Peter Way Associates is the only known provider of the price range forecasts of widely-held, actively traded stocks derived from the hedging activities of market-making [MM] firms as they balance big-$-fund sellers and buyers in large block trades. The price ranges offer explicit downside exposure forecasts not commonly found in publicly published investment analyses.
This is all forward-looking data, based on what the MMs will pay for protection against coming unwanted price change while temporarily committed firm capital is exposed to market risks. It is available by modest subscription cost at blockdesk.com.
The behavioral analysis involved has been performed daily since Y2K, now on over 3,000 stocks, ETFs, and market indexes. That has built an actuarial history of how market prices have subsequently behaved following several million price range forecasts, issue by issue.
That data provides a qualitative backdrop to current forecasts in terms of odds of profitable positions, size of prospective gains, credibility of forecasts, and worst-case price drawdown exposure experiences.
Peter F. Way is a veteran Chartered Financial Analyst, having taken and passed the CFA Institute’s required 3 examinations in the first years they were given, 40+ years ago.
Armed with BS in Economics from the Wharton School and an MBA degree from Harvard Business School, he has managed staffs of dozens of Investment Researchers and Quantitative Analysts for the nation’s largest bank, arbitraged index options for NYSE Specialists, and managed portfolios of hundred-million-dollar equity investments for Fortune 100 corporate pension funds and non-profit endowments.
He has been elected President of professional Investment Analyst Societies in San Diego and New York City and has served on the editorial boards of the Financial Analysts Journal and the CFA Digest. He has spoken at numerous schools and professional meetings.
Please note that I do not read comments posted here, nor respond to messages here. I don't have the time. If you want my attention, you must seek it directly at my blog.
David J. Merkel, CFA — From 2003-2007, I was a leading commentator at the excellent investment website RealMoney.com (http://www.RealMoney.com). Back in 2003, after several years of correspondence, James Cramer invited me to write for the site, and now I write for RealMoney on equity and bond portfolio management, macroeconomics, derivatives, quantitative strategies, insurance issues, corporate governance, etc. My specialty is looking at the interlinkages in the markets in order to understand individual markets better.
I no longer contribute to RealMoney because my work duties have gotten larger, and I began this blog to develop a distinct voice with a wider distribution.
In 2008, I became the Chief Economist and Director of Research of Finacorp Securities (http://www.prnewswire.com/cgi-bin/stories.pl?ACCT=109&STORY=/www/story/02-08-2008/0004752449&EDATE=). Finacorp went into liquidation in June 2010, after which I decided to open my own asset management shop, Aleph Investments, LLC. I manage stock and bond portfolios for clients.
Until 2007, I was a senior investment analyst at Hovde Capital, responsible for analysis and valuation of investment opportunities for the FIP funds, particularly of companies in the insurance industry. I also managed the internal profit sharing and charitable endowment monies of the firm.
Prior to joining Hovde in 2003, I managed corporate bonds for Dwight Asset Management. In 1998, I joined the Mount Washington Investment Group as the Mortgage Bond and Asset Liability manager after working with Provident Mutual, AIG and Pacific Standard Life.
My background as a life actuary has given me a different perspective on investing. How do you earn money without taking undue risk? How do you convey ideas about investing while showing a proper level of uncertainty on the likelihood of success? How do the various markets fit together, telling us us a broader story than any single piece? These are the themes that I will deal with in this blog. I hold bachelor’s and master’s degrees from Johns Hopkins University.
In my spare time, I take care of our eight children with my wonderful wife Ruth. Visit this site: The Aleph Blog (http://alephblog.com/)