As a contributor to the New Low Observer (http://www.newlowobserver.com/about-this-site), we intend to give new insights on a low risk approach to trading in dividend paying stocks for tax deferred accounts. The New Low Observer (http://www.newlowobserver.com/about-this-site) is not intended for regular or non-qualifying accounts however, the strategies and stocks mentioned can be used for non-qualifying accounts with the understanding of the consequences of potential short-term capital gains as well as the need for exceptional documentation for IRS purposes.
I have a professional background of working with the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Bear Stearns, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Although I am an economist (and probably because of that fact), I am adept at being resourceful and thinking in a multidisciplinary fashion. For this reason, my professional experience only reflects a wide perspective that I have gained through the years and should not connote an air of authority.
I try to carefully trade weekly & monthly stock options with expertise in mining companies & traditional manufacturers. Speak & write fluent Portuguese and speak good Spanish. Resided twice in Brazil and once on Guam Island. Employed at the same large foreign-owned Distribution Center the past 15 years & completely 100% Pro-NAFTA. Smart individual investing is the preferred solution to improving one's economic future, as opposed to vast & vague government handouts. Seeking Alpha is the #1 best financial blog because of honest opinions & superb organization.
Work in the shipping industry. Markets are my passion and hobby.
Black swans are often considered bad, but they can be good as well. -Me
Tis better to be silent and be thought a fool, than to speak and remove all doubt. -Abraham Lincoln (1809-1865)
Markets are never wrong - opinions often are. -Jesse Livermore
The psychology of hope and earnings growth can stay irrational much longer than you or I can remain solvent.
I'm a working class guy in a middle class suburb of Houston. I'm really not anybody of extraordinary talent or achievement...just a high school dropout with an above average IQ who often makes bad choices and decisions for which I have to apologize and/or over-compensate. Yeah...I'm an American living the dream, baby...
My day job - I work in the pre-press dept of a commercial printing plant. I am an old-school printer who trained as an apprentice for years, through journeyman, to eventually become a master printer. Since the first days of America (Ben Franklin and all that jazz) young guys - like I was - have trained under mentors and masters to learn the craft. I am part of a dying breed of American...I actually PRODUCE something of value...
Printing is one of the few industries protected in the Constitution - Freedom of the Press - and over the years, I have seen what the press can do to promote freedom and change. I have been in printing for over 30 years...and as technology advances, I've been a web developer and publishing on the web since 1999. I am proud to be part of the legacy of tradesmen who provide the public forum for opinion among free men.
I'm a trend trader and momentum trader. My history of trading has taught me that my great trades only happen a half dozen times each year and make most of the money...and the majority of the time, I'm squatting and waiting for - who knows what. If I only trade during those high momentum periods, I often will only be in the market 12-16 weeks out of the year.
But by not squatting on my trades, my risk of events beyond my control or random catastrophe is dramatically cut. With that said, even though I like to sit on cash, if the markets are stable, I often use ETFs as places to stash my cash while I'm in holding patterns doing research and looking for high activity trades.
I see myself as a little dog who follows the packs of big dogs that chase and move the markets when they hunt. So when the momentum and/or volatility presents itself and the timing is right, I prefer options trades over their respective stocks or ETFs because of the higher reward for very short term trades.
I do alot of research - reading 10-K's until my brain explodes - and looking for the best of class within the best industries within the hottest sectors. I do use technical analysis to look for resistance levels - and seek out patterns over the short term (weeks or months) - but don't put much weight into chart artwork. I prefer to give short term weight to the fickle flighty habits of market and public emotion and trending patterns.
I'm most comfortable focused on commodity related - oil, steel, coal, precious metals, mining, farm, food, etc...and manufacturing - refining, heavy equipment, oil field and mining equipment, production plants, the stuff that builds the world - the sectors and industries where raw materials, ingenuity, craftsmanship, etc are used to create a product and value added.
I'm not turned on by trading in banks and financials, medical, pharma and research, high tech, airlines, internet, hotels and real estate, retail and consumer, blue chip stocks. I am turned on by small cap and mid cap, emerging markets, international trade, innovative passion.
Personal stuff...like most people, it's just alot easier if you visit my Facebook page.
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If you are a dirt bike kid, like I was and always will be, visit my web project.
www.texasoffroad.net - - We began developing the Texas Offroad Network as a volunteer community project in late 1999...the same year we created the Texas Motorized Trails Coalition, which has developed two offroad parks in Texas using the federal gas tax via the Recreational Trails Fund. The TMTC is a record breaking grant writing success story.
Since 1999, the TON project has provided free webhosting servers (currently over 50 websites) and message boards for almost all of the motorcycle and ATV clubs and offroad racing series (enduro, hare scrambles, cross country, etc) in Texas. Since each club controls their own board activity, our four Admins work with over 100 volunteer Moderators. We also support several non-motorized websites and projects...including equestrian and women's barrel racing...and the new Sam Houston National Forest trails coalition.
As the State Partner for Texas with the National Off Highway Vehicle Conservation Council - www.nohvcc.org - I have enjoyed working with Texas Parks and Wildlife to help create an Off Highway Vehicle (OHV) department, and create legislation and develop the Texas OHV decal program. Along with TPWD, I volunteer with the US Forest Service and the Texas Forest Service...and help with advisory boards and grant writing to provide funding for offroad park projects in Texas through state and federal grants.
I am a small business owner of a financial services consulting firm. We have extensive experience in Business Analysis, Project Management, Risk Management, and Financial and Data Analysis.
I have a strong interest in economics and mathematics as my strongest subjects. Currently, I am more of a believer in the Austrian School of Economics rather than Keynesian economics, but that does not rule out my pragmatism in how behavior and economics occur in today's environment.
I seek to understand economic and mathematical fundamentals and principles and in addition to factoring in and understanding how humans (and markets as a whole) makes decisions while factoring in behaviors and emotions.
I love to find, understand, and invest in market distortions of information where there are solid fundamentals combined with the mispricing of information.