Trained as a scientific programmer, I worked on war game software for NORAD (North American Air Defense) and statistical software for Abbott Labs. For most of my 40-year career developed and sold financial and accounting software.
Was principal or founder of 3 small (5-30 employees) software companies.
Wrote a book on public pensions and a play that won an award in Writer Digest Magazine's annual writers competition, a contest that draws over 10,000 entries a year.
I only look at stocks that have the possibility to double over a twelve month period and stocks in which the risk/reward ratio payout is high. In addition I focus on swing trade opportunities.
I focus more on valuations and risk/reward metrics as opposed to what make companies tick.
I have been a professional investor for over 20 years and during the past several years an economics analyst and financial writer for capital.gr, the biggest economic news portal in Greece.
I have managed money from time to time and have also done some seed venture capital projects in the past.
I obtained my CPA in 1990 and became a CFA charter holder in 2000. I consider myself an expert in Quantitative and Qualitative analysis and have extensive experience in Technical Analysis. I also have a deep interest in stock market history and hold degrees in Economics (BSBA) and Management Information Systems (MBA). I have been actively involved with investment analysis and investment management since 1985 but have been a student of investing since the 1960s. I owned my first individual stock position while still in high school. I am a student of Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett. I have achieved a uniquely diverse experience from multiple careers that has allowed me to develop a broad perspective enabling me to look at the big picture of macroeconomics all the way down to the retail unit or factory floor. In my youth I was in retail, then served in reconnaissance during my tours in Vietnam. I have been a blue collar, union worker in a factory and a manager in services, hospitality and transportation as well as a manager of professional staffs. I have more than 20 years of experience each in both public and private sectors. I have personal points of reference that many analysts will never have. I bring more to the table than just the theories and models I have studied or built. To understand more about my investing philosophy please visit my blog on my website.
Brad McMillan is the chief investment officer at Commonwealth Financial Network®, member www.finra.org, www.sipc.org, the nation’s largest privately held independent broker/dealer–RIA. He is the primary spokesperson for Commonwealth’s investment divisions. Brad earned degrees from Dartmouth College (BA), MIT (MS in real estate development), and Boston College (MS in finance), and he holds the CFA®, CAIA, MAI, and AIF® professional certifications. Other professional qualifications include designated membership in the Appraisal Institute® (MAI), the CFA Institute, and the CAIA Association®. Brad is a frequent commentator on the financial markets, U.S. economic policy, and the global economy as a whole for a range of media, including the Wall Street Journal, CNBC, CNN International, Barron’s, and Bloomberg News. Brad has worked as a real estate developer, consultant, and lender; as an investment analyst, manager, and consultant; and as a start-up executive. He has started and run several companies and has traveled around the world.
I'm British but I generally prefer shares listed in the USA. I'm always on the lookout for better shares for my pension fund so I can retire some day.
I claim no authority. When I give opinions, I hope to stimulate thought, research, or feedback.
Chris DeMuth Jr. is the founder of Rangeley Capital LLC. Rangeley is an investment firm that focuses on event driven, value-oriented investment opportunities. Rangeley Capital and his value investing forum, Sifting the World (StW), search the world for misplaced bets. Rangeley exploits them for its investors and then Mr. DeMuth writes about them on StW.
Peter Way Associates is the only known provider of the price range forecasts of widely-held, actively traded stocks derived from the hedging activities of market-making [MM] firms as they balance big-$-fund sellers and buyers in large block trades. The price ranges offer explicit downside exposure forecasts not commonly found in publicly published investment analyses.
This is all forward-looking data, based on what the MMs will pay for protection against coming unwanted price change while temporarily committed firm capital is exposed to market risks. It is available by modest subscription cost at blockdesk.com.
The behavioral analysis involved has been performed daily since Y2K, now on over 3,000 stocks, ETFs, and market indexes. That has built an actuarial history of how market prices have subsequently behaved following several million price range forecasts, issue by issue.
That data provides a qualitative backdrop to current forecasts in terms of odds of profitable positions, size of prospective gains, credibility of forecasts, and worst-case price drawdown exposure experiences.
Peter F. Way is a veteran Chartered Financial Analyst, having taken and passed the CFA Institute’s required 3 examinations in the first years they were given, 40+ years ago.
Armed with BS in Economics from the Wharton School and an MBA degree from Harvard Business School, he has managed staffs of dozens of Investment Researchers and Quantitative Analysts for the nation’s largest bank, arbitraged index options for NYSE Specialists, and managed portfolios of hundred-million-dollar equity investments for Fortune 100 corporate pension funds and non-profit endowments.
He has been elected President of professional Investment Analyst Societies in San Diego and New York City and has served on the editorial boards of the Financial Analysts Journal and the CFA Digest. He has spoken at numerous schools and professional meetings.
I manage my investments personally. I spend a couple hours per week reading articles and research on each security I own. I am not a professional by any stretch of the imagination, but enjoy reading about ideas people have. I try to put articles out that appeal to both the beginning investor as well as the seasoned veteran. I hope you enjoy reading my articles and will take the time to comment on them.
I have spent all 10+ years of my professional career in the genetic laboratory space both on the research and clinical side. I obtained my undergraduate degree in Biology and Chemistry with an emphasis on Molecular Genetics and Biochemistry from the University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point. In 2013 I received my MBA from Cardinal Stritch University.
I started following the stock market in 2007 and have found that I really have a passion for learning and trying to help individuals understand complicated topics. After getting my feet wet in an investment club and personal investments I decided to share my ideas on Seeking Alpha as I enjoy talking stocks with anyone that will listen. Additionally I feel I have some interesting perspectives to offer.
Power Hedge is an independent stock research and analysis firm with a passion for macro- and microeconomic analysis. Power Hedge focuses our research primarily on dividend-paying, international companies of all sizes with sustainable competitive advantages. Power Hedge is neither a permabear nor a permabull. However, we believe that, given the current structural problems in the United States, the best investment opportunities may lie elsewhere in the world. The firm's strategy is primarily buy and hold, but will stray from that strategy on occasion. Our ideal holding period is forever, however we realize that both internal and external forces can impact an investment. For this reason, we believe that it is vital to keep a close eye on all of your investments. We do not believe in changing an investment based on short-term market swings.
Traditionally, we have not always responded to comments but in order to improve the quality of our research, comments will be reviewed and we will respond to issues regarding errors or omissions. This does not include our premium service, "Renewable Energy Profits," which is available from the Seeking Alpha Marketplace. This service does include detailed discussions with our team both on the reports themselves and in a private forum.
Trained as a professional journalist, I always consider myself a life-long learner motivated by intellectual curiosity and self-enhancement. Equipped with two degrees in journalism and communication, I spent the first half of my 28-year career as a media man and latter half a self-made entrepreneur (covering property consultancy, media production, eco-technology and energy management).
By 50, I had made a fortune good enough to stop working to make a living. So gladly I retired and started enjoying life.
Since retired, I continued to learn investing by intensive reading and having paid mentor-ship. Having been enlightened by the brilliant minds of the SA contributors for a few years, I must confess that I have become "street-wiser, less naive and more sophisticated" in identifying market traps, reading technical analyses and finding deep undervalued stocks. Now I trust it is my turn to contribute.
Dr. Mark J. Perry is a full professor of economics at the Flint campus of The University of Michigan, where he has taught undergraduate and graduate courses in economics and finance since 1996. Starting in the fall of 2009, Perry has also held a joint appointment as a scholar at The American Enterprise Institute. Perry holds two graduate degrees in economics (M.A. and Ph.D.) from George Mason University and in addition, and has an MBA degree in finance from The University of Minnesota. In addition to an active scholarly research agenda, Perry enjoys writing op-eds for a general audience on current economic issues and his opinion pieces have appeared in most major newspapers around the country, including USA Today, Wall Street Journal, Washington Post, Investor’s Business Daily, The Hill, Washington Examiner, Dallas Morning News, Sacramento Bee, Saint Paul Pioneer Press, Miami Herald, Pittsburgh Tribune-Review, Detroit News, Detroit Free Press and many others. Mark Perry has been best known in recent years as the creator and editor of one of the nation’s most popular economics blogs, Carpe Diem. Professor Perry has written on a daily basis since the fall of 2006 to share his thoughts, opinions and expertise on economic issues, with a strong emphasis on displaying economic data in a visually appealing way using graphs, charts and tables.
I believe that our economic situation is vastly misunderstood. The future adverse consequences of this misunderstanding can not be understated. It is for this reason that I write about our economic condition, with a focus toward (economic) Sustainable Prosperity and the future economic condition of the United States.
As for my background: I have investment experience dating back to 1988. This includes advanced knowledge and experience in equities, options, futures, futures options, forex, and economic research. Much of what is written in this site is a corollary to the analytical and modeling work I do, and have done, concerning the financial markets.
I also have corporate experience. This includes Finance, Pricing, Strategy, Business Analysis and Business Planning; and various aspects of Marketing Management.
My education includes an MBA from University of Chicago and an Undergraduate Degree (B.S.) in Business from Indiana University.
Prior publishing credits include Barron’s, Director’s Monthly, and a contributor to the book “The Art of M&A Integration.”
I am the investment manager for Darkravenwind LLC, a small software development consulting firm. 20% of our pre-tax revenue is my responsibility to invest and grow. I also help moderate the "Value Investing" group on Facebook. My hobbies include fighting the Fed, martial arts, and old video games.
I have been using value investing techniques as first described by Benjamin Graham since approximately 2005. I was wasting my life up to that point. My specialty, over and above corporate valuation, is analyzing people. Human behavior is remarkably consistent and can lead to huge gains when you understand what motivates them.
In my own portfolio, I have a diversified income focus with a preference for long term earnings and dividend growth. When a good opportunity comes along, I'll focus a large percentage of assets into that single holding. I'm also maintaining an income portfolio with a little over 180 high yielding companies inside of it as a bit of an experiment.
I was mostly self taught, but do have a partially completed business degree behind me as well. In 2008, I quadrupled my money in the crash, and saw numerous opportunities that I jumped on throughout the next few years. By 2012 my total portfolio was over 50,000% higher than when I had first started.
I was previously an employee at Countrywide Financial Corp., and was present during the mortgage meltdown. I saw firsthand how the company was falling apart from the inside while management continued to believe the organization could be rescued. Because of that experience, I have made bond analysis and studying the effects of inflation a specialty of mine.
Market direction is irrelevant. I look for value. Profitable companies that are low or even fairly priced, so long as the results are dependable. Intrinsic value is subjective, but earnings power matters. I am absolutely fearless of the future and do not make political views a part of my investment process.
I additionally make frequent updates to a blog maintainted at WhoTrades called "Brand Power", you can read and subscribe to it at bandpower.whotrades.com.
HORAN Capital Advisors (http://www.horancapitaladvisors.com) is an SEC registered investment advisor that manages investment portfolios for individuals and institutions. Our firm utilizes a disciplined investing approach that should create wealth for our clients over time. Our investment bias is to invest in companies that generate a steady return over time, i.e., singles and doubles. This singles and doubles approach tends to lead to investments in higher quality dividend growth/cash flow growth companies. On the other hand, there are times when a company's stock price seems to be trading below its fair valuation. Short term gains are possible in these situations. I have been managing investment portfolios for individuals and institutions for over fifteen years and believe investing is like running a marathon and not a sprint. Taking the road less traveled, more often than not, leads to higher returns. Visit: The Blog of HORAN Capital Advisors at (http://disciplinedinvesting.blogspot.com/)
Andy Hecht is a sought-after commodity and futures trader, an options expert and analyst. He spent nearly 35 years on Wall Street, including two decades on the trading desk of Phillip Brothers, which became Salomon Brothers and ultimately part of Citigroup.
Over the past two decades, he has researched, structured and executed some of the largest trades ever made, involving massive quantities of precious metals and bulk commodities.
Andy understands the market in a way many traders can’t imagine. He’s booked vessels, armored cars, and trains to transport and store a broad range of commodities. And he’s worked directly with The United Nations and the legendary trading group Phibro.
Today, Andy remains in close contact with sources around the world and his network of traders.
“I have a vast Rolodex of information in my head… so many bull and bear markets. When something happens, I don’t have to think. I just react. History does tend to repeat itself over and over.”
His friends and mentors include highly regarded energy and precious metals traders, supply line specialists and international shipping companies that give him vast insight into the market.
Andy’s writing and analysis are on many market-based websites including CQG. Andy lectures at colleges and Universities. He also contributes to Traders Magazine. He consults for companies involved in producing and consuming commodities. Andy's biweekly radio show, The Commodities Hour with Andy Hecht, can be heard on Tuesdays and Thursdays from 5-6 PM EST on www.tfnn.com. Andy’s first book How to Make Money with Commodities, published by McGraw-Hill was released in 2013 and has received excellent reviews. Andy held a Series 3 and Series 30 license from the National Futures Association and a collaborator and strategist with hedge funds. Andy is the commodity expert for the website about.com and blogs on his own site technomentals.com.
Stephan Bogner is mining analyst at Rockstone Research, he has independently analyzed capital markets and resource stocks for more than 11 years. He is also CEO at Elementum International AG of Switzerland trading precious metals and storing them in a high-security vaulting facility within the St. Gotthard Mountain Massif in Central Switzerland which is a duty-free zone. Bogner earned his degree in economics in 2004 at the International School of Management in Dortmund, Germany. He spent five years in Dubai brokering and reselling physical commodities and now resides in Zurich, Switzerland.
Diplom-Kaufmann Stephan Bogner began his academic studies in economics at the International School of Management in Dortmund (Germany) and was one of many who was hooked by the thrilling lectures of Professor Bocker on economic and monetary systems. Yet he was (and still is) the only student of the university that wrote a diploma thesis on precious metals as a protection against inflation (“Gold in a macroeconomic context with special consideration of the price formation process”) that was completed in 2002 under the supervision of Professor Bocker. Mr Bogner specialised in Finance & Asset Management, Production & Logistics and International Law & Entrepreneurship. He also studied at the European Business School in London (UK) and the University of Queensland in Brisbane (Australia).
In 2003, he started working closely with Ferdinand Lips, among others to publish and market his latest bestseller (“Gold Wars – The Battle Against Sound Money As Seen From A Swiss Perspective“) in the German-speaking countries. He revised and translated the English version into German (“Die Gold Verschwörung”). In 2004, he went to work at the biggest gold market in the world (Dubai), where he started up two companies that were specialised in re-selling and brokering physical commodities and consulting with publicly-listed mining companies. Moreover, he was co-founder and, until late 2006, partner of the first German silver stockletter and online information platform (Silberinfo.com) besides dealing with coins and bars.
Mr Bogner is an active analyst for several research firms, institutional and private investors and family offices, mainly for the analysis and valuation of capital markets and publicly-listed companies with a focus on geology, exploration, development and production of resource deposits. Since years, he lives in Zurich (Switzerland) and regularly publishes articles in German and English about economic contexts, currencies, commodities and companies active in exploration and mining of natural resources worldwide.
Fincom Investment Partners focuses on mid-stage development and special opportunities in the technology and commodity sectors. Over the past 30 years our President has worked with many of the world's top-tier investors, such as Upfront Ventures, co-founded by Paul Allen and last decade’s #1 performing VC. In addition to developing a proprietary Risk vs. Reward parameter methodology, he has initiated many dozens of successful investments such as a $2 million start-up financing for Petrohawk which became a $15 Billion buyout (BHP 2011). He has been quoted in most the financial press including the WSJ, IBD, Barron’s; and in 1989 hosted “The Venture Capitalist” which aired on (now) CNBC.
I am the Chief of Operations at Wolfram Solutions, the consulting arm of the large privately held software company, Wolfram Research. I manage teams of programmers developing custom applications for business and, government, applying advanced analytic methods to practical challenges. I played a major role in the development of many of the financial features of Mathematica and Wolfram|Alpha. I have been at Wolfram for over 15 years. My academic background is in the social sciences and analytic methods in the social sciences, including finance, economics, statistics, modeling, simulation, and operations research. I studied at the University of Chicago, both undergrad and grad. I am also an individual investor with 30 years experience, mostly using mutual funds and fundamental analysis, plus specific investments in the financial sector. My contributions on Seeking Alpha focus on the financial sector and monetary economics, and what analysis of those areas can tell us about other macro trends. I also discuss portfolio theory, formal methods in finance, modeling and simulation of financial prices and economic time series, government statistical releases, financial regulation, and monetary policy.
Always analysing and crunching numbers, I enjoy focusing on the trade, using a variety of tools to improve a position's profit potential.
I use each tool for a specialized purpose: options in fast moving markets to boost profit potential while limiting risk; leveraged ETFs in slower moving markets to boost profit without the cost erosion of options; relative value trading between two or more stocks to take advantage of price disparities and lock-in value; and leverage through the safe use of margin to boost dividend yield into the high single digits and often the low double digits for that all-important revenue stream.
Winning Strategies is a firm of Charter Accountants. We offer business services including Accounting, Bookkeeping and Business Plans with complete future forecasting at extremely competitive prices.
Winning Strategies also offer analysis on Global Business and Equities. We offer a variety of researched papers from a short blog to a complete researched report. We favor stocks with strong business models and high overall potential as companies. Our strategy is to seek out those companies that are competent at generating solid top and bottom line growth, and with the potential to generate massive cash flows. Once we locate this type of opportunity we recommend holding the stocks for a long-term play, while seeking a constant stream of income from dividends combined with the capital gains these quality stocks offers.
I am Seeking Alpha's CEO and Editor-in-Chief. My love for the stock markets goes back to when I was a kid. Who else remembers combing through the stock quotes at the back of the business section of your local paper?
I joined Seeking Alpha in 2006 and launched Wall Street Breakfast and Market Currents, our top-of-class short-form breaking news for investors. In 2010 I became editor-in-chief and in 2015 I became CEO.
I live in Jerusalem with my wife and a bunch of exceptional kids. Most days, you'll find me making the commute from Jerusalem to Raanana. Occasionally I get to work from my home-office, from where I keep an eye on the beautiful Judean Hills.
To contact me, send me a direct message, or email me at email@example.com.
I'm a physician with an interest in building a portfolio for total return. I subscribe to Ben Graham's value investing ethic, and am most interested in finding long-term investments trading at significant discounts to fair value.
Nicholas Pardini is the managing partner of the equity long/short hedge fund Nomadic Capital Partners. The fund specializes in commodities, emerging market consumer equities, and equities in the the global technology sector. His research and live trade updates are also found on his investment newsletter The Pardini Report (http://pardinireports.com) .
He graduated from UC Santa Barbara with an economics degree in three years. Before launching Nomadic Capital Partners in January of 2011, he worked as a proprietary trader at Wedbush Securities and attended a Masters in Finance program at Villanova. His investment specialty is in top down macro based fundamental analysis of equities and the global economy.
Nicholas has also published portions of Nomadic's research on leading investment commentary website Seeking Alpha. His analysis has been mentioned on prominent media outlets such as USA Today, NHK, CBS News, CNBC.com, and ZeroHedge.
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Stephen Simpson, CFA, is a freelance financial writer and investor.
I have worked for both sell-side and buy-side firms (equities and fixed income), with the largest percentage of my working time spent in med-tech. At this point I am now effectively in a "working retirement".
I write because I find that the process helps me take better notes, be more disciplined about modeling, and come up with a more coherent investment view for my portfolio management needs. If I'm writing about a stock, it's generally because I'm interested in it as an investment prospect or I think there's an interesting story to tell.
I don't share my models, so please don't ask.
More of my writings can be found at my blog Kratisto Investing (kratistoinvesting.blogspot.com), or Twitter (@Kratisto_Invest).
My name is Joe Marwood and I am an independent trader and writer with 6+ years experience trading stocks, bonds, commodities and futures. I trade small cap stocks using a semi automated model. I am also concerned with macroeconomic trends and longer term investing strategies.
I'm not a pro analyst, a pro investor, a hedge fund manager, or even a college graduate. I'm 25, which makes me, understandably, a bit naive and inexperienced in the world of investing - at least from most people's perspectives. In my defense, the stock market isn't what it used to be. Today, it's so future-based - Investors are making high-risk bets on companies like Tesla and Amazon (with some good reason) while forgetting that reputable companies such as McDonalds, Intel, and Starbucks who spend much of their time proving their worth over time.
I don't have much cash as I've spent a lot on school, but I like to invest across the board instead of just tech, and have enjoyed (or hated) owning companies such as Priceline, Limited Brands, American Airlines, Ford, Apple, and AMD among others. I do my own research, follow my gut, and buy or sell. I generally stay away from companies that I know nothing about such as a retail store or restaurant I've never heard of. I think that having personal experience with a product/brand helps me better gauge an investment. (i.e. I bought some Priceline stock literally days after buying my first Priceline vacation package back in 2012 due to its ease of use).
Why do I write articles for Seeking Alpha? Seeking Alpha is an excellent place for opinions and as a slight contrarian I generally have different perspectives from others, but I think that I'm not alone in these thoughts.
Some ideas I've had recently that aren't necessarily mainstream include:
1. Apple's Mac sales will start falling by as soon as next quarter for at least two quarters and may continue to fall consecutively unless MacBook Air and Pro prices or lowered or refreshed with an all new design (expected in mid-2016). Mac sales have been growing continuously (with the exception of the recession and a few single quarters of y/y declines due to refresh cycles)
2. Apple's iPad morphing into a mobile personal computer can can truly replace your laptop in a way different from a Surface. Today, this isn't possible and the iPad becoming a Mac isn't the solution. As the software and hardware for iPad expands, perhaps people with the intentions of doing more than Office and Netflix will come to have plenty of reason to own an iPad. As such, the iPad can slowly become a very big thing. This one is a bit out there, but I once suggested that AMD could create a semi-custom APU (after Zen) for Apple's Macs in order to offer a highly customizable x86 solution that would be many times more affordable than Intel. Apple has depressed the prices of Macs by a lot recently and making them even cheaper could allow the Mac to grow and reach market share levels that we thought would never come. If Intel keeps kicking AMD's ass though, you can scratch this idea off the list though. Next generation consoles arriving much sooner than expected. Specifically 2018, representing a 4-5 year life cycle of the PS4 and Xbox One. I believe that the current consoles are very underpowered - No 4K, no Virtual Reality, and it's slower than a equally priced gaming PC. Because of this, consoles are going to fall behind very quickly and the March arrival of a $600 Oculus could have profound effect on the gaming industry. Waiting another eight years may be too long, and I think that AMD will be the power behind the next generation.