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  • It's not 2015 anymore: Under Armour, Netflix, Tesla continue to slide  [View news story]
    Vicious circle commences for TSLA - needs capital - price falls - needs more capital - dilution will be immense!

    The lower the stock price the more expensive the offering becomes for existing shareholders but as they say "how much would you pay for a glass of water when you are dying of thirst in the desert?".
    Jan 14, 2016. 10:33 AM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Best Ways To Invest -- What's Your Opinion? A Place To Share Ideas! #91  [View instapost]
    Tack,

    The idea I was trying to convey is that the algos don't care about "fundamentals and economic indicators" because they trade on directional momentum. Meaning they are only focused on the broad market direction and when that direction points downward definitively look out!

    The converse is true if the momo is upward and the fundamentals and economic indicators are good the "buy the dip" is the best way to go because the algos will support it.

    So if fundamentals and economic indicators are turning negative (I believe that - the selloff in railroad and airlines today was astonishing outside of a recession especially with energy prices so low!) and the directional momo points lower you will have algos and humans pointing in the same direction which we have not had for a very long time. Algos are emotionless and look for profit regardless of anything so down is the same as up.

    Humans on the other hand can be prone to panic!
    Jan 13, 2016. 11:32 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Best Ways To Invest -- What's Your Opinion? A Place To Share Ideas! #91  [View instapost]
    FG,

    I am trying to remember the retracement level in the S&P that was going to be your warning event.

    Do I recall it being 12%?

    Something like 1880 or 1820?

    If the selloff continues and hits that level what would you advise?

    I was surprised by the reversal today, seems to me that the market trend has definitely turned momentum in the downward direction regardless of fundamentals and economic indicators. The algos and momentum trading strategies could make this very ugly, very fast.

    The action in the Transports today was astonishing! Record low fuel prices and the airlines & railroads sell off like the world is ending. WTF?
    Jan 13, 2016. 05:01 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Market jitters wallop transportation stocks  [View news story]
    Whoa! With record low fuel costs you would think this would be jet fuel to the sector. Something is clearly not right with the picture!
    Jan 13, 2016. 04:49 PM | 13 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Stocks resume slide; consumer discretionary has worst day since August  [View news story]
    Nowhere to hide right now except high quality bonds and treasuries. mREITs taking a beating as well.
    Jan 13, 2016. 04:48 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • GoPro down 22% after resuming trading  [View news story]
    Geez what a thrashing this stock has taken.

    Attention: "Beatings Will Continue Until Morale Improves"
    Jan 13, 2016. 04:46 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Best Ways To Invest -- What's Your Opinion? A Place To Share Ideas! #91  [View instapost]
    FG,

    Thanks for the link. The webinar is today at 4:15 EST.

    Been long DBLTX for a while - it's been a good run but I always get nervous when a fund gets large.
    Jan 12, 2016. 04:15 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Rough session for mortgage REITs as yield curve flattens out  [View news story]
    Interesting - flattening of the yield curve is NOT a sign of economic strength.

    I am long NLY and on a total return basis still ahead of the game. It's weird rising interest rates are supposed to be bad and now flattening rates is also bad so what the hell is the real story?
    Jan 12, 2016. 03:37 PM | 10 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla: The Empty Threat Of The Chevy Bolt  [View article]
    AntiBodian,

    RE: "GM actually has experience in making profitable vehicles something Tesla has not shown."

    "Just not profitable EVs."

    I wonder if you realize how funny this statement is!
    Jan 12, 2016. 03:20 PM | 9 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Best Ways To Invest -- What's Your Opinion? A Place To Share Ideas! #90  [View instapost]
    Tack,

    What looks good in the Muni fund area?

    Would love to create some new positions in this space.
    Jan 11, 2016. 04:57 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Nevada Rolls Snake Eyes In The Tesla Gigafactory Casino  [View article]
    Model X = X Wing Fighter?

    Took down the Deathstar might take down the Muskstar.
    Jan 11, 2016. 04:36 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Stocks: Worst Week Ever, Better Days Ahead  [View article]
    I watch 2 names in particular with regards to transports JOY & CAT.

    They both had huge bounces off their recent lows (JOY in particular) but now CAT (recent high of nearly $120) is down from near $75 to $61 and JOY incredibly has $9 handle!

    These are two names I want to own at some point. JOY was once at $100 and is down about 80% from its 52 week high of $45!

    Sometimes things that are cheap can get a lot cheaper, really fast. CAT looks like it still has a long way to fall based upon current trends.

    These companies were at one time considered "economic bellwethers" and if that's true than the world economy is headed for real trouble.
    Jan 11, 2016. 04:09 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla Motors lower after Chevy Bolt stars in Detroit  [View news story]
    danny,

    "comparing a Bolt to a Tesla (even a model 3), is like comparing a Chevy Cruze to a BMW 3 series."

    That would make sense if there were actually a Model 3 to compare it with.

    One's real and one is still to be revealed! (probably by an Elon tweet!)

    FYI, the stock's recent price action suggests that all the CES news is impacting the valuation of TSLA's future prospects. TSLA once had the sandbox all to itself and now it has to share and the sandbox is still more or less the same size especially with low gas prices.
    Jan 11, 2016. 01:39 PM | 17 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Footprint Of A Tesla Killer  [View article]
    Recent price action suggests that the news from CES has not been good for TSLA proving that it is always better to be a monopolist than one company in a highly competitive industry.
    Jan 11, 2016. 12:57 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Best Ways To Invest -- What's Your Opinion? A Place To Share Ideas! #91  [View instapost]
    LMH,

    I am not sure his info is any more valuable than any other financial expert but he is supposedly a technical analyst with a good track record.

    He appears on Financial Sense fairly regularly and he derives his opinions from his charts.

    http://bit.ly/1UJuvot

    He generally tends to be very bullish so in some ways I found this article notable for that reason.

    On 09/09/15 he said (which looking back seems about as close to predicting the future as you can get, could have just been lucky!):
    http://bit.ly/1UJuvov

    Ralph Acampora: Market to See "Very Spirited Rally" Before Another Selloff

    Prior to the Dow’s recent 1,000-point loss, Acampora thought the market was going to see at least a 15 to 20 percent correction, he noted.

    “I would say, right now, looking at the current market, we made a near-term low,” Acampora said. “In fact, this market should have a very spirited rally.”

    When it comes to the S&P 500, Acampora said we might see 2,040 to 2,060 on the upside. Then, following the rally, Acampora expects a retest of the lows.

    “There’s going to be some kind of a selloff,” he said. “And it fits in with the seasonality of the markets’ September-October period. Now the question is, do we make a new low (during this coming selloff)?”

    Ultimately, Acampora, a secular bull, doesn’t see another bear market forming."
    Jan 11, 2016. 12:16 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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