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Miro Kefurt

Miro Kefurt
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  • Tesla Lowers Ambitions [View article]
    Absolutely agree with pdb100, just blank out the TESLA and replace that with any XYZ OEM and publish the same data and the XYZ stock would be worthless !!!
    Nov 20, 2014. 02:15 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Actual Tesla Sales Data Shows Ward's Auto Estimates Unreliable [View article]
    So what is your Cost per Mile ?

    That is:
    1.) Depreciation
    2.) Fuel
    3.) Maintenance
    4.) Insurance
    5.) Registration

    TOTAL above and divide by the miles you drive annually.

    Most vehicles are 45 to 65 cents, (That is why IRS lets you take fixed mileage deduction currently = 56 cents per mile ) Model S about $1.40 or more, so does that really matter that you save on fuel if you pay $1.00 extra for every mile you will ever drive ???
    Oct 30, 2014. 01:02 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Who Is Telling The Truth? Elon Musk Or Wards Auto? [View article]
    IF Tesla was upfront and did not have anything to hide, they would publish all their sales data on their website within 3 days of the Month end, Quarter end and annually.

    But obviously they are afraid to do that !!!
    Oct 30, 2014. 12:36 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Daimler Closes Tesla Hedge, Dumps Shares, Grabs Cash, Runs [View article]
    Tesla does not make Electric motors they are made for Tesla by another company in Taiwan, Daimler can buy those direct but since 2009 there are far more less expensive and more advanced motors as well as control electronics available, so Daimler does not need Tesla for their future EVs.
    Oct 23, 2014. 07:48 PM | 7 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla Motors, Hype Or Revolution? [View article]
    Anyone who is making predictions for the future of EV's should polish their crystal ball and LOOK BACK at predictions made in 2009, 1999, 1986, 1977.....and 1909 !!!
    Oct 20, 2014. 02:36 PM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla: Why This One Thing Is The Biggest Game Changer Yet [View article]
    Never mind a battery swap, lets make every Model S charcoal silver gray and just swat the entire vehicle that takes less than 30 seconds !!!
    And nobody will ever know that you have someone else s car...........
    And you will not have to worry about tire wear either
    Oct 17, 2014. 01:42 PM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla's PR Advantage: Tons Of Attention For Nothing Important [View article]
    Just imagine the PR storm if Tesla ever introduces a Spare Tire !!!
    Oct 8, 2014. 03:26 AM | 8 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla Motors - The Legend Of Icarus [View article]
    Lease is based on perceived value AFTER the lease is over and not on MSRP.
    TESLA Lease not available in Nevada at the time I was interested so that is the real quote from US Bank which is listed as "partner" on Tesla website.
    BMW is direct lease for 36 months and 15 cents per extra miles, TESLA buy back also does not apply in Nevada or for second party leases, but if it did the over mileage fee is 25 cents per mile.
    I drive a lot so cost per mile matters the most in my case it is about 43.5 cents car and fuel, and I can deduct 56 cents per mile for business miles driven as per IRS 2014 Standard rates.

    The cost of TESLA to me would be $0.7425 so clearly MORE EXPENSIVE and my time in LA to LV trip would be 40 to 60 minutes LONGER every time due to need to recharge at Barstow.

    I.e. that is like driving at 55 MPH, and at that speed if I cared to go that slow I get 33 MPG even in my 2011 Crown Vic - which only costs 25 cents per mile car and fuel. $282 per month in payments to be exact !!!

    And believe me I get far more respect in the "undercover car" than in the beamer even at casino valet parking !!!

    The Crown Vic also has far better cruise control and A/C that is superior especially if you have back seat passengers, so now I understand why they are preferred TAXI and Cop Cars.
    Sep 24, 2014. 05:08 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla Motors - The Legend Of Icarus [View article]
    BMW 7 lease $899 per month
    Model S $1,625 per month

    $523 per month on fuel

    I still save $203 per month and insurance is $678 per year lower for the BMW, plus I will have another new car to drive in 28 months with ZERO worry about the resale value or "promised buy back".

    So saving any money with Model S is really an illusion, and do you get FREE tires, and wiper blades when you need them on the Model S ????
    Sep 23, 2014. 04:15 PM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla Motors - The Legend Of Icarus [View article]
    What is your HOA does not let you put J1772 into your garage as it may overload the local transformer ?
    Sep 23, 2014. 04:06 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla Motors - The Legend Of Icarus [View article]
    Just so that Teslaites on AS do not say that everything I post is "negative" here is one for you:

    In price comparable $80,000 to $120,000 range for SEDANS in USA here are the
    Sales YTD to August 2014

    MODEL
    SALES
    SHARE
    Tesla Model S
    16,830
    36.1%
    M-B S Class
    15,006
    32.2%
    BMW 7-Series
    5,784
    12.4%
    Lexus LS
    5,336
    11.5%
    Audi A8/S8
    3,573
    7.7%
    TOTAL
    46,529
    100%

    PS: The New vehicle sales in US in 2014 will be like 16.5 million, but only about 8 million of them will be "cars" the rest are Trucks (mostly Pick-ups and SUVs)
    Sep 23, 2014. 03:56 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla Motors - The Legend Of Icarus [View article]
    Average New Car buyer 82% of them to be exact, have 3 to 5 year old vehicle to trade-in, as long as TESLA does not have real dealers to take care of the customer the way they are used to, i.e. walk to a place and see selection of cars and then make "deal", then there is no chance they will have any impact on mass market especially with "average" priced car.

    Majority of non-rich, and average people in cities have no convenient access to high current charging, so the customer base will be further limited ONLY to house owners with uncluttered garages (a rare find for sure).

    I know lot of people with houses in California and Nevada and from all of them I know only 4 that park their cars "inside" overnight - the rest have garages for "stuff" and they are not likely to give all that stuff away just so they can park and plug in.

    Running 100 ft high current hing voltage extensions is probably one solution but no one makes those yet for J1772.

    There is good reason why EVs are less than 1% of Global vehicle market, and that is not likely to change much in near future.

    Even today TESLA is not selling Model S in all States.

    http://bit.ly/1owoLip

    And setting up battles with dealers and regulators State by State, if Musk was smart he would offer $100 million to Auto Nation and beg them to sell Tesla at every outlet they have. Big dealer group like that can use the TESLA as non profit decoration for showroom to get extra traffic from curious people and then sell them ICE at profit.

    Stand alone TESLA store by automotive dealer norm can never be profitable and would not stay in business very long if privately owned.

    This would not stop TESLA to have their own "service centers" to take care of the Warranty issues that would be nightmare for any big dealer group.
    Sep 23, 2014. 02:20 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla: Compelling Markets [View article]
    On a day that (TSLA) drops $10, we need more articles like this one to convince long term investors that they will not have their $278 per share stock drop to a realistic levels.
    In automotive history no one has ever been able to correctly predict demand for any Make or Model, EVER !!!
    They were always predicted to be MORE than real world sales with few rare and notable exceptions, where the predictions were LESS than the real demand.
    Today the only company that is able to match demand with production is SUBARU. Which is the only company in the World that was "right" about the US market demand for their models for last 18 months, but that is 18 months out of 45 years in USA history - and only the FIRST time they were "correct", how long this lucky streak will last ??
    Chrysler-Fiat grossly over-estimated the demand for all versions of the FIAT 500, so now they are stuck with almost one year supply on dealer lots.
    I doubt that TESLA will be ever able to match production to real demand, since they have nothing to gauge the demand by except how many pre-orders they have still on the waiting list. But once the waiting list is satisfied, what then ???

    Will the production STOP, or will they flood their "galleries" with dozens of cars each ???
    Sep 22, 2014. 03:49 PM | 7 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla: Elon Musk Unveils Secret 2015 Margin Target [View article]
    In Auto Industry margin is just something for the bean Counters to count, so they have something to count and not interfere with the car business.

    What matters is how much $$$ you make on each vehicle you produce OVER the "useful life" of that vehicle !

    If you make $$$ but just one recall costs you $$$$ then it makes not difference what you margin or annual profit is, when EVERY VEHICLE YOU EVER MADE costs you more in the long run than the $$$ you received for it.

    With most vehicles on road for 11 years on the average and the required 8 years or 100,000 miles ZEV Warranty, what will determine if TESLA will survive long term is how they will handle all those powertrain and battery warranty replacements - that are FREE to the vehicle owner, but obviously a HUGE cost to TESLA.....
    Sep 18, 2014. 06:45 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Update: Tallying Up Model S Sales Up To August And Its Implications [View article]
    There is NO legal requirement to assign sequential numbers or even numbers in any specific order in VIN sequence, that is up to the vehicle OEM.

    So if you want to skip let's say 20 + numbers, that is perfectly OK as per US regulations.

    The only time you have to disclose EVERY VIN ever issued is during a recall ordered by NHTSA, to verify that all recalled vehicles have been serviced.

    You can give that information to NHTSA as a "range" if no numbers were "skipped" or as a list of actual VINs that were issued.

    SO just because someone reports cars with VIN 20 numbers higher than one previously reported by someone else on some obscure website, does not mean there were 19 other cars made or delivered.
    Sep 17, 2014. 07:20 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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