Will Amazon Grow Up to Be Wal-Mart? [View article]
2contango, Amazon's main competitive advantage isn't sales tax. The company has spent $billions since 1995 to develope the franchise.
Amazon has grown the electronics and general merchandise category >30% per year and it will be interesting to see how this does in the next few years. The breakout depends on this. Kindle/Kindle Store are small revenue contributors but the gross profit opportunity might be seriously better if the e-reader holds on to some of the first-ish mover advange.
The company seems to have a better industry positioned global footprint and might be staging a chart reversal. 3 brokerage houses have made favorable comments in the past week.... Goldman, Sanford, Wedbush. Also this coming Tuesday cousins Darden, Nike, and Walgreens report quarterly earnings giving some needed color to strength and weakness of this consumer category.
MCD last peak was on June 3, 2009.. since then it has downtrended for 71 days to last weeks monday low point of $53.88. Yesterday gs raised estimates and reiterated $65 goal. The shares need a catalyst to reverse the downtrend.
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this makes so much sense. TSO seems overdue to have some upticks, its just a matter of when. There is hardly a bounce off the march lows. i wonder what effect an oil price pullback would have on TSO's crack spread.
Jeff, without expansion the Free Cash flow is $600 million a year, or $4 a share, the FCF yield is around 20%. the company doesnt capitalize new stores but expenses them. PE metric might be wrong measure to use for bulls. IF FCF is correct shares might be worth way more then $15 to $20. SHort interest has upticked from March to May, at 22 million shares or 16%. iF they are shorting because of seemingly rich 30x 75 cent eps estimate for 2009 that might be wrong. Shorts will need to rethink stradegy.
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Will Amazon Grow Up to Be Wal-Mart? [View article]
spent $billions since 1995 to develope the franchise.
Amazon has grown the electronics and general merchandise category >30% per year and it will
be interesting to see how this does in the next few years. The breakout depends on this. Kindle/Kindle Store are small revenue contributors but the gross profit opportunity might be seriously better if the e-reader holds on to some of the first-ish mover advange.
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