borisb

5 Small Cap Stocks for 2009

Great article Chris. Chipotle might have good longer term potential as a consumer staple. One point in their favor is most of the entrees comprise of consistantly high quality ingredients yet are close to $6.00 each. Also it doesnt hurt the new long side that the shares have been bashed so much since late 2007.

Chipotle Mexican Grill: Too Hot To Handle?

the company raises price in about 25% of markets annually within a rotating 4 year plan. they raise the price about once every four years per market. But with commodities rising so much within the 4 year parameter this plan doesnt keep up. The short interest on the A shares is posted as 35%, but the short interest in the B shares is tiny. on friday B shares were at an amazing 20% discount. On Friday Chipotle's is taking more steps to change sluggish results advertising.

Chipotle Mexican Grill: Sometimes I Can't Win for Losing

The B shares have fallen to about $60 and if the growth story still works somewhat, i have to be more bullish then bearish at $60.

Chipotle Collapses Post-Earnings; Now a Bargain for Long Term Investors

the B shares have crashed 54%.

Chipotle's Long Term Outlook Looks Better Than Ever

beware of the dangerous degreed grizzlies. Mr. K your assuring cash flow figure has been clawed away by Wachovia. Ultimately we know this incredible company will have a marvelous $2 Billion in well managed annual sales and today prices we are pre-paying at 1.5x sales.

Chipotle: Strong Quarter, but Stock Is Down

valuation metrics are a hot topic. what do you have to say about the 12 month trailing and 2008 (estimated) annualized price to sales ratio of the discounted B shares?

Chipotle's Long Term Outlook Looks Better Than Ever

the shorts criticise the valuation via the PE as too expensive. so is the growth rate 25% or closer to 40%.
one point is the cash flow grew 55% over last years first quarter. is that a relevant growth yardstick? also with the trailing pe ratio of the B shares only 40x, the PEG might be just 1.0x, which my sources say might be attractive for this type of high caliber growth company.

Chipotle's Long Term Outlook Looks Better Than Ever

i agree the trailing PE ratio of the B shares 40x $2.27 is quite an interesting discount from the high point near 75x-80x just a few months ago. I would be happy if trailing eps improves to near $2.50 & $3.00 soon. Also Jack Harding, CMG CFO, quote potential of 4,000 units on occassion during 2007.

Chipotle Mexican Grill: 4Q Expectations

well written!

Chipotle Mexican Grill: Does the Growth Justify the Price?

Chipotle's was slammed by what seems to be a bogus downgrade by Raymond James. the B shares traded down to $83, a dip of $47 or 36% from $130 high point.. even more impressive is this is down by $72 or 46% from A shares high point of $155 even thought eps is identical. would that be buying a world class company for almost half price? Raymond James upgraded faulty Mortons of Chicago in the same report rasing doubts of accuracy further. Chipotle did an investor presentation on 1-15-2008 when they affirmed previously guided sales and cost trends, suggesting they were on course but also tried to manage expectations. With terrific premium quality entrees without all the drama priced around $6 Bucks it would seem the sky is the limit for CMG.

Chipotle Mexican Grill: Does the Growth Justify the Price?

Zach your right. the issue seems to be what will the low point be. at this time it seems that the B shares are already $26+ less then the A shares. if the B shares go any lower its looking extreme. maybe some extra price weakness before or after the 2/14/08 earnings would sweeten the low point for new longs.

Selling Some Chipotle on Extreme, Obscene Strength

CMG continues to hang in there with a firm chart pattern. one explaination is that the 2008 earnings growing faster then sales will be $3.60+ or towards $4.00-ish. this plus the croud persepective being bullish might allow for a PEG of 1.5 , or a PE ratio of 50x... thus the shares would still have room to move towards $200.

Selling Some Chipotle on Extreme, Obscene Strength

i agree with your caution. the story thats driving the chart began a few quarters ago, the stock was basing in the 50s/60s and balloned to nearly 150. that might be all the "good but getting old story" is worth in the near term.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Results Blow Away Wall Street's Expectations

amazing 4 day $24 bounce. the whole enchilada!

A Preview of Chipotle's 2Q Earnings

nice 3 day $21 wonder bounce!