I chose the screen name "Malkiel" as a sideways tribute to Burton Malkiel's beloved "Random Walk Down Wall Street". The book had been out forever and I found to my embarassment a couple of years ago that Mr. Malkiel was not only still alive and well, but young and chipper. I offered him some apologies for appropriating his name while commenting on an article of his which appeared in SA a couple of years ago (no response, so we are perhaps forgiven). This year I found to my surprise that I now have more "followers" than people I'm "following" (a scary moment which makes one start looking over the shoulder to see who's watching) and I didn't want any of them to do so thinking they might be reading the actual web musings of the esteemed Burton Malkiel. It is, alas, just a pretender...
Peter Way Associates is the only known provider of the price range forecasts of widely-held, actively traded stocks derived from the hedging activities of market-making [MM] firms as they balance big-$-fund sellers and buyers in large block trades. The price ranges offer explicit downside exposure forecasts not commonly found in publicly published investment analyses.
This is all forward-looking data, based on what the MMs will pay for protection against coming unwanted price change while temporarily committed firm capital is exposed to market risks. It is available by modest subscription cost at blockdesk.com.
The behavioral analysis involved has been performed daily since Y2K, now on over 3,000 stocks, ETFs, and market indexes. That has built an actuarial history of how market prices have subsequently behaved following several million price range forecasts, issue by issue.
That data provides a qualitative backdrop to current forecasts in terms of odds of profitable positions, size of prospective gains, credibility of forecasts, and worst-case price drawdown exposure experiences.
Peter F. Way is a veteran Chartered Financial Analyst, having taken and passed the CFA Institute’s required 3 examinations in the first years they were given, 40+ years ago.
Armed with BS in Economics from the Wharton School and an MBA degree from Harvard Business School, he has managed staffs of dozens of Investment Researchers and Quantitative Analysts for the nation’s largest bank, arbitraged index options for NYSE Specialists, and managed portfolios of hundred-million-dollar equity investments for Fortune 100 corporate pension funds and non-profit endowments.
He has been elected President of professional Investment Analyst Societies in San Diego and New York City and has served on the editorial boards of the Financial Analysts Journal and the CFA Digest. He has spoken at numerous schools and professional meetings.
I Know First is a financial services firm that utilizes an advanced self-learning algorithm to analyze, model and predict the stock market. Co-Founder Dr. Lipa Roitman, a scientist, with over 20 years of experience created the market prediction system. The algorithm is based on artificial intelligence, machine learning and incorporates elements of artificial neural networks as well as genetic algorithms to model and predict the flow of money between 3,000 markets from 3-days to a year: stocks, ETF's, world indices, gold, currencies, interest rates, and commodities. The algorithm outputs a predicted trend as a number, which in turn, is used by traders to identify when to enter and exit the market. While forecasts can be used for intra-day trading, the predictability tends to become stronger over longer time-horizons such as the 1-month, 3-month and 1-year forecasts. Visit us at iknowfirst.com
Joseph has been an analyst, investor, and student of economic theory; money and banking; and statistical methods for evaluating and implementing risk/reward trading algorithms since 1972. Joseph is also an occasional contributor to financial publications and his essays are frequently cited by other financial websites and publications.
Since the end of the Great Recession, Joseph came to recognize that traditional methodologies for forecasting economic growth and investment asset pricing are no longer of value, and a broader understanding of the post Glass Steagall, financially engineered world that has driven markets and economies since the turn of the century is required today.
He has a good grasp of Shadow Banking, High Frequency Trading, and Dark Pools, and their impact on today’s markets. He has also spent considerable time understanding the new global paradigm of central bank involvement in experimental policy designed to better control economies.
Joseph doesn’t subscribe to a specific school of theory on economics. Rather, his thinking is based on a combination of the Classical School, the Austrian School, and the Keynesian School. He even sees the writings of Karl Marx as particularly instructive.
Joseph is particularly fond of the following quote from Albert Einstein and sees his own work as driven by that same passionate curiosity that Einstein refers to:
“I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious.”
Coming in a close second in terms of favorite quotes that express his views, Joseph embraces Lord Acton’s views expressed here:
“The danger is not that a particular class is unfit to govern.
Every class is unfit to govern."
Invest. Manage risk. Communicate. Educate yourself. Make profits. .
My name is Todd Johnson. I’m a family man, sports fiend, health nut, technology buff, long-time stock investor, and a very lucky mountain climber, all of which has shaped my philosophy as a professional investor for the last 30 years. As my interests might suggest, I am always looking for the upside while striving to minimize risks.
My new passion, which I have realized through DividendLab.com project, is helping other investors learn more about investing; investing in stocks and other assets that are subject to wide price swings can actually enhance their returns when the right investment strategy is applied. To that end, I read company 10k and 10q statements so they can skip them. I compile and analyze the market research that isn’t always at their fingertips. And I don’t make any investment recommendation without committing my own funds first, which is the purest form of accountability.
Eric Parnell, CFA, is the Founder and Director of Gerring Capital Partners. Gerring Capital is a registered investment advisory firm seeking attractive returns opportunities emphasizing value, quality and risk control. Eric also publishes The Universal premium service on Seeking Alpha targeting winning strategies in bear and bull markets across the asset class universe. Gerring Capital implements these strategies for its investors and then Eric discusses them on The Universal. Eric is also a Visiting Instructor at Ursinus College in the Department of Business and Economics. Prior to founding Gerring in 2005, Eric was the Director of Investment Communications at SEI Investments and an Economist at Moody’s Analytics.
I started in the industry in 1980 as a stock broker in Denver Colorado. In 1990 I started an investment advisory firm. In 1994 I founded CyberFund LLC which invested in public and private technology companies. I retired from the money management industry in 2003.
Since 1988 I have designed a variety of market analytical tools that I continue to use personally and now offer on a subscription basis. The Delineator is a trend model that operates on multiple time frames; the Accumulators are advanced tape reading monitors that can identify algo and dark pool trades.
I write the Delineator Journal during the day to provide my insights into how to use my software to users and those interested in learning.
James A. Kostohryz has accumulated over twenty years of experience investing and trading virtually every asset class across the globe.
Kostohryz started his investment career as an analyst at one of the US's largest asset management firms covering sectors as diverse as emerging markets, banking, energy, construction, real estate, metals and mining. Later, Kostohryz became Chief Global Strategist and Head of International Investments for a major investment bank. Kostohryz currently manages his own investment firm, specializing in proprietary trading and institutional portfolio management advisory.
Born in Mexico, Kostohryz grew up between south Texas and Colombia, has lived and worked in nine different countries, and has traveled extensively in more than 50 others. Kostohryz actively pursues various intellectual interests and is currently writing a book about the impact of culture on economic development. He is a former NCAA and world-class decathlete and has stayed active in a variety of sports.
Kostohryz graduated with honors from both Stanford University and Harvard Law School.
You can receive custom delivery of all of Mr. Kostohryz's published work on Seeking Alpha, The Street, and other media, as well as exclusive material, by following the link below. It is absolutely free:
You may connect with Mr. Kostohryz via the following social networks:
When connecting, be sure to identify yourself as a Seeking Alpha reader.
Bill Gunderson @billgunderson is the CEO and Chief Market Strategist of Gunderson Capital Managment in San Diego, CA.
He is also a professional money manager, former research analyst, author of Best Stocks Now, and developer of the Best Stocks Now smartphone app.
He offers four free weeks to his weekly Best Stocks Now to Seeking Alpha readers at gundersoncapital.com
He also hosts a daily stock market radio show that is syndicated nationwide on the Salem Broadcast Network.
Bill has appeared on the Fox Business Channel and on Bloomberg Radio numerous times .His articles have been published in Barron's, Forbes, TheStreet.com and numerous other publications.
He can be reached at email@example.com or by calling (855)611-BEST.
Philstockworld.com is the fastest growing stock and option newsletter on the Web. "High Finance for Real People - Fun and Profits" is our motto and our Basic and Premium Chat Sessions offer readers a chance to speak to Phil live during the trading day as well as authors like Optrader, Sabrient, Income Trader and Trend Trader - who send out Alerts during the market sessions and discuss trade ideas live with Members.
We even have a new low-cost "Trend Watcher" Membership that lets readers view our chat sessions without directly participating a great solution for people who want to test-drive the site and profit from our experience! Trend Watchers get to view all of our Chat Archives, weekly Webinars - as well as the amazing PSW Wiki, which gives you Phil's recent opinions and trade ideas as well as technical and fundamental analysis of hundreds of stocks that we follow.
Philip R. Davis is a founder of Phil's Stock World (www.philstockworld.com), a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders. Mr. Davis is a serial entrepreneur, having founded software company Accu-Title, a real estate title insurance software solution, and is also the President of the Delphi Consulting Corp., an M&A consulting firm that helps large and small companies obtain funding and close deals. He was also the founder of Accu-Search, a property data corporation that was sold to DataTrace in 2004 and Personality Plus, a precursor to eHarmony.com. Phil was a former editor of a UMass/Amherst humor magazine and it shows in his writing -- which is filled with colorful commentary along with very specific ideas on stock option purchases (Phil rarely holds actual stocks).
Visit: Phil's Stock World (www.philstockworld.com)
Over the last few years I have worked diligently towards refining several of my favorite and most successful stock options strategies. My hard work and diligence have proven to be a success and now I want to share my ideas and strategies with a limited group of like-minded investors. My options strategies are not “get rich quick” strategies, rather sound options strategies based on three basic ideas - patience, position-sizing, and long-term performance.
After speaking with hundreds of investors, I discovered that the majority of investors were not looking for a ‘get rich quick’ scheme, or a foolproof method of trading options (we all know there isn’t one). What they wanted was a service with established capital preservation goals and historically proven long-term successful investment strategies. They wanted options strategies that would produce consistent, modest gains month after month, year after year. They also wanted to know that unnecessary risks were not being taken, but rather a methodical, tested set of rules were being utilized which would produce long-term gains.
My Options Portfolio was born from the collection of ideas mentioned above. After trading and back-testing almost every known options trading strategy, I fulfilled the requests of the investors and traders I spoke with and have identified several historically proven stock options strategies for long-term success in bull and bear markets. Again, all of my options trading strategies are based on three simple principles: patience, position-sizing, and a focus on long-term performance.
I encourage you to learn more about my stock options strategies by joining my FREE weekly options newsletter. Furthermore, every day in my daily blog I will provide an in-depth look at my trading strategies, including specific trading guidelines as well as the research and back-testing data that went into developing the rules. You will also receive valuable educational tools as well as trading tools regarding the tax-advantages of trading my strategies. Diversify your portfolio, better yet, educate yourself with one of my alternative investment strategies.
Andrew Crowder has been investing in stocks and options for over 15 years. A graduate of the University of Oregon and Northern Arizona University, Andrew’s work experience includes working for the medical division of W.L. Gore and Associates in Flagstaff, AZ, Oppenheimer & Co. in New York City and more recently working as a professional options trader, research analyst and financial columnist for a prominent stock options newsletter and advisory service.
Investing is never ‘no sweat’ but how about some 'low sweat' investing? That’s what I call my personal investing approach, which I think can work well for people living on their portfolios (or planning to).
My approach is simple: a diversified portfolio of stocks with dividends that rise to offset inflation, high quality fixed income investments, as well as a few higher yielding diversifiers like REITs and other alternative asset classes. I've been investing this way since the bear market of 2000-2002 and it has served me well in good markets and bad.
I’m an everyday investor living in a California beach town. Before deciding to support myself solely through investing (which is making money) and writing (which is making no money) I worked for a large advertising agency.
I’ve researched and written a number of articles and other posts on Seeking Alpha, mostly about dividend-growth stocks, but also on ETFs, the stock market and the economy. I also reviewed three books, including a couple of offbeat ones for financial adventure lovers.
The articles (and many of the Instablog posts) include references and links to the important numbers, news, studies, analysts' views, and strategists' outlooks I uncovered in researching the stories. That way, readers who want to know more can check it all out, or just dig deeper into an item or two that interests them most.
Assaf Nathan is a co-manager in Eden-Alpha fund, a hedge fund based in Israel and operates in various world markets. Assaf strives to find cheap companies with excellent managements, but also analyzes workouts and companies that are in financial distress.
Brandon Matthews (pseudonym) is the founder of SatwavesPro.com, which was borne of his desire to help retail investors after witnessing the continually changing ways that Wall Street can cheat them. Brandon has worked for Monroe Parker Investment Bankers, Morgan Stanley Dean Witter, American Express Financial Advisors, David Lerner Associates and a private equity firm as a stock and bond broker.
Brandon held Series 7, 63, 65, 31, Life, Health, Variable Annuity and Variable Life Securities and Insurance Licenses and was a registered investment advisor in New York, New Jersey, Florida and Connecticut.
Brandon combines an expertise in point & figure technical analysis with basic fundamental research to provide actionable recommendations.
Brandon is a Gold Level Contributor to Seeking Alpha and a top ranked author, had a significant role as an expert in the documentary Stock Shock, and is working on his first book.
Edward Harrison is the founder of the blog Credit Writedowns (www.creditwritedowns.com) and is a finance specialist at Global Macro Advisors. Previously, Edward was a strategy and finance executive at Deutsche Bank, Bain, and Yahoo. He started his career as a diplomat and speaks German, Dutch, Swedish, Spanish and French. Edward holds an MBA from Columbia University and a BA in Economics from Dartmouth College. Follow him on Twitter at twitter.com/edwardnh. Contact him at edh at creditwritedowns dot com as that's the only mailbox he reads regularly.
Matt McAbby is an analyst at Oxbury Research (http://www.oxburyresearch.com/). After graduating from Harvard University in 1989, Matt worked as a Financial Advisor at Wood Gundy Private Client Investments (now CIBC World Markets). After several successful years, he moved over to the analysis side of the business and has written extensively for some of corporate Canada's largest financial institutions. Matt's successful approach to investing combines brute strength, unconventional instruments and creative strategy in all market environments. His knack for exposing weakness and exploiting market opportunity is proven in both bull and bear markets and his martial approach to investing is unique in the world of professional market advisories. Matt's proprietary measure of investor sentiment, the SENTIMETER, marks intermediate trend turning points in the major market averages and proves effective in identifying tremendously lucrative option-selling opportunities. Matt is an expert chartist and the former editor of IntermediateTrend. Now he brings his unmatched knowledge and market insights to you from Oxbury Research's Residual Income Report (http://www.oxburyresearch.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=blogcategory&id=9&Itemid=38) and Chart of the Week (http://www.oxburyresearch.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=blogcategory&id=16&Itemid=4).
The author of Stockerblog worked for over 20 years in the financial services industry as a stockbroker, investment advisor, Vice President of a San Francisco money management firm, mutual fund wholesaler, and market maker on the Pacific Stock Exchange. He has written numerous articles for the Bond and Share Society Journal, Friends of Financial History Magazine, TheStreet.com and many other investment publications. He has also appeared on CNBC and Fox Business News, and is founder of WallStreetNewsNetwork.com.
Visit Stockerblog (http://stockerblog.com/) and WallStreetNewsNetwork.com (http://WallStreetNewsNetwork.com)