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    <title>The Sage of Bay Street's Comments</title>
    <description>The Sage of Bay Street's Comments RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com</description>
    <link>http://seekingalpha.com/user/329235/comments</link>
    <item>
      <title>Google: With Or Without The 'X-Phone' Has A More Sustainable Business Model Than Apple</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1080041/comments?source=feed#comment-13612791</link>
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        <![CDATA[Apple is down 25% from it's the high and struggling.  Google is down $4. At the present time the market has spoken loudly and clearly.  Thanks for the analysis guys, but cash is king!!!!!!!]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 11 Jan 2013 19:11:09 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Apple is down 25% from it's the high and struggling.  Google is down $4. At the present time the market has spoken loudly and clearly.  Thanks for the analysis guys, but cash is king!!!!!!!]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Lululemon Is An Investment In A Clear And Forward Looking Strategy</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1087931/comments?source=feed#comment-13610141</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">13610141</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Hmm.  you don't understand Lululemon if you're male.  &quot;You truly don't understand if you're not the gender that predominantly buys and wears this gear.&quot; Great investment thesis SilverSky.  They should write that one up at the Harvard Business School.  Now women are the only ones that can analyze companies like Lululemon.  Those kinds of comments make me extremely suspicious of the  soundness of an investment.  If you would like to speculate on a stock, then let's call it that.  Not every company is the next Microsoft or Apple, and even that comes to an end.  I guess men can make the call on those two since women by their own admission are luddites.<br/><br/>If you would take the time to get away from the grandstanding and female chauvinism, have a look at Lululemon's management or perhaps more accurately the lack thereof.  There are only one or two people in the executive ranks that has any depth of management experience. The big gun on the Board that has any significant somewhat related retailing experience is, you guessed it, a man. The fact of the matter is that for a business to maintain itself at these kinds of growth rates it does not need number crunchers, but a review of the capabilities and experience of the people running the company.  The experience base in running this company resides to a significant extent in the Board.  The entrepreneurs were unbelievably successful in getting the company to this spot (luck also never hurts), but beyond this one needs to examine the competency and capability of the professional managers running the company.  There are those of us who might feel, without being attacked by relative investment newbies, that management may give one cause to pause.  <br/><br/>Here  is Christine Days' background:<br/><br/>Prior to Lululemon, Christine spent 20 years at Starbucks where she learned the intricacies of high growth business development in a strong cultural company. She held several key senior management positions, most recently as President of the Asia Pacific Group of Starbucks Coffee International. Earlier, she served in various capacities including Senior Vice President, North American Finance and Administration and Vice President of Sales and Operations for Business Alliances. Currently, Christine also serves as member of the Board of Directors for the Rick Hansen Foundation in Vancouver.<br/><br/>I don't know about you but I am trying to figure out the connections between her background and experience and how Lululemon will be taken to the next step.<br/><br/>Here is another Starbucks colleague on the Board. Sound a bit nepotistic?<br/><br/>Director. Michael Casey has been a member of our Board since October 2007. He retired from Starbucks Corporation in October, 2007, where he had served as Senior Vice President and CFO from August 1995 to September 1997, Executive Vice President, CFO and Chief Administrative Officer from September 1997 to October 2007. Subsequent to retirement he served as a Senior Advisor to Starbucks Corporation from October 2007 to May 2008 and from November 2008 to present. Prior to joining Starbucks, Mr. Casey was Executive Vice President and CFO for Family Restaurant, Inc. and President and CEO of EI Torito Restaurants, Inc. <br/><br/>Another coffee/restaurant guy.  No clothing retail experience.<br/><br/>Finally, here is the big gun on retailing:<br/><br/>Director. Thomas G. Stemberg. Thomas G. Stemberg has been a member of the Board since December 2005. Since March 2007, he has been the managing partner of Highland Consumer Fund, a venture capital firm. From February 2005 until March 2007, he was a venture partner with Highland Capital Partners. Mr. Stemberg co-founded Staples, Inc., an office supplies retailer, serving as its Chairman from 1988 to 2005, and as its CEO from 1986 until 2002. He serves on the board of directors of CarMax, Inc., a retailer of used cars, PETsMART, Inc., a retailer of pet supplies and products, and Guitar Center, a retailer of musical instruments. He received an AB in Physical Science from Harvard University, and an MBA from the Harvard Business School.<br/><br/>Well at least we all know where these guys go for coffee and buy their business supplies.<br/><br/>Don't misunderstand me. These guys have done a great job getting the company here.  But the next step?  I don't buy these hockey stick projections without looking at management's capabilities. And the bench strength of management and the board is arguably less than compelling. There aren't a lot of people hanging around that might not know the difference between Spandex, Lycra and nylon (nor do I).]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 11 Jan 2013 18:10:36 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Hmm.  you don't understand Lululemon if you're male.  &quot;You truly don't understand if you're not the gender that predominantly buys and wears this gear.&quot; Great investment thesis SilverSky.  They should write that one up at the Harvard Business School.  Now women are the only ones that can analyze companies like Lululemon.  Those kinds of comments make me extremely suspicious of the  soundness of an investment.  If you would like to speculate on a stock, then let's call it that.  Not every company is the next Microsoft or Apple, and even that comes to an end.  I guess men can make the call on those two since women by their own admission are luddites.<br/><br/>If you would take the time to get away from the grandstanding and female chauvinism, have a look at Lululemon's management or perhaps more accurately the lack thereof.  There are only one or two people in the executive ranks that has any depth of management experience. The big gun on the Board that has any significant somewhat related retailing experience is, you guessed it, a man. The fact of the matter is that for a business to maintain itself at these kinds of growth rates it does not need number crunchers, but a review of the capabilities and experience of the people running the company.  The experience base in running this company resides to a significant extent in the Board.  The entrepreneurs were unbelievably successful in getting the company to this spot (luck also never hurts), but beyond this one needs to examine the competency and capability of the professional managers running the company.  There are those of us who might feel, without being attacked by relative investment newbies, that management may give one cause to pause.  <br/><br/>Here  is Christine Days' background:<br/><br/>Prior to Lululemon, Christine spent 20 years at Starbucks where she learned the intricacies of high growth business development in a strong cultural company. She held several key senior management positions, most recently as President of the Asia Pacific Group of Starbucks Coffee International. Earlier, she served in various capacities including Senior Vice President, North American Finance and Administration and Vice President of Sales and Operations for Business Alliances. Currently, Christine also serves as member of the Board of Directors for the Rick Hansen Foundation in Vancouver.<br/><br/>I don't know about you but I am trying to figure out the connections between her background and experience and how Lululemon will be taken to the next step.<br/><br/>Here is another Starbucks colleague on the Board. Sound a bit nepotistic?<br/><br/>Director. Michael Casey has been a member of our Board since October 2007. He retired from Starbucks Corporation in October, 2007, where he had served as Senior Vice President and CFO from August 1995 to September 1997, Executive Vice President, CFO and Chief Administrative Officer from September 1997 to October 2007. Subsequent to retirement he served as a Senior Advisor to Starbucks Corporation from October 2007 to May 2008 and from November 2008 to present. Prior to joining Starbucks, Mr. Casey was Executive Vice President and CFO for Family Restaurant, Inc. and President and CEO of EI Torito Restaurants, Inc. <br/><br/>Another coffee/restaurant guy.  No clothing retail experience.<br/><br/>Finally, here is the big gun on retailing:<br/><br/>Director. Thomas G. Stemberg. Thomas G. Stemberg has been a member of the Board since December 2005. Since March 2007, he has been the managing partner of Highland Consumer Fund, a venture capital firm. From February 2005 until March 2007, he was a venture partner with Highland Capital Partners. Mr. Stemberg co-founded Staples, Inc., an office supplies retailer, serving as its Chairman from 1988 to 2005, and as its CEO from 1986 until 2002. He serves on the board of directors of CarMax, Inc., a retailer of used cars, PETsMART, Inc., a retailer of pet supplies and products, and Guitar Center, a retailer of musical instruments. He received an AB in Physical Science from Harvard University, and an MBA from the Harvard Business School.<br/><br/>Well at least we all know where these guys go for coffee and buy their business supplies.<br/><br/>Don't misunderstand me. These guys have done a great job getting the company here.  But the next step?  I don't buy these hockey stick projections without looking at management's capabilities. And the bench strength of management and the board is arguably less than compelling. There aren't a lot of people hanging around that might not know the difference between Spandex, Lycra and nylon (nor do I).]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Surviving And Prospering Over The Next 4 Years Of Economic Darkness</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/985951/comments?source=feed#comment-11327881</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">11327881</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Well, here we go again.  President Obama has been re-elected and no one really knows why.  Probably the result of our collective ambivalence to Mitt Romney.  The non-choice.  Too rich, too blue blooded for most main stream Americans. The guy has lost touch with the common man, whoever that may be.  Unfortunately, what were are lacking here is leadership.  Neither can lead, they are lead by the polls.  Neither has shown any willingness to take on and reform the establishment.  Tax reform is a joke, cutting back is a joke and doing with less is a joke.  There is no one prepared to stand up and sacrifice. The second term of any president should allow the pretty much unfettered ability to execute leadership.  Instead,  the status quo is perpetuated by not wanting to rock the boat.  This is an exercise in human nature, not politics.  Why rock the boat.  After all, when the President's term is over, Wall Street, law firms, others will beckon.  There is no point in pissing these guys off.  On the international scene, why rock the boat. Nothing to gain.  We now need to worry about the Obama legacy.  Nothing will change, same old stuff will prevail.  America will decline into a debt abyss and drag much of the already crippled west with it.  More testing of our resolve in the middle east, who see us as morally weak and incapable of standing own ground firm.  And are they wrong?  We don't have the political will, resolve or leadership to face facts.  The world is changing.   After all with the Foxconn disasters China will slip into it's more traditional role or face internal chaos as the working class says enough. &quot;We need to get paid more than $100 a month (or $200) as Apple makes billions.&quot; Enough of so called communists harvesting billions into their own pockets.  Mao must be turning in his grave.  Hollowed out economies of hamburger flippers in the west.  Relying totally on the populations never ending thirst for electronic toys that add little to the long term growth of our economies.  The future is bleak without leadership.  Without the resolve to break the cycle. But who will stand up?  Not Obama I say.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 07 Nov 2012 12:10:34 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Well, here we go again.  President Obama has been re-elected and no one really knows why.  Probably the result of our collective ambivalence to Mitt Romney.  The non-choice.  Too rich, too blue blooded for most main stream Americans. The guy has lost touch with the common man, whoever that may be.  Unfortunately, what were are lacking here is leadership.  Neither can lead, they are lead by the polls.  Neither has shown any willingness to take on and reform the establishment.  Tax reform is a joke, cutting back is a joke and doing with less is a joke.  There is no one prepared to stand up and sacrifice. The second term of any president should allow the pretty much unfettered ability to execute leadership.  Instead,  the status quo is perpetuated by not wanting to rock the boat.  This is an exercise in human nature, not politics.  Why rock the boat.  After all, when the President's term is over, Wall Street, law firms, others will beckon.  There is no point in pissing these guys off.  On the international scene, why rock the boat. Nothing to gain.  We now need to worry about the Obama legacy.  Nothing will change, same old stuff will prevail.  America will decline into a debt abyss and drag much of the already crippled west with it.  More testing of our resolve in the middle east, who see us as morally weak and incapable of standing own ground firm.  And are they wrong?  We don't have the political will, resolve or leadership to face facts.  The world is changing.   After all with the Foxconn disasters China will slip into it's more traditional role or face internal chaos as the working class says enough. &quot;We need to get paid more than $100 a month (or $200) as Apple makes billions.&quot; Enough of so called communists harvesting billions into their own pockets.  Mao must be turning in his grave.  Hollowed out economies of hamburger flippers in the west.  Relying totally on the populations never ending thirst for electronic toys that add little to the long term growth of our economies.  The future is bleak without leadership.  Without the resolve to break the cycle. But who will stand up?  Not Obama I say.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Coach - Stock For Sale</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/768481/comments?source=feed#comment-8017051</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">8017051</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Well let's see how the stocks fares during the next few trading sessions.  Yesterday it was strong at the open as the bargain hunters came in.  It sold off at the end of the day in sympathy with the market.  I agree with the comment on outlet stores and using coupons to increase sales.  Seems like a flawed strategy for a luxury brand.  But Burberry's does the same thing.  Other than the really high end brands all have gotten into the same game, so there is no particular reason to pick out Coach.  China is where it's at even for Gucci and Louis Vuitton.  Just the way it is.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 02 Aug 2012 08:30:32 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Well let's see how the stocks fares during the next few trading sessions.  Yesterday it was strong at the open as the bargain hunters came in.  It sold off at the end of the day in sympathy with the market.  I agree with the comment on outlet stores and using coupons to increase sales.  Seems like a flawed strategy for a luxury brand.  But Burberry's does the same thing.  Other than the really high end brands all have gotten into the same game, so there is no particular reason to pick out Coach.  China is where it's at even for Gucci and Louis Vuitton.  Just the way it is.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Coach - Stock For Sale</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/768481/comments?source=feed#comment-7979031</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">7979031</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[I agree with the comments above.  I remember going into a Coach store at the Seaport in Lower Manhattan in 1990.  The store was heavily stocked with men's items.  There were women's of course, but the split was about 60/40. Products all crafted and made in the United States.  Not cheap.  Belting leather.  You bought them once and had them for years.  Then they sold out to Sara Lee and were eventually spun out as a public company.  The brand is great.  Customer service is great.  Men's goods in the stores are modest.  They joined the feminist movement for whatever reason as have many retailers.  Great brand.  Yes.  Sustainable goodwill,  don't know.  I'll buy the stock but not with the same enthusiasm as before.  They have roamed far from their roots.  I don't think they are what they used to be.  But what is?  Sigh. Take me back to when leather goods stored smelled of leather and not plastic or cloth and were made as heirlooms.  No chance.  Cheap and stylish.  Sell to China not to Americans.  And hope like hell that the dictatorship in Beijing does not change directions.  Sounds long term risky to me .  Has the concept of political risk gone away from investing?]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 01 Aug 2012 09:07:56 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[I agree with the comments above.  I remember going into a Coach store at the Seaport in Lower Manhattan in 1990.  The store was heavily stocked with men's items.  There were women's of course, but the split was about 60/40. Products all crafted and made in the United States.  Not cheap.  Belting leather.  You bought them once and had them for years.  Then they sold out to Sara Lee and were eventually spun out as a public company.  The brand is great.  Customer service is great.  Men's goods in the stores are modest.  They joined the feminist movement for whatever reason as have many retailers.  Great brand.  Yes.  Sustainable goodwill,  don't know.  I'll buy the stock but not with the same enthusiasm as before.  They have roamed far from their roots.  I don't think they are what they used to be.  But what is?  Sigh. Take me back to when leather goods stored smelled of leather and not plastic or cloth and were made as heirlooms.  No chance.  Cheap and stylish.  Sell to China not to Americans.  And hope like hell that the dictatorship in Beijing does not change directions.  Sounds long term risky to me .  Has the concept of political risk gone away from investing?]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Apple Is An Extraordinary Company, But ...</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/322117/comments?source=feed#comment-2211281</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">2211281</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Casting pearls............  <br/><br/>Nokia is in the midst of changing it's business model.  One would expect them to lose money.  Motorla and HTC are fringe players.  <br/><br/>From Apple's 10Q:<br/>&quot;The gross margin percentage in the first quarter of 2012 was 44.7% compared to 38.5% in the first quarter of 2011. The year-over year increase in gross margin was largely driven by a more favorable sales mix towards products with higher gross margins, particularly iPhone, and to a lesser extent lower commodity and other product costs and leverage on fixed costs of higher net sales.<br/><br/>The Company expects to experience decreases in its gross margin percentage in future periods, as compared to levels achieved during the first quarter of 2012, largely due to a higher mix of new and innovative products with flat or reduced pricing that have higher cost structures and deliver greater value to customers and a stronger U.S. dollar, and potential future component cost and other cost increases.&quot;<br/><br/>I guess that the Company's expectation are more modest that many of those posting here.<br/><br/>More:<br/><br/>Foreign Currency Risk<br/><br/>&quot;In general, the Company is a net receiver of currencies other than the U.S. dollar. Accordingly, changes in exchange rates, and in particular a strengthening of the U.S. dollar, will negatively affect the Company’s net sales and gross margins as expressed in U.S. dollars.&quot;<br/><br/>I guess you guys are all cheerleaders for a weak US dollar.  That are many factors driving Apple's profitability other than handset sales.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sat, 28 Jan 2012 15:21:56 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Casting pearls............  <br/><br/>Nokia is in the midst of changing it's business model.  One would expect them to lose money.  Motorla and HTC are fringe players.  <br/><br/>From Apple's 10Q:<br/>&quot;The gross margin percentage in the first quarter of 2012 was 44.7% compared to 38.5% in the first quarter of 2011. The year-over year increase in gross margin was largely driven by a more favorable sales mix towards products with higher gross margins, particularly iPhone, and to a lesser extent lower commodity and other product costs and leverage on fixed costs of higher net sales.<br/><br/>The Company expects to experience decreases in its gross margin percentage in future periods, as compared to levels achieved during the first quarter of 2012, largely due to a higher mix of new and innovative products with flat or reduced pricing that have higher cost structures and deliver greater value to customers and a stronger U.S. dollar, and potential future component cost and other cost increases.&quot;<br/><br/>I guess that the Company's expectation are more modest that many of those posting here.<br/><br/>More:<br/><br/>Foreign Currency Risk<br/><br/>&quot;In general, the Company is a net receiver of currencies other than the U.S. dollar. Accordingly, changes in exchange rates, and in particular a strengthening of the U.S. dollar, will negatively affect the Company’s net sales and gross margins as expressed in U.S. dollars.&quot;<br/><br/>I guess you guys are all cheerleaders for a weak US dollar.  That are many factors driving Apple's profitability other than handset sales.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Apple Is An Extraordinary Company, But ...</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/322117/comments?source=feed#comment-2207951</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">2207951</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[&quot;So Bill Gates is stepping down -- or up, or sideways, or something -- from his position as C.E.O. of Microsoft. Nobody seems to think that this will make much difference either to the way Microsoft is run or to the desire of the Justice Department to break up the world's most valuable company and humble its founder. But maybe the announcement provides a good occasion to reflect on the achievements of this elder statesman (44 years old!) of the New Economy.<br/><br/>You might say that Mr. Gates is to business strategy what Heinz Guderian, the father of the blitzkrieg, was to military strategy. Germany didn't invent the tank or the bomber; but the German command understood, in a way that the British or the French did not, how these inventions changed the nature of war, and very nearly ended up conquering the world. Microsoft didn't invent either the personal computer or the point-and-click interface; but Mr. Gates understood, in a way that other contenders for empire did not, how these inventions changed the nature of business competition, and some think that he has come equally close to GLOBAL CONQUEST.<br/><br/>You could say that each of the two other companies one might have expected to dominate the New Economy was the victim of a flawed philosophical premise. I.B.M.'s fallacy was that of crude materialism: accustomed to providing software free with its mainframes, the computer giant believed that market power rested in the hands of manufacturers, and did not realize its mistake until far too late. Apple, by contrast, suffered from naive idealism: its managers believed that having the better idea, the better product, was in itself enough to ensure victory in the marketplace.<br/><br/>Only Mr. Gates seems to have realized the importance, in this new competitive realm, of ''network externalities,'' which is economese for the incentive most of us have to use the same software -- or video format, or typewriter keyboard -- that everyone else uses. It's not a new concept, and around the time Mr. Gates was starting to build his empire economists were working out a theory of how companies should conduct themselves when network externalities are crucial. (Perhaps the leader among these theorists was Berkeley's Carl Shapiro; not coincidentally, Mr. Shapiro took a leave in the mid-90's to become a top official at the Justice Department's antitrust division.) The essence of that theory is that you have to lose money to make money: your product must initially be sold cheaply, even given away, until enough people are using it that the rest feel that they have no alternative.<br/><br/>This seems obvious now, but in the 1980's Apple thought that simply because the Macintosh was insanely great it could be sold at a premium price from day one. It was Mr. Gates who understood the power of ubiquity, and used that knowledge to build an ASSAILABLE market position. ''Windows 95 is Macintosh 89,'' declared the losers bitterly when the struggle was all over. They were right, but that in itself tells you how much better Mr. Gates played the game.&quot;<br/><br/>Published New York Times, January 16, 2000.<br/><br/>Of Companies and Countries Published: January 23, 2000<br/> To the Editor:<br/><br/>''A Company Worth More Than Spain?'' (Market Watch, Dec. 26) noted how Microsoft's market value was about equal to Spain's gross domestic product.<br/><br/>Hey, I've been to Spain. Windows 98 works better.<br/><br/>DAN FRIEDMAN New York City, Dec. 26, 1999<br/><br/>Boy, how familiar does this sounds with the musings on this forum. Those who don't learn from history are deemed to repeat it.  Microsoft lived and Apple was dead.  Ooops.  That's the thing about the stock market.  You are never sure what's out there.  Just one person's opinion.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 27 Jan 2012 08:07:44 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[&quot;So Bill Gates is stepping down -- or up, or sideways, or something -- from his position as C.E.O. of Microsoft. Nobody seems to think that this will make much difference either to the way Microsoft is run or to the desire of the Justice Department to break up the world's most valuable company and humble its founder. But maybe the announcement provides a good occasion to reflect on the achievements of this elder statesman (44 years old!) of the New Economy.<br/><br/>You might say that Mr. Gates is to business strategy what Heinz Guderian, the father of the blitzkrieg, was to military strategy. Germany didn't invent the tank or the bomber; but the German command understood, in a way that the British or the French did not, how these inventions changed the nature of war, and very nearly ended up conquering the world. Microsoft didn't invent either the personal computer or the point-and-click interface; but Mr. Gates understood, in a way that other contenders for empire did not, how these inventions changed the nature of business competition, and some think that he has come equally close to GLOBAL CONQUEST.<br/><br/>You could say that each of the two other companies one might have expected to dominate the New Economy was the victim of a flawed philosophical premise. I.B.M.'s fallacy was that of crude materialism: accustomed to providing software free with its mainframes, the computer giant believed that market power rested in the hands of manufacturers, and did not realize its mistake until far too late. Apple, by contrast, suffered from naive idealism: its managers believed that having the better idea, the better product, was in itself enough to ensure victory in the marketplace.<br/><br/>Only Mr. Gates seems to have realized the importance, in this new competitive realm, of ''network externalities,'' which is economese for the incentive most of us have to use the same software -- or video format, or typewriter keyboard -- that everyone else uses. It's not a new concept, and around the time Mr. Gates was starting to build his empire economists were working out a theory of how companies should conduct themselves when network externalities are crucial. (Perhaps the leader among these theorists was Berkeley's Carl Shapiro; not coincidentally, Mr. Shapiro took a leave in the mid-90's to become a top official at the Justice Department's antitrust division.) The essence of that theory is that you have to lose money to make money: your product must initially be sold cheaply, even given away, until enough people are using it that the rest feel that they have no alternative.<br/><br/>This seems obvious now, but in the 1980's Apple thought that simply because the Macintosh was insanely great it could be sold at a premium price from day one. It was Mr. Gates who understood the power of ubiquity, and used that knowledge to build an ASSAILABLE market position. ''Windows 95 is Macintosh 89,'' declared the losers bitterly when the struggle was all over. They were right, but that in itself tells you how much better Mr. Gates played the game.&quot;<br/><br/>Published New York Times, January 16, 2000.<br/><br/>Of Companies and Countries Published: January 23, 2000<br/> To the Editor:<br/><br/>''A Company Worth More Than Spain?'' (Market Watch, Dec. 26) noted how Microsoft's market value was about equal to Spain's gross domestic product.<br/><br/>Hey, I've been to Spain. Windows 98 works better.<br/><br/>DAN FRIEDMAN New York City, Dec. 26, 1999<br/><br/>Boy, how familiar does this sounds with the musings on this forum. Those who don't learn from history are deemed to repeat it.  Microsoft lived and Apple was dead.  Ooops.  That's the thing about the stock market.  You are never sure what's out there.  Just one person's opinion.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Apple Is An Extraordinary Company, But ...</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/322117/comments?source=feed#comment-2203713</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">2203713</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Paulo,  I guess conservatism on Apple is just not in favor these days.  I think you've been involved in investing long enough to remember a lot of investments that were going to go up forever.  Having said that, companies such as Coca Cola, McDonalds, Proctor &amp; Gamble and others have had their stock prices go up for a very long time.  But can their fundamental businesses be distinguished from Apple's?<br/><br/>There has been little, if any, mention of Apple's business model and whether it has long term staying power.  Apple does not control very much, as is the case for most companies.  But they have been amazing at controlling the things they can control. They have been superb at marketing and product design, supply chain management, inventory control, etc.  They have executed flawlessly.  In my opinion, the question is whether they can continue to execute flawlessly.  The projections on handsets sold, market share etc. are simply that, projections.  Who knows.  But can they continue to execute flawlessly?  I don't know.  I wish I did.  But one thing I do know, is that corporations, like people, sooner or later make a mistake.  In the case of the stock market, mistakes can be devastating for the stock price. Cheap labor in China, well managed suppliers,  no supplier brownouts or shortages that cramp production. The possibility of a strike at a lithium mine in Chile that cuts the supply of batteries.  Right now it's perfection.  But in my opinion the ship is getting pretty large to steer.  As long as a change in course is not required, everything is clear sailing!!! Can someone please share their opinions as to why it's riskier to be out of the stock than in it?  Thank you.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 25 Jan 2012 18:11:19 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Paulo,  I guess conservatism on Apple is just not in favor these days.  I think you've been involved in investing long enough to remember a lot of investments that were going to go up forever.  Having said that, companies such as Coca Cola, McDonalds, Proctor &amp; Gamble and others have had their stock prices go up for a very long time.  But can their fundamental businesses be distinguished from Apple's?<br/><br/>There has been little, if any, mention of Apple's business model and whether it has long term staying power.  Apple does not control very much, as is the case for most companies.  But they have been amazing at controlling the things they can control. They have been superb at marketing and product design, supply chain management, inventory control, etc.  They have executed flawlessly.  In my opinion, the question is whether they can continue to execute flawlessly.  The projections on handsets sold, market share etc. are simply that, projections.  Who knows.  But can they continue to execute flawlessly?  I don't know.  I wish I did.  But one thing I do know, is that corporations, like people, sooner or later make a mistake.  In the case of the stock market, mistakes can be devastating for the stock price. Cheap labor in China, well managed suppliers,  no supplier brownouts or shortages that cramp production. The possibility of a strike at a lithium mine in Chile that cuts the supply of batteries.  Right now it's perfection.  But in my opinion the ship is getting pretty large to steer.  As long as a change in course is not required, everything is clear sailing!!! Can someone please share their opinions as to why it's riskier to be out of the stock than in it?  Thank you.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>The 'Strong Buy' Apple Euphoria Or Why Nothing Gold Can Stay</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/322008/comments?source=feed#comment-2203675</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">2203675</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[&quot;But, in the long run, most of us know Apple is going to be a $525-$600 stock within one year from now, however, it will be choppy on the way up. Because of this stocks volatility and popularity the average investor can make a lot of money over the next 5 years (and probably much longer) by paying attention to the peaks and valleys. The bottom line is Apple, on any pullback, WILL come back higher.&quot;  Wow!!!  Will you sell me a put for one cent at $550 for the next two years supported by a bank letter of credit?  Finally a stock that will go up forever  (higher lows and higher highs if I understand you correctly)!!!!!  Or 5 years, which for the stock market is pretty much forever.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 25 Jan 2012 17:57:06 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[&quot;But, in the long run, most of us know Apple is going to be a $525-$600 stock within one year from now, however, it will be choppy on the way up. Because of this stocks volatility and popularity the average investor can make a lot of money over the next 5 years (and probably much longer) by paying attention to the peaks and valleys. The bottom line is Apple, on any pullback, WILL come back higher.&quot;  Wow!!!  Will you sell me a put for one cent at $550 for the next two years supported by a bank letter of credit?  Finally a stock that will go up forever  (higher lows and higher highs if I understand you correctly)!!!!!  Or 5 years, which for the stock market is pretty much forever.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>The 'Strong Buy' Apple Euphoria Or Why Nothing Gold Can Stay</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/322008/comments?source=feed#comment-2203330</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">2203330</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Any thoughts on the &quot;herd mentality&quot; and it's implications?  I guess that concept has disappeared.  Can someone let me know assuming some of the growth rates referred to here when Apple's market cap will be greater than the next 20 companies after it?  Just trying to scope out the size of my investment.  By the way, the fact that Apple's stock has gone from $37 to $450 (my apologies if I get the numbers wrong) is, in my opinion, quite irrelevant.  That was an argument used to encourage investment in Microsoft ten years ago, as were all the other reasons (dominance, blow out results, competitive advantages, market power, astounding gross and net profit margins, etc.)  if I recall correctly. As many have pointed out, that hasn't worked out quite so well.  <br/><br/>As an admitted Apple shareholder &quot;wannabee&quot; (no sour grapes here, great management and performance is being rewarded). I sure hope like heck that our friends and co-workers in China keep wages low and those factories humming without unions and without any meaningful labor legislation or environmental standards. Does anyone know the Chinese word for nationalization? Hope it's not in their vocabulary.  I'm just enjoying the run in the stock upwards even as a spectator!!!!!!!! <br/><br/>Thank you.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 25 Jan 2012 16:27:55 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Any thoughts on the &quot;herd mentality&quot; and it's implications?  I guess that concept has disappeared.  Can someone let me know assuming some of the growth rates referred to here when Apple's market cap will be greater than the next 20 companies after it?  Just trying to scope out the size of my investment.  By the way, the fact that Apple's stock has gone from $37 to $450 (my apologies if I get the numbers wrong) is, in my opinion, quite irrelevant.  That was an argument used to encourage investment in Microsoft ten years ago, as were all the other reasons (dominance, blow out results, competitive advantages, market power, astounding gross and net profit margins, etc.)  if I recall correctly. As many have pointed out, that hasn't worked out quite so well.  <br/><br/>As an admitted Apple shareholder &quot;wannabee&quot; (no sour grapes here, great management and performance is being rewarded). I sure hope like heck that our friends and co-workers in China keep wages low and those factories humming without unions and without any meaningful labor legislation or environmental standards. Does anyone know the Chinese word for nationalization? Hope it's not in their vocabulary.  I'm just enjoying the run in the stock upwards even as a spectator!!!!!!!! <br/><br/>Thank you.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Nokia: The Creeping Dark Horse Of The Smartphone Market</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/320703/comments?source=feed#comment-2195233</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">2195233</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[To buy NOK or not to buy?  That is the question.  I wish I could decide...Time for a coin flip?]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 23 Jan 2012 09:12:02 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[To buy NOK or not to buy?  That is the question.  I wish I could decide...Time for a coin flip?]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Nokia: The Creeping Dark Horse Of The Smartphone Market</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/320703/comments?source=feed#comment-2195144</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">2195144</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[From theoligarch.com:<br/>&quot;I once wrote an article saying Windows Phone 7 will bomb. It did, but now my theory will really be put to the test. This new Nokia phone is arguably the most exciting looking smart phone on the market, they have a huge publicity campaign planned, its specs and price perfectly position it at mid market level rather than going after the high end iPhone directly, and its got an unbreakable light happy sporty feel about it that sits nicely apart from the rather glass and steel like iPhone. So in terms of hardware, it is not only exceedingly well executed, it offers something really new, it's a sort of yin to the iPhone yang. No Android phone comes anywhere near this Nokia in terms of hardware design. This is the first phone that will worry Jonathon Ive at Apple.<br/><br/>On the software side, Microsoft have fixed the missing features in their OS, they now have popular programs such as Skype, Spotify and Angry Birds in their App Store. Nokia have included a free turn by turn navigation App that would cost a lot of money on the iPhone, and they have also included a free online/offline music radio App that works a bit like Pandora. Although the Apple App store is much bigger than the Microsoft App Store, the vast majority of Apple's Apps are low quality slavish imitations of each other, so only the thin top layer of cream really matters. In fact, philosophically speaking, the ideal solution for an upstart with limited market share is probably a &quot;by invitation only&quot; App store that improves customer experience and retailer incentive by limiting itself to proven incumbents (especially in the absence of sale or return App Store shopping models). Android's GUI has improved a little, but it's still basically an ugly chaotic geeky OS. <br/><br/>In conclusion then, on paper this phone is absolute dynamite and should totally transform the fortunes of Nokia and Windows Phone. Nokia is the traditional King of mobile phones, Apple is the King who stole his throne, and Samsung is the new contendor. The laws of nature and capitalism suggest the battle will gradually coalesce into two major powers, and this new phone makes the future look a bit more like a battle between Apple and Nokia rather than Apple and Samsung.&quot;  Interesting thoughts.  Comments?  Thoughts?]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 23 Jan 2012 08:36:44 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[From theoligarch.com:<br/>&quot;I once wrote an article saying Windows Phone 7 will bomb. It did, but now my theory will really be put to the test. This new Nokia phone is arguably the most exciting looking smart phone on the market, they have a huge publicity campaign planned, its specs and price perfectly position it at mid market level rather than going after the high end iPhone directly, and its got an unbreakable light happy sporty feel about it that sits nicely apart from the rather glass and steel like iPhone. So in terms of hardware, it is not only exceedingly well executed, it offers something really new, it's a sort of yin to the iPhone yang. No Android phone comes anywhere near this Nokia in terms of hardware design. This is the first phone that will worry Jonathon Ive at Apple.<br/><br/>On the software side, Microsoft have fixed the missing features in their OS, they now have popular programs such as Skype, Spotify and Angry Birds in their App Store. Nokia have included a free turn by turn navigation App that would cost a lot of money on the iPhone, and they have also included a free online/offline music radio App that works a bit like Pandora. Although the Apple App store is much bigger than the Microsoft App Store, the vast majority of Apple's Apps are low quality slavish imitations of each other, so only the thin top layer of cream really matters. In fact, philosophically speaking, the ideal solution for an upstart with limited market share is probably a &quot;by invitation only&quot; App store that improves customer experience and retailer incentive by limiting itself to proven incumbents (especially in the absence of sale or return App Store shopping models). Android's GUI has improved a little, but it's still basically an ugly chaotic geeky OS. <br/><br/>In conclusion then, on paper this phone is absolute dynamite and should totally transform the fortunes of Nokia and Windows Phone. Nokia is the traditional King of mobile phones, Apple is the King who stole his throne, and Samsung is the new contendor. The laws of nature and capitalism suggest the battle will gradually coalesce into two major powers, and this new phone makes the future look a bit more like a battle between Apple and Nokia rather than Apple and Samsung.&quot;  Interesting thoughts.  Comments?  Thoughts?]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Microsoft Beats Expectations On Strength Of Xbox And Kinect Sales</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/320756/comments?source=feed#comment-2195132</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">2195132</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[From the Oligarch.com:<br/>&quot;I once wrote an article saying Windows Phone 7 will bomb. It did, but now my theory will really be put to the test. This new Nokia phone is arguably the most exciting looking smart phone on the market, they have a huge publicity campaign planned, its specs and price perfectly position it at mid market level rather than going after the high end iPhone directly, and its got an unbreakable light happy sporty feel about it that sits nicely apart from the rather glass and steel like iPhone. So in terms of hardware, it is not only exceedingly well executed, it offers something really new, it's a sort of yin to the iPhone yang. No Android phone comes anywhere near this Nokia in terms of hardware design. This is the first phone that will worry Jonathon Ive at Apple.<br/><br/>On the software side, Microsoft have fixed the missing features in their OS, they now have popular programs such as Skype, Spotify and Angry Birds in their App Store. Nokia have included a free turn by turn navigation App that would cost a lot of money on the iPhone, and they have also included a free online/offline music radio App that works a bit like Pandora. Although the Apple App store is much bigger than the Microsoft App store, the vast majority of Apple's Apps are low quality slavish imitations of each other, so only the thin top layer of cream really matters. In fact, philosophically speaking, the ideal solution for an upstart with limited market share is probably a &quot;by invitation only&quot; App store that improves customer experience and retailer incentive by limiting itself to proven incumbents (especially in the absence of sale or return App Store shopping models). Android's GUI has improved a little, but it's still basically an ugly chaotic geeky OS. <br/><br/>In conclusion then, on paper this phone is absolute dynamite and should totally transform the fortunes of Nokia and Windows Phone. Nokia is the traditional King of mobile phones, Apple is the King who stole his throne, and Samsung is the new contendor. The laws of nature and capitalism suggest the battle will gradually coalesce into two major powers, and this new phone (the Nokia Lumia 800) makes the future look a bit more like a battle between Apple and Nokia rather than Apple and Samsung.&quot;  Food for thought.  As to where this leaves Microsoft?  Perhaps the author and others have some thoughts.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 23 Jan 2012 08:32:47 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[From the Oligarch.com:<br/>&quot;I once wrote an article saying Windows Phone 7 will bomb. It did, but now my theory will really be put to the test. This new Nokia phone is arguably the most exciting looking smart phone on the market, they have a huge publicity campaign planned, its specs and price perfectly position it at mid market level rather than going after the high end iPhone directly, and its got an unbreakable light happy sporty feel about it that sits nicely apart from the rather glass and steel like iPhone. So in terms of hardware, it is not only exceedingly well executed, it offers something really new, it's a sort of yin to the iPhone yang. No Android phone comes anywhere near this Nokia in terms of hardware design. This is the first phone that will worry Jonathon Ive at Apple.<br/><br/>On the software side, Microsoft have fixed the missing features in their OS, they now have popular programs such as Skype, Spotify and Angry Birds in their App Store. Nokia have included a free turn by turn navigation App that would cost a lot of money on the iPhone, and they have also included a free online/offline music radio App that works a bit like Pandora. Although the Apple App store is much bigger than the Microsoft App store, the vast majority of Apple's Apps are low quality slavish imitations of each other, so only the thin top layer of cream really matters. In fact, philosophically speaking, the ideal solution for an upstart with limited market share is probably a &quot;by invitation only&quot; App store that improves customer experience and retailer incentive by limiting itself to proven incumbents (especially in the absence of sale or return App Store shopping models). Android's GUI has improved a little, but it's still basically an ugly chaotic geeky OS. <br/><br/>In conclusion then, on paper this phone is absolute dynamite and should totally transform the fortunes of Nokia and Windows Phone. Nokia is the traditional King of mobile phones, Apple is the King who stole his throne, and Samsung is the new contendor. The laws of nature and capitalism suggest the battle will gradually coalesce into two major powers, and this new phone (the Nokia Lumia 800) makes the future look a bit more like a battle between Apple and Nokia rather than Apple and Samsung.&quot;  Food for thought.  As to where this leaves Microsoft?  Perhaps the author and others have some thoughts.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Microsoft Beats Expectations On Strength Of Xbox And Kinect Sales</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/320756/comments?source=feed#comment-2193286</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">2193286</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Thank you for sharing.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sun, 22 Jan 2012 10:11:05 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Thank you for sharing.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Microsoft Beats Expectations On Strength Of Xbox And Kinect Sales</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/320756/comments?source=feed#comment-2191723</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">2191723</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[I think I'm allowed an opinion on Apple.  Or are you the only one that's allowed to have an opinion here?  No comment in response necessary, because I'm sure that you will leave well enough alone. ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sat, 21 Jan 2012 11:07:00 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[I think I'm allowed an opinion on Apple.  Or are you the only one that's allowed to have an opinion here?  No comment in response necessary, because I'm sure that you will leave well enough alone. ]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Microsoft Beats Expectations On Strength Of Xbox And Kinect Sales</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/320756/comments?source=feed#comment-2188710</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">2188710</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Well here we go again.  The Microsoft versus Apple debate.  I believe that the debate is misplaced.  The question, in my view,  is whether Microsoft is a worthwhile investment, not whether it's a better investment than Apple.  Perhaps it's a different investment.  I believe that time will tell whether the passing of Steve Jobs will change Apple's direction.  With a ship that big even a one inch change in course will result in significant corporate changes. But the awarding of over $300,000,000 of stock options to the new CEO makes me uncomfortable. Just another example of a corporate &quot;suit&quot; being given equity gains without taking equity risk.  The entrepreneur is gone and the corporate types have taken over.  Who knows, perhaps the entrepreneur spirit was out of Apple many years ago.  But Sir Isaac Newton showed us a long time ago that even apples cannot defy gravity forever.  And Windows I believe is here to stay, in one form or another.  I just wish that the folks at Microsoft would &quot;get their act together&quot;.  That would be the best thing for their stock.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 20 Jan 2012 08:07:45 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Well here we go again.  The Microsoft versus Apple debate.  I believe that the debate is misplaced.  The question, in my view,  is whether Microsoft is a worthwhile investment, not whether it's a better investment than Apple.  Perhaps it's a different investment.  I believe that time will tell whether the passing of Steve Jobs will change Apple's direction.  With a ship that big even a one inch change in course will result in significant corporate changes. But the awarding of over $300,000,000 of stock options to the new CEO makes me uncomfortable. Just another example of a corporate &quot;suit&quot; being given equity gains without taking equity risk.  The entrepreneur is gone and the corporate types have taken over.  Who knows, perhaps the entrepreneur spirit was out of Apple many years ago.  But Sir Isaac Newton showed us a long time ago that even apples cannot defy gravity forever.  And Windows I believe is here to stay, in one form or another.  I just wish that the folks at Microsoft would &quot;get their act together&quot;.  That would be the best thing for their stock.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title> How much phone can you get for $50?&amp;nbsp;Apparently quite a lot, as Walt Mossberg gives a generally favorable review to the Lumia 710, the first product from Nokia (NOK) with Windows Phone (MSFT) software. "It's a good value for the money... a decent phone that gets the most common smartphone tasks done." (submitted by Bret Jensen) </title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/110898?source=feed#comment-2188697</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">2188697</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[The Windows 7.5 (Mango) platform for smart phones is excellent.  I have been a user of cell phones whose firmware is based on iOS5, Ice Cream Sandwich (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ics' title='Invesco Insured California Municipal Securities'>ICS</a>) (Android 4.0) and Mango.  Mango was installed on the Nokia Lumia 800.  It's absolutely the best experience I've had with a smart phone.  I traded the handset for the Samsung Galaxy Nexus (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ics' title='Invesco Insured California Municipal Securities'>ICS</a>) and ended up back with the iPhone.  I think that the users still find the iPhone the easiest to use with the most pleasant user experience (simple).  So I believe that Nokia has an uphill battle.  Keep in mind that for consumer choice Apple has kept things simple.  One model at a time with different memory capacity.  Samsung, LG and HTC have a totally different product strategy it seems.  In 2011 it was almost a new handset a month from each manufacturer.  If it confuses me, I believe that it confuses other.  I think that if Nokia keeps its product offerings simple it has a shot.  But for those that remember, Sony had the better product with Betamax and still lost to JVC's VHS.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 20 Jan 2012 07:59:45 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[The Windows 7.5 (Mango) platform for smart phones is excellent.  I have been a user of cell phones whose firmware is based on iOS5, Ice Cream Sandwich (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ics' title='Invesco Insured California Municipal Securities'>ICS</a>) (Android 4.0) and Mango.  Mango was installed on the Nokia Lumia 800.  It's absolutely the best experience I've had with a smart phone.  I traded the handset for the Samsung Galaxy Nexus (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ics' title='Invesco Insured California Municipal Securities'>ICS</a>) and ended up back with the iPhone.  I think that the users still find the iPhone the easiest to use with the most pleasant user experience (simple).  So I believe that Nokia has an uphill battle.  Keep in mind that for consumer choice Apple has kept things simple.  One model at a time with different memory capacity.  Samsung, LG and HTC have a totally different product strategy it seems.  In 2011 it was almost a new handset a month from each manufacturer.  If it confuses me, I believe that it confuses other.  I think that if Nokia keeps its product offerings simple it has a shot.  But for those that remember, Sony had the better product with Betamax and still lost to JVC's VHS.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Costco's Dividend Has Years Of Growth Ahead For Investors</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/312206/comments?source=feed#comment-2177276</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">2177276</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Costco has a somewhat unique business model.  A review of their financial statements will reveal a very strong relationship between its profitability and membership revenues.  This is both a bad and a good thing.  Membership revenue has many of the attributes of an annuity.  The stores support that income stream so arguably only nominal retail profits are required to keep the ship steaming ahead.  Prices can be kept low if you really don't need to make any money from being a merchant.  So for me the real question is whether or not the growth in membership can be sustained or increased.  This would involve entering new markets or increasing membership in existing stores.  I am more sanguine about the prospects for new store additions unless Costco can make headway in new markets.  There are only so many locations to put their stores in the United States or Canada.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 16 Jan 2012 08:01:00 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Costco has a somewhat unique business model.  A review of their financial statements will reveal a very strong relationship between its profitability and membership revenues.  This is both a bad and a good thing.  Membership revenue has many of the attributes of an annuity.  The stores support that income stream so arguably only nominal retail profits are required to keep the ship steaming ahead.  Prices can be kept low if you really don't need to make any money from being a merchant.  So for me the real question is whether or not the growth in membership can be sustained or increased.  This would involve entering new markets or increasing membership in existing stores.  I am more sanguine about the prospects for new store additions unless Costco can make headway in new markets.  There are only so many locations to put their stores in the United States or Canada.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>6 Retailers: An Evaluation Of Growth + Income</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/318793/comments?source=feed#comment-2177265</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">2177265</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Interesting article.  I think that one important point needs to be raised.  A review of Costco's financial statements reveals that its net income is closely linked to the company's membership fees.  It would seem that the business model is to generate nominal profits (covering fixed costs is obviously important) from the retail business and to increase the number of members.  So Costco needs more members not necessarily more volume given that it has more than ample cash flow to cover its fixed costs. Adding more stores is what drives the profit engine and then adding more members at existing facilities is icing on the cake.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 16 Jan 2012 07:35:39 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Interesting article.  I think that one important point needs to be raised.  A review of Costco's financial statements reveals that its net income is closely linked to the company's membership fees.  It would seem that the business model is to generate nominal profits (covering fixed costs is obviously important) from the retail business and to increase the number of members.  So Costco needs more members not necessarily more volume given that it has more than ample cash flow to cover its fixed costs. Adding more stores is what drives the profit engine and then adding more members at existing facilities is icing on the cake.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Credit Started This Recession; It Will Also Help End It</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/113110/comments?source=feed#comment-345824</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">345824</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Interesting article.  What surprises me is the thought that a &quot;credit crunch&quot; was a recently invented phenomenon.  Banks have historically been involved in other &quot;bubbles&quot; over the last twenty or thirty years.  There was the Latin American bubble, the oil patch bubble, the real estate bubble and others in previous decades.  Too much capital chasing too few deals. These all resulted in the closing of the lending window at many financial institutions.  In the end,  banks and other lending institutions cannot satisfy their investors and other stakeholders by investing in negative yield treasury instruments.  They need the cash flow to keep the lights on, pay salaries and offer a reasonable return to investors.  So when the dust settles,  the lending window reopens until the next blow up.  Every financial crises brings out the banner of &quot;this one is different&quot;, as does ever stock market euphoria.  Unless there has been a change in the economic laws governing financial markets, the ship invariably rights itself.  The question is how long will it take and how much pain will we suffer before we get there.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sun, 04 Jan 2009 18:55:53 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Interesting article.  What surprises me is the thought that a &quot;credit crunch&quot; was a recently invented phenomenon.  Banks have historically been involved in other &quot;bubbles&quot; over the last twenty or thirty years.  There was the Latin American bubble, the oil patch bubble, the real estate bubble and others in previous decades.  Too much capital chasing too few deals. These all resulted in the closing of the lending window at many financial institutions.  In the end,  banks and other lending institutions cannot satisfy their investors and other stakeholders by investing in negative yield treasury instruments.  They need the cash flow to keep the lights on, pay salaries and offer a reasonable return to investors.  So when the dust settles,  the lending window reopens until the next blow up.  Every financial crises brings out the banner of &quot;this one is different&quot;, as does ever stock market euphoria.  Unless there has been a change in the economic laws governing financial markets, the ship invariably rights itself.  The question is how long will it take and how much pain will we suffer before we get there.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Is the Long Bond Cracking?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/113040/comments?source=feed#comment-345775</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">345775</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[The demise of an investment in Treasury bonds has been a theme repeated for a number of years now.  Perhaps it's finally true.  I analyzed the returns on five year treasury bonds for the last thirty five years.  The assumption was that the individual investor purchased the five year &quot;on the run&quot; Treasury bond and sold it at the end of the year crystallizing the capital gain or loss and repurchasing the five year bond for the next year.  In this way, the investor always held a five year bond. I believe that the bond return slightly outperformed the returns on the Dow Jones Industrial Average over the corresponding period.  If this is incorrect, comments appreciated.  If this is correct, perhaps a review of the longer term outlook is warranted.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sun, 04 Jan 2009 18:00:26 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[The demise of an investment in Treasury bonds has been a theme repeated for a number of years now.  Perhaps it's finally true.  I analyzed the returns on five year treasury bonds for the last thirty five years.  The assumption was that the individual investor purchased the five year &quot;on the run&quot; Treasury bond and sold it at the end of the year crystallizing the capital gain or loss and repurchasing the five year bond for the next year.  In this way, the investor always held a five year bond. I believe that the bond return slightly outperformed the returns on the Dow Jones Industrial Average over the corresponding period.  If this is incorrect, comments appreciated.  If this is correct, perhaps a review of the longer term outlook is warranted.]]>
      </description>
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