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Why a Psychological Bottom Will Lag Any Real Recovery

I am very sorry for your Gold and Crude Oil investments you are heading into 2009, on the other side if Gold will decline to 450-500 $ an ounce and Oil will be 15-21 $ a barrel then this 2 investments will have sense as most of the stocks in SP 500,RUSSELL 2000,WILSHIRE 5000 indexes will be down by the same amount in percentage, so all in all Oil and Gold will be just OK.

Nine Ways to Profit in 2009

Things I agree:

1.Crude Oil 10-15 a barrel.
2.Sell financials indefinitely.
3.Sell China or Asia or any index even DAX or DJIA will do.
4.Sell REIT.


I don't agree:

1.Gold will crash more than Oil, probably we are heading for 200-300 $ an ounce soon.

If Oil will be 20$ I promise Gold won't be 1000 nor 700, it will be at highest 500.