1977°C

2008 Precious Metals Performance: Gold, Silver, Platinum

What is a difference between smart and dumb investor in precious metals?
The dumb will buy Gold because it is down less than Platinum, the smart will not buy either as he will think: How come Platinum considered luxury for the rich of the world went down 70% in few months, isn't it because very rich become concerned about their evaporating savings and stopped buying expensive things.
But dumb investor will say: What do I care Platinum or Rhodium or Palladium crashed, Gold didn't so it looks good I buy in hope others will flood Tiffany's of the world and buy all invenory fast.

Ratio of Gold to Silver

Nice picture, there is nothing safer than going short Gold now instead of Silver as in the biggest Wall Street to Jakarta crash the luxury assets will be punished more than cheaper assets.If one can not afford Gold jewelry they still can buy silver.
SELL GOLD NOW.

Gold Due for a Pullback; Silver Approaching Resistance

I am watching GC ( have short futures ) with big interest and wonder why those investors on the buy side gave me a great opportunity to sell without even knowing me personally.
Let me explain why GC is down less than Crude Oil ,Palladium, Nickel or Rhodium it is down less for one very simple reason: most investors who bought mining stocks even 5 years ago (I don't even mention those buying in 2008) lost about everything or in best cases 50% which is not bad looking at any other sector in the global economy, so again why GC didn't crash?
The only reason for this that those that were listening to GC stories 1 year ago and missed big rally sitting on the sidelines, lately came to the market as watching GC that got symbolized last year that it is a best protection from all depressions and recessions plus in the booming leveraged world economy new middle class including billions Chinesse, Indians, Russians, Saudis will buy 1 gram of GC each (I remember such explanations) and the GC will be 2000-3000 $ in a blink of an eye.
So those who started to buy lately out of fear of beat market pushed the price to the opposite direction of Platinum price and making out of it the good opportunity to sell because demand for jewelry declines day by day and cash GC trading volumes already collapsed so those buying futures and options and stocks made a mini bubble that have nothing to do with GC demand when major jewelry stores worldwide and luxury industry in particular see their sales disappear overnight and in panic they cancel all their GC buy orders as inventory is full and it will take now years to sell existing stock.
Those of you who think that all commodities went down 50-70% in such a fast time and it is a joke, I wish you happy GC investing while those of you who understand that we are in the beginning of 1929 era ( who bought GC then?) that can last 30 years I advise sell all your physical GC. futures, mining stocks NOW.
GC very soon will make me very rich at 500 $.

Looking at the Market Through Slightly Bullish Lenses

Gold 600 in a blink of an eye.

Nine Ways to Profit in 2009

Things I agree:

1.Crude Oil 10-15 a barrel.
2.Sell financials indefinitely.
3.Sell China or Asia or any index even DAX or DJIA will do.
4.Sell REIT.


I don't agree:

1.Gold will crash more than Oil, probably we are heading for 200-300 $ an ounce soon.

If Oil will be 20$ I promise Gold won't be 1000 nor 700, it will be at highest 500.