David Stockman is the ultimate Washington insider turned iconoclast. He began his career in Washington as a young man and quickly rose through the ranks of the Republican Party to become the Director of the Office of Management and Budget under President Ronald Reagan. After leaving the White House, Stockman had a 20-year career on Wall Street.
At the podium, Stockman’s expertise and experience cannot be matched, and he has a reputation for zesty financial straight talk. Defying right- and left-wing boxes, his latest book catalogues both the corrupters and defenders of sound money, fiscal rectitude, and free markets. Stockman discusses the forces that have left the public sector teetering on the edge of political dysfunction and fiscal collapse and have caused America’s financial system to morph into an unstable, bubble-prone gambling arena that undermines capitalist prosperity and showers speculators with vast windfall gains.
Stockman’s career in Washington began in 1970, when he served as a special assistant to U.S. Representative, John Anderson of Illinois. From 1972 to 1975, he was executive director of the U.S. House of Representatives Republican Conference. Stockman was elected as a Michigan Congressman in 1976 and held the position until his resignation in January 1981.
He then became Director of the Office of Management and Budget under President Ronald Reagan, serving from 1981 until August 1985. Stockman was the youngest cabinet member in the 20th century. Although only in his early 30s, Stockman became well known to the public during this time concerning the role of the federal government in American society.
After resigning from his position as Director of the OMB, Stockman wrote a best-selling book, The Triumph of Politics: Why the Reagan Revolution Failed (1986). The book was Stockman’s frontline report of the miscalculations, manipulations, and political intrigues that led to the failure of the Reagan Revolution. A major publishing event and New York Times bestseller in its day, The Triumph of Politics is still startlingly relevant to the conduct of Washington politics today.
After leaving government, Stockman joined Wall Street investment bank Salomon Bros. He later became one of the original partners at New York-based private equity firm, The Blackstone Group. Stockman left Blackstone in 1999 to start his own private equity fund based in Greenwich, Connecticut.
In his newest New York Times best-seller, The Great Deformation: The Corruption of Capitalism in America (2013), Stockman lays out how the U.S. has devolved from a free market economy into one fatally deformed by Washington’s endless fiscal largesse, K-street lobbies and Fed sponsored bailouts and printing press money.
Stockman was born in Ft. Hood, Texas. He received his B.A. from Michigan State University and pursued graduate studies at Harvard Divinity School.
He lives in Greenwich, Connecticut, with his wife Jennifer Blei Stockman. They have two daughters, Rachel and Victoria.
"One of the best ways to do well in this business is to go to areas that have been unexploited by research capability and work them for all you can." -Julian Robertson Managing partner of the Schildpad & De Haas partnerships. Seeking Alpha PRO contributor since the library's inception in 2013. A special selection of investment ideas is available through the Exclusive Research service.
Chris DeMuth Jr. is the founder of Rangeley Capital LLC. Rangeley is an investment firm that focuses on event driven, value-oriented investment opportunities. Rangeley Capital and his value investing forum, Sifting the World (StW), search the world for misplaced bets. Rangeley exploits them for its investors and then Mr. DeMuth writes about them on StW.
The author is a former hedge fund trader now working as an Independent Trader, Consultant and author of the Panick Value Research Report. The Panick Report is a newsletter and alert service focused on undervalued high yield preferred stock issues and some undervalued micro cap equities. Sign up in the Dividends section of the Seeking Alpha Marketplace to receive exclusive subscriber articles, daily sector updates, advance drafts of public articles and more. Email email@example.com for more information. See also my Panick Value Research Report Facebook site for tips on upcoming articles.
Bert Hochfeld is a convicted felon and former hedge fund manager. He was convicted of mis-appropriating funds from his hedge fund in 2012. .Bert started his business career at IBM working in the areas of product planning and pricing after completing military service Bert worked for IBM in the late 1960's and early 1970's before he took as a post as head of sales and marketing for Memorex Telex and worked there for most of the 1970's until he joined Raytheon Data Systems in a similar capacity in the 1980's. Bert briefly became a real estate developer in the Boston area before joining BMC Software as a product planning director in the late 1980's and early 1990's. Subsequent to that he entered the brokerage business where he became an enterprise software analyst, first at Louis Nicoud and then at Josephthal.&; Co. After Josephthal closed Bert started his own independent research consultancy specializing in enterprise software, storage and IT outsourcing. Bert also ran a small hedge fund. After his arrest and conviction, Bert closed both of those ventures and have been on a sabbatical the past few years. Bert currently manage his own money and those of a few close friends. All of these investments are in tech and we also take positions in small start-up ventures. ..
I am Howard Klein, Publisher and Publisher of THE HOUSE EDGE casino investment site on SA.
For 30 years I held senior vp and exec VP positions in major casino hotel operations among them Caesars, Ballys, Trump Taj Mahal and have done extensive consulting assignments for many others in the US, including the native American property Mohegan Sun, in Connecticut.
I have also done special projects for Caesars Palace in Las Vegas. I was the founder and publisher of Gaming Business Magazine, first ever publication covering the gaming industry and have written extensively about the industry. My two books are presently sold as
Kindle ebooks on the Amazon site:
MASTERING THE ART OF CASINO MANAGEMENT and
THE GREAT AMERICAN CASINO BAZAAR.
I have appeared on industry seminar panels and on national radio and television discussing
various aspects of industry growth.
I am a graduate of NYU's Stern School of Business and did work toward a Master's degree in economics
at the Columbia School of General Studies.
MY INVESTMENT STRATEGY:
Due to the necessities of my casino consulting business which encompasses many top gaming companies, I have placed my own gaming portfolio into a blind trust over ten years ago. At that time I instructed my money manager(who is a former industry colleague herself as well as a corporate lawyer and money manager) to follow my gaming investment strategy along these lines.
1. I am a value investor first. Knowing the industry in depth I am able to plumb opportunities and problems others cannot see. Mostly I like to identify price ranges over given periods where I believe the market is asleep and I can buy in at the lowest possible risk.
2. I am a strong believer in management quality. Knowing so many top people in the industry allows me to evaluate which ones I believe have the "right stuff" to move a stock and which are populated by corporate drones.
3. I have instructed my manager never to trade on sugar high spikes in earnings or news per se but use the "string theory" I have developed which in brief, follows a skein of news and earnings releases over set periods of time for each stock and then move in or out.
4. I have instructed her to keep the portfolio diverse with holdings in four basic areas: Casino stocks in Las Vegas, Macau and the regionals, gaming tech stocks with real moats not just cute apps.
Overall I have done immensely well and share my views with SA readers and more specifically with strong recommendations and gaming stock strategy analysis based on my network of industry contacts for subscribers to my SA Premium Site: THE HOUSE EDGE.
A long time entertainment industry professional, I have worked with a number of top Hollywood studios and networks. With over a decade in the field I use my in-depth knowledge of film and television to inform potential investors about the viability of the many upcoming projects in the industry.
Questions? E-mail me at TheEntertainmentOracle[at]gmail.com.
Ever feel like trading is like rolling dice? In a way, it is, because every mathematical model of the market includes a stochastic aspect. But I believe we can load the dice in our favor through the use of statistics. Understanding both the stock market and each individual stock as a sort of random process with its own characteristics allows us to more accurately predict what it will do in the future. Coupling statistics with fundamental analysis, I have the goal of revealing to you the hidden patterns within stocks so that you may do what you wish with that information.
I only look at stocks that have the possibility to double over a twelve month period and stocks in which the risk/reward ratio payout is high. In addition I focus on swing trade opportunities.
I focus more on valuations and risk/reward metrics as opposed to what make companies tick.
I have been a professional investor for over 20 years and during the past several years an economics analyst and financial writer for capital.gr, the biggest economic news portal in Greece.
I have managed money from time to time and have also done some seed venture capital projects in the past.
An independent analyst and private investor. Based in Warsaw, Poland (Europe). Professional experience comprises about 20 years in a number of financial and industrial companies. Fan of the Austrian School of Economics.
Blog: Simple Digressions (daily analysis of the precious metals market; general investment issues; sometimes articles on demand of my readers).
I have had an interest in the the economy and financial markets since i was around 10 years old. Throughout the years, this interest waxed and waned until college, when I discovered how complex and interesting economics could be; and also how useful it could be as a tool in finding profitable opportunities in the markets.I build on this information everyday, along with the knowledge I have gained about markets through years of study.
Also, I've created youreconomicseducation.com, a website for learning Economics through the undergraduate level. With this resource, I hope to create the possibilities for those who want to learn Economics, but cannot for some reason, to do so.
I am a retired 20 year Wall Street $ manager. I specialized in fixed income, equity positioning with covered call writing hedging strategies. My experience is finding undervalued or oversold companies, taking a long position and writing a covered call to increase my monthly returns. Over time this strategy has outperformed most with minimizing risk.
I'm retired from a near 40 year career in the publishing industry working with an international publishing company. My investing experience is over a span of 40 years. Luckily with more winners than losers! My hobbies are world travel, reading good books(non-fiction)--and researching stocks that I have an interest. In my retirement, I volunteer my time working in assisting several lawyers with their Child Protective Service cases.(Drugs are destroying our Society and family structure) I also serve as a reviewer for a national literary prize given each year.
My trading experience includes over twenty five years of intense investment analysis, trend analysis and deep level due diligence studies. My interest is to find small company opportunities that have established funding sources, have a plan of action and are in the preliminary to first stages of pipeline development and execution. My coverage and investment interest includes biotech, small cap and emerging growth companies, regardless of sector. I am a contributing writer at CNA Finance and cover emerging opportunities as well as breaking news events.
ValueWalk has gained popularity among all circles for its breaking stories on hedge funds, and investigative reports on investments by major funds.
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At Valuentum, we think the best opportunities arise from a complete understanding of all investing disciplines in order to identify the most attractive stocks at any given time. Valuentum therefore analyzes each stock across a wide spectrum of philosophies, from deep value through momentum investing. We think companies that are attractive from a number of investment perspectives--whether it be growth, value, momentum, etc.--have the greatest probability of capital appreciation and relative outperformance. The more investors that are interested in the stock for reasons based on their respective investment mandates, the more likely it will move higher.
Brian Nelson is the President of Equity Research at Valuentum Securities, an investment research firm serving individual and institutional investors, as well as financial advisors. Before founding Valuentum, Mr. Nelson worked as a director at Morningstar, where he was responsible for training and methodology development within the firm's equity and credit research department. Prior to that position, he served as a senior industrials securities analyst, covering aerospace, airlines, construction and environmental services companies. Before joining Morningstar in February 2006, Mr. Nelson worked for a small capitalization fund covering a variety of sectors for an aggressive growth investment management firm in Chicago. He holds a Bachelor's degree in finance and a minor in mathematics, magna cum laude, from Benedictine University. Mr. Nelson has an MBA from the University of Chicago Booth School of Business and also holds the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) designation.
Get to Know Brian:
Brian led the charge in developing Morningstar's issuer credit ratings, developing and rolling-out one of the firm's proprietary credit metrics, the Cash Flow Cushion. http://select.morningstar.com/welcome/credit/pdfs/Morningstar_CashFlowCushion.pdf
Brian is frequently quoted in the media and has been a frequent guest on Nightly Business Report, Bloomberg TV, and the Money Show.
Mr. Nelson is very experienced in valuing equities, developing Morningstar's discounted cash-flow model used to derive the fair value estimates for the company's entire equity coverage universe.
Brian worked on a small cap fund and a micro cap fund that were ranked within the top 10th percentile and top 1st percentile within the Small Cap Lipper Growth Universe, respectively, in 2005.
Mr. Nelson is also a contributor to Seeking Alpha and an opinion leader in the Industrial Goods space.
You can reach Brian at firstname.lastname@example.org.
Please read our Disclaimer that applies to all articles published on Seeking Alpha: http://www.valuentum.com/categories/20110613
Follow us on Twitter: @Valuentum
Founder of "The Contrarian", a premium research service, featuring the "Bet The Farm" Portfolio. Actively investing since 1995, I have soared like an eagle, and been unmercifully humbled by the markets. Achieved positive returns in 2008, and turned an account with $60,310 on 1/1/2009 into an account with $3,177,937 on 11/30/2009. My best years have been 1995-2003, 2008-2012, and 2016-????. My worst years were 2013-2015. I believe inflation is coming, and we are at an inflection point in the markets.
Twenty year career as an investment analyst, investor, portfolio manager, consultant, and writer. Founder of Koldus Contrarian Investments, Ltd, which was incorporated in the spring of 2009. Dyed in the wool contrarian investor, who has learned, the hard way, that a good contrarian is only contrarian 20% of the time, but being right at key inflection points is the key to meaningful wealth creation in the markets. I believe we are near a meaningful inflection point, perhaps the biggest one yet, for the third time in the past 15 years.
Historically, I have had huge wins and impressive losses based on a concentrated, contrarian strategy. Trying to keep the good while filtering out the bad.
Seeking to run an all weather portfolio with minimal volatility and index overlays to capture my strategic and tactical recommendations along with a concentrated best ideas portfolio, which is my bread and butter, but the volatility only makes it suitable for a small piece of an investor's overall portfolio. The following are a couple of my favorite investment quotes.
"Life and investing are long ballgames." Julian Robertson
"A diamond is a chunk of coal that is made good under pressure."
"Knowledge is limited. Imagination encircles the world." Albert Einstein
I’ve been on top of the world, and the world has been on top of me. I have learned to enjoy the perspective from each view, and use opportunities to persistently acquire knowledge, and enjoy the company of those around me, especially loved ones, family, and friends.
At heart, I am a market historian with an unrivaled passion for the capital markets. I have had a long history and specialization with concentrated positions and options trading. Made money in 2008 with a net long portfolio, deploying capital in some of the market's darkest hours into long positions including purchases of American Express, Atlas Energy, Crosstex, First Industrial Real Estate, General Growth Properties, Genworth, Macquarie Infrastructure, Ruth Chris Steakhouse, and Vornado near their lows. Shorting, hedging, and option strategies also helped me in 2007 and 2009, and these are skills that I have developed ever since I started trading heavily in 1996.I enjoy reading, accumulating knowledge, and putting this knowledge to work in the active capital markets, learning lessons along the way.To this day, I continue to learn, and some of these learning lessons have been excruciatingly difficult ones, especially over the past several years, as I made mistakes allocating capital, including a sizable portion of my own capital (I always invest alongside my clients), to commodity related stocks. While all commodity related stocks have struggled since April of 2011, coal companies, which attracted me due to their extremely cheap valuations, and out-of-favor status (I am a strong believer in behavioral finance alongside fundamentals and technicals) have been the worst investing mistake of my career. The focus on the commodity arena has been the biggest mistake of my investment career thus far, yet in its aftermath, I see tremendous opportunity, even larger in scope than the fortuitous 2008/2009 environment.The capital that I accumulated and the confidence gained in navigating the treacherous investment waters of 2008 gave me the confidence to launch my own investment firm in the spring of 2009, right before the ultimate lows in the stock market. At the time I was working as a senior analyst at one of the largest RIA's in the country, and I felt strongly that the market environment was the best time since 1974/1975 to start an investment firm.
Prior to starting my firm, I was a senior analyst for three different firms over approximately 10 years (Charles Schwab, Redwood, Oxford), moving up in responsibility and scope at each stop along my journey. Since I was a paperboy, I have always had an interest in the investment markets. I love researching and finding opportunities. I am a Chartered Financial Analyst, CFA, as well as a Chartered Alternative Investment Analyst, CAIA. After starting in the teaching program at Ball State University, I switched to a career in finance when I turned a small student loan into a substantial amount of capital. I graduated summa cum laude with a degree in finance from Ball State.
Full disclosure, I am not currently a registered investment advisor, though I did serve in this capacity from 2009-2014, while owning Koldus Contrarian Investments, Ltd. Additionally, I held various securities licenses from 2000-2014, without a single complaint filed, and I continue to hold industry designations. At the end of 2014, I voluntarily let my state registration expire, as I transitioned the business to a different structure. Prior to this, I had passed, and held, various securities exams and licenses, including the Series 7, Series 63, and Series 65 exams, in addition to others, alongside my CFA and CAIA designations. Unfortunately, I did not file the proper paperwork to withdraw my state registration, and I did not disclose a personal arrangement, and subsequent civil case, between myself and a former close personal friend and client, that was initiated in 2011. I was unaware that I was required to disclose these items, and my securities attorney, at the time, did not advise me to do so. Previously, I had managed a portfolio for this gentleman, and we had taken an investment of approximately $7 million in 2009, and grown it to over $25 million at the beginning of 2012. After a difficult year of performance, an employee of the firm I owned, and friend, resigned in early 2013, and took the aforementioned client to a competing firm. As a result of not filing the proper paperwork, I agreed to a settlement, with a potential $2500 fine in the future, depending on if I choose to reapply to be a non-exempt advisor.
I'm a computer engineer with a great interest in finance. I'm not a pro, I do it for my family. But I'll share what I know and try to be as helpful as I can. I own about 10% of my assets in precious metals. As for currencies, I keep about 75% CAD vs 25% USD of my assets. I have about 35% in mutual funds; global small cap, global fixed income and global real estate. These allocations are fully managed by me, but I re-balance twice a year or so. That mutual fund core is insuring sufficient diversification and low correlation to the following US and Canada single stocks.
About another 35% is a trusted core of single stocks, both Canada and US. These positions are generally overweight at about 3% of portfolio. Core positions have a few properties in my portfolio: low turn-over, very long term, low debt, often dividend growers with low payouts, good valuations, good growth, low beta. They are safe and feel safe, and I usually build those position over the years. I consider it core after 2 years of reliable service. A stock can gain my trust by presenting profits. Not much mega caps, mostly small to medium caps. Another property of my core: easy to understand businesses. They wash linen, they sell groceries, they make boxes, they produce wine. As I build confidence and understanding, I allow more exotic positions in core. They manage money, they rent retirement houses, they dig for metals, they patent software, etc.
At the other extreme, I keep a few lottery tickets as satellite positions for about 20% of portfolio total, 0.75% to 1.5% of portfolio each position. More risky or difficult to understand business, more volatile and some signs of stink. Could be reversal plays, could be momentum stocks, can display signs of breaking out. Usually, I rely a little more on technicals than fundamentals there. And I trade. I learn. I make mistakes. I churn. Survival of the fittest.
I always look for dips in my core positions, and I wait for clear signals to buy back (volume, a few moving avg). If I have cash, I use it. If I don't I look at core and I trim large gains. If no gains there, I look at satellites for gains. If no gains, I look at satellites for mistakes, stinkers, unreliable bets. With money, I buy dips in core positions or in-the-middle stocks. In middle stocks are first buys aiming core, or rising satellites gaining confidence and improving.
Here's my complete stock portfolio as of mid-March 2016, where each record corresponds to (yes I would like to display as array):
NAME, TICKER, MKT CAP, PE, BETA, % of portfolio
Alimentation Couche-Tard ATD.B 33.71B 21.4 -0.11 5.0%
Richelieu Hardware Ltd. RCH 1.59B 26.74 0.57 4.9%
Winpak Ltd. WPK 2.89B 21.65 0.42 4.7%
Milestone Apartments MST.UN 1.49B 4.44 -0.17 4.7%
Supremex Inc SXP 144.07M 9.43 0.92 4.7%
Savaria Corporation SIS 311.44M 29.33 0.48 4.6%
K-Bro Linen Inc KBL 356.99M 30.42 0.4 4.4%
Intertape Polymer Group ITP 1.25B 17.94 1.05 4.3%
Andrew Peller Ltd. ADW.A 384.42M 20.23 0.22 4.3%
AMERCO UHAL 7.87B 15.9 1.55 3.6%
Saputo Inc. SAP 15.48B 25.96 0.25 3.6%
RDM Corp RC 98.02M 16.8 0.88 3.4%
Acadian Timber Corp ADN 306.91M 20.22 0.48 3.3%
Richards Packaging RPI.UN 280.52M 23.04 0.6 3.2%
Lassonde Industries Inc. LAS.A 649.85M 22.6 0.08 2.9%
Pason Systems Inc. PSI 1.46B 1000 0.37 2.8%
Tricon Capital Group Inc TCN 1.05B 11.43 0.43 2.8%
Metro, Inc. MRU 11.24B 21.33 0.22 2.8%
CCL Industries Inc. CCL.B 8.17B 26.01 0.85 2.8%
Walt Disney Co DIS 155.07B 17.59 1.34 2.8%
First Trust Health Care... FXH 1.18B 20 0.9 2.5%
Photon Control Inc PHO 79.55M 10.22 1 2.3%
Brookfield Asset Management BAM.A 44.31B 19.34 0.52 2.1%
Brinker International EAT 2.64B 14.54 0.4 2.1%
Sylogist Ltd. SYZ 249.35M 52.2 1.34 2.0%
Logistec Corporation LGT.B 442.18M 16.21 0.55 1.6%
Enbridge Income Fund ENF 4.00B 16.83 0.17 1.5%
Ceapro Inc. CZO 129.92M 19.85 2.14 1.3%
ProShares Ultra Nasdaq BIB 493.79M 30 2.18 1.3%
Pivot Tech. Solutions PTG 73.55M 9.55 0.45 1.3%
Biosyent Inc. RX 125.79M 34.13 -0.29 1.2%
XPEL Technologies Corp DAP.U 28.62M 18.28 0.1 1.0%
Pacific Safety Products PSP 10.96M 13.21 1.98 0.9%
Omni-Lite Industries OML 17.38M 22 1.11 0.8%
American Water Works AWK 14.82B 31.17 0.13 0.8%
IWG Technologies Inc IWG 11.88M 13.06 0.77 0.7%
Dana Blankenhorn http://www.danablankenhorn.com has been a business journalist since 1978, and a futurist all his life.He warned about the coming Houston oil collapse in 1979. He began making a living on the Internet in 1985. He launched the first e-commerce daily for CMP in 1994, warned of the coming dot-bomb at a-clue.com in 1997 and began covering the Internet of Things in 2003.Along the way he's written for a host of newspapers, magazines, news services and Web sites. Most recently he was at TheStreet.com, covering technology and investments. He still has time for freelance assignments. He lives in Atlanta.
Eric Sprott is Chief Executive Officer and Senior Portfolio Manager as Sprott Asset Management LP. Sprott Asset Management is Canada's largest hedge fund company and manages over US$5 billion in assets.
The Sprott Hedge Fund Strategy is a plain vanilla long/short equity strategy that emphasizes top-down macroeconomic analysis to identify attractive investment sectors (both long and short) and bottom-up fundamental analysis to determine the individual equities within those sectors. The strategy is currently overweight precious metals bullion and equities, as well as energy equities, in the long portfolio. The short portfolio is focused primarily on the financial and consumer discretionary sectors. The Sprott Hedge Fund Strategy has compounded 21% since its inception in November 2000.
Chris (email@example.com) is an Hon B.Sc graduate (with distinction) in Science and Economics with over 15 years in investing experience. He holds a PMP (Project Management Professional) designation. TipRanks Top 100 Blogger of 2015 (also 2013, 2014). Seeks undervalued, unappreciated value stock ideas. Follows Warren Buffet's mantra: do not lose money. For a better mobile experience on Seeking Alpha click on the top right menu icon on most browsers and select "request desktop site".
Street Smart Investor is a quantitative analyst with over 5-years of experience in the investment industry with a focus on value investment themes from a long-term perspective
I am a PhD candidate at the University of Cambridge. My research concentrates on a subfield of deep learning. I mostly write on technology and have recently started a "under the hood" series on artificial intelligence and technology. If you want me to cover any specific piece of software, technology or company as part of the series, shoot me a message or comment.
HFI Research Premium Subscribers get 5 weekly reports: HFI Portfolio Weekly Update, Natural Gas Weekly Outlook, Oil Markets Weekly Outlook, Weekly Rant (investment topics), Big Picture Outlook.
Our TipRank profile: https://www.tipranks.com/bloggers/hfi