Businessman (61) Engineering degree and MBA, 35 years as stock investor and 4 years as trader. Spending a fair amount of time reading and analyzing sectors where I feel opportunity for investment goals and skills, sectors as Energy and Technology stocks in a mix of dividend stocks (70%) and growth increasingly in options (20%), and a final 10% for speculation. Living part time between Barcelona, Spain, and a few months a year in Rio Grande Valley in South of Texas and a motor-home in Europe.
Retired Aerospace Systems Engineer and Physicist (Ph.D, Physics MIT 1965.) HaShem Enthusiast, Gardener, Photographer. My main career focus was on sensor system engineering. This often involved computer based simulation and modeling to perform design studies, system performance analysis, data assessment, and risk assessment. As the saying goes, "when a "well known physicist says something cannot be done, it will be accomplished within a year."
Early in my career, while at MIT's Lincoln Laboratory, which is physically located in the next town, Lexington (;-), I worked with ARPA's Jason Committee members. Exposure to such fine minds was quite beneficial. Members were Nobel Prize winning physicists. Next, I was fortunate to work at The Avco Everett Research Lab, in Everett (;-) AERL knew what town they were in! Our work was reviewed by Professor Hans Bethe of Cornell University, recipient of the Nobel Prize in Physics for analyzing the Carbon Cycle in the Sun. Other very important influences on my approach to analyzing problems were my High School teachers: Mr. Seltzer, Mr. Eisenberg, Mr. Martino, and Dr. Ranucci. An equally important influence was Professor Larry Spruch at The Physics Department of NYU's Washington Square College, where I was an undergraduate. He taught me how to estimate things. His thesis was that a physicist should be able to estimate anything (not limited to physics problems) to within plus or minus an order of magnitude. That's a pretty wide spread. Once you practice, you can work those limits down considerably. It's much easier today with the advent and growth of ARPA's Internet.
I have a new discovery... When financial or rather banking or economic gurus ALL say that something in their area of expertise can not be estimated, it will take (a physicist/systems engineer) less than a month. (Is it because the bankers/ financial miscreants do not know how, or they don't want you to know what they know? It makes you wonder...) Of one thing I am convinced, they do not understand how to use their risk management tools. The bankers have no understanding as to when the results they are getting with their risk managment tools are meaningful, when they are misleading at best, and when they are totally wrong...
The next thing I learned is that the purchasers of financial "products" do not spend significant time with, or even visit the manufacturing line, to see how the "product" is being put together and packaged. To understand the quality of the widget, you need to see the process. Strange they would not have done so. They relied on rating agencies, who also did not visit the issuing process of a mortgage they would actually buy - some for resale, and some to keep - because they were so profitable, in the short term, to service. This lead to such large bonuses that it warped their judgment.
If you analyze the sensor data from a data gathering mission with a sensor mounted on an aircraft, the first person you talk to should be the pilot, then the operators, then the design hardware and software engineers... Is a pattern emerging?
I recommend that the current crop of economics advisors to President Obama study Norm Augustine's laws. They need to learn how to analyze complex systems. They need to study systems engineering and develop alertness and common sense. This is the crop that has not demonstrated any of the necessary skills, and they want to keep their banker buddies on the job using pay raises and bonuses to induce them to remain. Why? You did ask, right? Beats me.
I now understand how to turn around the current recession in a clear, relatively inexpensive way. It should take six months to a year. I will be happy to do it for free if I can dole out the funds, and keep what's left over of the roughly $1.5 trillion already allocated for the financial and economic equivalent of remedial reading. Those funds won't generate any sustainable jobs. The word "sustainable" is very important. No one will deny that. I have not seen anyone else say they know how to do it. Am I an ego maniac? I doubt it. Any reasonably bright four year old could figure it out. Such a person has not been trapped into the demonstrably incorrect assumption set, outmoded ideologies, and failure laden modes of thought of the members of the President's council of economic advisors...
Brad Thomas is a research analyst and he currently writes weekly for Forbes and Seeking Alpha where he maintains research on many publicly-listed REITs. In addition, Thomas is the Senior Analyst at iREIT Forbes and Editor of the Forbes Real Estate Investor, a monthly subscription-based newsletter.
Thomas has also been featured in Forbes Magazine, Kiplinger’s, US News & World Report, Money, NPR, Institutional Investor, GlobeStreet, and Fox Business. He was the #1 contributing analyst on Seeking Alpha in 2014 (as ranked by TipRanks) and he is currently writing a book on the legendary investor Donald Trump.
Thomas has co-authored a book (The Intelligent REIT Investor) that is available on Amazon.
Thomas received a Bachelor of Science degree in Business/Economics from Presbyterian College where he played basketball. He resides in South Carolina with his wife and kids.
Friedrich is the name given to our algorithm for analyzing companies that trade on the global stock markets. In creating Friedrich we concentrated on analyzing each company’s Main Street operations through various established ratios, along with our own unique ratios that we developed over the last 30 years. What we came up with is a final "Main Street" price per share based on Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP), which is a framework of accounting standards, rules and procedures defined by the professional accounting industry, which has been adopted by nearly all publicly traded U.S. companies. We feel that our Main Street price result is what each company would need to trade at in order to be attractive to a businessperson on Main Street looking to buy at a bargain.
Since the only constant in the universe is change, the results for each company fluctuate by varying degrees. No company is an island unto itself, but each operates in a world of constant change and at times in areas where Chaos is the norm. By analyzing a company’s Main Street operations over time, Friedrich is able to give the potential investor a decade long analysis (opinion) as well as offering a Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) analysis (opinion), as well. Thus our readers will not only get as close to a real time view of operations on Main Street as is possible, but then can measure the consistency of the company’s operations over time to determine if s/he should invest or not.
Through our Friedrich algorithm we can analyze ten years of Balance Sheet, Income Statement and Cash Flow Statement data for each company all at once and generate one final result in seconds. Friedrich was designed to be ultra-conservative and thus will cut zero slack to any company under analysis and will do so with zero emotion. Companies must be exceptional in order to get an attractive Main Street valuation and the ideal investments according to our backtesting are the ones that have been consistent over time.
By being so ultra conservative Friedrich is designed to identify bargains that Wall Street investors may have overlooked. Companies shares may trade on the stock market but the companies themselves operate on Main Street, so Friedrich is designed to generate a Main Street price per share first and only then does he go to Wall Street and see the price for which Benjamin Graham’s “Mr. Market” is offering the shares.
My stock portfolio is most about trying to capture tiny slices of ownership in the dominant publically traded companies in the world (in most sectors and industries) and not overpaying for that little piece of future earnings. I want to pay at most fair-valuation (although sometimes I try for bargain prices) as long the company appears solid and I think the company will be around 10 years and more. That is what I found produce the best total returns. I am mostly focussed on mature companies that pay dividends, but I do make exceptions, for leading companies in some industries - even if their dividend yield is low. I appreciate diversification and risk-management by not putting too much cash into each stock.
My portfolio has a spreadsheet on http://tiny.cc/tarkin
Over 25 years of experience in the Investment field, as an Investment Analyst, Portfolio Manager and Relationship Management. CFA Charterholder for over 20 years. Fluent in English, French and Spanish. Mainly into Fundamentals , however looking to expand my "Toolbox".
Presently, looking for a employment opportunity.
Organizer of an Arts & Culture, Think Thank and cycling groups on MeetUp.com
Born & raised,worked in NYC....Currently reside in NJ.
Graduate N.Y.U.Stern School Of Business.
Grew up in Credit environment.....Commercial Finance.
LBOs,Account Management,New Business,Credit Committee.
Assets under management 100 mm.
Extensive travel with diverse client base.Meet and partnered
with some terrific people.......miss it out here in the 'burbs.
Best to all............
Investor since 1990, mostly index funds. Learning the art of value investing.
Education: B.A 1988 Tufts Univ., MBA 1994 Thunderbird School of Global Management
Career: Latin American Sales in Building Materials. Lived overseas 22 years.
Asif Suria is an entrepreneur and investor with a focus on event driven strategies including merger arbitrage and insider trading. He publishes a weekly post that includes the latest mergers and highlights the largest spreads. He also publishes a weekly post that highlights the top 5 insider purchases and sales of the week. Asif is also one of the earliest contributors at Seeking Alpha and has been regularly contributing content since 2005.
(Age 48) I've been a founder of, board member of, or executive of technology startups in mass storage, graphic arts, face recognition, and hospital information systems. Painful experience has lead me to believe very strongly that we're all a lot less smart than we think in bull markets. Lots of fun to be pitching companies in 1999 . . . by 2002, not so much.
Notwithstanding a pretty firm conviction that outpeformance is more chance than design, I enjoy the search for very out of the way opportunities which may advantage the individual investor.
Never been in the securities business, not selling anything . . . my bad advice is disinterested.
I am a busy surgeon with a particular interest in personal finance and investing. My father, a retired financial advisor, taught me discipline and the power of dividends and compound interest. I do not feel it is necessary to employ expensive, self-motivated brokers or managers to invest one's money.
I married well, and I chose my parents expertly.
Peter Schiff is king of the economic connect, his radio show, is not to be missed.
Food is the future. Without secure supplies of food, you have no future. So I have the solution for you.
Infact, banking is getting quite impersonal these days, so I say trade in food, not in fiat paper.
Again, I have the solution for you.