JGL

Why Agriculture ETF Outlook Looks Promising

The logic of owning agriculture related ETF / Funds etc is clear. However, MOO acts like the stock market and not as a sector any more. DBA does not seem to follow any logic this year.
Then you have (at least) two classes of investors: traders and long(er)-term holders.
For the former there are certainly more "volatile" trades to make (an loose..) money the latter maybe a diversification opportunity? Let's review in five or teny ears!

Thursday Outlook: Commodities, Global Markets

UNG: Sell at a (big) loss or wait??

Tuesday Outlook: Commodities, Global Markets

I second kfly! Must say this is one of the most confusing ETF! Even after reading the many posts on this website.

6 Benefits of Investing in Silver ETFs

Not a bit late to get in??

Are Precious Metals and Energy Overbought?

Thanks.


On Oct 21 10:19 AM Freya wrote:

> JGL, The prob with GLD is that the short term outlook, next cple
> of months, is probably limited to another 10% or so even if the longer
> term is in the 100% range.
>
> Take a gander at GDX or UGL.
>
> As far as UNG, am not in it but the Author HT Love has an Insta you
> might want to look at on UNG specifically.

Are Precious Metals and Energy Overbought?

Nice comments, thanks.

Regarding UNG I am still confused that UNG goes down when NAtural Gas goes up !!! (I am holding up on my UNG hoping for a winter rally...)
Regardinbg Gold, I cannot really see from your comments and charts where the next entry point for GLD would be? Any specific technical point?

Tuesday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets

Still confused why UNG does not move up when US Natural gas does??
Any "hope" that b the winter UNG will go back up or a lost cause and ...sell?

Friday Outlook: Commodities, Global Markets

do you publish your "buy and hold" portfolio somehwere?

Friday Roundup: Commodities, Emerging Markets

Thanks for taking the time to answer.
My sympathy accompanies you in this difficult time.

Friday Roundup: Commodities, Emerging Markets

what do you expect with UNG when you write to "watch the 22 day moving average"?

How to Trade Natural Gas, Crude Oil and Gold ETF Funds

Good thread.
Unfortunately I have bought UNG at... $14.00. Not sure to take a loss or wait for winter!


On Sep 11 10:59 AM frn_scam wrote:

> Readers should be cautioned that, though "easy" to trade natural
> gas, it is just as easy to lose money on UNG as a vehicle for natural
> gas. This is especially so for long term UNG holders betting that
> today's record low prices will rise in time.
>
> As the author points out, there is contango in natural gas--extreme
> contango--which, coupled with UNG's policy of rolling only into the
> prompt month's futures contract, is a constant drag on UNG.
>
> Anybody considering a long term holding of UNG should dilligently
> study this issue in the Yahoo message board, which has a wealth of
> information and detail. As m_prince_54 there shows, the decay is
> brutal:
>
> "for every dollar of NG price, UNG was worth $4.71 at Jun 30 2008,
> $4.15 on Jan 2nd 2009, and is now worth $3.09 now "

Friday Outlook: Commodities, Global Markets

Thanks!

Friday Outlook: Commodities, Global Markets

Can you comment a bit more on UNG? You write wait, but for what? How should the current wrangling with CFTC and SEC impact this ETF? What is your view on UNG over the next 6 to 12 months?

Time to Sell?

Your natural gas went up 20%?? Look at UNG does not look like it, but......I believe u!

Fundadvice.com Model ETF Portfolio: August Update

I must be color blind becasue everything looks blue to me. Happily you mention which one should be red!
This is the firts time I look at this, very interesting table, and could you explain the % under moving average. 10% would mean the price is 10% above that MA?