info19

Betting on Natural Gas, Part II: Investing Ideas

by way of dislosure:
I took every last penny I got and put it into natural gas - target - about 3 years?

The Most Significant Green Shoot Starts to Wilt

it's a Turkish name, not all that uncommon...


On May 14 02:39 PM Jason722 wrote:

> I am actually starting to think Cetin is fooling us all. He is actually
> a very bored and extremely persistent satirist.
>
> Anyone able to make anything out of the anagram Cetin Hakimoglu?

Missing Those Green Shoots for the Forest

"Less bad is the new good!"

I love that line -)

Oil Now Up 70% Since February

"...there is only a 10% requirement for a bet on oil ...hence only a 10% downside risk."

Care to try that again?

Sucker's Rally Approaching an End

djk! is correct that swing traders have done well over the last 5 weeks or so- the term "Suckers Rally" refers to those investors trading in a much longer time frame where the recent rise will be but a blip on the long downward slope...


On Apr 13 07:59 AM djk! wrote:

> are the people who saw the opportunity in buying a month or so ago
> and did so and then took some reasonable profits since then suckers?
> I think not. The suckers will be the ones who did not understand
> what was happening and as a result may lose because of it, but those
> are probably a small percentage of all who took part in the rally.
> Even when there is a full blown bull market and a rally comes about
> there are folks who miss out on the gains for various reasons. There
> will always be "suckers" at the end of any rally in any market. *Sucker
> rallys" is just another misnomer, an overused term that implies that
> folks who participate in market action at certain given times are
> uneducated fools. Nothing could be further from the truth of the
> situation. The last month or so has been a good time in this current
> market for many people. Just because it will no doubt turn out that
> some folks will yet again take losses does not mean the rally itself
> was for suckers, just that some suckers took part in the rally, and
> I think every rally has it's own share of suckers.

Oil Price Moves (February 11 - April 9)

Great effort, there's always a need for solid, well researched commentary - best of luck!

Learning from Canada Is Not Un-American

On Feb 26 08:45 AM Sunnsea wrote:

> . "Over the last 30 years we have become Argentina."

You should be so lucky!

Natural Gas Price Outlook

yes, I am a noted economist, but I sure wished Obama had said the 2 majic words last night "natural" and "gas"!

Marc Faber Says Stocks May Rally Soon

Mark this day in your calendar- Feb 24/09

I went to buy shoelaces this morning ( as opposed to just throwing the shoes out...:-)

The guy polishing shoes at the kiosk noted that stockmarkets world wide werer tumbling...

"when the shoeshine boy gives stock tips ... run the other way"

USO: Black Gold Waiting to Erupt

contango yadda yadda, cushing blah, blah, conversely etc. etc...

I'm buying oil with money I don't need for a while
no brainer really, ...

Pay Attention to Divergence Between Oil Price and ETF

On Feb 16 10:47 AM Kaspar Arnault wrote:

..... and risk/reward indicates relatively safe entry point, for
> short-term trade ..... as there is usually
> a regression to the mean .... after a dramatic market
> move.




Regression to the mean (more correctly called regression towards the mean) is a law.

Reversion to the mean is a model.



www.ddnum.com/articles...

U.S. Debt Default, Dollar Collapse Altogether Likely

well, I might have said "duck!"