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Macrotrader100

Macrotrader100
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  • Is The VIX 'Wall Of Worry' Preceding Another Big Market Rally, Even A Parabolic One? [View article]
    An interesting and certainly possible outcome. A rally of this length and magnitude, could end with a parabolic blow-off move.
    Jun 19 12:22 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Cliffs Natural Has Bottomed. Time To Buy [View article]
    CLF may be trying to bottoms here, actually. Lets look at today:

    CLF itself downgraded.

    Chinese GDP estimate slashed.

    China says no to money for banks.

    Coal industry estimates slashed.

    CLF hangs tough, CAT and JOY (related) both at HOD.

    Worth watching here.....ANY relaxing of policy by China, I think all these stocks do a moon shot.
    Jun 19 11:24 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • When Margin Debt Goes Over 2.25% Of GDP, The Stock Market Always Crashes [View article]
    No way. There is still ample fear of stocks and love of safety assets.
    Jun 18 09:38 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Obama Signals Bernanke Out. Bernanke To Signal Bond Purchases Over? [View article]
    Not a chance, and today's market reflected that. Maybe -- only Maybe -- there will be a hint of tapering starting like, December or something. Full steam ahead it would seem!
    Jun 18 09:01 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • When Margin Debt Goes Over 2.25% Of GDP, The Stock Market Always Crashes [View article]
    Appears margin debt is tied up shorting the market....trying to cover shorts today. Just wait till tomorrow with tapering "off the table".
    Jun 18 02:14 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • If The Fed Tapers, It Risks Triggering A Stock Market Avalanche - Here's Why [View article]
    As I said....the perfect contrary indicator!
    Jun 18 02:10 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Cliffs Natural Has Bottomed. Time To Buy [View article]
    Why is the author not long himself?
    Jun 17 06:52 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • If The Fed Tapers, It Risks Triggering A Stock Market Avalanche - Here's Why [View article]
    Don't worry about it. Dave Kranzler is like Cramer to me. A personal contrary indicator. One day he will panic, bail, and get bearish on the PM's, and that is likely to be near a major bottom. That is after of course losing most of his followers money.
    Jun 17 08:17 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Gartman: 'Gold Is A Broken Commodity' [View article]
    I'm thinking there might be a huge bump tonight in the PM futures. Anticipation of Qe reassurance on Wednesday, plus the growing crisis in Turkey.

    I'm thinking I'll buy tonight. Might be a break over 1400 for August gold futures and a big short squeeze. Shorts are at huge levels now.

    Gartman the perfect contrary indicator.
    Jun 16 09:01 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Silver: Was Friday's Spike A Bullish Indication? [View article]
    I'm thinking there might be a huge bump tonight in the PM futures. Anticipation of Qe reassurance on Wednesday, plus the growing crisis in Turkey.

    I'm thinking I'll buy tonight. Might be a break over 1400 for August gold futures and a big short squeeze. Shorts are at huge levels now.
    Jun 16 08:56 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Peter Schiff Has It Totally Backwards - Gold Is Not Going 'To The Moon' [View article]
    Enough of the cheap chatter. All you guys believe gold is going to 5000, $10000, whatever. You all say -- I'll back up the truck at $1200? What?

    A multi thousand dollar move and you are waiting for down 100 or so? Why not step up now, with leverage? Do you believe , or don't you?
    Jun 13 07:50 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Gold: Time To Short [View article]
    Money Managers
    Hedge funds and other large speculators got more positive in the past two weeks after reducing bullish bets to the lowest in almost six years, U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission data show. They increased their net-long position by 60 percent to 57,113 contracts in the two weeks to June 4. (Bloomberg)

    Where do you get YOUR research? Obviously, in addition to being rather -- I'll be nice -- unwise-- you seem to have a problem with quoting accurate facts. Keep writing please. You are now a contrary indicator of mine!
    Jun 13 07:29 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Peter Schiff Has It Totally Backwards - Gold Is Not Going 'To The Moon' [View article]
    Look, I have no idea. But it is, IMO, going to break that 1350 support, and I am short for this. Put up or shut up. You don't agree, fill up right here at 1385.
    Jun 13 06:34 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Peter Schiff Has It Totally Backwards - Gold Is Not Going 'To The Moon' [View article]
    I'll add some analysis. Gold is the ultimate safety trade, pays no dividends, and thrives in times of crisis. It is still; horribly popular and overowned! It is the ONLY asset my non- trader friends; ever mention as something to invest in.

    What is ignored, is Europe is healing ( although anemic) and the crisis there is going away. As for the risk of inflation in the US, if -- and we are far from seeing it -- inflation really starts to get going, the people will scream, and the FED will slam on the brakes -- hard. Guess then which asset will lead on the way down. Higher rates are poison for Gold.

    Notice technically, the absolute anemic rally attempts in both Gold and related stocks, with a panic in Japan, and QE - soothing comments today, and horrible sentiment. Sentiment by itself, is NEVER a reason to buy an asset! Trading 101. Nothing can rally it. Listen -- it is sending a message, the next move down will be a doozy.

    Gold will soon crack 1350, on its way to 1200. Get out, and buy a productive asset like cyclicals or emerging markets -- they are cheap at current prices.
    Jun 13 05:26 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • If The Fed Tapers, It Risks Triggering A Stock Market Avalanche - Here's Why [View article]
    I'll add some analysis. Gold is the ultimate safety trade, pays no dividends, and thrives in times of crisis. It is still; horribly popular and overowned! It is the ONLY asset my non- trader friends; ever mention as something to invest in.

    What is ignored, is Europe is healing ( although anemic) and the crisis there is going away. As for the risk of inflation in the US, if -- and we are far from seeing it -- inflation really starts to get going, the people will scream, and the FED will slam on the brakes -- hard. Guess then which asset will lead on the way down. Higher rates are poison for Gold.

    Notice technically, the absolute anemic rally attempts in both Gold and related stocks, with a panic in Japan, and QE - soothing comments today, and horrible sentiment. Sentiment by itself, is NEVER a reason to buy an asset! Trading 101.

    Gold will soon crack 1350, on its way to 1200. Get out, and buy a productive asset like cyclicals -- they are cheap at current prices.
    Jun 13 05:25 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
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