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Former long-time business editor of major US women's magazine and contributing editor at dozens of different "trade" and consumer publications. Author of over 3,000 print magazine articles in past 30 years.
Penn Ph.D., centrist Republican.
Please visit my blogsites:
Baby Boomers-The Angriest Generation http://angriestgeneration.wordpress.com
The Rest of U.S. (for and about political Centrists) http://newcentristera.wordpress.com
and my brand-new blog about Markets:
Capital Punishment-Markets Through the Looking Glass http://marketslookingglass.wordpress.com
I have been studying the Federal Reserve Act and the banking industry for over 50 years and it simply amazes me how successful they have been in pulling the wool over the eyes of the masses. Their propaganda that they keep a 10% reserve of the funds deposited with them and loan out the other 90% and make their profit on the spread between the interest they pay out on deposits and what they charge at the retail level is PURE FICTION!
It has so far successfully HIDDEN what I believe is the "mother of all Ponzi schemes" in that bankers can CREATE out of thin air approx. 20X new dollars for every one in their reserves and according to no less an authority than Graham Towers, a former Governor of the Bank of Canada, "every bank loan is a new creation of money and when it is paid back it ceases to exist" now THIMK!
When a banker makes a loan, say a $200,000. mortgage, (French for death gamble), how much does he credit your account? ONLY $200,000, strange that you sign a legal contract to pay back over a 25-30 year amortization, probably DOUBLE that, (depending on the exact interest rate), so since that interest money was NOT CREATED (it never is) then it necessarily follows that with TWICE the fake money being taken OUT of circulation as was originally created, the ONLY way an economy can function is if there is an exponentially increasing number of new loans injecting this counterfeit trading medium into the marketplace.
Now go look up the dictionary definition of a Ponzi scheme!
These FACTS if carefully researched and evaluated will EXPLAIN both WHY we have the current economic mess and what got us there, and WHY the government "stimulus" plans will NOT SOLVE the problem of too much DEBT, since it only creates MORE and dilutes the value of all currently existing fiat currency whether dollars, Euros, pounds or yen, makes no difference.
The only defense against government CAUSED inflation that has stolen your earnings for decades, but particularly since we went off the gold standard in 1971 is to exchange your paper IOU's for REAL MONEY, gold and silver. The window of opportunity to do that is rapidly closing as more and more people come to realize the FRAUD that fiat currency represents!
While nobody can accurately predict the exact time frames of the breakdown of the counterfeit money system and the rising value of precious metals, and there are wild guesses ranging from $5000. to $10,000. per U.S. dollar in circulation, an EVENTUAL rise over $2200. to MATCH the 1980 inflation adjusted run-up is about as certain as the rising of to-morrows sun, skeptics will simply end up the losers as inflation destroys their paper investments!
I run a model fund at Ken Kam's Marketocracy, where they do capital management using the best member mutual fund track records with extensive tabulations of alpha, beta, R-squared, and many other fund management evaluations. Marketocracy Capital Management offers SMA (Separately Managed Accounts) through FOLIOfn Institutional ($100,000 minimum accounts) set up to track the top 15 or so long-term track records (many 12 years plus) of the 30000 or so active members that run models at their site. My fund is one of those top models available for SMAs. My SMA investment fund now has a first year performance with double digit alpha. You can see the fund's performance chart at marketocracy.com (the Turtle Fund - symbol BPMF) and there is one in my profile over at TalkMarkets.
My fund methodology is high diversification, usually running around 40-60 stocks from many different sectors. I rarely weight any position much over 5%. I began at Marketocracy developing an analysis method I've labeled The Fractal Base Flow Model. I've been experimenting with variations of my basic methodology with 4 other funds and a 5th where I try new things. With my first and main model fund BPMF (Bruce Pile's Mutual Fund) I did my basic method for the first 7 years or so with an alpha over 30, then strayed a little into other analysis methods that did not work as well. For the SMA, I am using the methods proven to work well.
Marketocracy is a new way of investing that solves a lot of the problems in the industry today. When investors nowadays survey their options, they are perplexed by the mish mash of risk and fees. In mutual funds, you have regulated safety where managers must diversify with less than 10% of your money in any one name in the top of your weightings scheme, making for at least around 20 stocks at any one time. The SEC also prohibits the risk of leverage and investing in dangerous derivatives, etc. But this safety is typically viewed as a tradeoff with performance vs hedge funds, where all the dangerous stuff is allowed. But the sad result of all this danger is that most hedge funds fail. The average life of a hedge fund that makes it past the first year is just 5 years. More than two thirds of all hedge funds that ever existed are now dead. There is the fund of funds option, but the high turnover means that even they must select an all new portfolio of funds about every 5 years. This makes selecting proven long-term performers virtually impossible. A fund of hedge funds will typically not only charge the high hedge fund fees of 1%-4% management fee plus 15%-25% of your returns, but will also charge fees for running the fund of funds. They pile complication upon complication and charge you for it. "Oh, and the hedge fund industry as a whole hasn’t produced alpha/added value to simple portfolios for years, since its assets under management ballooned." [FTalphaville] With typical leverage, that has grown over 15 years from around 20% to over 40% now, you get 40%more risk than mutual fund rules with no significant added performance, just more costs. And because that added leverage risk is so often concentrated in the same areas by all the large funds, inducing systemic risk, when those bets go wrong they can go very wrong. With all the above, an investor must live with the risk of having just one fund manager, or picker of rotating funds in a fund of funds. Imagine a place where you could go to sign up for an account where you could review track records and styles and risk levels of not just one guy, but up to 15 or so, and check on your account signup form how you want to spread your money among these guys. And imagine that all these managers have had to compile top ranked hedge fund performance levels for up to 15 years under the safety level of SEC rules for mutual funds. And imagine you could get all this at roughly cost of a mutual fund. It would be like opening an account and checking the names of Peter Lynch, Warren Buffett, and all your favorite hedge fund managers to gang tackle your investment objectives. And as in any team sport, if one guy hits a cold streak, the others will carry him. No dependence on one manager. Well there is such a place - Marketocracy Capital Management. Here, thousands of people from all walks of life, from retired and active fund managers to ordinary individual investors, compete online with virtual funds. If your track record qualifies, you can open a GIPS account for real money tracking of your model fund and have client accounts track your model. My fund is one of those, ticker BPMF. FOLIOfn Institutional can open a client SMA where you can pick and choose from the best of the best long-term performers. To look into this: Phone: 1-877-462-4180 email: email@example.com web: marketocracy.com
I have 10 kids and 28 grand kids with 3 great grand kids now.
I bought my first stock a good 70 years ago and have been trading dividend paying stocks and profiting from them for well over 50 years now. I sell when I think it is needed but I buy for the long term. I am somewhat of a bottom-fisher - I like to look for the deal on a company I want to own anyway.
I have traded commodities in the past, but I prefer to use ETFs for them instead of buying them now as they trade easier and make it easier to keep my two personal portfolios balanced overall.
In my Core Portfolio - I keep at 85% dividend paying stocks with a 7+ year record of RAISING them along with 15% Gold and Silver. I rarely sell these but spend time weekly on each one keeping up with the news and reports on them.
In my Speculation (or Exploration) Portfolio - I keep stocks that cut their dividend and were sold, but re-purchased them when they dropped to a point where they are attractive again. A trade sequence on these usually ends up with me having a zero-cost basis for the shares I kept and cash ahead also. I also keep stocks in this one that I know are trading in a channel so I buy low and collect dividends until they go back up to my target price and I - again - have a zero cost-basis and free stock when I sell. This is also where stocks that I have found attractive because of low value metrics and are trending up are kept for as long as I am in the trade. As Jesse Livermoore said "No stock is too low to sell or too high to buy." He made millions by following the trends and never lost money unless he went against his own disciplines. I try to keep that in mind with my trades.
I have had a wide range of jobs in my lifetime - Law Enforcement, Professional Gambler and Gold Prospector among them. I use my experience to help me figure out what comes next.
I own a small manufacturing company. We specialize in Bulk Storage Systems and Hydraulic Power Units for the Defense, Food, Mining, Plastics and Power Industries.
I joined SA after repeatedly running into article's posted on their site. I won't be able to add much in terms investments ideas and or strategies. I do however have decent knowledge of the challenges that a small manufacturer may face in the USA.
If you are reading this to find out who I am because something I just said pissed you off, let me take this opportunity to apologize.
If you are reading this for any other reason, surely you must have something better to do. If that sounds rude, see above.
Old Trader is a 63 year old private investor, managing a retirement portfolio constructed to a) generate a high current yield, b) preserve capital, and c) increase capital. His methodology involves taking a "top down" macro view to identify favorable trends, and then engage in fundamental analysis at the company level to identify "best of breed" companies that will benefit from those trends. He employs some simple TA to help determine favorable entry and exit points for positions.
The ultimate goal is the construction of an "absolute return" portfolio, fully recognizing that such a portfolio will lag in a strong bull market, but will result in much smoother returns, a characteristic he feels is critical for retirement accounts.
Founder and moderator of Chicagoland Investors' Group. Monthly Sunday brunch meetings to discuss markets and investing/trading strategies.
I can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org
Building wealth intelligently and patiently is the most logical and tested route to financial independence.
That is my plan and so far, so good!
(WARNING: Do your own due diligence and don't depend on me or anyone else on SA to offer sound investing advice. My recommendations are for educational purposes ONLY!)
I went through an apprenticeship While in high school and became a carpenter after graduating high school in 1976. Recession struck in the late seventies lasting into the the eighties. I joined the U.S. Army and retired after twenty years. I am currently a indipendant contractor providing technical services for perimeter security to military bases in the south west.
Bill Gross, called "the nation's most prominent bond investor" by the New York Times, is managing director of Pacific Investment Management (or PIMCO) and manages its Total Return fund, the world's largest bond fund and fifth largest mutual fund, and several smaller funds. He publishes a monthly letter discussing the bond market, and is the author of two books: Everything You've Heard About Investing Is Wrong! (http://tinyurl.com/nfc4x) and Bill Gross on Investing (http://tinyurl.com/nhmnj9).
Note: Mr. Gross is not an active contributor to Seeking Alpha; rather, SA editors excerpt regularly from Mr. Gross's public commentary. Visit PIMCO (http://www.pimco.com/)
Rolfe Winkler is a columnist and blogger for Reuters. His website is http://blogs.reuters.com/rolfe-winkler. Prior to Reuters he blogged for the Implode-o-Meter at OptionARMageddon.com and his content was syndicated on RGE Monitor and Naked Capitalism.
Let's see, Veteran (Vietnam era), Commercial Artist, picture framer, industrial engineer & corporate executive (once upon a time), small business owner and operator, Ayn Rand fan, Libertarian (and no, its not a synonym for "Republican" or "Conservative"), and history buff. Serious investor, I need to earn money from my assets, and I'm of the age where I pull money out to help put food on the table. I like to fish, but just as with my investing, I am a "meat fisherman", I only kill what I plan to consume.
Ken Adler has been involved with residential and commercial real estate for the past 13 years. He has also successfully invested for the past decade in the markets using mutual funds, ETFs, stocks, and options. Currently he runs http://www.freevaluestockpicks.com as a free service for those interested in timely stock market opportunities.
Spent over 30 years in computer systems work, many different functions. Owned my own business for awhile. Got tired of it (managing employees is not my baliwick) and stopped doing it professionally. Did other things, off and on, for some more years and finally bumped into this investing/trading stuff. "Looks like a challenge" said I and jumped in (I've found I'm happiest learning new things and overcoming challenges - this certainly qualifies as a challenge).
Still on the steep side of the learning curve, but with facilities like Seeking Alpha, internet availability of all sorts of information and dedication, I'm beginning to improve my performance.
As part of that learning, I've recently been working on learning technical analysis of charts.
I Have been using covered call options for a while and had good success with that, so I'm currently studying and playing with small positions using other option strategies.
Being interested in a lot of different things, I had a desire to check out natural gas, due to its environmental and potential cost benefits. Fortunately, before I dabbled in it, I had already learned to not trade on emotion and had started getting familiar with how I might more effectively use technical analysis of charts. My first foray into NG, using UNG, I made a small return in a short time, thanks to the charts.
As time goes on, I'm discovering additional resources. It looks like I might enjoy doing this for a long time.
Because of my background, I guess, I'm a big believer in "community knowledge". That is what any one of us knows is available to all the community members, except for those that need a serious "attitude adjustment".
I enjoy learning from all and sharing what I may have to contribute.
Suzanne S. Hamilton is the founder and president of Legacy Asset Management Inc. and hedge fund manager of Legacy Capital Fund LP. Suzanne has been managing portfolios for 11 years and is dedicated to pushing the edge of innovation in her field. Suzanne’s more than eighteen years of experience in computer security and mathematics, have culminated in development of complex algorithms and proprietary software designed to automate the management of risk. After extensive research, Suzanne’s efforts have evolved from one based on a long-only strategy into the integration of numerous independent models supporting both a long and short strategy for global markets, commodities, fixed income, and currencies.
Suzanne often appears as a panelist at financial conferences and is advocating to evolve alternative strategies to be more liquid and transparent. She was a participant in the CalPERS conference of top women in finance, a panelist at the Global ETF 2009 Awards Dinner and Workshop, and was a panelist at the Inside ETF Conference.
Suzanne is the former CEO of SECURIX, Inc. and additionally has provided security services over the years to well-recognized firms and organizations such as Microsoft, IBM, the Pentagon, and JNIDS (Joint National Intelligence Development Staff).
Suzanne received both her BS and MS in Computer Science/Mathematics from The American University. She currently holds a Series 65 license.
Former mortgage company owner who used to write about the nuances of a rigged system, until I left that world to do something productive. I'm now part of a team that has built a total IT solution that obsolesces the need to ever buy hardware, software, or IT services again.
Regarding a fractional reserve banking system, the Rothschild brothers once said "The few who understand the system, will either be so interested from it's profits or so dependant on it's favors, that there will be no opposition from that class." I am that rare individual they didn't account for. I tutor graduate level economics, have read the original works of Smith, Marx, and Keynes for fun, and probably understand more about economics than is healthy for any person to. But most of what I have learned has not been from a textbook or a classroom. Most of what I have learned has come from trying to eek out a living as a small business owner, starting from scratch, in a heavily anti-competitive, almost mercantilist industry that is overtly hostile to the new or little guy. The following are my 10 principles of economics: The Path to Prosperity Many of the policy decisions that impact our lives are made based on mistruths about and misunderstanding of what it takes to create prosperity. I’ve compiled a list of the truth antidotes to some of the most notorious of these. Some of my principles can be found in textbooks. Some cannot. Some directly conflict with what is in most textbooks. Nevertheless they are all based on sound theory, on historical evidence, on common sense, and on independent critical thinking to answer the key question: “How do we create the most prosperity for the most people?” 1. Falling prices are natural; falling prices are good. Fighting this steals from the working class and gives to the investor class. 2. Your contribution to society is what you produce, not what you consume. Paris Hilton is not the model citizen for creating prosperity. 3. Paying a man not to work does not create wealth; it only transfers it. 4. Business regulations help big business and big government at the expense of small business, consumers, and workers. 5. A tax cut on another man helps you when compared to no tax cuts for anyone. But when compared to a tax cut for yourself, the choice is clear which is better for you. 6. Tomorrow’s prosperity comes from today’s savings, regardless of who is doing the saving. 7. Central planner policies that help sellers and producers do so by hurting buyers and consumers. 8. Public money should not be spent on private consumption. 9. To privatize profits but socialize losses is to steal. 10. There is no shortage of jobs. There is only a shortage of money to pay for those jobs. To cure this shortage we need to stop wasting money on jobs that do little to no good for us, and we need to allow more people to do what the bottom-up power of the free markets want as opposed to what the top-down power decree of government wants. For every young man fighting an unnecessary war, there is one less man who can teach 3rd grade and coach little league. For every MVA worker, there is one less worker available to pickup trash or plug potholes. For every genius who goes into accounting to demystify our tax code, there is one less genius to go to engineering school. We will never hit our goals if we keep aiming at the wrong targets.
Eamon Keane has an undergraduate degree in Mechanical Engineering and a master's degree in Energy Systems, graduating both with first class honours. He has received the Institute of Mechanical Engineers Best Student Certificate, a Veolia Environment research scholarship and two IBM PhD fellowships.
My undergraduate thesis looked at whether aluminium alloys would be a useful energy vector for in-vehicle hydrogen production (no). My master's degree thesis explored the effect high levels of wind generation would have on the economics of Combined Heat and Power (significant negative impact).
I'm interested in all things energy related, in particular oil, rare earth elements and electric vehicles.
I graduated with an economics degree and joined an investment house where I learned the investment business using other peoples money. I eventually started my own finance company which I sold a few years ago. I have been a fanatical stock and commodities player for over 25 years. Finally, to understand my Pseudonym (Carl Spackler), just go watch the movie Caddyshack. He is a central character in the film.
John Mauldin is a renowned financial expert, a New York Times best-selling author, and a pioneering online commentator. Each week, over 1 million readers turn to Mauldin for his penetrating view on Wall Street, global markets, and economic history.
Mauldin’s weekly e-newsletter, Thoughts from the Frontline, was one of the first publications to provide investors with free, unbiased information and guidance. Today, it is the most widely distributed investment newsletter in the world. Mauldin also offers The Mauldin Circle, a free service that connects accredited investors to an exclusive network of money managers and alternative investment opportunities. (In this regard, he is President and a Registered Representative of Millennium Wave Securities, member FINRA, please see legal disclosures).
Mauldin is a frequent contributor to publications including The Financial Times and The Daily Reckoning, as well as a regular guest on CNBC, Yahoo Tech Ticker, and Bloomberg TV. He also edits the free weekly e-letter Outside the Box.
Alexandre Kateb works as an independent economist and financial consultant for banks, hedge funds and institutional investors (including sovereign wealth funds), focusing on macro analysis and financial institutions. He also lectures in economics at Paris-based Institute for Political Studies (Sciences Po).
Prior to that Alexandre worked as a financial economist at the French Central Bank and within the BNP Paribas group in Paris. He has published in May 2011 a book on the largest emerging economies, the so-called BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China). Alexandre graduated in engineering from Ecole Centrale Paris and in economics and political science from Sciences Po.
He is open to consultations on different subjects including France, the Eurozone and Russia/CIS.
Visit his blog: http://alexandrekateb.wordpress.com
Reggie Middleton is the personification of the freethinking maverick — the ultimate nonconformist as it applies to macro strategies, investment, and analysis. He uses his background and knowledge in new media, distributed computing, risk management, insurance, financial engineering, real estate, corporate valuation, and financial analysis to pursue, analyze, and capitalize on global macroeconomic opportunities.
Finding most available research lacking, both in quality and quantity, Mr. Middleton assembled his own talented research staff. As forensic research is a lynchpin for his own investing, "to actually put food on the table," he stands behind it as doing what it is supposed to do - illustrate, elucidate and educate. He does not sell advice or research. He is an entrepreneur who exists outside of mainstream corporate America and Wall Street. This allows him the freedom to do things that many cannot—perform without conflicts of interest and corporate politics.
Mr. Middleton prides himself on developing some of the highest quality, actionable research available - regardless of price. He welcomes any and all to peruse his blog of freely available analysis, opinion and participatory social media; use his custom tools, download files, interact with the community and make critical comparisons from a results orientated perspective.
Reggie believes ideas and implementations are improved and fine-tuned when bounced off of the collective intellect of the many, in lieu of that of the few - in essence, a form of collaborative open source financial analysis.
Visit his blog Boom Bust Blog. (http://boombustblog.com/)