The Fed's got it right. Data going back to 1962 shows the 10-year Treasury yield is far more correlated with core CPI than it is with the headline rate, notes Matt Busigin. Since 1986, the Treasury/core rate correlation is even higher, getting pretty close to 1. The data also gives truth to the argument that energy and food price shocks (which affect the headline) are deflationary. [View news story]
The yield curve continues to steepen, the 10-year Treasury up another 3 bps to 1.72% (the highest in 2 months). A steeper curve is consistent with a growing economy, writes Vince Cignarella, but does it mean the Fed - hard at work trying to suppress long yields through The Twist - is becoming irrelevant? [View news story]
The Fed's got it right. Data going back to 1962 shows the 10-year Treasury yield is far more correlated with core CPI than it is with the headline rate, notes Matt Busigin. Since 1986, the Treasury/core rate correlation is even higher, getting pretty close to 1. The data also gives truth to the argument that energy and food price shocks (which affect the headline) are deflationary. [View news story]
The yield curve continues to steepen, the 10-year Treasury up another 3 bps to 1.72% (the highest in 2 months). A steeper curve is consistent with a growing economy, writes Vince Cignarella, but does it mean the Fed - hard at work trying to suppress long yields through The Twist - is becoming irrelevant? [View news story]