NutritionFacts

Bank of Japan vs. the Fed

can't read the writing on the chart/image.
please link to a larger version.

V Bottoms and the Twin-Peaked Bear

He's probably confusing the so-called 45% contraction in global wealth with a relatively small drop off in global output..


On Mar 15 12:38 PM Alphameister wrote:

> I happen to agree generally with your conclusions, but "fifty years
> as a pro" and you are able to claim the world economy has shrunk
> by 40%-50%??? Absurd exaggeration hardly serves any credibility
> you might be seeking.

The Stock Market Continues to Heal

A more accurate headline would shurely have been "The Stock Market Continues to Tread Water".

Furthermore, going nowhere after a steep move in either direction fulfils the imporant function of working off overbought or oversold conditions, creating the setup for either a continuation or a reversal, neither of which can be forecast with any great degree of confidence.

Options Expiration Week

How meaningless is this?

Remember The 3-Alarm Sell Signal?

Indeed. A quick check on 't internet confirms the signal was given in 07, not 06 as marked on the chart. NIL POINTS POUR MONSIEUR BABAK!!!!

ftalphaville.ft.com/bl.../

Percentage of Stocks Above Their 50-DMAs Finally Oversold

I just went to your blog Toto-13 and it's [Comment edited for abusive language. Commenter put on notice].

Semiconductors, Financials Due for a Rally

Inclined to agree. FWIW SNDK posted a 0.9% rise on Friday. I see that on Wednesday it closed a gap that has remained open since it occurred way back in July 05.

Lehman Ups Its Year-End Price Target for the S&P 500

You ought to post a post-end-of-2007 review on this; it would be quite instructive.

A Twist on the 'January Effect'

Observations: 107
Adjusted R 25.8%
Intercept Coefficient 10.2%
PE Coefficient -.95%
Positive January Return Coefficient 21.9%%
PE Coefficient P Value 6.7-4
Positive January Coefficient P Value 3 .9-8
F 19.7


Yeah, and what do these numbers mean (er, apart from "Observations"...I can figure that one out myself)? I did maths A level, but that did not include statistics (that being what thickos elected for, or so I was told), so this is mumbo jumbo to me, and doubtless many others, and consequently the usefulness of what looks like a potentially useful piece of work has been severely compromised. You don't have to write a statistics 101, but a line or two on each type of statistic would assist greatly.

Why Stocks Will Struggle in 2008

::yawn::

How Much Liquidity is Enough?

How much re-hashing of the same, tired old arguments is enough?

Christmas Rally? Maybe, But a Cold Winter Ahead

I think your position of "immense negativity on the market" is unwarranted. But, that's what makes a market, and I am comfortable (indeed perchance comforted?) that yours is the majority view right now.

Q2 Earnings: Most Stocks Falling Despite Beating Estimates

Great pictorial, thanks.

Intermediate-Term Market Outlook Shifts To Bullish

Hmm. Unfortunate timing, one might say. Still, I'm sure many would be interested in any further elaboration on your model. Thanks.

Recession or Slowdown: What Do the Numbers Say?

Perhaps just footnote (below the image, not on it) the reports that are represented on the image.