fsckr

Weekly Roundup: Strong Finish to a Choppy Week

Denninger's intelligent writeup of the f*ckery...
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market-ticker.denninge...

Nine Ways to Profit in 2009

Pretty interesting shorts but be extremely cautious of the assumptions and be prepared to think fast.

For example here's a fellow trader's thesis in March '08:
- The consumer is in trouble and because of this retailers will suffer in second half of '08
- The most hardest hit consumers are those at the bottom of the ladder
- The stores they shop at: Walmart, Family Dollar & Dollar Tree will bear the brunt of the demand destruction

Oh how wrong he was!

A flaw in the combination of assumptions can cause one to lose *big*

TLT Has Momentum

December technicals be damned, I'd short this baby all the way back to its interim range in the 100-105 with a stop at 120.

Keep Your Eye on the Baltic Dry Index

BDI Rides Again!

Keep an eye on the BDI, its been beat down the last couple of months but it is surging back stronger than ever and as it surges back, it is bound to bouy the shipping companies in its wake...

Compare the BDI correlation to DRYS, DSX and other dry good shippers...

www.bloomberg.com/apps...