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    <title>Ftobe's Instablog</title>
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    <author>
      <name>Ftobe</name>
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    <link>http://seekingalpha.com/user/3658961/instablog</link>
    <item>
      <title>How Did The Robot Industry Do? 2012 Robo-Stox™ Review.</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/3658961-ftobe/1530681-how-did-the-robot-industry-do-2012-robo-stox-review?source=feed</link>
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        <![CDATA[<p><i>By Frank Tobe, Editor and Publisher,</i> <a href="http://www.therobotreport.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">The Robot Report</a></p><p>If an enterprising firm set up a mutual fund reflecting the worldwide robotics industry, they might choose to separate their picks into three segments, which might look something like this:</p><ol><li><b>Industrial Robot Manufacturers</b></li><li><b>Service Robot Makers of security, defense and space robots</b></li><li><b>Service Robot Makers of robots for all other purposes</b></li></ol><p>Although I am neither a broker nor an analyst, I do track the business of robotics and the performance of those companies within the industry publicly traded on various global stock exchanges. In fact, I started compiling and tracking the stocks at the end of 2007, and set up a comparative index, Robo-Stox&trade;, because no brokerage or mutual fund firm had such a fund or funds or index. I began this just in time to watch the stocks tank in 2008 and 2009 and recover in 2010 through 2012. What follows is a wrap-up of what I found of particular interest in 2012.</p><p><em>(click to enlarge)</em><a href="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/2/7/saupload_5-year-performance-report.png" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><img src="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/2/7/saupload_5-year-performance-report_thumb1.png" /></a></p><p>As can be seen from this 5-year Robo-Stox&trade; chart, not all stocks have fully recovered their 2007 year-end highs; the average stock hasn't... but many have succeeded in full recovery, particularly in the non-industrial sector. And, as can be seen from the Big-4 chart below, the biggest industrial robot manufacturers did quite well in 2012.</p><p><b>Industrial robot manufacturers</b></p><p>Japanese industrial robot manufacturers did well for the year: all but 2 were up Y-T-D and the group beat the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) 7.3% gain for the year. More than half of the stocks in the index have recovered from their 2008 lows.</p><p><em>(click to enlarge)</em><a href="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/2/7/saupload_big-4-2012-results.png" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><img src="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/2/7/saupload_big-4-2012-results_thumb1.png" /></a></p><p>The Big Four robot makers (ABB (NYSE:ABB), Yaskawa Motoman (TYO:6506), Fanuc (TYO:6954) and KUKA (ETR:KU2)) did particularly well and all had double digit gains compared to the DJIA.</p><p>KUKA's stock was up 22% for the year - the standout performer of the group. KUKA AG has invested heavily in facilities and marketing in China and their long-term prospects appear to be good.</p><p><em>(click to enlarge)</em><a href="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/2/7/saupload_TRR-industrials-RESULTS-THRU-12-31-12.jpg" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><img src="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/2/7/saupload_TRR-industrials-RESULTS-THRU-12-31-12_thumb1.jpg" /></a></p><p>Canadian, US and European industrial robot makers did similar to Japan - slightly beating the DJIA's 7.3% gain for the year with about half having returned to their 2007 highs. I don't know what happened in Korea; almost all of their stocks had a wobbly year with end-of-year prices near the lows for the year.</p><p><b>Service Robot Manufacturers</b></p><p><i>Healthcare and medical:</i></p><p>Service robot companies, particularly high-tech medical/surgical stocks had a very mixed year.</p><ul><li>MAKO Surgical (NASDAQ:MAKO) had two serious slides during the year taking the stock from a high of $44 to it's present low of $12 - all because of missed analyst expectations.</li><li>Intuitive Surgical (NASDAQ:ISRG) (of da Vinci Surgical Robot fame) also had a roller coaster year with a high of $588, a low of $440, and ended literally where it began the year.</li></ul><p>Few companies beat the NASDAQ, which was up 15.9% for the year; but here are a few standouts:</p><ul><li>Accuray (NASDAQ:ARAY), whose robotic radiation therapy Cyberknife did quite well during the year, was up 42% from $4.43 to $6.31 at year-end.</li><li>Swisslog Holdings's stock, traded on the Swiss Stock Exchange (SLOG:SW), was up more than 45% for the year. Their pill-making and dispensing systems and hospital tugs are doing well and their warehousing robots are also benefiting from the trend to automate distribution centers.</li><li>Israel's Mazor Robotics (MZOR:IT) and their spine implant system did well too - up from $110 at the beginning of the year to $229 at year's end!</li></ul><p><em>(click to enlarge)</em><a href="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/2/7/saupload_TRR-service-RESULTS-THRU-12-31-12.jpg" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><img src="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/2/7/saupload_TRR-service-RESULTS-THRU-12-31-12_thumb1.jpg" /></a></p><p><i>Military, defense and security:</i></p><p>The cutback in US military spending has had a mixed effect on service robot makers and appears to depend on how broadly they have been able to adapt their products to global security and defense needs:</p><ul><li>iRobot (NASDAQ:IRBT), similar to MAKO Surgical (NASDAQ:MAKO), also had two serious stock drops during the year - both caused by the company having to restate expectations because of government cutbacks even though revenues from the military represent only 1/3 of gross revenues.</li><li>QinetiQ Group PLC (QQ/:LN), on the other hand, a British company, gets 100% of it's revenue from governmental sources. It's stock was up more than 35% for the year as were it's profits.</li><li>Many conglomerates have subsidiaries that produce unmanned air, sea and land robots (and their support systems) for defense and security governmental agencies. This is a global market with global players. Elbit Systems (NASDAQ:ESLT), an Israeli company, is a case in point. They have a big UAV operation but that unit's revenues are just a small portion of those from the overall company, thus their stock is certainly not a <a href="http://www.everything-robotic.com/2012/04/picking-robotics-stocks-is-complicated.html" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">robotics pure</a> <a href="http://www.everything-robotic.com/2012/04/picking-robotics-stocks-is-complicated.html" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">play</a>. Elbit's stock, which had a long slide and a short recovery during 2012, broke even for the year.</li></ul><p><b>Bottom line</b></p><ul><li>Industrial robotic providers had a good year</li><li>Military robot makers saw governmental cutbacks reflected in their stock prices and are widening their sales and transforming their products to sell to municipal governments</li><li>Surgical and hospital service robot suppliers had a mixed year, the former held up by patents and FDA approvals, the latter (e.g., Swisslog (SLOG:SW) did quite well.</li><li>Most other new-tech robotic companies are privately or equity-fund held, hence, no idea as to their results other than news about contracts received. For example, venture funded <a href="http://www.liquidr.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Liquid Robotics</a>, during 2012, established a new joint venture with oil conglomerate Schlumberger (NYSE:SLB) and a new naval division for governmental and Navy contracts. Wouldn't you like to own a few shares of that company?</li></ul><p>2012 was a good year for many robotics companies and 2013 seems like it will continue the momentum of equal parts finding robotic solutions to workplace needs but also crowd-funded wild ideas and other digressions.</p><p>Also see <i><a href="http://www.everything-robotic.com/2013/01/filling-need-or-feeding-diversion.html" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Filling a need... or feeding a diversion</a></i> for more stock info.</p><p><strong>Disclosure: </strong>I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 08 Feb 2013 05:03:59 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><i>By Frank Tobe, Editor and Publisher,</i> <a href="http://www.therobotreport.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">The Robot Report</a></p><p>If an enterprising firm set up a mutual fund reflecting the worldwide robotics industry, they might choose to separate their picks into three segments, which might look something like this:</p><ol><li><b>Industrial Robot Manufacturers</b></li><li><b>Service Robot Makers of security, defense and space robots</b></li><li><b>Service Robot Makers of robots for all other purposes</b></li></ol><p>Although I am neither a broker nor an analyst, I do track the business of robotics and the performance of those companies within the industry publicly traded on various global stock exchanges. In fact, I started compiling and tracking the stocks at the end of 2007, and set up a comparative index, Robo-Stox&trade;, because no brokerage or mutual fund firm had such a fund or funds or index. I began this just in time to watch the stocks tank in 2008 and 2009 and recover in 2010 through 2012. What follows is a wrap-up of what I found of particular interest in 2012.</p><p><em>(click to enlarge)</em><a href="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/2/7/saupload_5-year-performance-report.png" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><img src="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/2/7/saupload_5-year-performance-report_thumb1.png" /></a></p><p>As can be seen from this 5-year Robo-Stox&trade; chart, not all stocks have fully recovered their 2007 year-end highs; the average stock hasn't... but many have succeeded in full recovery, particularly in the non-industrial sector. And, as can be seen from the Big-4 chart below, the biggest industrial robot manufacturers did quite well in 2012.</p><p><b>Industrial robot manufacturers</b></p><p>Japanese industrial robot manufacturers did well for the year: all but 2 were up Y-T-D and the group beat the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) 7.3% gain for the year. More than half of the stocks in the index have recovered from their 2008 lows.</p><p><em>(click to enlarge)</em><a href="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/2/7/saupload_big-4-2012-results.png" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><img src="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/2/7/saupload_big-4-2012-results_thumb1.png" /></a></p><p>The Big Four robot makers (ABB (NYSE:ABB), Yaskawa Motoman (TYO:6506), Fanuc (TYO:6954) and KUKA (ETR:KU2)) did particularly well and all had double digit gains compared to the DJIA.</p><p>KUKA's stock was up 22% for the year - the standout performer of the group. KUKA AG has invested heavily in facilities and marketing in China and their long-term prospects appear to be good.</p><p><em>(click to enlarge)</em><a href="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/2/7/saupload_TRR-industrials-RESULTS-THRU-12-31-12.jpg" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><img src="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/2/7/saupload_TRR-industrials-RESULTS-THRU-12-31-12_thumb1.jpg" /></a></p><p>Canadian, US and European industrial robot makers did similar to Japan - slightly beating the DJIA's 7.3% gain for the year with about half having returned to their 2007 highs. I don't know what happened in Korea; almost all of their stocks had a wobbly year with end-of-year prices near the lows for the year.</p><p><b>Service Robot Manufacturers</b></p><p><i>Healthcare and medical:</i></p><p>Service robot companies, particularly high-tech medical/surgical stocks had a very mixed year.</p><ul><li>MAKO Surgical (NASDAQ:MAKO) had two serious slides during the year taking the stock from a high of $44 to it's present low of $12 - all because of missed analyst expectations.</li><li>Intuitive Surgical (NASDAQ:ISRG) (of da Vinci Surgical Robot fame) also had a roller coaster year with a high of $588, a low of $440, and ended literally where it began the year.</li></ul><p>Few companies beat the NASDAQ, which was up 15.9% for the year; but here are a few standouts:</p><ul><li>Accuray (NASDAQ:ARAY), whose robotic radiation therapy Cyberknife did quite well during the year, was up 42% from $4.43 to $6.31 at year-end.</li><li>Swisslog Holdings's stock, traded on the Swiss Stock Exchange (SLOG:SW), was up more than 45% for the year. Their pill-making and dispensing systems and hospital tugs are doing well and their warehousing robots are also benefiting from the trend to automate distribution centers.</li><li>Israel's Mazor Robotics (MZOR:IT) and their spine implant system did well too - up from $110 at the beginning of the year to $229 at year's end!</li></ul><p><em>(click to enlarge)</em><a href="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/2/7/saupload_TRR-service-RESULTS-THRU-12-31-12.jpg" rel="lightbox" rel="nofollow"><img src="http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/uploads/2013/2/7/saupload_TRR-service-RESULTS-THRU-12-31-12_thumb1.jpg" /></a></p><p><i>Military, defense and security:</i></p><p>The cutback in US military spending has had a mixed effect on service robot makers and appears to depend on how broadly they have been able to adapt their products to global security and defense needs:</p><ul><li>iRobot (NASDAQ:IRBT), similar to MAKO Surgical (NASDAQ:MAKO), also had two serious stock drops during the year - both caused by the company having to restate expectations because of government cutbacks even though revenues from the military represent only 1/3 of gross revenues.</li><li>QinetiQ Group PLC (QQ/:LN), on the other hand, a British company, gets 100% of it's revenue from governmental sources. It's stock was up more than 35% for the year as were it's profits.</li><li>Many conglomerates have subsidiaries that produce unmanned air, sea and land robots (and their support systems) for defense and security governmental agencies. This is a global market with global players. Elbit Systems (NASDAQ:ESLT), an Israeli company, is a case in point. They have a big UAV operation but that unit's revenues are just a small portion of those from the overall company, thus their stock is certainly not a <a href="http://www.everything-robotic.com/2012/04/picking-robotics-stocks-is-complicated.html" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">robotics pure</a> <a href="http://www.everything-robotic.com/2012/04/picking-robotics-stocks-is-complicated.html" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">play</a>. Elbit's stock, which had a long slide and a short recovery during 2012, broke even for the year.</li></ul><p><b>Bottom line</b></p><ul><li>Industrial robotic providers had a good year</li><li>Military robot makers saw governmental cutbacks reflected in their stock prices and are widening their sales and transforming their products to sell to municipal governments</li><li>Surgical and hospital service robot suppliers had a mixed year, the former held up by patents and FDA approvals, the latter (e.g., Swisslog (SLOG:SW) did quite well.</li><li>Most other new-tech robotic companies are privately or equity-fund held, hence, no idea as to their results other than news about contracts received. For example, venture funded <a href="http://www.liquidr.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Liquid Robotics</a>, during 2012, established a new joint venture with oil conglomerate Schlumberger (NYSE:SLB) and a new naval division for governmental and Navy contracts. Wouldn't you like to own a few shares of that company?</li></ul><p>2012 was a good year for many robotics companies and 2013 seems like it will continue the momentum of equal parts finding robotic solutions to workplace needs but also crowd-funded wild ideas and other digressions.</p><p>Also see <i><a href="http://www.everything-robotic.com/2013/01/filling-need-or-feeding-diversion.html" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Filling a need... or feeding a diversion</a></i> for more stock info.</p><p><strong>Disclosure: </strong>I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.</p>]]>
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