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  • Economic Fault Lines Emerge [View article]
    The compensation plans which encourage risky behavior for short term gain are fully entrenched in Washington politics.

    Mar 29 07:51 AM | 27 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Buyer Beware: 30 Biggest Bankruptcy Risks [View article]
    How many of these will be getting bailout funds?

    The government is picking winners and losers not the market.

    It is the number of potential bankruptcies that bothers me when I search for a recovery.

    How many companies, without a bailout, can survive without a return to growth matching the models they used to justify taking on the debt in the first place?
    Apr 19 10:05 AM | 19 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Worst Isn't Over Yet [View article]
    I'm in cash. I'd rather lose my money to inflation than get drummed for being a sap.

    Apr 17 11:05 AM | 18 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Banks And Consumers Say No to More Debt [View article]
    I am a small business owner. I remember when the government announced that they were going to help small business. Then I learned that their only means to help me was a loan from the SBA.

    I don't need a loan. I need customers. I need to make money not borrow to cover losses while I try to survive.

    Yet ... That's what was served up for me.

    What the government has to do is get rid of uncertainty. It is not knowing (having an inkling) as to what is going to happen over the next few years that keeps me from being willing to invest.

    How in the heck is government going to get rid of uncertainty?

    It starts with credibility. I don't trust the FEDury further than I can throw Mount Rushmore. I don't trust the numbers coming out of financial institutions. I don't trust Congress to do the right thing.

    The best way to create trust is for them to quit prodding the dumb ole animal spirit and start telling me the truth.

    "They" can start with the stress test results.

    Apr 21 08:32 AM | 17 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How to Know a Bottom When You Don't See One [View article]
    I'm not sure as an investor that I need to know when the market bottoms.

    Historical means and mediums are about as accurate/helpful as the FEDury's ability to report initial GDP and unemployment numbers.

    And ... with saw in hand ... technical analysis presumes stable linkages between variables. In today's chaotic environment, spurious conclusions litter the floor.
    Mar 11 01:20 PM | 17 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 2009 Depression Will Be Nothing Like 1929 [View article]
    Call it a dad gum cheesecake.

    And ... no matter what you call "IT", it will be years before "normal" is returned.

    Mar 6 06:36 AM | 16 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Worst Isn't Over Yet [View article]
    IMHO: Anybody who says they know what's going on is lying or crazy.

    As the chinese say -- May you have an interesting life. I believe this qualifies.
    Apr 3 11:18 AM | 15 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Scarier Graphic from the Economist [View article]
    The FEDury likes its role of picking winners and losers.

    For GDP to be down only -2.7% for all of 2009 after starting off with a -6.3% and a similar number probable for Q2 is pretty darn optimistic.

    Apr 27 07:47 AM | 13 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Imminent Equity Implosion [View article]
    I'm getting a tad bit ticked off. OK ... maybe more than just a tad.

    It's time to take mops and brooms and bleach to Washington. They can either come clean or they can go down the drain with the rest of the scum.

    They say bankers are leaving -- the brain drain you know.

    Super duper! Hot dog!

    So ... who is hiring these charlatens? I want to know so I can avoid having anything to do with them. Their new companies will make my list of do not buy stocks.

    Actually they've probably all landed jobs with the government.
    Apr 13 11:43 AM | 13 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Jobless Claims: Still Really Bad [View article]
    And then of course you have the GM 9 week plant closures coming up.

    This engineered soft landing is beginning to hurt.

    My point? The longer the FEDury attempts to buy time for the bankers the more opportunity for other economic shoes to fall.

    The bank rescue is putting the general economy in jeopardy. It's dragging down the rest of the economy and as a result we're now in the process of creating zombie companies and zombie unemployed.

    We've got to put American biggest asset to work -- it people.
    Apr 23 10:56 AM | 12 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Unexpected Retail Decline [View article]
    71% of America trust Obama to led us economic safety.

    Only 29% of us are wondering about that? Lordy ... I can see the headline now ...

    Government Officials Shocked by Economic Events.

    Deficits don't matter?
    Unemployment isn't important?
    Retail sales aren't important?

    If I may ... just what in heck is important?

    No. On second thought ... Don't tell me.
    Apr 14 03:51 PM | 11 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Ugly Truth About Unemployment [View article]
    Small Business is the red headed step child. The stimulus bill ignored small business. If you want to keep people employed at small business, you're going to have to reduce the costs associated with having employees.

    Mar 8 01:10 PM | 11 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • CNN Misses the Point About Tea Parties [View article]
    Speaking as a fiscal conservative, social liberal attendee of my local tea party, this was not a right wing extremists thing.

    The primary topic at the rally I attended was that politicians are not doing what their constituents need and want them to do. While taxes were discussed, it was the bailout that was the main uniter.

    No more wedgies.

    Tell you Congressional Representatives to put America first -- not the Democratic or Republican Parties.

    Obama Didn't create the situation in Washington. He has a opportunity to truly bring change.

    However ... if he's just another lying politician then he is fair game.

    Apr 18 05:48 AM | 10 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Stock Market Rally Is for Suckers as Credit Destruction Lingers [View article]
    Being an entrepreneur has taught me many things. One of them is I have a much bigger appreciation for and more personal relationship with risk.

    When and where the rubber hits the road, I am willing to put the ante in and play my hand because I know that I do control at least my own actions. On the other hand, I have no control of nor have real input into the market. It doesn't care what I think or do. So ... I try to bet the trends.

    Right now there are no trends to bet.

    Until and unless uncertainty declines, there will be no clear trends.

    For example, I'm not going to take out a 5 year note and be personally responsible for it unless I can visualize how I'm going to pay for it in a worst case scenario. Cutting my teeth in the dotcom era as president of an internet startup; I take computer generated income scenarios with a grain of salt.

    Net, net, net ... the prudent investor isn't in this market. It's speculators and program trading.
    Apr 12 11:22 AM | 9 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Letting the Zombie Banks Fail: A Viable Plan [View article]
    Cetin Hakimoglu, I'm glad you brought that up.

    Prove it.

    That is an assumption that I've seen touted as a (the) Big reason and yet have yet to see anybody run the scenarios.

    Of course to run valid simulations would require one to have accurate information for input. We'd have to know the real exposure and that's something "they" have been busy trying to keep quiet.
    Apr 8 06:43 AM | 9 Likes Like |Link to Comment