Lars Christensen is an internationally renowned Danish economist specialised in international economy, Emerging Markets and monetary policy. Lars has over 20 years’ experience in government and banking and is the founder and owner of Markets and Money Advisory and is a Senior Fellow at London’s Adam Smith Institute.He has a long experience as a speaking partner to multinational companies and financial institutions regarding global financial markets, the global economy and geopolitics. He is known for his no-nonsense, out-of-the-box views and as a lively and opinionated speaker.
Lars Christensen worked five years as an economic policy analyst at the Danish Ministry of Economic Affairs (1996-2001). He has a master degree in Economics from the University of Copenhagen (1994).
Lars is particularly known for having been Head of Emerging Markets Research at Danske Bank in Copenhagen. In this role he authored numerous path-breaking economic reports on particularly Central and Eastern Europe.
In 2006-8 Lars co-authored a number of reports warning of a coming economic meltdown in Central and Eastern Europe and maybe most famously Lars co-authored the report “Geyser Crisis” in 2006, which correctly forecasted a major economic and financial crisis in Iceland.
Lars Christensen is the author of the book “Milton Friedman – en pragmatisk revolutionær” (“Milton Friedman – a pragmatic revolutionary”) published in November 2002. He has contributed to numerous other books. Lars Christensen is internationally recognized as a specialist on the economic teachings of Milton Friedman and the history of monetary thought.
Lars also blogs at marketmonetarist.com. His blog The Market Monetarist has since it was started in 2011 become one of the leading international blogs on monetary policy. Lars has coined the name Market Monetarism. Market Monetarism is a new school of economic thought that has emerged primarily in the blogosphere. Market Monetarists like Lars advocate that central banks should target the nominal GDP level (NGDP level targeting).
Furthermore, Lars has a strong interest in monetary policy for commodity exporting countries and he is advocating that commodity exporting countries could benefit from introducing what he has termed an Export Price Norm (EPN), where the commodity exporting country is pegging its exchange rate to a basket of currencies and the price of the commodity the country exports. Lars has been advising governments of oil exporting countries on monetary matters.
Protecting and preserving capital over the long term is more important than growing capital. Particularly devoted to researching cheap stocks of high quality companies, GARP stocks, Magic Formula names, and stocks trading below intrinsic value. Participate long only without hedge when overall bull market is trading for a CAPE under 15 (Tobin's Q under .8X) or when blood is in the streets (not dip buyers), but strive to cut losers early when the facts change and refuse to marry long or short positions unless a "holding period of forever" makes sense. Hunches must be backed up by disciplined systems.
In fully valued markets, we prefer hedging via index options and light commodity trading/trend following. Not interested in participating in latest fad or bubble. Prefer to short the bubble, but only after evidence suggests the bubble has popped.
Prefer to hedge any long positions in frothy markets utilizing a balanced long short equity approach in fairly valued markets. In undervalued markets, we need confirmation from market conditions and valuations in order to invest 100% long (or more) using in the money call options for leverage. Covered calls, calendar spreads, and other options strategies for capturing theta decay.
Cut losers on short side by using ITM put options instead of stock, trend following strategies if trading commodities (for diversification). Fundamental analysis but also technical analysis. Mathematical, disciplined trading strategies. Strive first off to be right about the overall direction of the market (bull or bear). Hold lots of cash when people are being greedy.
Nothing we publish here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Please consult your financial advisor before buying or selling any security.
Ira Stoll is author of Samuel Adams: A Life (Free Press, 2008). He was vice president and managing editor of the New York Sun, which he helped to found, from its debut in 2002 until its demise in 2008. Before that he was a consultant to the editorial page of the Wall Street Journal, North American editor of the Jerusalem Post, editor of Smartertimes.com, Washington correspondent and then managing editor of the Forward, and a reporter for the Los Angeles Times. He is a graduate of Harvard, where he was president of the Harvard Crimson. He lives in New York City.
Nick Gogerty he has worked at a value based hedge fund, a quant forex desk and debt prop desks, various technology and marketing firms and a deep future science research lab as well as one of the world's largest hedge funds. He is to be a guest lecturer at Columbia's Value Investing program fall 2014 and wrote, The Nature of Value published by Columbia University Press.
His experience and passion runs deeply across multiple market sectors, audiences and geographies.
Mr Gogerty has lived in 6 countries across 3 global regions, solving complex business problems.
Previously, Mr. Gogerty developed commodity hedge fund portfolios and indexes, working as a quantitative developer and trader on a proprietary foreign exchange desk in London. In addition, Mr. Gogerty has been a serial entrepreneur in convergence spaces between technology and media. He has also testified before the U.S. Senate on technology and counter-party financial risk with regard to the year 2000 transition.
Mr. Gogerty holds a Bachelor of Arts in cultural anthropology from the University of Iowa, an M.B.A. from the Ecole de Ponts et Chaussees in Paris. He holds or has held Series 3, 7, 63 and FSA licenses. Nick holds the Chartered Alternative Investment Analyst (CAIA) (http://www.caia.org/) designation. Mr. Gogerty lives in New York City with his wife Mercedes, where he enjoys reading about finance, technology, design, applied science and sustainable development in emerging economies. visit www.thenatureofvalue.com
Edward Harrison is the founder of the blog Credit Writedowns (www.creditwritedowns.com) and is a finance specialist at Global Macro Advisors. Previously, Edward was a strategy and finance executive at Deutsche Bank, Bain, and Yahoo. He started his career as a diplomat and speaks German, Dutch, Swedish, Spanish and French. Edward holds an MBA from Columbia University and a BA in Economics from Dartmouth College. Follow him on Twitter at twitter.com/edwardnh. Contact him at edh at creditwritedowns dot com as that's the only mailbox he reads regularly.
Chief economist and editor-in-chief of Visible Economy LLC, a new venture that combines news and education. As an economist and journalist, I focus mainly on growth and innovation, short-term and long-term. I blog at http://www.southmountaineconomics.com ("Mandel on Innovation and Growth"). Former chief economist at BusinessWeek.
Brett N. Steenbarger, Ph.D. is Clinical Associate Professor of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences at SUNY Upstate Medical University in Syracuse, NY. He is also a trader in the equities markets and works with traders in proprietary, hedge fund, and investment bank settings.
Dr. Steenbarger has authored The Psychology of Trading (Wiley, 2003) and Enhancing Trader Performance (Wiley, 2006), as well as over 50 peer-reviewed professional publications in psychology and psychiatry. He maintains an archive of free articles and research at www.brettsteenbarger.com and writes a daily blog on market psychology at www.traderfeed.blogspot.com.
Ellen Brown is an attorney, president of the Public Banking Institute, and the author of twelve books. Shedeveloped her research skills as an attorney practicing civil litigation in Los Angeles. In "Web of Debt," she turned those skills to an analysis of the Federal Reserve and “the money trust.” She showed how this private cartel has usurped the power to create money from the people themselves, and how we the people can get it back. In "The Public Bank Solution," her latest book, she explores the public banking model globally and historically as an equitable and efficient solution to our banking woes. Her earlier books focused on the pharmaceutical cartel that gets its power from “the money trust.” They include "Forbidden Medicine," "Nature’s Pharmacy" (co-authored with Dr. Lynne Walker), and "The Key to Ultimate Health" (co-authored with Dr. Richard Hansen). Her websites are www.webofdebt.com, www.publicbanksolution.com and www.ellenbrown.com.
Jeff is the President of NewArc Investments Inc., manager of both individual and institutional investments. Jeff is a registered investment advisor, and portfolio manager for NewArc's investment programs. Jeff is a former college professor with a hands-on, real world attitude. His quantitative modeling helped inform state and local officials in Wisconsin for more than a decade. A Public Policy analyst, he taught advanced research methods at the University of Wisconsin, and analyzed many issues related to state tax policy. Jeff began in the financial business as Research Director for trading firm at the Chicago Board Options Exchange. He investigated anomalies in the standard option pricing models, taught classes for beginning options traders, and developed new forecasting techniques. In 1991 he established a general research consultancy, working with professional traders at all of the Chicago financial exchanges. In 1998 he started NewArc Investments, Inc. Jeff has a commitment to the specific needs of individual investors. It is not a one-size-fits all approach, but one that emphasizes the unique circumstances of each client. Jeff also serves on the board of two small technology companies (currently Chairman at one). He is occasionally as an expert witness in legal cases involving financial markets and hedging.
John Mauldin is a renowned financial expert, a New York Times best-selling author, and a pioneering online commentator. Each week, over 1 million readers turn to Mauldin for his penetrating view on Wall Street, global markets, and economic history.
Mauldin’s weekly e-newsletter, Thoughts from the Frontline, was one of the first publications to provide investors with free, unbiased information and guidance. Today, it is the most widely distributed investment newsletter in the world. Mauldin also offers The Mauldin Circle, a free service that connects accredited investors to an exclusive network of money managers and alternative investment opportunities. (In this regard, he is President and a Registered Representative of Millennium Wave Securities, member FINRA, please see legal disclosures).
Mauldin is a frequent contributor to publications including The Financial Times and The Daily Reckoning, as well as a regular guest on CNBC, Yahoo Tech Ticker, and Bloomberg TV. He also edits the free weekly e-letter Outside the Box.
Daryl Montgomery is the organizer of the New York Investing meetup, a 7,000 member educational group that provides the public with unbiased stock, bond, currency and commodity market information. For details, see: http://ow.ly/Y6CNhT (it's free to join). The group is the largest investing meetup in the world. It holds monthly general meetings, offers small classes on investing topics, has webinars and provides individual tutoring.
Montgomery, a former professor and expert witness in court cases on data reliability (up to the Supreme Court), has written a number of books on investing and approximately 700 articles on financial topics. He was formerly the chief blogger for the "Helicopter Economics Investing Guide". He has done extensive research on optimal use of technical indicators. Montgomery has never worked for, nor has any association with any Wall Street company and this allows him to bring an independent perspective to market analysis.
The New York Investing meetup's strength is in calling market turns. It called the top in gold and silver in March 2008 and the exact day of the oil bottom in February 2009 and almost the exact peak price in Silver in 2011. The group went to an all-cash position starting in September 2015. The New York Investing meetup uses its own approach to technical analysis and currently has access to a proprietary model that predicts tops and bottoms in stocks and commodities.
Mike Konczal, a former financial engineer, is a fellow with the Roosevelt Institute, working on financial reform, the 21st century economy, structural unemployment, inequality, risk sharing, consumer access to financial services and more generally what it means to have a social contract in a financialized, post-industrial economy. His work has appeared at The Atlantic Monthly’s Business Channel, NPR’s Planet Money, Baseline Scenario, Seeking Alpha, Huffington Post and The Nation. Originally from Chicago, he enjoys finance, economics, sociology, theory, tacos and center-left politics on the side.
Patrick Chovanec is an associate professor at Tsinghua University’s School of Economics and Management in Beijing, China, where he teaches in the school’s International MBA Program.His insights into Chinese business, economics, politics, and culture have been featured on CNN, BBC, NPR, and Bloomberg, as well as in Time, Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, New York Times, The Atlantic, Foreign Policy, and numerous other publications. He is a regular expert commentator on Chinese TV and radio.
Professor Chovanec has worked for several private equity funds focused on China, and serves as an advisor to numerous hedge funds, PE funds, corporations, and governments on China. Previously, he served as director of Institutional Investor’s Asia Pacific Institute, based in Hong Kong, and its Global Fixed Income Institute, based in London. Before coming to Asia, Chovanec worked as an aide to political strategist William Kristol and to U.S. House Minority Leader John Boehner.
Professor Chovanec first visited China in 1986, and has traveled to every one of its 31 provinces, as well as Taiwan. His travels have taken him to over 45 countries, including Pakistan, Cuba, Vietnam, and Cambodia. He is one of only a handful of U.S. citizens to have visited North Korea.
He holds an BA in Economics from Princeton University and an MBA in Finance and Accounting from the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School, where he graduated as a Palmer Scholar. He is a U.S. Certified Public Accountant (CPA).
You can follow his updates on Twitter @prchovanec
He can be contacted at email@example.com
Jonathan Bernstein has been a private investor and trader for fifteen years. Before going out on his own in 1992, he spent eight years as a security analyst and portfolio manager at a number of Wall Street firms, including a stint as co-manager of the then $300 million MainStay High Yield fund at MacKay-Shields. He holds a BA in Economics with honors from the University of Michigan, where he was a National Merit Scholar, and an MS in Economics from the University of Wisconsin. Jonathan also interned at the Brookings Institution and the Congressional Budget Office. His writing on international energy markets has appeared in such venues as The New York Times and the Baltimore Sun. Jonathan earned his CFA Charter in 1987.
Visit his site: www.TheInsightfulTrader.com/
Erwan Mahe is an asset allocation and options strategies adviser for the largest European Asset Management firms.
Publishing macro-economic research, he has been managing leading European financial brokers since 1987, and sold his company, Paresco Futures, to the OTCexgroup in 2005.
He is now there in charge of large institutional investors.
The Private Sector Development Blog (PSD Blog) gathers together news, resources and ideas about the role of private enterprise in fighting poverty. The blog is informal and represents the quirks and opinions of the bloggers, not the World Bank Group.
To provide intelligent comment on private sector development issues in the news.
To highlight new Web sites, articles and books that development practitioners might find useful.
To provide a link between the detailed resources on the World Bank Group’s Rapid Response Web site, and the ever changing world of the blogosphere.
The PSD Blog is maintained by the World Bank Group’s Rapid Response knowledge service, which specializes in policy advice on business environment reform and privatization policy in developing countries. Rapid Response is a joint knowledge initiative of the World Bank and International Finance Corporation (IFC).
Shishir Nigam is Founder @ ActiveETFs | InFocus (http://etfshub.com) and Chief Editor @ Young & Invested (http://youngandinvested.com).
ActiveETFs | InFocus is the only site on the web to provide the most extensive and focused coverage of Active ETFs. Active ETFs provide investors with a very unique opportunity to combine the well-established benefits of ETF investing with those of active management. Through this growth phase, ETFsHub.com will provide you with all the information and analysis you need about Active ETFs.
Young & Invested is THE hub for finance and investing insights from the new generation. Young & Invested works to bring ideas from the younger generation to the forefront of mainstream discussion and provide them with the attention that any new insight deserves.
You can follow Shishir on Twitter @shishirnigam or reach him at firstname.lastname@example.org.
Jeff Nielson is from Canada and is a writer/editor for Bullion Bulls Canada (http://www.bullionbullscanada.com/#content). He has a personal background in law and economics. Bullion Bulls Canada provides general macro-economic and political commentary, since the precious metals markets are among the most complex (and misunderstood) in the world.
It also provides basic coverage of Canadian precious metals mining companies. Canada is the global leader in mining exploration, and Canadian-listed mining companies (on the Toronto Stock Exchange and Venture Exchange) are responsible for the majority of the world's most-promising discoveries.