It is very hard or impossible to time the broad market consistently — there are no famous investors that got rich by consistently knowing what the broad market would do next. This only makes sense, as there are just too many variables in the broad market. But there are many famous investors who got rich analyzing individual securities, and this is where you should put your focus. You can get an edge in individual securities. Joe Springer was the number 1 ranked stock analyst in the world by tipranks.com, and on most days is still ranked in the top 5%. Joe is a Certified Technical Trainer, and enjoys teaching about the stock market as well as managing portfolios. If you would like to follow Joe on Twitter, his handle is @JoeSpringer.
We want to give you the ultimate edge in banking market intelligence. That means timely articles on bank stocks that are under-followed and under-appreciated.
One of our specialities is to look at banks through the eyes of an acquirer. We look past the reality today and view a bank in light of its ultimate potential, what it could be worth to an acquirer, or what it might be worth as an acquirer.
As investors know the banking industry is rapidly consolidating. We went form 14,000 banks in the 1980s to ~6,000 banks today. And regulators have made it clear they would prefer if the US banking industry had closer to 1,500 banks. What happens to the excess banks? They'll be sold and rolled up as management teams retire, as Boards tire of endless regulation, or as these banks are outpaced by technology.
CompleteBankData pulls source data directly and digitally from US regulators meaning we don't introduce the possibility for human transposition error. But data is just a starting point. We've built top in class analytical and research tools that help users save hours of time researching and searching for hard to find data.
Beyond our standard tools we specialize in custom reporting and customized software solutions based on our platform. Please contact us for further details.
Value investor focused on micro-caps.
I write for CompleteBankData and am also a
Passively looking for a job on the buyside.
Always looking for more opportunities and to grow my professional network. Feel free to message me anytime.
Disclaimer: Nick reminds investors to always due their own due diligence on any investment, and to consult their own financial adviser or representative when necessary. Any material provided is intended as general information only, and should not be considered or relied upon as a formal investment recommendation
Named by Fortune as one of its "50 Great Investors". Acknowledged as Cash Flow From Operations (CFFO) expert by WSJ, Fortune, Forbes.com and Smartmoney.com after developing a CFFO algorithm that predicts bankruptcies for seemingly healthy large NYSE and NASDAQ traded companies.
In September 2007 Equities Magazine column predicted the 2008 collapses for all five of the U.S. major brokers including Lehman, Bear Stearns and Merrill Lynch. Wholesale sell recommendations for the five based on macro-analysis of brokerage industry's negative cash flow due to "sub-prime mortgage revenue".
Based on BOJ instituting a Negative Interest Rate Policy in early 2016, now predicting the global banking system will eventually crash unless negative rates are eradicated.
Developed a crash indicator (NIRP Crash Indicator) from an algorithm that he developed from conducting research on metrics of Crash of 2008,
Entered capital markets upon graduation from college in 1977. Broker, IPO banker, analyst and futures trader during career.
Founded: TrophyInvesting.com (2016), Dynastywealth.com (2014), Onlinefinancialsector.com (2007), StockDiagnostics.com (2002).
Currently: Analyst for Dynasty Wealth (focused on finding and covering disruptor companies that have 100X to 1,000X potential within 5 years).
Passion is recommending shorts for hyped companies that have inherently flawed negative CFFO models. Does not trade the markets and is instead a buy and holder.
Dave Fish is Executive Editor for The Moneypaper and co-manager (since 1999) of the MP 63 Fund (Symbol: DRIPX), a fund that invests exclusively in companies that offer Direct Investment (or Dividend Reinvestment) Plans. He is also the author of the U.S. Dividend Champions spreadsheet (and PDF), which is updated at the end of each month...and lists companies that have increased their dividend payout for at least 25 consecutive years. (Separate tabs list "Contenders" that have increased their payouts for 10-24 years and "Challengers" that have increased their payouts for 5-9 years.) http://dripinvesting.org/Tools/Tools.asp
Brad Thomas is a research analyst and he currently writes weekly for Forbes and Seeking Alpha where he maintains research on many publicly-listed REITs. In addition, Thomas is the Senior Analyst at iREIT Forbes and Editor of the Forbes Real Estate Investor, a monthly subscription-based newsletter.
Thomas has also been featured in Forbes Magazine, Kiplinger’s, US News & World Report, Money, NPR, Institutional Investor, GlobeStreet, and Fox Business. He was the #1 contributing analyst on Seeking Alpha in 2014 (as ranked by TipRanks) and he is currently writing a book on the legendary investor Donald Trump.
Thomas has co-authored a book (The Intelligent REIT Investor) that is available on Amazon.
Thomas received a Bachelor of Science degree in Business/Economics from Presbyterian College where he played basketball. He resides in South Carolina with his wife and kids.
I am a trader who has traded my own account for the last 25 years. I have a degree in economics and an MBA from Stanford (Class of '80). I was a stockbroker for 8 years before becoming a trader. I have a very good working knowledge of the securities industry and the financial markets. For the past 5 years, I have chosen to only trade Closed End Funds because they offer the trader some exceptional trading and arbitrage opportunities.
I am a consultant, independent trader, and analyst. I've worked in commodity trading and trade finance primarily in the agricultural and softs markets. I look for market opportunities using futures and ETFs.
I can be contacted at email@example.com.
Chris DeMuth Jr. is the founder of Rangeley Capital LLC. Rangeley is an investment firm that focuses on event driven, value-oriented investment opportunities. Rangeley Capital and his value investing forum, Sifting the World (StW), search the world for misplaced bets. Rangeley exploits them for its investors and then Mr. DeMuth writes about them on StW.
I'm a professional poker player with an interest in investing. My investing style is build on the principles of Graham and Dodd: trying to buy companies that are on sale and have a margin of safety in case the investment thesis is wrong. I discuss all my picks at my blog @ alphavulture.com
Just another unsophisticated retail investor. Goal: absorb some alpha rays by learning from the smart people that hang out here, and to share what little I know. My investment interests are retirement, retirement, retirement, income, value, momentum, dividend growth, merger-arb, and any other strategy that I can get my head around. (Did I mention retirement?) I also play bass, write code and an occasional short story and enjoy kayaking and other outdoor pursuits down here in South Florida.
Investor, Entrepreneur, always looking for value.
Founded CompleteBankData to create powerful and easy to use tools that gives bank investors an edge.
Bloomberg Terminal: APPS BANKS
Founded the Oddball Stocks Newsletter (http://www.oddballstocksnewsletter.com) as a way to highlight attractive out of the way investment opportunities.
CompleteBankData is the ultimate edge for bank investors. It pulls fresh data from bank filings into a simple, powerful interface so you can find profitable trades faster. Spend your time making decisions. Not finding them.
Rapid Idea Generation
-Find long and short ideas with dozens of proven strategies: Oversold, Deposit, Market Share, Potential Acquisition Targets, Buyback Yields, Low P/B and Profitable, and more.
-Access our proprietary "Best Bank" rankings.
-Combine dozens of financial metrics to create your own custom bank screens.
-Instantly spot valuation outliers in the universe of banks.
-Visualize macro insights into the health of the banking system.
Deep Dive Analysis
-Access an in-depth report on each bank. See assets, equity, ROE, Texas Ratio, full financials and more with a single click.
-Granular insights into the health of a bank's loan portfolio, non-performing assets, real estate holdings and more.
-Create custom bank valuations with built-in peer comparison, acquisition value, and DDM models.
Investment Monitoring and Exit
-Compare banks to peers with one click.
-Identify exit points and short candidates using negative metrics and screens.
Andrew Walker, CFA, is a portfolio manager at Rangeley Capital LLC with a focus on small cap special situations investments. Mr. Walker also contributes to Sifting the World, a value investing forum.
Former broker, now an independent analyst/writer on Seeking Alpha and founder and editor of the Growth Stock Forum. Focusing on small-cap, mid-cap and biotech stocks. Looking for substantial sales and earnings growth potential and seeking the best risk-adjusted returns from my stock selection. Taking advantage of medium to long-term momentum.
My articles represent my personal opinion and analysis and should not be regarded as investment advice in any way. Readers and subscribers should do their own due diligence and/or consult their financial advisor before making decisions to buy or sell securities. Trading and investing include risks, including loss of principal.
Exclusive research: http://seekingalpha.com/author/oneil-trader/research
I am an experienced individual investor who has been trading merger arbitrage stocks and options since the 90's. I am a writer with a Master of Science from Northwestern University and I truly enjoy writing articles about the stock market. I try to look for opportunities where the odds are in my favor and there is a definite edge. On Seeking Alpha my articles will aim to provide insight and favorable risk/reward for the readers.However, I am not an investment advisor so any recomendations or ideas I write about in my articles, blogs, or comments shouldn't be taken as investment advice. I recommend using my writings as a starting point to which you should add your own research or that of an investment advisor.
"Any time you make a bet with the best of it, where the odds are in your favor, you have earned something on that bet, whether you actually win or lose the bet. By the same token, when you make a bet with the worst of it, where the odds are not in your favor, you have lost something, whether you actually win or lose the bet."
-David Sklansky, "The Theory of Poker"
Wall Street Breakfast, Seeking Alpha's flagship daily business news summary, is a one-page summary that gives you a rapid overview of the day's key financial news. It's designed for easy readability on the site or by email (including on mobile devices), and is published before 7:00 AM ET every market day.
Wall Street Breakfast readership of over 900,000 includes many from the investment-banking and fund-management industries.
Sign up here to receive the Wall Street Breakfast in your inbox every business day: http://seekingalpha.com/account/email_preferences
I am a quantitative model designer. I build customized portfolio solutions for brokerages, family offices and individual clients around the world. Some of the models required the capacity to trade hundreds of millions of dollars.
I would best describe myself as a value investor looking for entries based on events such as upgraded earnings forecasts. I minimize risk by analyzing short interest, diversifying across industries, blending multiple models of low correlation or using market neutral strategies.
Institutional investment manager authoring on a variety of topics that pique my interest, and could further discourse in this online community. I hold an MBA from the University of Chicago, and have earned the CFA designation.
My articles may contain statements and projections that are forward-looking in nature, and therefore inherently subject to numerous risks, uncertainties and assumptions. While my articles focus on generating long-term risk-adjusted returns, investment decisions necessarily involve the risk of loss of principal. Individual investor circumstances vary significantly, and information gleaned from my articles should be applied to your own unique investment situation, objectives, risk tolerance, and investment horizon.
Steven Bavaria writes about finance, economics and politics, drawing on his forty-five years experience in international banking, credit, investment, human resources/training, journalism and public service. Now retired from his "day job" on Wall Street, Bavaria lives mostly off his investments. His focus is largely on income-oriented stocks, bonds and mutual funds, as well as closed-end funds, ETFs and other IRA-suitable investments. His book "Too Greedy for Adam Smith: CEO Pay and the Demise of Capitalism" was just published and is available on Amazon and at independent retailers.
Bavaria began his career at the Bank of Boston, where he handled international credit workouts that included managing a fleet of ships, chasing a Vatican-owned bank in Switzerland, and leading the turnaround of troubled branches in Australia and Panama. He also ran the bank's human resources department, which is where he saw personally the beginnings of many of today's executive compensation excesses.
More recently he worked at Standard & Poor's, where he introduced ratings to the leveraged loan market. In between Bank of Boston and S&P he was Assoc. Commissioner of the Massachusetts Dept. of Mental Health, worked briefly for Citibank, and was a reporter for IDD Magazine. He also did a short stint at a smaller rating agency where he had to leave in a hurry after writing an article called "From Banker to Bookmaker" that was deemed a bit too candid in describing the conflicted role of major commercial and investment banks.
Bavaria graduated from Georgetown University and New England School of Law.
Doug K. Le Du is a preferred stock researcher, author of the book titled Preferred Stock Investing, syndicated writer and publisher of three monthly preferred stock newsletters.
Doug has been studying the preferred stock marketplace since 2002. In 2006 he published the first edition of Preferred Stock Investing which has been updated and re-published regularly since then.
Preferred Stock Investing teaches risk-averse investors how to screen, buy and sell the highest quality preferred stocks. The book lists all qualifying preferred stocks that have been issued since January 2001.
The ten selection criteria from Preferred Stock Investing filtered out the 57 preferred stocks from the big banks that would be claimed by the Global Credit Crisis and let pass the 13 issues from the big banks that were saved by acquisition. In 70 out of 70 cases, a 100% success rate for almost two years running, the preferred stock selection criteria found in Preferred Stock Investing protected preferred stock investors.
As a researcher, Doug researches the market price behavior of the highest quality preferred stocks and writes to you about trends and opportunities. His premium subscription service (described at www.PreferredStockInvesting.com) providers subscribers with email alerts of new preferred stock issues, access to his preferred stock catalogs and HotLists, a monthly newsletter just for premium subscribers and much more.
Doug's academic background is in economics and statistics. Doug retired from his position as Managing Director at one of the world's largest management consulting firms in 2002 to focus on preferred stock research. Doug does not sell preferred stocks nor is he a stock broker or financial adviser.
Michael Ashton has been a recognized leader in developing the U.S. inflation derivatives market. He traded the first interbank U.S. CPI swaps in 2003 and, as a dealer, was a primary liquidity-provider in that market for two large banks. He represented about one-third of interbank swaps volume during his tenures at those firms. He invented and was the sole market-maker for the CME CPI Futures contract. He has written and spoken extensively about the use of inflation-indexed products for hedging real exposures, and has written more broadly in a commentary format about the rates markets and macroeconomy. Mr. Ashton is currently the managing principal at Enduring Investments LLC. His comments on this site and others are not posted in that role, and no opinions of his should be construed to be recommendations of or to reflect the views of his employer. He recently published "What's Wrong With Money? The Biggest Bubble of All."
My name is Phil Mause. I am a Senior Advisor with the Pacific Economics Group, focusing on energy, regulatory and valuation issues. I retired from 40 years of law practice earlier this year. I am a yield oriented investor and in the last two years, I have done reasonably well in junk bonds, BDCs, mortgage REITS, and dividend paying blue chip stocks. As an avocation, I dabble in stand up comedy.
Dr. Feldman is the founder of Behavioral Finance Investment Advisors. Dr. Feldman is also an associate professor of finance at San Francisco State University. Dr. Feldman has published scholarly journals in the area of behavioral finance and agent-based modeling in various leading finance and economic journals.
Please note that I do not read comments posted here, nor respond to messages here. I don't have the time. If you want my attention, you must seek it directly at my blog.
David J. Merkel, CFA — From 2003-2007, I was a leading commentator at the excellent investment website RealMoney.com (http://www.RealMoney.com). Back in 2003, after several years of correspondence, James Cramer invited me to write for the site, and now I write for RealMoney on equity and bond portfolio management, macroeconomics, derivatives, quantitative strategies, insurance issues, corporate governance, etc. My specialty is looking at the interlinkages in the markets in order to understand individual markets better.
I no longer contribute to RealMoney because my work duties have gotten larger, and I began this blog to develop a distinct voice with a wider distribution.
In 2008, I became the Chief Economist and Director of Research of Finacorp Securities (http://www.prnewswire.com/cgi-bin/stories.pl?ACCT=109&STORY=/www/story/02-08-2008/0004752449&EDATE=). Finacorp went into liquidation in June 2010, after which I decided to open my own asset management shop, Aleph Investments, LLC. I manage stock and bond portfolios for clients.
Until 2007, I was a senior investment analyst at Hovde Capital, responsible for analysis and valuation of investment opportunities for the FIP funds, particularly of companies in the insurance industry. I also managed the internal profit sharing and charitable endowment monies of the firm.
Prior to joining Hovde in 2003, I managed corporate bonds for Dwight Asset Management. In 1998, I joined the Mount Washington Investment Group as the Mortgage Bond and Asset Liability manager after working with Provident Mutual, AIG and Pacific Standard Life.
My background as a life actuary has given me a different perspective on investing. How do you earn money without taking undue risk? How do you convey ideas about investing while showing a proper level of uncertainty on the likelihood of success? How do the various markets fit together, telling us us a broader story than any single piece? These are the themes that I will deal with in this blog. I hold bachelor’s and master’s degrees from Johns Hopkins University.
In my spare time, I take care of our eight children with my wonderful wife Ruth. Visit this site: The Aleph Blog (http://alephblog.com/)
Richard is the managing principal of QVM Group LLC, a fee-based investment advisor based in Connecticut, with clients across the country. . QVM manages portfolios uniquely designed for each client on a flat fee basis through the client’s own accounts at Schwab; and provides investment coaching to "do-it-yourself" investors on an hourly fee basis. The investment approach is based on value, asset allocation, expense control, risk management, customizing portfolios to each client's specific circumstances, and regular communication about strategy and absolute and benchmark performance. Richard's extensive experience includes serving having served as a Board Director of Phoenix Investment Counsel, a U.S. pension and mutual funds manager, now Virtus Investment Partners (New York Stock Exchange: VRTS http://www.virtus.com); as Managing Director of Phoenix American Investment in London; and as a Board Director Aberdeen Asset Management PLC in Aberdeen Scotland (London Stock Exchange: ADN http://www.aberdeen-asset.com). He has been a Trustee of a $500 million pension fund, and was a charter investor and member of the Board of Directors of several internet companies, including Lending Tree (NASDAQ: TREE http://www.lendingtree.com) prior to its IPO. He is a 1970 graduate of Dartmouth College. QVM Group LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor. Visit the QVM Group website. (http://www.qvmgroup.com). Follow him on Twitter: @QVMinvest