Tim Singleton

Chance of a Depression Now 5 Percent

The Federal reserve's policies CAUSED the Great Depression, they did not resolve it. This Board of Governors will fair no better.

...and as in times past and in places far and wide, it will be the poor and middle class who suffer the consequences and pay the bill in taxes and inflation while the bright boys with lots of letters argue over tea and crumpets about what caused all of the trouble AS IF the blame does not lie squarely at their door for trying play as if we have capitalism while gaming the economy in their favor.

They buy votes from the poor with benefits in order to be able to rob the middle class and the productive through socialist policies then when this inevitably results in the economy being FUBAR they want to blame capitalism.

The government, both major parties, the Federal Reserve, and the oligarchy of bankers on Wallstreet are the beneficiaries and the culprits of our current situation.

7 Dividend Stocks to Prove Buy-and-Hold Isn't Dead

Dividends are income to the stockholder without selling the stock, are they not? Some folks elect to allow dividends to buy more shares while others use the dividend as current income to live on.

I am not what I consider overly educated as an investor, but I do not think you can calculate yield without taking into account the dividend. I understand that stocks who provide both growth and dividends over time perform better than just those aimed at growth. I also don't see how you can expect to make money on a company that does not make money unless it is a case of looking for a bigger sucker in the market.

For instance, I know exactly how much in various issues I need to replace the income from my job. At such a point, I would have the option of retiring assuming that I have not allowed my lifestyle expand to consume all of my wages and my dividend income.

...tho I am certain someone with lots of letters at the end of their name will disagree with me on this.

On Nov 11 05:56 PM brentsblog wrote:

> i agree will you buy and hold is not dead but the how can you make
> money in the stock market and never be a sell. at some point you
> have to be a sell and you want to sell when people are buying and
> not when everyone is selling

Wall Street: Dumb as It Ever Was

I, too, am acquainted with statistics, having a background in mathematics, biochemistry, and using that background to try to come up with predictive modeling for various projects.

Watching people watch the market even as the Fed creates more money and unemployment continues to rise has certainly been an interesting experience.

My plan? Savings goes to metal I can hold in my hand, investing goes to companies I hope can survive this freakish bastard president and his cohorts. My hopes for prosperity are pinned on a future where Americans have finally been awakened to their being responsible for their own welfare and sick of playing games with socialism. There is no prosperity to be had now simply because the value of our currency and our investments are controlled by men and women hellbent on buying votes from the poor with promises they cannot and never had any intention of keeping while railing against the middle class by calling them rich.

We are in a war against the middle class, paid for by the likes of Soros, and aided by the poor who know no better.


On Nov 06 10:20 AM American in Paris wrote:

> Shadow Statistics is a bunch of rubbish. I have a background in statistics
> and am intimately acquainted with how the government samples populations
> to to form estimates. It's quite solid.
>
> Shadow Statistics is just one notch above the Conspiracy Theorists.
> Just one short step ....

The Arithmetic of Gold: Why Its Price Has No Ceiling

Not if I am unwilling to trade my gold for paper, they cannot. If I am only willing to part with my gold for something I need...then I do not have to deal with paper currency at all. Sure, they can manipulate it but sooner or later it will crash. If Congress had had any testicles, we could have called them on the carpet for this last crisis.

...nor am I unmindful of the horror of the reality that even when presented with the facts of the matter, most of our Congressmen would not know what to do.

Then again, none of this would be happening if the CBs were actually trying to carry out their claimed roles instead of bailing out their buttbuddies.

Seems to me that gold, silver, copper, and farmland are the safest places to be right now until we see what these freaks in power do.

I do not pretend to have an definitive answer, despite having lots of faith in Ron Paul and the idea of competing currencies. I do know that metal is never worth zero, and the farmers tended to make out all right in the Depression, relatively speaking.


On Oct 07 09:29 AM Vuke wrote:

> Mr.Goldman appears to have gold fever, an epidemic that periodically
> appears in economic history.
>
> The vaccine for this is a quick read of "Manias, Panics and Crashes"
> by Kindleberger, an excellent history of central bank thinking.<br/>
>
> Gold is CB's"currency of last resort". It will worth what CB's ultimately
> decide they want it at.
>
> Recall, they can print the paper at no cost to buy it back when they
> sell.

You Can Spend Your Way Out of a Recession

Whatever. Knock yourself out with that spending thing. Good luck with that.

...although, I would agree with giving tax cuts a shot so people had more to spend of the current money supply while freezing government spending and printing of money.

Stupidity is what got us here. Low interest rates, printing money at nearly the speed of newsprint in days past, telling people not only to not save but engaging in monetary policy designed to DISCOURAGE saving. No matter what school of thought you are from, telling a people that saving is pointless, bad for the economy, and then implementing policies designed to make the point is at best foolish and at worst malignant, evil, and treasonous.

I think maybe Americans are now looking at the 8 inch forehead, overly lettered fellows who think they are sooooooo much smarter than the fellow who builds a string of companies that actually make things, provide services, and create jobs as well as at the fruit of their labors and saying they are no smart after all.

Cognitive Dissonance on Wall Street

Anyone's surprise at anything right now is a blue eyed miracle to me. You can sit an American down, force feed him facts, figures, historical data, and prove to him that certain things have to happen.
Best case result is that he cups his hands over his ears and yells, nana nana nana until you get tired and walk away; worst case scenario is he or she starts screaming at you about their rights as if that has anything to do with what the economy will do in response to their actions.
Looking at the government talk about green shoots to me is the same as watching asylum doctors make inmates feel better by drugging them into submission. Looking at consumers get excited about greenshoots is like watching those same inmates talk to each other about all the interesting things living under their beds after medicine call.

Will a 'Silver Bullet' Finally Kill the Metal Manipulators?

I wish there were an edit option. I never get it right the first round. -Tim

Will a 'Silver Bullet' Finally Kill the Metal Manipulators?

My reasons for holding physical silver are real simple:
1) I think PF70 Silver Eagles are the coolest things, don't know why. I just like them. They give me a happy...maybe I think Lady Liberty is just bitchin' HOT.
2) I I have a silver eagle with One Dollar on it, no matter what the dollar is worth, I still have an entire ounce of silver. If I have a million ounces of silver, I am a millionaire in silver, same for gold and the Keynesians can all piss up a rope. They cannot pass a law saying I have less than I have, unless they show up with the grandsons of Roosevelt's goons.
3)Sometimes when I reading, writing or researching, I have a silver eagle that I twiddle as I think. I guess maybe it is a security blanket. The can collapse everything else I own with the strong of a pen or the push of a button, but the silver I got? Still there.
4)God says He hates a dishonest weight and measure. I can think of no more dishonest weight or measure than the dollar. I do think the Euro is awful pretty, though. Reminds me of Monoploy money.
5)Geithner got LAUGHED AT and Washington is either too stupid to have any embarrassment or they are engaged in treasonous behavior with regards to their fiduciary duties to the United States of America and her people. Or both. It is a 50/50 tossup to me because it is irrelevant the result will be the same.

Current Recession Is Tracking the 1930s Bear Market

As they used to recommend, I am buying gold, silver, and canned goods. Or as Queen Lateyfah said in one of her movies, "Buckle up for safety, mother@#$%^&!

Hey, according to Der Fuhrer Obama, this is a favorite word for Rahm Immanuelle so it must be acceptable for public consumption, right?

> including:
> 1) Population - Baby Boomer Aging/Retirement/Death &amp; Total Population
> growth reductions, over the next 20-30 years.
> 2) Peak Oil - We are already on Hubbert's slippery downslope, with
> no replacement in sight for the many applications/usages of Oil,
> including Transport, Chemicals &amp; many others.
> 3) Climate Change - Like many areas of modern life, we have done
> things without fully understanding where they will lead us. Now,
> as Major tipping points in the Global Climate become more apparent,
> there is a push under way, to undo what we have done.
>
> However, there are problems, in all of these issues:
> 1) Two of the oldest players, GREED &amp; POLITICS, are still at
> the table and they will be formidable foes.
> 2) It may already be too late, to undo a large part of the seeds
> that have been planted.
>
> Because of these inputs, this event will take its own course.
>
> That said, I suspect that the "Demand &amp; Supply" constraints placed
> on the Global economy, will continue to act in a manor similar to
> a Boa Constrictor, by strangling the life out of its prey (the Global
> economy), until the day that herd finally understands what is happening
> and the stampede begins!
>
> That said, this event will finally be known as "The Greastest Depression".

Current Recession Is Tracking the 1930s Bear Market

There are so many artificial influences (government interference) that I am CERTAIN and SURE a new low will be reached.


On May 17 11:22 AM Steven Hansen wrote:

> there are so many artificial influences (government interference),
> that i doubt a new low will be reached.

Gold and Swine Flu Economics

The government's concern over the flu is driven by its concern over how much attention the American people are paying to Obama's total overturning of contract law in Chrysler's case.

It is misdirection for either events now in motion or events to come.

Austrian School of Economics: Not Tough Enough

Hehe...good one.

Nah, I think the author is correct. You cannot have a solution that works that is not supported by the voters and making voters understand that the government has to reign in it spending by cutting benefits AND raising taxes is like sticking a hot poker up a bull's butt...you had better have somewhere to go when he finds you. Besides, you cannot educate them. They prefer their ignorance and when you give them facts, they start talking more loudly as if volume has anything to do with being correct.

I say raising taxes only from the standpoint that we might want to pay off the debt, but then if the only folks we owe are for the most part the Federal Reserve, let them swing in the wind. They have earned far more than they are justly entitled to anyways. Paying China and foreigners who have been nice enough to fund our Saturday sloppy drunk spending habits is probably a good idea.

All debt to central banks should be repudiated, IMO.


On Mar 31 12:02 PM @TexasER wrote:

> All systems atrophy, and the US economy and government is no exception.
> But doomsayers take heart, the rebirth and renewal will be well worth
> the pain. At least, as Paco points out, if the old paradigms are
> allowed to fail and die.
>
> The current administration is resisting with every bone in their
> Keynesian bodies, and it will work for a time.
>
> As for the future of big central government -- it is over. Thankfully
> we are finally talking about Chapter 11 for GM. That means that with
> some luck, we may start talking about it for the federal government
> soon.
>
> What's good for GM is good for the country, right?

Some Banks Walking Away from Home Foreclosures

WEELLLLLLLLL..as long as people keep voting for the Dodds and the Franks we will continue to have such things.

What is driving all of this is all of us. You have the poor demanding benefits and the politicians promising them in return for votes. You have the government printing money in order to be able to tell those of a more conservative-gee-I-wou... conservatives that they can pay less taxes, all the while banks are doing CDOs and creating mythical spun sugar castles of assets in the air. When it all falls, they want the govt to make them whole with tax dollars.

Until the average American understands money, monetarianism and just what capital IS, it will only get worse.

Let it all fall, let those who actually PRODUCE do so, and eventually the economy will recover.

All we are doing now is numbing the patient, the economy, with drugs, more debt, saying they are getting better when they are just getting numb.

The Perils of Decoupling

Well, I was with you until you expressed confidence in Obama.

You are right about the Republican party, though. Fascist collaboration with big business has been in play for decades and it did not start with Bush.

As for me, I plan to learn the langauges you mentioned and be buried in a foreign land before it is over with. The American experiment in a representative republic is dead. It was sold and betrayed in exchange for things like medicaid and beans in retirement. A true capitalist takes advantage of the situation, no matter the supposed form of government he finds himself under.

The government form that I believed I lived under, a representative republic, is a farce. I don't know but what it is been a farce during my entire lifetime.

America is a failed state for a couple of glaring reasons. 1)Promising more than they can ever deliver, 2)acting as though inflation is not a measurable, controllable thing, 3)not making the government live within ITS means...yes, it matters if you just print money, 4)refusing to get over the past. I am of mixed blood and if I can get over what was done to the Choctaw then blacks can bygod get over slavery and move on, and 5)embracing the bizzare belief that people somehow have a Constitutional right to healthcare and a home on other people's dime.

The Republican's are whores for business and the Democrats sell lies and stolen money to the poor in exchange for votes.

Good job.

Tim (capitalist-conservati... believer in a republic NOT the Republican Party, and defiant foe to those who want to force me to live under marxism no matter how pretty a face you want to put on it or how much felt lines the chains and that includes defying Obama through every means possible.)

Eight Companies That Are Hiking Dividends

Carbon footprint, LOL. Gore's hocky stick graph is effectively discredited. All data subjected to the M98 report hailed by the IPCC as 'proof' has been proven to use statistically insupportable methodology that ALWAYS produces a hockey stick curve no matter what data sets to which they are applied, even random data sets.

CO2 level TRAILs the temperature. All this global warming hooey is driven by computer MODELS and even observations of what is actually happening do not follow the accepted models. Only one polar bear pop is decreasing; ALL others are increasing in number.

Argue anything you want about dividends or whatever, but that green crap is irrelevant once you get past its being used to coerce Americans into submitting to an internation carbon tax.

The earth is indeed possibly warming up, but currently not even approaching the temps present when the Vikings colonized Greenland. It has more to do with solar winds and cosmic radiation levels ioniizing the number one greenhouse gas we have and that is WATER. As for CO2 levels, a good hard case can be made that increased levels are better for mankind because it leads to more productive agricultural output. We can stand several orders higher levels of CO2 than we have now quite well.

Global warming, to sum up, is a lie fed to foolish children who want the government sugar daddy to keep the bad ol' bad ols way...whatever the bad ol of the day might be.

On Mar 02 01:39 PM ROBOT 1 wrote:

> It is my opinion Coca cola is not such a great firm they are not
> diverse. I do not trust Marry Riddle Kevin List or Don Jennings .Ko
> has killed Union bosses .They commit fraud with people they hire
> AKA Ken Krys .Ko dose not play nice with any firm they deal with.The
> products are worth less then the Packaging. Best of all the Carbon
> Footprint they let us all deal with . The stock is highly over valued
> but not for long


On Mar 02 01:39 PM ROBOT 1 wrote:

> It is my opinion Coca cola is not such a great firm they are not
> diverse. I do not trust Marry Riddle Kevin List or Don Jennings .Ko
> has killed Union bosses .They commit fraud with people they hire
> AKA Ken Krys .Ko dose not play nice with any firm they deal with.The
> products are worth less then the Packaging. Best of all the Carbon
> Footprint they let us all deal with . The stock is highly over valued
> but not for long