Seeking Alpha
  • bullchin
    No one is recommending GTI stock a buy? Future outlook must be bleak
    9/3/12
    Reply (21)
    • Arkeh Capital: List of analysts is terribly long, stock market turnover extremely high and market cap such that stock is very closely followed :o)
      9/4/12
    • Arkeh Capital: GTI trades like a steel stock, Steel comps profit are a function of price and volume with price being the erratic fluctuation. GTI sales ...
      9/4/12
    • Arkeh Capital: ... of graphite electrodes are just related to the production volume of EAF steel producers. As long as there is scrap steel,it will be used
      9/4/12
    • Arkeh Capital: Goodwill is the balance sheet relates to Seadrift acquisition = backward intergration of needle coke production, GTI could theoretically...
      9/4/12
    • Arkeh Capital: ... utilise 100% of Seadrift capacity when pruducing itself at 66% of GE capacity. Risk for goodwill impairment not rieally an issue.
      9/4/12
    • Arkeh Capital: News from GTI is scarce, comp will present at KeyBank Capital Conference on 11 Sep, and this is a risk for those who are short the stock.
      9/4/12
    • Arkeh Capital: Analyst list: http://bit.ly/RGN62b
      9/4/12
    • Arkeh Capital: Analyst recs: http://bit.ly/NayiMJ
      9/4/12
    • bullchin: No buy issued by those analyst presently
      9/4/12
    • bullchin: Did you see Christopher Laudani issue short ideas on his report quality earnings analysis? http://yhoo.it/OUX5Tj
      9/4/12
    • bullchin: stock getting hit hard today with much volume on steel across the broad
      9/4/12
    • Arkeh Capital: I would not even spend 1$ on a quant analysis. These guys normally dont know what a company actually does.
      9/4/12
    • Arkeh Capital: May I quote you: getting hit hard on volume on steel across the board. The problem in GTI is not an overhang of sellers but buyers who wait
      9/4/12
    • Arkeh Capital: ... for the stock to bottom out.
      9/4/12
    • bullchin: What is your estimate for bottom out? net asset at 5.80?
      9/4/12
    • bullchin: It would be interesting to view sept 11 Keybank conference.
      9/4/12
    • Arkeh Capital: Estimate for bottom-out: is 9.04. Thats when I started to buy today.
      9/4/12
    • Arkeh Capital: ... and I wish you well if this is going to be the first up day after ten down-days and if short covering sets in
      9/4/12
    • bullchin: It's not just the short selling but institutions hedge funds are getting out as Steel cycle is still sloping down plus recession is looming.
      9/4/12
    • Arkeh Capital: U will not hide scrap steel in your backyard. It will be recycled. It is just a question of how low the scrap price drops.This is RECYCLING
      9/5/12
    • Arkeh Capital: And GTI only cares about the quantity of recycled steel and not its price or the scrap price
      9/5/12