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arondaniel

arondaniel
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  • Genius Of The Tesla 70D: Sell More Cars, Use Fewer Batteries [View article]
    Can't we all get along? A FCEV is just a BEV with a range extender. So @davemart actually must like BEVs too. :)

    I will also admit that the "hydrogen economy" has a nice futuristic ring to it and fits well with the established order of "transportation via consumable atoms", and everything that entails.

    But yeah, FCs are dead on arrival. Unlike @davemart I actually don't think you need to be an expert, FC/battery researcher, whatever, to reach the same conclusion.

    It's pretty simple really. Substantially better or substantially cheaper than the alternative for most people. Being neither is a fatal flaw. Being one allows you to grow, remove barriers, change perceptions, etc., at least for awhile. Being both means you win.

    Tesla is one (guess which) and is on track to be both with clear objectives. FCEVs are neither and are not, IMO, on track to be better or cheaper than BEVs, let alone the incumbents.
    Apr 25, 2015. 02:41 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Genius Of The Tesla 70D: Sell More Cars, Use Fewer Batteries [View article]
    @chipdoctor A fast 0-60 is nice. A faster and silent 0-60 that isn't anti-social, cop-attracting, and exhaust-belching is much nicer.
    Apr 25, 2015. 01:33 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • SolarCity Is My Favorite Idea That Everyone Knows, But That No One Understands [View article]
    "it's parking lots and pavilions and other wasted solar space that's enhanced by shade"

    Yeah I thought the whole "roof-space is too precious to waste on PV" argument was kind of weak to begin with. Take just one fast food chain or big box retailer. How many square miles of roof do they have just sitting there doing nothing?
    Apr 24, 2015. 08:56 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • SolarCity Is My Favorite Idea That Everyone Knows, But That No One Understands [View article]
    So the author advocates solar thermal over PV on the basis of better fit with building energy demand, GHG reduction, solar energy efficiency, regulatory concerns, roof-space efficiency, holistic design considerations, upgrade/resale impacts, and I probably forgot a few others.

    That about cover it? Ok. So solar PV + battery may be a sub optimal solution for your global energy function. Know what else is sub optimal? Look around you. Freaking everything.

    Solar PV + battery is the fast food of green energy. Installed in a day, driven by economies of scale, universally applicable.
    Apr 23, 2015. 09:16 AM | 8 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla to unveil home, utility batteries in rollout next week [View news story]
    @chipdoc hydrogen for personal transportation is DOA. People will switch to something that is better or something that is cheaper. Hydrogen is neither, and is not on track to become so.

    That's not saying it can't get better -- I'm sure with a few trillions in H2 stations, vehicle development, and breakthroughs in electrolysis it could.

    That's being realistic and saying the better bet is the tech that is already systematically breaking down its remaining barriers to widespread adoption -- as opposed to the factor of 10 less efficient tech that still needs trillions of spending before it warrants a second look.

    Home storage? Hey, if you got megawatts wasting, sure, crack some water. Do you know anyone with megawatts wasting?
    Apr 22, 2015. 10:52 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla Subsidies In Danger: The Trend Is Not Its Friend [View article]
    @slevental, if an ultra-rich woman were to buy a Nissan Leaf and get the same 7.5k tax credit (who knows... maybe her private lane is very narrow) -- is that un-American too?

    If you were king of America would you remove all subsidies and corporate breaks? Or just the ones for green energy?
    Apr 22, 2015. 08:58 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Cadillac And Audi Launch All-New Plug-In Hybrid Sedans In China: How Will This Impact Tesla? [View article]
    @tippydogstrategies "Tesla has done a nice job so far convincing people that 2 drivetrains are inefficient and will have poor reliability."

    Yes, hybrids certainly deliver more drivetrain per dollar. But the real future winner will be an ultra-hybrid: gasoline and electric, sure, but also CNG, hydrogen, and a coal burning boiler for steam. And flex-fuel. The Model T was flex-fuel, why not Model S?

    But seriously, @tippydogstrategies, I look at it this way. Take out the gasoline engine in your hybrid. What's left? The worlds worst electric car. Why should I pay extra for the worst of anything?

    If you like EVs, like fueling for pennies at home, like instant torque, and like having ample long range, seems like you might want the best one, not the worst.
    Apr 21, 2015. 09:07 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Bloomberg: Google had $6B deal to buy Tesla in 2013 [View news story]
    @Potpie, scouring the intarwebs daily for the handful of drivetrains replaced quickly under warranty.

    Hey, ever notice how the people who don't have a broken drivetrain rarely post on those forums?
    Apr 20, 2015. 10:47 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Here's The One Way Tesla Can Survive [View article]
    @LT "BMW, Mercedes and Audi start selling luxury EVs at break-even prices subsidized by their millions of conventional cars"

    I think the time for them to do have done this is about 2 years ago. Tesla is selling high-dollar cars in relatively low numbers, and might be vulnerable if a big player could also capture Tesla lightning in a bottle and then sell the bottle at a steep loss.

    But they didn't do that. What they did was talk a lot of BS and kept on selling the same Dino-mobiles.
    Apr 20, 2015. 10:05 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Reviewing Today's Affordable Electric Cars: And The Winner Is ... Not Tesla [View article]
    @tippydogstrategies "The gap on pricing is just too high for these low end cars to not cut into Tesla's market."

    You go on believing an EV is a novelty for a handful of multi-car treehuggers.

    It's like an umbrella when it rains, right? Any old umbrella will do.

    Despite the massive and growing market for performance cars, luxury cars, utilitarian & ultra safe cars, and now, zero emission long range and road-trip capable cars that fuel for pennies or for free.

    There's only one that ticks all the boxes. And you think people cross shop it with a Leaf and a 500e.
    Apr 18, 2015. 12:38 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla Seems To Be Staggering Releases To Take It To The Model X [View article]
    And don't forget that solar is on an exponential growth curve, doubling time T = 2 years...
    Apr 16, 2015. 01:38 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla Seems To Be Staggering Releases To Take It To The Model X [View article]
    @potpie "This wishful thinking about BEVs replacing petrol cars in "a couple years" is not even logistically feasible."

    It'll be all but over, except for the crying, inside of 30 years. But 30 years is for the bubbas & the potpies... the late adopters.

    What I'm saying is, in the meantime, might not be so smart to buy the high-dollar example of the outgoing tech. Especially since that is the first to fall. Is that so wrong?
    Apr 15, 2015. 10:59 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla Seems To Be Staggering Releases To Take It To The Model X [View article]
    "What do you mean with "in a couple of years"? 15 years? 20 years? 50 years?"

    Thanks for asking @tschmidtde.

    What I mean is this: I love Porsches... even the oil cooled ones. Visited the museum in Stuttgart. Always wanted one for as long as I can remember. Came pretty close to getting a Cayman S a few years back. That was pre-empted by the 10 year anniversary of 9/11 which was the day I discovered Model S and sent my deposit.

    The Tesla, with it's simplicity, its future-forward architecture, its defiant no oil and no compromises stance, and its no-drama performance, has ruined me for Porsche. And I don't even really like big sedans like Model S.

    Anyway. What were we talking about?

    Oh yeah. The times they are a-changin. I use the CRT TV analogy because that's what it feels like to me. It feels like a gasoline car is a slob of a tube TV and a Tesla is a flat panel on the wall that is just loads better in every possible way.

    I don't like hybrids for the same reason I wouldn't like a tiny flat panel glommed on to the corner of a CRT.

    So the revolution is starting with the cavear set. Yes, it's expensive. It'll get cheaper. Already is. In the meantime, I can understand waiting for Model 3. I personally couldn't wait, but whatever.

    What I can in no way understand is buying any car within 20k of a Tesla. I'm sorry but to me that is just throwing your money away on dead-end technology.
    Apr 15, 2015. 10:15 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Oil Will Return To $100 In 3-5 Years [View article]
    Believe u me, I think there will be another 2-3 boom/bust cycles before that plays out, but I agree it will happen eventually.

    Alt energy doesn't take over until it's cheaper, and even then the infrastructure that needs to be built out and replaced is just gargantuan. My crystal ball says 30 years, not 10.

    In the meantime, I'm not sure how long oil can sell for less than the cost to produce it, way less than the price the producers need to keep the lights on.
    Apr 15, 2015. 09:13 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla Seems To Be Staggering Releases To Take It To The Model X [View article]
    Model X will cannibalize Model S sales? Or BMW X5 and Porsche Cayenne sales?

    Honestly, an expensive gasoline sedan or SUV is about the stupidest thing you could buy right now. in a couple years it's going to look like a 52 inch CRT TV and about as much residual value.
    Apr 15, 2015. 12:13 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
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