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arondaniel

arondaniel
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  • Goldman Sachs estimates Tesla Motors needs $6B to stay on growth track [View news story]
    "hybrids are the best and cleanest bang for the buck !"

    ...Except hybrid sales are down, EV sales (plug-ins and pure electrics) are up.

    Why pay an extra 10k or whatever for 30 or 40 mpg and a complex dual-transmission setup? Pay a little more and drive at "95+ mpg" for the 30, 50, 100, 200, or 265 miles that you can.
    Sep 22 12:09 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Goldman Sachs estimates Tesla Motors needs $6B to stay on growth track [View news story]
    "since when did Canada and Mexico become " mortal enemies" ?"

    Oil is fungible. It doesn't matter where the oil physically comes from. Demand for oil raises its price and terrorism is funded by oil.

    "There are exactly FIVE SC's in all of Texas"

    So you can't go anywhere you want in some states using the Supercharger network yet. That is changing very rapidly. Something like a new SC every 2 days.
    Sep 21 11:29 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Goldman Sachs estimates Tesla Motors needs $6B to stay on growth track [View news story]
    "The major hurtles are and have always been, range and charging time and cost."

    ...And yet those that own a Tesla have cleared these hurdles already. More than enough range for daily driving. Starting every day with a full charge means less time waiting for a charge than pumping gas. And a TCO that's less than a Volvo V70.

    Couple that with eventual belated action on climate change and/or action to prevent funding our mortal enemies with oil money and/or ever increasing prices of oil.

    Then multiply that by the inherent efficiency gains of electric. Yeah, I think it's going to happen.
    Sep 21 04:20 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Goldman Sachs estimates Tesla Motors needs $6B to stay on growth track [View news story]
    "You won't live long enough to see it's passing."

    Well, we'll see. Depends what you mean by "passing". All transportation electrified? Maybe not. Majority of passenger cars electric? You betcha.
    Sep 20 10:19 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Goldman Sachs estimates Tesla Motors needs $6B to stay on growth track [View news story]
    "The Talents of Gasoline"

    LOL!! I think that's the name of a self-help video from the same people who brought you "Smoke Yourself Thin".

    Gas is on the way out. Electric is better, for many many reasons. Not the least of which, 70% of gasolines' "talents" are wasted as unnecessary heat energy.
    Sep 20 08:39 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Goldman Sachs estimates Tesla Motors needs $6B to stay on growth track [View news story]
    "Elaborate, please."

    Of course I only speak for myself but for example placing 7000 batteries into a pack might be less capital intensive than sourcing/fabricating and then assembling 7000 unique widgets into a gas engine.
    Sep 19 07:09 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Projections For Tesla To Sell 500,000 Cars In 2020 Are Absurd [View article]
    "Hang on. How many thousands of posts have there been from Tesla boosters extolling the wisdom and disruptive advantage of plugging in their car every night for a full charge?"

    Not full, @parm. 80%. Keep it in the sweet spot, 20-80%, and it'll last forever.

    Cycling 20-80 does basically no damage to the battery. That's why you need a big battery and that's why these packs aren't degrading as fast as even the 10-year figure would presume.

    Sorry potpie. Your bad battery life thesis is broken.
    Sep 18 08:44 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Projections For Tesla To Sell 500,000 Cars In 2020 Are Absurd [View article]
    "...my SC time would have been at least 7 hours"

    7 hours gets you 14 ~160 mile charges. So your non-Tesla road trips last year would have been 2,240 miles + the initial charge of 260*12 =5360 miles.

    That's cross country and back again, plus some. Not sure if road warrior or exaggerating.

    And yes, @cparm I agree. If your road trips in a year total 5000+ miles you will spend more time waiting for "free" electricity than you will spend inhaling fumes at $4/gallon.
    Sep 18 09:11 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Projections For Tesla To Sell 500,000 Cars In 2020 Are Absurd [View article]
    Lol... Not sure about cop car but Tesla is definitely not going to be a good getaway car. The car is so connected it can't be "stolen" in any sort of profitable way.

    Curious, why stop at 271 if you're sitting on gains down from ~285? Could take the full 24 points now and wait for a new entry...
    Sep 18 02:16 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Projections For Tesla To Sell 500,000 Cars In 2020 Are Absurd [View article]
    PotPie:

    You spent more time waiting to fuel your car last year than most, if not all, Tesla drivers.

    ~4 minutes per week versus 0 minutes per day. The Tesla driver would have to supercharge about 7 times in a year to spend as much time waiting as you already do. Gasoline fumes and $4/gallon in perpetuity optional.
    Sep 18 01:47 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Update: Tallying Up Model S Sales Up To August And Its Implications [View article]
    "Maybe is the more conservative buyers that cannot embrace change? Yes! I was one last year -- had great doubts about batteries and electric motors because of silly reasons, now they are all gone."

    Well said! With such a new type of disruptive product people are always making two mistakes:

    1) In the beginning (where we are now) people tend to over-estimate adoption rates. Most people still can't wrap their heads around a car that doesn't use gas and don't understand the benefits. I'm guessing more than a few here wouldn't believe the real world TCO of "the rich man's toy" Tesla is less than a Volvo V60. (http://bit.ly/1piwyP5)

    2) Later on (where we'll be in a couple years) people tend to underestimate adoption rates. Drastically underestimate. As in, very few ICE cars will be sold at a price point within 10K of a Tesla or Tesla-like EV.
    Sep 16 04:50 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla's China Exploits Well Structured And Timed To Perfection [View article]
    "Regeneration is 50% efficient at best."

    Well, 50% regen efficiency is loads better than no regen and warped rotors.
    Sep 16 11:28 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla's China Exploits Well Structured And Timed To Perfection [View article]
    "You're kidding, right? So if the charger were unoccupied, a guy would stand (or sit) around for an hour for a 23 (or 46)-mile "opportunistic charge"?"

    Well, s/he would most likely visit the establishment(s) convenient to the charger, do her business, then leave. Isn't this what people do?

    The Tesla driver just got a better parking spot, and a bit o' juice. As a bonus, s/he gets to experience righteous indignation if the charging spot is being ICE'd. :)

    Speaking for myself, I would not leave sufficient range subject to visiting a HPWC or J1772 charger in the wild. No range anxiety or charging emergencies in one year of driving. Closest I got was ~30 miles remaining due to several unexpected side trips. I debated stopping at a Whole foods but in the end it wasn't necessary.

    Overnight and road trip charging is different. That's why I made the distinction in my earlier post.
    Sep 14 10:49 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla's Road To Lithium [View article]
    "You can do all the trash talk you want about "the world's biggest user of lithium" but it ain't relevant until it actually happens."

    @Cparm, wake up. It's already happened. 14k Tesla at (2014 to Q2) 85kWh = 1190 GWh. 27k Leaves (year to date) at 24kWh = 648 GWh.
    Sep 14 12:18 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla's China Exploits Well Structured And Timed To Perfection [View article]
    "it would take the guy behind him an hour to get his own 23 miles"

    @LT in that scenario, opportunistic charging, the 2nd guy does not wait. This is not a gas station. It's a nice little perk for Tesla drivers.
    Sep 13 11:44 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
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