Private European Investor and Fulltime trader. Legally trained with focus on commercial law. For my buy and sell decisions, I use Elliott Wave Principle. Fundamentals and education helps me to understand where we are today and where we are headed. Annual P / E ratio = future lies Fibbo, Gun, Elliot = The only one you can trust (psss.. Others do it) Other technical analyzes will fool you and steal your money, just use them to get an answer to what others believe and why they always lose money In the 1900's information was Power, today everyone got information The Winner of the 2000´s, is the one knowing how to use the information Knowing it is Power - Power is running everything! "Too Big to Fail has become Too Big for Trial" http://tinyurl.com/d3fwkog Bee carefull. S&P 500 is at a top 2013-02-19 http://tinyurl.com/a5lxdhp I marvel at the clarity of wisdom: “The time has come of self-value. And the question is not: ‘To be or not to be;’ the statement is: ‘To be to be. I am, I am.’ The time has come not to search for God, but to be G.O.D.” ~Yogi Bhajan World markets will crash during 2013-2016. Sorry to be the one to tell it to you. 2013-02-20: My best shorting advice is to short the Swedish bank Swedbank, with a trailing pe ratio of 20 for the last 5 years, almost the double compared to other banks in Sweden like Nordea (trailing pe 10 last five years). Housebubble will burst even in North of Europé. Have not happend yet. Good luck!
I am an independent trader. I began actively trading in 2008 and my perspective is shaped by the collapse of 2008 and the incredible rally of 2009. My approach consists of seeking out fundamentally strong stocks that are unloved by the market and then assessing general market conditions to manage risk.
Outside of the markets, I enjoy playing tennis, working out, and pushing myself to conquer my fear of public speaking.
***The premium subscription portfolio returned 9.3% in less than a year, significantly outperforming major indexes. For a free trial of the paid subscription, please click on the orange "FREE TRIAL" link to learn more. If you would like to receive future free updates on interesting companies, please click the orange "Follow" button on any page showing one of my articles. The "Follow" button is located at the top of the page, next to my profile name and picture. Also, please make sure to learn more about my paid SeekingAlpha Marketplace subscription service and take advantage of the absolutely free trial.***
The subscription portfolio uses several diversification strategies and delivers returns with low correlation to the markets.
Martin Vlcek is a full-time investor and analyst who has been actively investing and managing money for more than 15 years. Martin has an Economics degree. Martin’s investment philosophy is to hold a truly diversified portfolio of investments across asset classes with low or negative correlation and a positive carry if possible. His primary stock investment focus is on undervalued small-cap stocks with favorable risk-to-reward ratio and upcoming catalysts.
Martin became a full-time investor and money manager after a 15-year career in online marketing where he was one of the pioneers of the pay-per-click search. Martin later held managerial positions at several Fortune 500 companies and also managed his own startup company.
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: Martin is not a Registered Investment Advisor, Broker/Dealer, Securities Broker or Financial Planner. The Information in his articles, his comment and his premium subscription service on SeekingAlpha.com or elsewhere is provided for information purposes only. The Information is not intended to be and does not constitute financial advice or any other advice, is general in nature and not specific to any individual. Before using Martin's information to make an investment decision, you should seek the advice of a qualified and registered securities professional and undertake your own due diligence. None of the information provided by Martin is intended as investment advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or as a recommendation, endorsement, or sponsorship of any security, company, or fund. Martin is not responsible for any investment decision made by you. You are responsible for your own investment research and investment decisions.
Independent equity researcher. I run detailed analyses based on external sources to give my best estimate of an equity's valuation. Focus on telecom, oil and gas, automotive and packaging industries. I am happy to discuss the assumptions in my models and analyses, please do not hesitate to contact me. Disclosure: my comments, stocktalks and articles on Seeking Alpha are not an endorsement to buy or sell securities. The information contained within my articles and comments is for informational purposes only and is subject to change at any time. Please do your own due diligence and contact a licensed professional before making any investment decisions.
Brendan, a Pennsylvanian by birth, completed his B.S. at Allegheny College and his Ph.D. at Stanford University in the field of organic synthesis. He has been employed by a major pharmaceutical company and a tiny biopharma startup, but is an avid investor as well. His writings focus on a variety of topics ranging from stocks and bonds to analysis of recent news events relevant to financial markets.
Lucas Wyrsch is a Networker, Enterprise Risk Management Consultant, Actuary,
He is a Member of the Board of Directors of Ravens Power AG, a company that offers sustainable, renewable and alternative energy solutions for all.
He animates the Swiss Business Club to introduce the concept of Swissness to the global online and social media community!
He administrates Future Power Generation, a think tank in geothermal energy in particular and all kinds of sustainable, alternative and renewable sources of energy in general.
He heads TGC Consultants, a risk management and marketing body to create sustainable long term business results!
Lucas Wyrsch is a life member of Black Stars at Ecademy where he coordinates mastermind groups in business administration.
Zug and Zurich, Switzerland ·
Connect to Lucas Wyrsch on Ecademy: http://www.ecademy.com?xref=97931
Like to Lucas Wyrsch on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/lucas.wyrsch
Follow Lucas Wyrsch on Twitter: https://twitter.com/#!/Lucas_Wyrsch
Join Lucas Wyrsch on LinkedIn: http://ch.linkedin.com/in/lucaswyrsch
Circle Lucas Wyrsch on Google Plus: http://Gplus.to/LucasWyrsch
Ellen Brown is an attorney, president of the Public Banking Institute, and the author of twelve books. Shedeveloped her research skills as an attorney practicing civil litigation in Los Angeles. In "Web of Debt," she turned those skills to an analysis of the Federal Reserve and “the money trust.” She showed how this private cartel has usurped the power to create money from the people themselves, and how we the people can get it back. In "The Public Bank Solution," her latest book, she explores the public banking model globally and historically as an equitable and efficient solution to our banking woes. Her earlier books focused on the pharmaceutical cartel that gets its power from “the money trust.” They include "Forbidden Medicine," "Nature’s Pharmacy" (co-authored with Dr. Lynne Walker), and "The Key to Ultimate Health" (co-authored with Dr. Richard Hansen). Her websites are www.webofdebt.com, www.publicbanksolution.com and www.ellenbrown.com.
After having been in the investing world for more than 25 years from private banking and investment management to private and venture capital; I have pretty much "been there and done that" at one point or another. I am currently a silent partner for an RIA in Houston, Texas.
The majority of my time is spent analyzing, researching and writing commentary about investing, investor psychology and macro-views of the markets and the economy. My thoughts are not generally mainstream and are often contrarian in nature but I try an use a common sense approach, clear explanations and my “real world” experience in the process.
I am the Chief Editor of the REAL INVESTMENT REPORT, a weekly subscriber based-newsletter that is distributed nationwide. The newsletter covers economic, political and market topics as they relate to your money and life.
I also write a daily blog which is read by thousands nationwide from individuals to professionals at www.realinvestmentadvice.com.
I enjoy corporate strategy especially the influence of strategic choices on stock performance and corporate earnings. Good strategic choices influence customer choices, corporate relationships and the quality of earnings. That's the focus of my curiosity and optical lens through which I write and read articles.
I am a graduate of the Carlson School of Management with an MBA in Finance and Strategic Management. My other interests are business development, working with small businesses and cycling.
How may I help you?
Michael J. Clark was born and raised in Sinclair, Wyoming. He is a poet, novelist, artist, historian, and market analyst.
He began investing in 1985. He read ˜The Technical Analysis of Stock Trends" by Edwards and Magee and was hooked. From 1985-1987 he made astonishing gains in the stock market; and then stocks collapsed in 1987. Since then he has been attempting to 'solve the stock market', with many failures and some successes. The system he developed, called CGTS, Clark's Gate Timining System, is algorithm-based. What this fancy word means is that he proposes a series of necessary steps based on technical analysis propositions, which, when met, trigger trading signals. His four main trading systems are up a combined 31% for 2015.
From his website:
Now that QE is supposedly ending, markets are already becoming more tradable, with opportunities to make money on both long and short trades at the same time. QE tended to make all boats rise, except precious metals. This made it more difficult to play the short side of the markets. Now, both sides seem to be more accessible to successful trades. This will also be more of a challenge for investors. The FED will have to eventually abandon the markets to their own destinies, and stop spending trillions to protect investors AND corporations from their mistakes. As this begins to happen (I am not sure it has happened yet), informed advice will become even more necessary for investors.
Rules of Investment
Rule #1: Never go against the trend. The majority is often wrong; but the minority is often wrong also. The sticky issue with this advice is at transition points, at which a Bull Market turns into a Bear Market or vice-versa. Big Money often anticipates and/or causes this transition. So pay attention to what Big Money is really doing, not what they say they are doing.
Rule #2: You don’t need a broker who makes his living off of your money. Most brokerage firms buy a position in a stock quietly and slowly. When the stock has appreciated significantly they add the stock to their buy recommendations. Then they begin selling their position while they are encouraging their clients to buy the stock. Most firms never issue sell recommendations. If they do, beware: they are probably trying to buy your stock after a huge sell-off.
Rule #3: Watch your own emotions because they are often signaling something. When fear turns to greed and visions of unlimited wealth, we are probably near a top in a trade and we should get ready to sell. When hope and denial turn to fear and visions of an unlimited loss, we are probably approaching a bottom in a trade. (See Rule #1 however.)
Rule #4: Trade with a system to complement your gut reactions. Follow the system no matter what, even if it means taking a loss. Don’t get lazy with your money and sink into denial. Use a system to help you refrain from 'playing a hunch'.
Rule #5: HEDGE YOUR PORTFOLIO AGAINST LOSSES. How does one do this? By having a balanced portfolio of long and short positions. But have a system that signals both long and short positions, and keep your portfolio balanced around 50% long and 50% short. This may seem to contradict Rule #1. It does not. When something is in a long trend, something else is in a short trend. Find what is long and what is short. If stocks are long, gold or oil may be short. Use ETFs and options to help establish this portfolio balance. Our system gives trading signals every day for both long and short positions.
More information on CGTS is available at:
His fine arts portfolio can be found at the following address:
His writing portfolio can be found at:
Those interested in his book "Turn Out the Lights", a description of the metaphysical causes of the 2008 financial meltdown, can access the draft at:
Michael Clark has retired after working 30 years in academia, relocated to Hanoi, Vietnam for six years, and has returned to America in 2014.
Have managed money for clients as an independent advisor since 1991. Published a newsletter ECONOMIC LEADS from 1988 to 1993. Have an economics degree from Vanderbilt University. Focus on the macro picture forecasting the US economy and broad stock market. Also have a model to estimate long term equity returns for several countries.
PhD in Computational Physics. Developing new models for stock trading (focusing on long SVXY). Predicting future accurately enough for trading purposes is surprisingly difficult... :)
Contrarian investment philosophy. I am in particular interested in undervalued technology stocks with multiple x upside potential and limited downside risk.
I am currently long $MSFT, $LNVGY, $INTC, $CRAY, $VRNG, $OCAT, $F, $TLT, $ALU and $NOK. $NOK (and now $ALU) are still the largest position in my portfolio, although I sold 70% of my $NOK position since the Devices and Services deal with Microsoft was announced. $NOK/ALU, and $TLT are currently my largest individual stock/ETF positions.
I also swing trade inverse volatility (long $SVXY) depending on market trends. I do not touch $VIX or other direct volatility products under any circumstances.
Additional disclosure: My comments, Stocktalks, articles etc are not an endorsement to buy or sell securities. Investing in securities carries with it very high risks. The information contained within my articles and commentary is for informational purposes only and is subject to change at any time. Do your own due diligence and consult with a licensed professional before making any investment decisions.
A fund manager who cut his cloth in Schroders London. He joined Coronation South Africa in 1998, running the Smaller Companies Fund which had the best 5-yr record in the sector during his tenure. In 2005 he left Coronation to pursue his passion in writing (and invest without constraints). He recently completed his first novel, a financial thriller called "White Man's Numbers" which can be purchased from Lulu.com and Amazon. Highly acclaimed, See excerpt and reviews on website link below.
Sol Palha is the head financial analyst at Tactical Investor. He is a self-taught Student of the Markets, having widely read conventional and non-conventional texts on all aspects of technical analysis, Mass Psychology and philosophy (as he believes it can be quite useful in terms of market analysis). He has been studying the markets for over 18 years. He combines mass psychology, technical analysis and a new field of study that he has pioneered, Esoteric Cycle Analysis to determine market tops and bottoms. Mass Psychology and Technical analysis is a deadly combination, and has enabled us to accurately determine Market tops and bottoms in advance of the actual event. One should not confuse topping and bottoming action, with trying to predict the actual top or bottom------- An endeavor best left to fools with plenty of time on their hands and an inordinate capacity to deal with pain and failure.
I began my professional career as a capital markets lawyer at the New York firm Cadwalader, Wickersham & Taft. In 2010, I returned to Notre Dame (’05 undergrad) for my MBA and graduated ('12) with an Investments concentration. I currently work as an equity analyst for an asset manager.
Please feel free to connect with me here or elsewhere--my linkedin profile is below:
Im JT MARTIN, i buy and sell stocks for profit in my spare time. Im a credit manager for a 110 million dollar paper goods distrubtor in South Carolina. I spend 8 hours a day in front of the computer so it gives me time to research the market. I love it!!
I only look at stocks that have the possibility to double over a twelve month period and stocks in which the risk/reward ratio payout is high. In addition I focus on swing trade opportunities.
I focus more on valuations and risk/reward metrics as opposed to what make companies tick.
I have been a professional investor for over 20 years and during the past several years an economics analyst and financial writer for capital.gr, the biggest economic news portal in Greece.
I have managed money from time to time and have also done some seed venture capital projects in the past.
I am an active husband, father, lawyer (more than 24 years, how time flies), and investor. I believe in contrarian investing, i.e., going where the crowd isn't. I believe that successful investing, like successful living, requires equal parts listening and evaluating, followed by independent decision making.
I worked for many years in management in the health care industry in the UK, in Bermuda, and for the last 20 years in Florida. The day I turned 59 1/2 I just got out of bed and decided I didn't want to work any more and that I would just take my various pensions from different countries, such as they were, roll them all into one big IRA, and just see if I could live by my wits. My investment objective is, therefore, to make enough so that I never have to work again, although it would be easy for me to do so if I wanted.
I could probably get by very well with a 10% annual yield on my capital, but of course more is more and much more is much more.
When I started out investing in stocks, I really didn't know what I was doing, but I had the occasional bit of luck, like investing every penny I had in BP in the summer of 2010, just when it couldn't go any lower. And it didn't. Then again I staked every dime I had on out of the money options on a drug that had a PDUFA date in January 2011. It was approved. Phew! But I was a nervous wreck and figured there had to be a better way.
Then about a year ago I started to study the whole business of options strategies, got myself a few books, and found out that you could sell options as well as buy them. This was a bit of a revelation, to say the least, because I had noticed that whenever I thought a stock would go up, it went down,and when I thought it would go down, it usually went up, but by selling options you could let other people's optimism work for you.
Then I found out about volatility. I had always known that the whole game was rigged, but now I began to understand how and why
I'm hoping that with some blog posts or articles here I can inform others about some of the things that I have learned in my time as a full time investor and personal hedge fund manager (O.K., layabout) so that they can avoid some basic errors, and I hope to attract enough criticism to be able to learn from those who know much more than me.
New member brnichols is an investment research analyst and trades financial derivatives. Fields of interest include technical analysis, macroeconomics, demographics, financial history and energy policy. His published topics include; stock options,dividend investing,technology,services, and finance.
Hi I am a Arizona State University business finance student currently working on my undergraduate degree. I work as a Leads Specialist for De Rito Partners Inc; the largest private commercial real estate company in AZ. I am currently in the process of getting my real estate license to become a retail broker. I am also CEO of asuchat.com which is a social network for Arizona students 18+ with the goal of bringing together the community through events, news, local business and of course, chat rooms.
I invest in aggressive growth stocks with a value-investor mentality, focusing at entering my positions at a low enough level that my investments are protected by a margin of safety. I purchase stocks with dominant market share or high probable future gain with low downside. My primary sectors of focus are: Technology, Pharmaceutical & Medicinal, Energy,and Real Estate. My portfolio consists of positions long in ATVI, HAL, ONVO, SSYS, AAPL, NOK, MSFT, SLB, CJES, VIVHY, VNR.
Founder of Disruptive Tech Research – a technology research and advisory firm serving the investment management community.
We provide registered investment professionals and qualified firms with independent, targeted research to support the generation of investment ideas.
We focus on patent-filing activity to identify the most promising disruptive technology trends early. Then, we employ an original, bottom-up fundamental research approach to uncover micro- and small-cap ideas that are underfollowed, underappreciated and undervalued.
Our mission is to provide clients with differentiated, actionable and thorough fundamental research at a cost effective price.
We’re 100% independent. That means absolutely no pay-to-play arrangements, no hidden agendas and no hype. Just solid research. And yes, we eat our own cooking.
I started my investment career at Morgan Stanley, where I helped direct over $1 billion in in institutional capital. After growing bored with the monotony of asset allocation studies, investment policy statements, manager searches and evaluations, and Retirement Plan Service Provider RFPs (among other things), I left and co-founded Wall Street Daily, which quickly became one of the web’s largest financial publishers with a daily circulation of more than 700,000 readers.
In 2014, I founded Disruptive Tech Research to pursue my investing passion, and fill the void in the market for high-quality, 100% independent research on disruptive technologies.
I have been fortunate to appear regularly on CNBC’s Closing Bell, as well as be mentioned in other media outlets, including in The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times, Morningstar and MarketWatch. I earned my MBA from the Crummer Graduate School of Business at Rollins College, which is also where I met my beautiful wife.
Pro Deo, Pro Familia, Pro Patria
Mr. Barac is the founder and Managing Member of the General Partner, Barac Capital Management, LLC. Prior to founding the General Partner, Mr. Barac held a variety of roles in institutional securities research and trading.
Mr. Barac graduated from Trinity University (San Antonio, Texas) in 1989 and received a Master’s in Business Administration degree from Southern Methodist University (Dallas, Texas) in 1998. During his graduate studies, Mr. Barac’s broad-based business studies included a focus on international business which included an internship with Bank Boston’s media and telecommunications lending group in Buenos Aires, Argentina and an international exchange semester at the E.S.A.D.E. Business School in Barcelona, Spain.
Following his graduate studies, Mr. Barac went to work for Moody’s Investors Services in New York, New York in 1998 and transferred to their London, England offices in 1999. At Moody’s, Mr. Barac became a Senior Credit Officer/Vice-President and lead analyst with responsibility for the credit ratings of a multi-billion dollar portfolio of high-profile European leveraged finance companies. As an expert in leveraged finance and corporate credit risk analysis, Mr. Barac was a regular speaker for Moody’s and was regularly quoted by major financial publications (e.g. the Wall Street Journal Europe, Financial Times, New York Times, Bloomberg News, and The Times of London).
From 2005 to 2007, Mr. Barac worked at Schroders Investment Management, an investment management firm with assets under management in excess of $200 billion, headquartered in London, England. At Schroder’s, Mr. Barac was responsible for identifying profitable fixed-income trade ideas from within a portfolio of European high-yield and investment grade corporate bond issuers. Mr. Barac’s work at Schroder’s earned him selection for the company’s elite merit-based Business Leadership Program.
Mr. Barac continued his work in corporate securities analysis with Barclay’s Capital (also in London, England) where he worked as a Director in their Principal Strategies Group from 2007 to 2008. At Barclays, Mr. Barac was a proprietary analyst and trader responsible for investing a portion of Barclay’s capital through a combination of bonds, stocks, and fixed-income derivatives (credit default swaps).
Following his return from London to Austin, Texas in 2008, Mr. Barac founded, established, and now actively manages the Barac Value Fund, L.P.
I mainly focus on two sectors: technology and auto industry. I am long only and I like to take a conservative approach where I sell covered calls on the shares I hold in order to reduce my risks. Some of the stocks I follow closest are Nokia, Microsoft, Ford and Apple. I believe that being able to see beyond numbers and actually understanding business models of companies we cover is crucial to provide useful insight on companies.