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HiloBeMagical

HiloBeMagical
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  • April Showers Bring... Dividend Growth, Joy And Fun! [View article]
    "Not sure why it's taking so long...;)"

    Have some patience. It takes time to factor everything in.
    Apr 15 05:21 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How Much Does Seeking Alpha Pay Its Contributors? [View article]
    David asked: "How many [re-hashes of the same old articles] do we need?"

    Hey David,

    With a comment count of over 1500, I assume you've been here for quite some time. Have you ever noticed that when you fire up Seeking Alpha on your browser there is the faintest scent of pine needles in the air?

    What's important for me to remember when I'm moaning about the 50th article on the trendy stock-of-the-moment, is that there are new readers here every day.

    For us, it's "the same old thing". For them it's "Christmas morning".

    Merry Christmas,
    Hilo
    Apr 15 09:17 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, And Dividend Growth Investing [View article]
    Eddie said: "You are correct, as I stated in the article he emphasizes most of your money in your best ideas."

    Well, of course Coca Cola is one of his largest holdings. Dripping dividends for 26 years will do that for you. :)

    Hilo
    Apr 15 09:05 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • April Showers Bring... Dividend Growth, Joy And Fun! [View article]
    Peace confessed: " I know it is cheating, but maybe that Dividend Fairy will forgive me."

    Peace,

    "All wisdom is plagiarized. Only stupidity is original." *1

    Cheat on.

    Hilo

    [1] I'd be happy to cite the source of that quote, but I plagiarized it.
    Apr 15 08:50 AM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • April Showers Bring... Dividend Growth, Joy And Fun! [View article]
    There must be something you're not factoring in...
    Apr 15 08:45 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • What If My Stocks Crash And Burn? Part 2 [View article]
    Non credo che il sito parla italiano. ;)
    Apr 15 08:43 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • What If My Stocks Crash And Burn? Part 2 [View article]
    "http://bit.ly/1t1jymb
    for 12757 anagrams of HiloBeMagical. :-) "

    Back at ya, "Narwhals Blotter Czar".

    Get busy blotting out those narwhals!

    Hilo

    ... I wonder what I'd get if I added "not Bob" to it...
    Apr 14 04:32 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • What If My Stocks Crash And Burn? Part 2 [View article]
    mbk75 said: "The thing about DGI is that they tend to fall less than the general market and rise faster."

    Kelly,

    I started tracking my actual beta earlier this spring, and my current portfolio beta is .66 on the up days and .35 on the down. There's real money in that 31% differential. :)

    Hilo
    Apr 14 09:15 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • April Showers Bring... Dividend Growth, Joy And Fun! [View article]
    "I am still printing out the CCC list in PDF and highlighting, circling, underlining and putting stars."

    That's OK. David Fish works up all of his monthly raw data on a clay tablet with a cuniform stick. Something about making sure there's solid evidence for posterity... ;)

    Hilo
    Apr 14 09:04 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What If My Stocks Crash And Burn? Part 2 [View article]
    Close. Camellia Big Ho.

    Hilo


    "I'm here all week. Don't forget to tip your waiters."
    Apr 11 04:16 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What If My Stocks Crash And Burn? Part 2 [View article]
    "In general, I do not compare my results to the S&P, I really don't care what it does or if I do better or worse than it."

    Understood Faye, I was only illustrating that "if my stocks crash and burn", it will be the least of my problems as there will have been a vaporization of the entire market first. :/

    "HiloBeMagical, I smile at your username every time. It truly is."

    Yes, it is, as I remember it. But, in full disclosure, I should say that the screen name is only my real name "anagram-ized". Take all the letters, scramble 'em up, and out comes HiloBeMagical. ;)

    All the best,
    Hilo
    Apr 11 03:29 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • April Showers Bring... Dividend Growth, Joy And Fun! [View article]
    Scott shared a friend's "success": "His response 'I know, I bought in at 106 on the way back up and sold at 114 four days later, thanks for the heads up on it'."


    Scott, I remember trying to time 7.5% wins...

    The second worst day of my life was the day I made $6,000 in one session discovering I was a natural-born day trader.

    The worst day of my life occurred some months later when I saw I'd just lost $X0,000 finding out it wasn't true.

    Hilo

    "Been there, done that. Lost the t-shirt"
    Apr 11 11:40 AM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What If My Stocks Crash And Burn? Part 2 [View article]
    Liz,

    Thanks for an interesting series of articles.

    After reading some of Bob Johnson's work on beta, I started tracking my entire portfolio's daily percentage gains / losses vs. those of the S&P 500.

    The idea is that while it's interesting to know, (as you've shown), what each individual stock may do in a downturn, it's more relevant, (to me, anyway), to understand how my entire portfolio moves in relation to the market.

    If the market goes 30% down, what can I expect of my entire portfolio?

    Well, certainly, this will vary for every investor based on the percentages held in different sectors, but I also believe that no matter what the specific percentages of each sector we hold, we, as dividend growth investors, have built-in buffers that protect us. These would be:

    1) Our cash positions,
    2) Cash we have held in escrow against puts we've sold in order to enter new positions and/or cash received from covered calls,
    3) Our income stream from dividends, and
    4) The cash we receive on the sold options mentioned in #2.

    [It's now occurring to me this is going to be a longer comment than I intended, but "in for penny..."]

    Here are the stats for my entire portfolio, and the results of the survey I've been running:

    My portfolio currently has the following percentages:

    1) Stocks held: 91.7%
    [Sector Allocations:
    Basic Materials 13.75%
    Consumer Goods 25.52%
    Financial 5.38%
    Healthcare 15.73%
    Industrial Goods 10.47%
    Services 11.57%
    Technology 6.88%
    Utilities 10.71%]

    2) Cash: Negligible
    3) Cash in escrow against puts sold: 8.3%

    THE FINDINGS:

    Over the time I've been tracking "beta", I have found that my portfolio has an overall beta of 44.22%. Since none of the stocks I own show a beta that low, it's apparent to me that my cash equivalents and regular receipt of dividends are buffering the portfolio against down days in the market.

    HOWEVER, what's much more interesting and assuring to me is that the "UP" beta and the "DOWN" beta are widely different.

    My cumulative beta on all UP days for the market is 65.7%
    The cumulative beta on all DOWN days is 34.9%

    Although I don't have enough math smarts to prove this, it seems to me that my cash position alone is insufficient in size to create a difference this large between the results between the UP and DOWN days. But to me it doesn't matter. All that's important for my peace of mind is...

    I get more "UP" on the up days, and less "DOWN" on the down days.

    More up on the up, less down on the down. How much better could it possibly be?

    Here's hoping the panicked market we've been seeing over the last couple of days continues for another few weeks, at least. I've got dividends to invest. ;)

    All the best Liz, and thanks again,
    Hilo
    Apr 11 11:21 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What If My Stocks Crash And Burn? Part 2 [View article]
    Craig calmed the waters with:
    "The tide went out and all the ships moved down with it but did the cargo you need to live on fall overboard?"


    Outstanding!

    Hilo
    Apr 11 10:48 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • April Showers Bring... Dividend Growth, Joy And Fun! [View article]
    Eddie incited: "Nah, come on, ungrip the lip."

    That line is made exponentially funnier by it's placement next to your screen shot.

    :D

    Hilo
    Apr 11 07:58 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
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