For Elazar's Research on SA hit "Follow." and click "Real-time alerts on this author" for real time.
In 6 weeks since we began to do weekly calls on SA our performance on SPY is +6.5%.
Mon. Jun27, 16 SPY
Mon, Jun 20, 16 SPY Down Perf + 6.5% In 6 Wks
Mon, Jun 13, 16 SPY Down Perf + 3.83% In 5 wks
Mon, Jun 6, 16 SPY Down Perf + 2.47% In 4 wks
Tue, May 31, 16 SPY Down Perf + 2.18% In 3 wks
Mon, May 23, 16 SPY Up Perf + 2.04% In 2 wks
Mon, May 16, 16 SPY Down Perf -0.26% 1st Wk
*Elazar is run by Chaim Siegel. Chaim worked for Steve Cohen at SAC Capital twice, was a partner at JLF Asset, run by Jeff Feinberg, a $1B hedge fund and Chaim ran his own fund. Before that he was one of 7 analysts working for a $13B fund at Morgan Stanley. He started Elazar 12 years ago and has served hedge fund clients in the $100mm-$10B asset range with his fundamental analysis, macro research and models.
Chaim, "It took us a while to figure out SA but frankly, it's a blast and the other people on here are way smarter than us which makes it a good workout."
Chaim, "Hopefully we can all help each other make a ton in the market. Good luck!"
Get the highest conviction investment ideas from the world's greatest ideas for $12 per month. The Superinvestor Bulletin builds a portfolio exclusively from the highest conviction investments made by the world’s greatest investors. Since the world’s greatest investors tend to return 15 to 20 percent per year on average, replicating their best ideas should provide superior returns (without their egregious performance fees).One full investment idea per month (15 to 20 page report) plus weekly updates. Visit our website or contact us directly for a free sample report.
Perhaps more than any other time in the last six decades, the fate of markets is inextricably intertwined with the ebb and flow of geopolitics. From the ECB's attempts to use the central bank's balance sheet to influence political outcomes across the eurozone to Saudi Arabia's efforts to transform the kingdom's influence over crude prices into an instrument of foreign policy, it's become increasingly clear that one simply cannot fully comprehend market movements without a thorough understanding of concurrent political outcomes. Drawing on extensive experience in both politics and finance, Heisenberg will help demystify a world in which investors can no longer hope to conceptualize markets as existing in anything that even approximates a vacuum. "I am the one who knocks."
I have worked as a project manager in the oil and gas industry for the last 5 years. I have managed projects across the sector, working in downstream, midstream, and upstream oil. I have some exposure to CSG and tight gas surface facilities.
I have a B.Sc in Mechanical Engineering and have studied petroleum engineering, statistical programming, finance, and business.
George Spritzer, CFA is a registered investment advisor at Southland Investments and specializes in managing closed-end funds for individuals.
George uses the following investment strategies:1) Opportunistic Closed-end fund investing: Buy CEFs at larger than normal discounts to NAV and sell them when the discounts narrow. 2) Exploit special situations: tender offers, fund terminations, fund activism, rights offerings etc.
Full time trader since January 2008. Account value up over 500% since then + all my family's bills and expenses paid from trading. I only trade in MREITs and BDCs.
I do not take a buy and hold approach to investing. I may take a longer term view... but I will not hesitate to trade in and out of positions if the market conditions/fundamentals dictate a change of position. This has been a very effective tool for value generation over time and I plan to continue trading within the BDC/mREIT universe depending on market conditions and other factors in order to preserve + grow value.
Disclosure: Anything I write or say on Seeking Alpha should be considered "speculative" and I am never in any way advocating that a person should buy or sell a particular security for any reason at any time. Investors should do their own due diligence and make their own decisions or contact their own financial planner. By reading anything I write, you accept that the author (myself) cannot be held liable for any decisions you make, whether to buy or sell, any particular security, etc.
Additional disclosure: All information posted on Seeking Alpha or Yahoo message boards is information based on William Packers own projections, assumptions and beliefs and is not a statement from any company, person of affiliate of any company other than William Packer himself.
Ph.D. economics and Finance MBA finance
Globe Institute of Technology
Professor – Economics and Finance, Chair of Business Department
Colorado Technical University
Adjunct Professor – courses: Applied Managerial Finance (Graduate Level), Microeconomics, International Finance
European School Of Economics (New York Campus)
Adjunct Professor – Economics (Graduate Level) Courses taught: Microeconomics
Metropolitan College of New York
Adjunct Professor – Economics, Banking and Finance
Courses taught: History of Economic Thought, Macroeconomics, Money and Financial Institutions
World Gold Council
New York, NY
• Constructed econometric models relating to gold's role as a portfolio diversifier primarily aimed at institutional investors.
• Focused on models of the embedded optionality of gold in terms of its relation to other investment assets and economic fundamentals such as inflation and business conditions.
Founder and President, Internet Startup company with polling and investment advice websites.
Fundamental Portfolio Advisors, Inc.
Chief Portfolio Strategist – President
• At the predecessor company I started the New York Muni Fund, the first single state triple tax-free municipal bond fund.
• I took the fund from a one-employee start-up where I performed every function to a family of mutual funds which had five funds with total assets above $300 million and which did all of its distribution, accounting and transfer in-house.
• I wrote the initial prospectus and was responsible for managing the portfolios of what eventually grew to be a family of 5 mutual funds.
• Was chief economist for parent company’s brokerage affiliate.
• Involved on the buy-side in the development and monitoring of various structured municipal finance products. Worked with major issuers such as New York City and major investment banks such as Merrill Lynch and Goldman Sachs.
• Designed and submitted a U.S. Patent Application for a portfolio management system for mutual funds involving derivatives.
Note: In 1996 Fundamental Portfolio Advisors and myself were subject to civil litigation by the SEC which resulted in deregistration and a permanent bar from the securities industry.
A. Gary Shilling & Co.
Senior Economist – Vice President
Economic consulting, modeling and forecasting. Both macro and micro.
• Clients included: Emerson Electric, Bethlehem Steel, Castle & Cooke, Cooper Industries and the U.S. Department of Transportation.
• I was the author of the 1979 study commissioned by the U.S. Government Interstate Commerce Commission, which calculated the expected economic impact of trucking deregulation.
White, Weld & Co, Inc.
• White, Weld was the sixth largest investment banking and brokerage firm when Merrill Lynch bought it.
• Extensive work was done on the All-American Pipeline Proposal to tap the Alaskan Gas Reserves.
• The economics department of White, Weld formed A. Gary Shilling & Co. at the time of the Merrill Lynch merger.
American Stock Exchange
New York University
June 1978 Ph.D.
• Ph.D. dual field, economics and finance.
• Doctoral dissertation was in contingency claims (options) theory
June 1973 MBA with concentration in economics and finance
NYU Engineering School
June 1971 Bachelor of Science - Nuclear Engineering Tau Beta Pi
Analysis of the Embedded Inflation Optionality in Gold Prices. World Gold Council, 2000. New York, N.Y.
The Economic Impact of Trucking Deregulation. Interstate Commerce Commission, 1979, Washington D.C.
Harvard College, BA, Economics; Stanford Graduate School of Business, MBA
Managing Director, Boslego Risk Services
I founded Boslego Risk Services and became a recognized expert in the area of energy price risk management (hedging), providing oil and natural gas hedging strategies to major oil companies such as Exxon, Shell, Mobil, Chevron, Texaco and Phillips; to the national oil companies of Norway, Venezuela, Mexico, Canada, France and Italy; to major users of energy products, such as Delta Airlines, United Airlines, Burlington-Northern Railroad, and Canadian Pacific Railway; to major trading firms, such as Enron, Phibro, Sempra and Vitol; and to large hedge funds (confidential).
As the recognized expert in energy hedging, I was selected by the former president, John Treat, of the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) to write the chapter on hedging in his book, Energy Futures.
I expanded my risk analysis and hedging services beyond the energy markets to financial markets. Given the failure of traditional portfolio diversification to limit losses to levels tolerable to most investors in 2008/09, I created investment strategies utilizing risk management techniques for hedge funds and financial firms.
Chris Cook's background is in UK market regulation, latterly as a Director of the International Petroleum Exchange. In recent years, he has been a strategic market consultant and commentator, and has also been actively developing new partnership-based legal and financial structures or "enterprise models". Since 2011 Chris has been a Senior Research Fellow at the Institute for Security & Resilience Studies at University College London.
Michael T. Snyder is a graduate of the McIntire School of Commerce at the University of Virginia and has two law degrees from the University of Florida. He is an attorney that has worked for some of the largest and most prominent law firms in Washington D.C. and who now resides outside of Seattle, Washington. He is a very active blogger and is also a respected researcher, writer, speaker and activist. You can follow him on The Economic Collapse blog: http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/
Black Swan Capital is a currency research firm that offers its global base of retail and institutional Members global market analysis, specializing in foreign exchange. They are dedicated to providing original and timely currency market research for people who understand and appreciate the nuances of investment analysis.
Their primary advisory newsletter, Black Swan Forex, is solidly researched and creative ideas reserved for a select few who have the understanding and wherewithal to act. This service does two things: first, it provides serious, detailed macroeconomic research and global market analysis; second, it recommends trading in spot forex, currency futures, key cross-rates and emerging market currencies. The goal is to consistently apply a systematic approach grounded in human nature. Define risk first; minimize conceptual errors; know the probabilities; then pull the trigger.
Mr. Jack Crooks, founder of Black Swan Capital, has over 25 years experience in the currency, equity, and futures arena. He is a seasoned investment advisor who has held key positions in brokerage, money management, trading, and research.
Eric Parnell, CFA, is the Founder and Director of Gerring Capital Partners. Gerring Capital is a registered investment advisory firm seeking attractive returns opportunities emphasizing value, quality and risk control. Eric also publishes The Universal premium service on Seeking Alpha targeting winning strategies in bear and bull markets across the asset class universe. Gerring Capital implements these strategies for its investors and then Eric discusses them on The Universal. Eric is also a Visiting Instructor at Ursinus College in the Department of Business and Economics. Prior to founding Gerring in 2005, Eric was the Director of Investment Communications at SEI Investments and an Economist at Moody’s Analytics.
Kirk Bostrom, as Managing Partner of Strategic Preservation Partners LP, has been a successful Silicon Valley private investor over the past decade. With roots in the markets beginning in his early teens as a runner on the floor of the Chicago Board of Trade, Kirk has spent nearly 30 years in the investment securities industry. His experience included working in Sales & Trading for First Boston Corporation (institutional taxable fixed income specialist) to Senior Vice President at Citigroup Smith Barney and being named a Managing Director at Piper Jaffray. At both Citigroup Smith Barney and Piper Jaffray, Kirk led a multi-office corporate services team across the spectrum of client coverage capacities, including corporate cash management, restricted stock & option transactions, and high net worth asset management. He was named repeatedly as one of the top-performing investment advisors in the nation as a member of the Chairman's Club at Citigroup (Nation's Top 1%) and Piper Jaffray's "Baker's Dozen" (Nation’s Top 13 Advisors). In the late 1990s, Kirk often appeared on San Francisco's NBC-TV affiliate, KRON-TV, for financial market commentary. He received a Bachelor of Science in Agricultural Industries (Agribusiness & Economics) from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign.
We are an independent Financial Education and Discretionary analysis blog, focusing on macro based instruments such as the Foreign Exchange markets, Stock Indices & ETFs. We aim to help users in their broad macro market analysis as well as refine their potential entry positioning by looking for high probability trading setups through our trading updates, which we hope will help participants generate market returns that are non-correlated to the stock market.
Visit us at: www.themarketmaster.com
Adam has over twenty five years’ experience in capital markets and investment management, in a career that has involved proprietary trading desks, commodity trading advisors, sovereign wealth funds and private offices. During this time he has had trading book P&L responsibility, in addition to setting up and managing offices of regulated global financial entities in the UAE.
Portfolio Manager, attorney, finance author, a regular guest on North American media. Danielle Park is the author of the best selling myth-busting book “Juggling Dynamite: An insider’s wisdom on money management, markets and wealth that lasts,” as well as a popular daily financial blog:www.jugglingdynamite.com
Danielle worked as an attorney until 1997 when she was recruited to work for an international securities firm. Becoming a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA), she now helps to manage millions for some of North America’s wealthiest families as a Portfolio Manager and analyst at the independent investment counsel firm she co-founded Venable Park Investment Counsel Inc. www.venablepark.com. In recent years Danielle has been writing, speaking and educating industry professionals and investors on the risks and realities of investment behaviors as well as writing and producing her own health and wealth podcast series: “Not so common sense” and “Life Paths”.
A member of the internationally recognized CFA Institute, Toronto Society of Financial Analysts, and the Law Society of Upper Canada. Danielle is also an avid health and fitness buff.
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Would you do if your were already wealthy? If you could do whatever you wanted for your career, what would you want to do?
This is what I would do. This is my self-actualiziation. There is nothing like analyzing an inefficient sector of the market and calling out the failures.
Dmitry Demidenko is an expert in the area of fundamental analysis of the currency and commodity markets. He is among the TOP-5 analysts from Russia's first independent analytical agency Investcafe. He has an industry-specific economics education, with a degree in finance. Dmitry has been a FOREX trader since 2004 and has served as an analyst and asset manager since 2010.
Bruce Wilds is an independent businessman and licensed general contractor that owns real estate in the Midwest, his holdings include apartments, retail space, and office complexes. He has invested in several businesses and traded both commodities and stocks for several decades. Wilds considers himself well anchored to reality and the economy as he maintains, designs, and leases buildings. His work has made him keenly aware of rapidly changing lifestyles and trends in new business formation. The not for profit blog he maintains incorporates many of the experiences and knowledge garnered from his hands-on business style, extensive travels, and studies of history, politics and economics.
Bruce Wilds is also the author of the book "Advancing Time", the book focuses on how the ever quickening pace of change impacts today’s society and the massive challenges it creates. He feels that it is crucial we understand that we are living in a unique era the likes never before experienced by past generations. History viewed in the framework of mans time on earth forms the crux of this somewhat radical perspective. Journeys from the beginning of man to our current state helps us make sense of our fast changing chaotic world. Advancing Time illuminates the responsibilities society faces. Used as a tool Wilds wrote it with the hope it would help clarifies the choices before mankind, guiding and giving hope to those who want to have a positive impact.
I'm a small business owner and investor. Previously, I was an intelligence officer and defense consultant with six years of experience in conflict zones.
I use a bimodal portfolio, applying strong defense and offense at the same time. US treasuries, precious metals, and short sales comprise more than 50%. I stake the rest in high payout opportunities, including deep value, distressed debt, special situations, and turnarounds.
I am a metals analyst at FastMarkets (UK independent research boutique) in London. Previously, I worked as a precious metals analyst at INTL FC Stone (US brokerage firm) in London under the direction of senior commodity analyst Edward Meir, while I provided some investment consulting services in Paris. In addition to my strong interest in understanding the metals complex from a microeconomic and macroeconomic perspective, I spend a good deal of my spare time in managing my portfolio. I started a discretionary global macro portfolio in 2010 after elaborating my own investment philosophy, largely influenced by George Soros and Karl R. Popper. At present, I continue to work on my philosophical framework in order to improve my decision-making process under uncertainty. I was born in Paris, France. I graduated from University of Assas with a MSc in finance (2011), I also earned a MSc Research in economics from University of Sorbonne (2012), where I published a research thesis intituled “Is gold a speculative bubble?” under the direction of Natixis Chief Economist Patrick Artus, and I finally received a MSc in management from ESSEC Business School (2014). I launched a blog in 2013, Mikz Economics, in which I share some of my research as well as trade ideas. Follow me on Twitter @MikzEconomics to get the most updated metals news https://twitter.com/MikzEconomics
Class President of the National University of Singapore MBA Program and former FX trader at CIBC (NYSE: CM). Sean holds a Bachelor of Commerce Degree with a Major in Finance and Minor in Economics from the Sauder School of Business at the University of British Columbia.
I am long-term value investor currently working for a value-based asset manager. My articles attempt to identify companies with unique competitive advantages, hidden value, and special situations.
Caiman Valores is a Colombian based independent investigations and risk management consultancy. It specializes in South American listed companies and conducting regional economic and risk assessments. The principal of Caiman Valores "Matthew Smith" has over a decade of experience in the investment industry. During that time he worked in investment and risk management, investment advisory and corporate strategy. Over the years, he has spent considerable time analyzing investment solutions as well as designing and implementing risk management frameworks for two global banking institutions. Prior to embarking on a career in financial services he built a career in the field of risk management for government security agencies. He has travelled extensively through South America, speaks Spanish and enjoys learning about new cultures and languages as well as travel and adventure. Matthew has a Master of Business Law from the University of Sydney as well as a Master of Arts in International Relations and a Bachelor Degree in Political Science and Economics from the University of New South Wales. Please feel free to contact him regarding investments, writing, or speaking opportunities via email at firstname.lastname@example.org.
Brad Thomas is a research analyst and he currently writes weekly for Forbes and Seeking Alpha where he maintains research on many publicly-listed REITs. In addition, Thomas is the Senior Analyst at iREIT Forbes and Editor of the Forbes Real Estate Investor, a monthly subscription-based newsletter.
Thomas has also been featured in Forbes Magazine, Kiplinger’s, US News & World Report, Money, NPR, Institutional Investor, GlobeStreet, and Fox Business. He was the #1 contributing analyst on Seeking Alpha in 2014 (as ranked by TipRanks) and he is currently writing a book on the legendary investor Donald Trump.
Thomas has co-authored a book (The Intelligent REIT Investor) that is available on Amazon.
Thomas received a Bachelor of Science degree in Business/Economics from Presbyterian College where he played basketball. He resides in South Carolina with his wife and kids.
The Oil & Gas Investments Bulletin (http://www.oilandgas-investments.com) is an online subscription-based service that finds, researches, and profiles growing oil and gas companies that have high growth rates (or high growth potential.)
Its team of writers work under Keith Schaefer, Editor/Publisher, who shares his knowledge of the oil and natural gas markets in a simple, easy to read manner. The bulletin outlines which TSX, NYSE and NASD-listed energy companies have the ability to grow, and bring shareholders prosperity even in tough times.
There is tremendous potential to profit in oil and gas companies for informed investors. Mr. Schaefer has a degree in journalism but has spent the last 15 years assisting public resource companies in raising exploration and expansion capital.
I am an independent trader and investor specialising in analysis of stocks and foreign exchange.
When it comes to long-term stock investing, I look for companies that either:a) appear to be undervalued/mispriced relative to their free cash flow/earnings growth, b) may trade at a premium but have sufficiently high rate of growth and prospects that would justify investment.
General Disclaimer: Please note that the information offered in the author's articles is strictly on an "as is" basis. The author is not aware of your financial circumstances or investment profile, and therefore any information from the author's articles should not be considered investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. The author is not a qualified investment advisor, and it is the reader's responsibility to seek professional advice before buying or selling securities. While the author makes every effort to verify all details reported on across every article, investors are responsible for conducting their own due diligence. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.
I am a former investment advisor and owner of several businesses, and consequently everything related to business - including investing, macro-economics, and emerging products and services come under my research and interests radar.
The most interesting and important to me are the entertainment industry, commodities, BRICs, and the impact of loose money policies on businesses and investors.
These days I invest only for myself, while continuing to write on a variety of financial and economic topics.
The Panoramic View is an individual investor who writes about tech and energy companies.
Published articles are intended for informational purposes only. Please consult a financial adviser before making an investment decision.