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Fred Wright

Fred Wright
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  • Under What Assumptions Is Tesla Trading At Fair Value? [View article]
    I was expecting my Tesla to start production yesterday for delivery on the East Coast on Sept 11 and got a call from my delivery consultant that due to a "delay at the factory" that my delivery date is being pushed back to Sept 23rd or 24th. They have had my deposit since early JUNE and yet they wait until now to tell me about a delay (it seems the delay was due to the re-tooling in July that took longer than expected) - I think this is a micro-example of Tesla over-promising and under-delivering.
    Aug 26 09:46 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla Needs To Rethink Its Charging Network [View article]
    I agree that destination charging is an issue. We are planning to go to North Dakota in our new Model S and the only charging station in Bismark is at a nissan dealer! Our plan B is to stay at RV parks but unless they have cabins we may need to bring a tent! I am still looking for hotels/motels with something better than a 110v extension cord - any advice?
    Aug 8 10:00 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Solazyme Expects To Make An Impact In Food Applications [View article]
    Will the agal flour find a ready market in Gluten Free backed goods - they already use all sorts of expensive flour and a new one could be lucrative?
    Jul 9 09:47 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Capitalize Off Of Economic Decline Of France By Shorting French Equities [View article]
    Can anyone recommend an alternative shorting candidate such as an ETF that focuses on smaller/mid=cap stocks that are more dependent on domestic economic conditions?
    Feb 17 04:07 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How Can Salesforce.com Make Profits? [View article]
    My worry with Salesforce.com is how much dilution will happen as all the stock options they have issued to pay/retain (probably very good/qualified employees) convert to equity and eventually get cashed out as insider sales.

    Disclosure - I am short CRM calls and currently under-water a bit.
    Oct 21 07:20 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Questcor: Near The Tipping Point [View article]
    Peter,

    Apologies if you think my statement was incorrect. I do not intend to spread false information. It was my understanding that the only FDA approved label change was just to ADD Infantile Spasms and that all the other indications were there before and were not changed.

    My opinion (not fact) is that insurance companies will continue to examine closely reimbursement for indications that were approved by the FDA back in 1952 that they are now getting billed for due to the excellent marketing done by QCOR.

    Fred
    Jul 14 10:00 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Questcor: Near The Tipping Point [View article]
    The FDA approvals for Acthar for all but Infantile Spasms was ages ago which is why they have to do trials to show that it really works for those conditions before insurance companies will reimburse for those conditions.
    Disclosure - I have no positions in QCOR.
    Jul 8 09:32 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why I Bought Linn Energy In My Roth IRA [View article]
    I know this isn't an MLP tax forum but it seems like we have lots of people with knowledge so I thought I would ask about what happens when I give MLP units held over a year (i.e., long term) away either to:

    1 - a 501c3 charity - do I get to deduct the current market value at time of donation and when the charity sells the units do they end up paying the recapture tax OR do I only get to deduct the written down value of the units?

    or

    2 - my daughter who is in a much lower tax bracket (15% bracket) who then sells them and then pays the recapture tax at her lower tax rate. Related to this is what is the value of the gift (i.e., we want to give her our annual exclusion $28,000) - is it the current market value of the depreciated value?

    Thanks for any knowledge you can share.
    Mar 26 05:41 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Stay Married To Your MLP - Divorce Is Expensive [View article]
    Apologies for continuing the tax related questions. We own several MLPs (with long term capital gains) and plan to gift $26,000 of them to our daughter each year. She is in the lowest tax bracket and thus her "recapture" tax rate is much lower than ours, My question (to the non- experts here) is what is the price I use to determine the $26,000 "gift value" - is it the current price like any long term stock/etf holding or is it something different?

    Fred (not a tax expert, but don't like paying taxes)
    Feb 26 11:46 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What If The Fed Has It All Wrong? [View article]
    I also think this is a very good article - THANKS.

    I am an economist that believes in the rational expectations approach and as long as we know what Bernanke is doing we can adapt and make money. Unfortunately, the vast majority of the people in the world don't know what Bernanke is doing and thus will suffer (happily) from money illusion when they think they are richer when if fact they are about the same since the value of the currency has adjusted to take into account Bernanke's actions.
    Sep 28 06:54 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Clean Energy Fuels Is A Must-Buy Stock To Play The Changing U.S. Energy Landscape - Part 2 [View article]
    To me the big risks with CLNE are:

    1 - They will need to raise capital at some point and that will likely dilute current shareholders; and

    2 - T. Boone Pickens is getting older and if he has a heart attack, his estate is likely to liquidate his share rather than hold on to his dream.

    Fred

    P.S., I am short puts on CLNE and will be holding the stock come Monday 9/24 barring a dramatic rise in the share price
    Sep 20 05:20 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Democratizing Creativity - 3D Printing With 3D Systems Corp [View article]
    Thanks for highlighting the CNBC interview, here is the link to it: http://bit.ly/Qqq5q3

    it will be interesting to hear the Stratosys (SSYS) earnings conf call on Wed mornign before the market opens.

    Discosure - I am short puts on DDD
    Jul 29 07:49 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Double-Digit Premiums In U.S. Merger Arbitrage Plays, Part 1 [View article]
    I am also worried about VQ. In addition to the price declining, the short interest has been increasing (from 1.9m shares at the end of May to just over 4.0m shares at the end of June). This leads me to believe that some sophisticated speculators are betting against the financing.

    Re the financing, I think the issue is a bit like that of VW and Porsche - minimizing the income tax burden - and I suspect they want to structure the deal in such a way that the former CEO (the acquirer) doesn't end up with a big tax bill by doing some carefully constructed tax-dodge (special purpose vehicle or ?).

    Fred

    Disclosure - I am long VQ and short VQ puts
    Jul 21 04:25 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Democratizing Creativity - 3D Printing With 3D Systems Corp [View article]
    Short Interest has been mentioned a couple of times. The data is frequently off/different on various sites. I prefer to go to the NASDAQ site http://bit.ly/MtkStW since it gives some history (pasted below). To me DDD is a bit over-hyped and I think a reasonable value is around $27 (where they did their secondary offering.

    Disclosure: I am short puts on DDD (and thus bullish on the stock but would prefer to buy it at a lower price.

    DDD Short InterestShare on facebook_likeShare|Share on facebookShare on twitterShare on emailShare on print
    Settlement Date Short Interest Avg Daily Share Volume Days To Cover
    6/29/2012 9,388,169 988,043 9.501782
    6/15/2012 9,319,719 1,220,099 7.638494
    5/31/2012 8,936,266 963,429 9.275480
    5/15/2012 7,651,146 877,485 8.719404
    4/30/2012 7,874,306 1,153,386 6.827121
    4/13/2012 8,015,995 1,545,933 5.185215
    3/30/2012 6,215,223 490,280 12.676885
    3/15/2012 6,404,232 712,712 8.985722
    2/29/2012 6,029,727 1,121,162 5.378105
    2/15/2012 5,877,945 456,837 12.866613
    1/31/2012 5,727,306 433,634 13.207696
    1/13/2012 5,846,391 448,787 13.027095
    12/30/2011 5,744,002 305,699 18.789731
    12/15/2011 6,067,689 372,494 16.289360
    11/30/2011 6,608,681 452,541 14.603497
    11/15/2011 6,595,896 464,454 14.201398
    10/31/2011 6,083,738 655,594 9.279734
    10/14/2011 6,374,866 469,856 13.567702
    9/30/2011 6,430,745 492,730 13.051255
    9/15/2011 6,264,266 455,708 13.746228
    8/31/2011 6,000,488 557,732 10.758730
    8/15/2011 5,527,461 783,633 7.053635
    7/29/2011 4,705,011 806,514 5.833762
    7/15/2011 3,868,051 423,786 9.127369


    Read more: http://bit.ly/MtkSu0
    Jul 21 02:04 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Another Solid Speculative $3.50 Play In The Biotech Sector [View article]
    I agree with you that CERS has great potential and am currently long the stock. One worry I have is the persistently high short interest in the stock - it is regularly on the list of largest short interest ratio in Barron's - today it shows a short interest of 8,837,192 shares which translates into 27 days to cover. According to FINVIZ data almost 17% of the float is sold short. This is not new, but is worrisome since it means that somebody out there doesn't believe the future is rosy.

    Disclosure - I am long CERS
    Jul 14 11:10 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
21 Comments
13 Likes