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GMK - Merger with Aztca caused fear of dilution. I believe a stronger company will emerge. http://bit.ly/109RmAi $GMK $ADM May 17, 2013
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GMK - Down today on weakness of the peso. ADRs down 3 times as much. Inordinate decline makes good opportunity to buy. $GMK $ADM $IBA May 17, 2013
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GMK - ADRs reversed earlier losses from report of record US corn crop in prospect. Cup handle chart breakout higher nxt wk possible $GMK May 10, 2013
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MexCom on Cross Matrix Screening For Gold (Value) AS of 11/09/12 I note the following changes by ...
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MexCom on Long-Term Strategy to Accumulate Bank of America - BAC Its been awhile since I did this analysis. The ...
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Justin M. Hall on BAC TARP Warrant B Close To A Triple This Year. Good work my friend! Article recommended.
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MexCom on BAC TARP Warrant B Close To A Triple This Year. Couldn't get the graph to post.
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MexCom on GMK Q Report GMK - I believe that the recent fear this past ...
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Posts by Themes
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Cross Matrix Screening For Gold (Value)
Many investors who like to "find" their own stock to invest in use stock screens. Some are available on the internet financial sites. One of my favorites is on Yahoo. Another I have respect for are recommendation lists provided by Schwab brokerage.
Not being a trader and being more conservative to approach, I have become very disappointed in the performance of my fixed income securities. To reinvest the proceeds from called preferred stocks and bond maturities into similar investments I can't match anywhere near the yields they have provided in the past. This has required me to change my approach to shift portfolio weighting more toward common stocks.
Looking at index performance, the traditionally riskier stocks are the smaller capital companies. I looked at the Russell 2000 Index and saw how it has been performing compared to most other stock indices. I downloaded all 2000 stocks into a spreadsheet. That alone was a time consuming task but to then analyze each company to make an investment decision would be daunting.
I used Yahoo to narrow down the list.
http://screener.finance.yahoo.com/stocks.html
The Yahoo screener has the S&P 600 as a criteria that overlaps almost all of the Russell 2000 and to my more conservative orientation I added a low beta range of .5 - 1.5 and that there must be a dividend. This screen was sorted against the Russell 2000 list and those not matching discarded. Finally I downloaded the Schwab recommendation list selecting only those that were rated A or B.
To match against my Yahoo screen, I used a cross matrix of Schwab list symbols in the top line with the Yahoo screen symbols ad associated data for beta, P/E, dividend yield, and market cap. The matrix is comprised of "IF" statements with a "1" result for a match. I then coded the positive match codes with into the Schwab list with other data for my final list.
Yahoo link
Company
Schwab
Market Cap:
P/E (TTM):
EPS :
Div & Yield:
COKE
COKE
Coca-Cola Bottling Co. Consolid
A
626.16M
23.28
2.91
1.00 (1.50%
FDEF
FDEF
First Defiance Financial Corp.
A
170.01M
12.49
1.4
0.20 (1.10%)
FIBK
FIBK
First Interstate BancSystem, In
A
664.85M
14.02
1.1
0.48 (3.10%)
SAFT
SAFT
Safety Insurance Group, Inc.
B
695.35M
14.51
3.13
2.40 (5.20%)
QUAD
QUAD
Quad Graphics, Inc Class A Comm
B
802.46M
N/A
-0.07
1.00 (5.60%
ELRC
ELRC
Electro Rent Corporation
B
431.43M
16.8
1.07
0.80 (4.50%)
UVSP
UVSP
Univest Corporation of Pennsylv
B
304.01M
14.8
1.23
0.80 (4.50%)
DEST
DEST
Destination Maternity Corporati
B
253.25M
14.89
1.27
0.70 (3.70%)
CTBI
CTBI
Community Trust Bancorp, Inc.
B
558.55M
12.47
2.9
1.26 (3.50%)
CWCO
CWCO
Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.
B
122.47M
19.09
0.44
0.30 (3.60%)
ECOL
ECOL
US Ecology, Inc.
B
379.82M
17.79
1.17
0.72 (3.40%
MHLD
MHLD
Maiden Holdings, Ltd.
B
651.79M
9.6
0.94
0.32 (3.50%)
RNST
RNST
Renasant Corporation
B
483.43M
19.64
0.98
0.68 (3.60%)
WASH
WASH
Washington Trust Bancorp, Inc.
B
438.36M
13.53
1.98
0.96 (3.60%)
CHFC
CHFC
Chemical Financial Corporation
B
669.00M
13.67
1.78
0.84 (3.40%
WSBC
WSBC
WesBanco, Inc.
B
560.21M
12.26
1.71
0.72 (3.40%)
OCFC
OCFC
OceanFirst Financial Corp.
B
262.95M
12.35
1.19
0.48 (3.30%)
NKSH
NKSH
National Bankshares, Inc.
B
248.55M
13.72
2.61
1.06 (3.10%)
SRCE
SRCE
1st Source Corporation
B
543.78M
11.73
1.91
0.68 (3.00%
CVBF
CVBF
CVB Financial Corporation
B
1.26B
14.03
0.86
0.34 (2.80%
FCBC
FCBC
First Community Bancshares, Inc
B
311.32M
16.17
0.96
0.44 (2.80%)
BANF
BANF
BancFirst Corporation
B
659.66M
13.47
3.23
1.16 (2.70%)
EPIQ
EPIQ
EPIQ Systems, Inc.
B
478.18M
36.77
0.36
0.36 (2.70%)
PCBK
PCBK
Pacific Continental Corporation
B
162.15M
21.98
0.41
0.24 (2.70%
STSA
STSA
Sterling Financial Corporation
B
1.39B
3.88
5.77
0.60 (2.70%)
ALTE
ALTE
Alterra Capital Holdings Limite
B
2.34B
10.76
2.26
0.64 (2.60%)
EBTC
EBTC
Enterprise Bancorp Inc
B
161.77M
13.58
1.24
0.44 (2.60%
UBSH
UBSH
Union First Market Bankshares C
B
404.85M
12.59
1.24
0.40 (2.60%)
WBCO
WBCO
Washington Banking Company
B
223.83M
14.39
1.01
0.36 (2.50%
ESIO
ESIO
Electro Scientific Industries,
B
363.46M
N/A
-0.07
0.32 (2.50%
BKYF
BKYF
The Bank of Kentucky Financial
B
201.56M
11.49
2.35
0.64 (2.40%
CBRL
CBRL
Cracker Barrel Old Country Stor
B
1.57B
15.18
4.4
2.00 (3.00%
DAKT
DAKT
Daktronics, Inc.
B
399.26M
33.93
0.28
0.23 (2.40%)
ATNI
ATNI
Atlantic Tele-Network, Inc.
B
669.67M
18.98
2.27
1.00 (2.30%)
CRDN
CRDN
Ceradyne, Inc.
B
593.38M
11.56
2.12
0.60 (2.40%)
GSBC
GSBC
Great Southern Bancorp, Inc.
B
419.89M
9.3
3.33
0.72 (2.30%)
MTSC
MTSC
MTS Systems Corporation
B
845.75M
16.37
3.21
1.20 (2.30%)
NRCI
NRCI
National Research Corporation
B
344.91M
25.84
1.96
1.04 (2.10%)
BSRR
BSRR
Sierra Bancorp
B
175.58M
20.58
0.61
0.24 (1.90%)
RELL
RELL
Richardson Electronics, Ltd.
B
189.67M
28.49
0.43
0.24 (2.00%)
CECE
CECE
CECO Environmental Corp.
B
139.91M
16.53
0.58
0.18 (1.80%)
COLB
COLB
Columbia Banking System, Inc.
B
705.51M
12.94
1.37
0.36 (1.90%)
PEBO
PEBO
Peoples Bancorp Inc.
B
248.91M
13.02
1.79
0.44 (1.90%)
STEI
STEI
Stewart Enterprises, Inc.
B
704.41M
20.68
0.4
0.16 (1.90%)
BMRC
BMRC
Bank of Marin Bancorp
B
225.93M
13.1
3.23
0.72 (1.70%)
EIHI
EIHI
Eastern Insurance Holdings, Inc
B
125.83M
16.3
1.03
0.28 (1.70%)
RCII
RCII
Rent-A-Center Inc.
B
2.09B
11.97
2.95
0.64 (1.80%)
EFSC
EFSC
Enterprise Financial Services C
B
242.73M
9.71
1.4
0.21 (1.50%)
HTLF
HTLF
Heartland Financial USA, Inc.
B
465.21M
14.08
2
0.40 (1.40%
SCHL
SCHL
Scholastic Corporation
B
1.02B
10.65
3.03
0.50 (1.50%
SKYW
SKYW
SkyWest, Inc.
B
540.72M
N/A
-0.33
0.16 (2.20%
USPH
USPH
U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. Com
B
332.05M
15.45
1.82
0.36 (1.30%)
HBOS
HBOS
Heritage Financial Group
B
108.96M
20.27
0.67
0.16 (1.20%
CFNL
CFNL
Cardinal Financial Corporation
B
418.62M
12.34
1.16
0.16 (1.10%)
COBZ
COBZ
CoBiz Financial Inc.
B
274.65M
8.26
0.85
0.08 (1.10%)
JJSF
JJSF
J & J Snack Foods Corp.
B
1.08B
21.39
2.68
0.52 (0.90%
ENSG
ENSG
The Ensign Group, Inc.
B
643.40M
13.75
2.18
0.24 (0.80%)
FRME
FRME
First Merchants Corporation
B
436.05M
20.11
0.76
0.12 (0.80%)
ISCA
ISCA
International Speedway Corporat
B
1.32B
19.98
1.43
0.20 (0.70%)
ALCO
ALCO
Alico, Inc.
B
231.69M
13.3
2.37
0.16 (0.50%)
ALOG
ALOG
Analogic Corporation
B
963.51M
23.08
3.42
0.40 (0.50%)
BFIN
BFIN
BankFinancial Corporation
B
178.14M
N/A
-2.31
0.04 (0.40%)
CSFL
CSFL
CenterState Banks, Inc.
B
264.62M
15.74
0.56
0.04 (0.50%)
SYNT
SYNT
Syntel, Inc.
B
2.59B
16.79
3.69
0.24 (0.40%
FICO
FICO
Fair, Isaac, Incorporated Commo
B
1.51B
17.21
2.59
0.08 (0.20%
Thus far I have made pilot purchases of the following: CRDN, MHLD (I chose to buy their preferred) and FIBK. I was pleased to see that CRDN is to be bought out by MMM this not known when I made the purchase. Could there be other undervalued companies in this list can be a buyout target?
Disclosure: I am long CRDN, FIBK. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Duke Energy DUK Annual Meeting
DUK Annual Meeting was a very well run and calm affair.
This is the first annual meeting that I have ever attended for a major corporation. Besides being a stockholder, I decided to attend for it being close. I am now a resident of Charlotte, NC.
The participants were not as many as I expected - stockholders seemed to be in the minority. The meeting was assisted by a private company where the helpers had "host" tags on their lapels. Security was not as stringent as I expected and I was allowed entry without any special scrutiny that I could see.
I was not asked for any identification - only asked to fill out a simple form with basic information and how many shares I owned. Parking was nearby with the parking garage full of police vehicles and uniformed officers lounging around on chairs "protecting" the premises.
News Reports in the Charlotte Observer had it that this along with the Bank of America annual meeting to be held Saturday (May 5) was a test for protecting participants from demonstrators during the Democratic National Convention to be held this year in Charlotte. And yes, there were some demonstrators sitting on the sidewalk after I left the meeting. The demonstrators were fewer than the stockholders at the meeting and offered no obstruction nor did I feel threatened by them in any way. The news reports of being prepared for confrontation with demonstrators may have kept some stockholders away from the meeting.
The actual meeting followed a tight agenda and it ran on time start to finish. A Continental breakfast was available. Duke employees greeted us warmly with table displays showing the latest power plants being constructed and a sustainability report that emphasized alternative power projects. I made a contact with the Manager of Shareholder Communications - we exchanged cards.
As I entered the meeting hall, most of the seats were not being filled. I thought I'd be sitting alone even after the CEO Jim Rogers came over to me to introduce himself. That warm touch just floored me! Then another holder sat next me introducing himself - a retired employee of Duke.
After the usual meeting business the bulk of time was devoted to Q & A from shareholders. All of the questioners seemed to be minority holders except for one union representative. Most of the time was spent allowing these people to gripe about environmental and health issues where they wanted to point the blame on Duke for respiratory disease, cancer, water pollution and global warming.
I was very impressed with the way Jim Rogers responded to these "questions." He was highly personable in speaking to these very difficult people. His emphasis in response to the environmental problems was that it was his responsibility to "get the balance right."
Overall, I was left with the impression that Duke was in the business of providing the electric power that we need at the lowest possible cost within the constraint of existing environmental regulation. It would not be responsible to go beyond what is needed to provide power in what is now considered a safe and responsible manner. They are in compliance with all environmental regulations. If these protestors feel that environmental regulations need improvement, they need to lobby the EPA to increase them.
Disclosure: I am long DUK.
GMK Q Report
I question the decline in margins.
With a declining corn price during the quarter, would inventories now be valued lower? And, with the current quarter's decline in inventory, is it due to decreased stocks of grain or more so from lower priced inventory? The margin decline, is it due to first in first out inventory accounting where the higher cost of grain at the start of the quarter was not adequately hedged? Then with lower corn prices can we expect margins to again expand?
We need to wait for a pencil pushing analyst to give some answers. If my suspects are true, this was not as bad a quarter as the market is saying in punishing the stock price.
Bottom line - this could be the last grand opportunity to add to positions.
As for myself, I have a full position and want to see some price increase to sell as prices advance later this month when my initial purchases are in the long-term holding column.
Disclosure: Long