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  • Ford Is Going Higher In 2014 [View article]
    Eugene Fama won a Nobel a Prize for his Efficient Market Hypothesis which stipulates that share prices adjust to publicly available new information very rapidly and in an unbiased fashion, such that no excess returns can be earned by trading on that information.
    Which says Ford is priced reflecting future expectations right now.
    Yet everyone says it should be trading higher in 2014 which should be already reflected in today's prices, or else we would earn excess returns by buying now.
    Someone has it wrong!
    Dec 17 11:17 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Are Low Volatility ETFs Safer In A Rising Rate Environment? [View article]
    So long as we have the political economic uncertainty associated with the debt ceiling in December (as made possible by the ultra right wing anarchist faction of the Republican Party which we have seen in action before) there will be no change in the Fed's economic tapering policy. Once past that, they will move incrementally. Only makes sense.
    Dec 7 10:16 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Buzz builds over global unveiling of new Ford Mustang [View news story]
    Every boomer's gonna want one! Too bad we have to wait till next fall!
    Dec 5 08:45 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Ford November U.S. Sales [View news story]
    Institutions are not going to buy in till they see if Mullany stays or not. Then new management will have to prove itself if he goes, and the stock stagnate in a range. The stock will rise ifi MS doesn't select him and take off. The market loves certainty, hates uncertainty.
    Dec 3 10:02 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Ford Has Material Valuation Upside Potential: A Look At The Numbers [View article]
    A large component of the falling cost of gas, is the current, and continuing trend of Americans driving less thus increasing inventories and decreasing demand. Does this not translate as well to lower demand for automobiles and has this been factored into your projections ?
    Nov 26 10:10 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Add 6% Yields And Global Diversification To Your Dividend-Income Portfolio [View article]
    Excellent article. Thanks for the in depth analysis of each of the ETF's, however you totally lost me with the correlation analysis and Pearson Correlations, and I boast a MBA! Nonetheless, I was able to glean enough from your article to find it very useful in identifying an international equity income ETF that I intend to substitute for part of the bond segment of my passive investment portfolio. Bond yields just don't seem to be there and these suggest good alternatives IMHO.
    Oct 27 09:40 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Trying To Beat The Market Is A Fool's Errand [View article]
    Hey Chuck. It seems to me concentrating on dividends is a "fools errand" too. This is explained rather eloquently in the two videos at
    All that it does for you is to concentrate your holdings in a segment rather than spreading them out as the Nobel prize winners like Fama would suggest.
    Oct 18 04:08 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Many Investors Burned On IPO Of IPO ETF [View article]
    Great info! Thanks for the article. Do you know if FPX would have the IPO's incorporated in its value on the IPO date rather than 5 days later?
    Oct 18 11:30 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • AT&T Offers A 5.25% Dividend Yield And Consistent Share Buybacks [View article]
    Sounds like we have a real "T" party here LOL!
    Sep 21 08:29 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • AT&T Offers A 5.25% Dividend Yield And Consistent Share Buybacks [View article]
    Dividend yield only makes sense in relation to total return (div + stock appreciation). The one and three year total return on T is in the 40% range and for VZ is in the 70% range. The higher dividend does not make up for the lower total return.
    Sep 17 07:38 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Report: Top 50 polluters emit 75% of greenhouse gases [View news story]
    Ummm, I think it's actually cow farts that cause most of the pollution!
    Sep 13 07:24 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Insiders Are Selling Johnson & Johnson [View article]
    It's nothing. Christmas is just around the corner and these guys are just freeing up cash to buy a small island or third world nation for the Mrs.!
    Aug 12 12:31 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Economy Is Improving - Isn't It? [View article]
    I was becoming concerned before today's reports of how well things are improving in Europe. This will affect all our multinationals and our own economy as well. Italian, Spanish and Greek yields continue on their downtrend. I am also impressed by today's reports of Germany's 3.8% jump in factory orders and the UK's economic growth of .6% in June. Europe may well be the engine that sustains the gains we have seen so far.
    Aug 6 11:02 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Sell In May? Maybe A Little, But Rotate [View article]
    What a great technical analysis! In normal times I would give it great weight.
    But we are in the midst of a slow mid cycle expansion. Money market funds, bonds, CD's, and bank accounts are flush with cash and paying zilch. And investors are saying to themselves, "am I dumb or what? Isn't it time that I unloaded some of this idle cash to a place where I can make some money now that the economy looks like a safe bet?"
    Ergo, funds will inevitably start flowing into the stock market, despite any prior technical trends, right through the summer and until our current downward unemployment trend and economic expansion shows sure signs of reversing.
    For today, no way, sell in May! Ride the wave, invest in the broad market, and reap the rewards.
    May 8 03:48 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Laws Of Cap Rate Compression And Several REITs With Mispriced Risk [View article]
    I doubled down on my OHI investment yesterday and their earnings come out in a couple hours. I'll find out all too soon if I'm a fool or a sage! Great article though. Yet I see sustainability of income flows and proven management acumen worthy of consideration in the near future.
    May 7 01:33 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment