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  • At The Top; The FI Hawkers Encourage... Reuters "Wall Street Slips On China, But Retailers Offset Losses" Reuters
    Res Ipsa Loquitor....
    Mar 20 8:40 PM | Link | 1 Comment
  • Before The 19-20 March 2012 Crash: The Nikkei's Integrative March 2003 20/50/40 Month :: X/2.5x/2x Lammert Fractal Growth Series
    Before the 19-20 March 2012 Crash: The Nikkei's integrative March 2003 20/50/40 month:: x/2.5x/2x Fractal Growth Series

    The Absolutely Integratively Mathematically Elegantly Interpolated Ideally Time Fractally Patterned Asset Valuation Self Organizing Debt-Money-Asset Macroeconomic System

    Terms:

    Absolutely:
    an adverb describing something that is so well empirically defined that doubt recedes, approximating zero

    Integratively Mathematically Elegantly Interpolated:

    Long adverbial series describing the nature of Fractal Interpolation whereby the system self organized and averages growth in terminal decay and decay in terminal growth. Nodal valuation lows define fractal groups; Two adjacent groups may share adjacent nodal lows and hence be interpolated with the nodal low to nodal low shared and averaged between the fractal groupings.

    Time Fractally:
    fractally, an adverb used to describe an entity where the shape of smaller scale units compose serially larger scale units which have the same shape of the smaller scale unit and of each other. In the asset valuation money-debt-asset macroeconomic system, trading time is the entity with trading fractal patterns in minutes similar to days to weeks to months to years.

    Ideally Fractally Patterned.

    ideal four phase Lammert fractal pattern

    The ideal Lammert asset valuation curve denominated in fractal time pattern is a four phase time fractal evolution: x/2x-2.5x/2x-2.5x/1.5-1.6x.
    The first three time fractals are asset valuation growth patterns reaching asymptotic highs before final decay within the fractal time unit and the last fractal (4th fractal) is a decay fractal reaching an asymptotic asset low valuation after 1.5-1.6x of time. The debt-money-asset macroeonomic system is characterized by a nonlinear asset valuation decline in the terminal portion of the second fractal between time 2x and 2.5x. (bolded and underlined in the following: x/2x-2.5x/2x-2.5x/1.5-1.6x).

    Lammert second fractal terminal nonlinearity

    The debt-money-asset macroeonomic system is characterized by a nonlinear asset valuation decline in the terminal portion of the second fractal between time 2x and 2.5x. (bolded and underlined in the following: x/2x-2.5x/2x-2.5x/1.5-1.6x). The May 6 2010 flash crash represented terminal second fractal nonlinearity, now viewed in a larger scale perspective od the Nikkei and Wilshire march 2003 20/50/40 month integrative fractal sequence. The Wilshire is in the terminal portion of a 23 year second fractal of a 1982 9/23 year :: x/2.5xfirst and second fractal series and in the terminal portion of a 155 year second fractal pf a US Wilshire and progenitor 1789 70/154 year first and second fractal series. On a much smaller time scale the Wilshire is in the terminal second fractal area of a 4 October 2011 38/77 day :: x/2x first and second fractal series,

    ideal Lammert decay fracal patterns

    The Ideal Lammert time decay patterns are A. y/2y-2.5y/2y-2.5y with the third fractal 2.5y reaching a lower limit asymptotic valuation.
    As well decay can occur in a B. deteriorating x/2.5x/2x/1.5-1.6x fractal pattern.

    Special rule advantaged assets:

    Equities within the debt-money-asset system have been provided special tax advantaged rules that draw in speculative money from the asset-money-debt system more than any other convertible asset; money, debt, and assets are all assets in the system.

    Because of their favored status equities undergo self organization growth for maximal times with smaller scale fractal patterns composed of x/2.5x/2.5x/1.5-1.6x

    Special Peak Valuation Fractal Patterns

    Reflexic Interpolated growth fractals: x/2.5x/2x; x/2.5x/2.5x; and x/2.5x/2.5x/1.5x
    As an example, using the standard three phase growth x/2.5x/2x
    Normally in three phase time fractal time growth, peak asset valuations of the third growth fractal are greater than the second fractal which are greater than the first fractal.

    In the terminal growth peak valuation area of the debt-money-asset system this is not true. This can be observed in the 20/50/40 day reflexic fractal pattern taking the Wilshire to its 11 October 2007 nominal peak valuation and its 27 June 2011 31/77/77 of 77-78 day reflexic pattern taking the Wilshire to its 16 March or 19 March 2012 final high.

    The examples of x/2.5x/2.5x/1.5x are described below.

    Self Organizing Asset Valuation Debt-Money Asset Macroeconomy System
    The macroeconomic system is ultimately composed of inter convertible assets where money, debt, and assets are all tradeable entities and have fluctuating value relative to each other. System assets include jobs which provide value to the system and which are convertible into wages which can buy assets and can be leveraged through borrowing against future wages to trade for asset in the present time. Periodically the system undergoes saturation with overproduction of assets, overvaluation of select assets, and over leveraged debt that ultimately is paid lower denominated job related wages. Asset trading rules and debt creation rules created by those who have the wherewithal to create, can create great dysequilibria in the system with more severe asset valuation contractions than optimal when the debt-money-asset system becomes saturated. The debt-money-asset system self organizes its countervailing asset valuations into ideal time dependent quantum fractal saturation patterns. These are empirical observes in time dependent asset valuation curves.

    These quantum time patterns give the macroeconomic system the exquisite properties of a science.

    It is the self organizing valuation time fractal patterns of the advantaged asset class that foretell the peak valuations and the nonlinear collapses.

    Before the 19-20 March 2012 Crash: The Nikkei's integrative March 2003 20/50/40 month:: x/2.5x/2x Fractal Growth Series

    Observe the March 2003 Nikkei using adjacent interpolated monthly nodal lows. As of March 2012, a 21/53/42 month :: x/2.5x/2x growth fractal can be easily identified. Three months of nodal lows between month 19 and 21 (from the March 2003 Nikkei valuation nodal low) are shared between the 21 month and 53 month first and second fractals. The 6 months of adjacent nodal lows of the terminal 53 month second fractal are shared between the 53 month second fractal and the 42 month third fractal.

    The March 2003 Nikkei's integrative interpolated adjacent nodal low x/2.5x/2x fractal of 21/53/42 months is an averaged 20/5040 month x/2.5x/2x fractal. March 2012 represents peak month 42 and 40 third fractal peak valuation for both Lammert three phase growth fractal series.

    The US has created advantaged rules for equities that have followed to a degree throughout the world. The x/2.5x/2.5x/1.5-1.6x pattern is seen in the Nikkei's 21/53/42 month interpolated x/2.5x/2x patterned. Using the 6 months adjacent nodal lows terminal portion of the Nikkei's 53 month second fractal, a 6/15/15/9 of 9-10 month fractal is observed ending in March or April 2012. Note that the 6 May 2012 flash crash occurred on month 15 in the extreme 12-15 2x-2.5x terminal time portion of the second fractal a x/2.5x/2.5x/1.5-1.6x.

    Before the 19-20 March 2012 Crash: the weekly integrative interpolated sequence of the third 40 month fractal of the Wilshire's March 2003 averaged 20/50/40 month fractal series.

    The Wilshire's third 40 month fractal is composed of a
    x/2.5/2.5x/1.5-1.6x :: 25/62/62/37 of 38-40 weeks

    First fractal: 25 weeks

    Initiating base first fractal 4/10/8/6 weeks ::x/2.5x/2x/1.5x or 25 weeks

    Second fractal: 62 weeks

    Composed of 19/44 :: x/2.5x weeks
    the flash crash occurred in the 44th week

    Third fractal 62
    composed of 18/45 :: x/2.5x with a high on week 62 . (part of a x/2.5x/2.5x reflexic growth fractal)

    4th fractal of currently 37 weeks is composed of a reflexic fractal series of 7(6)/17(16)/(17)

    The Wilshire's 25/62/62/37 week :: x/2.5x/2.5x/1.5x 4 phase series is a weekly reflexic fractal series that completes the March 2003 20/50/40 monthly fractal series and has taken the Wilshire to a 11 October 2007 secondary high.

    While the Wilshire's Sept 2008 25/62/62/37 week reflexic fractal series matching a 27 June 2011 31/77/77 day :: x/2.5x/2.5x has nearly all speculators maximally committed to the rule advantaged equity market, the larger March 2003 Wilshire and Nikkei averaged and interpolated
    20/5040 month x/2.5/2x Lammert fractal, composed of these psychologically misleading terminal interpolative reflexic fractal, is complete.

    For the nonscientists, expect the unexpected.

    Qualitatively consider the world debt that is an asset and soon will undergo default and vanish from the the asset-debt-money system. Remembering that debt is a part and an asset of the system, the system wealth denominator is on the verge of a sharp contraction with rippling deflation of all assets except printed money and high quality debt(US superpower debt.)
    .
    This will be historical nonlinearity and the system's empirical fractal time quantum patterns have so predicted the collapse.

    For the scientists, who look for the patterns that describe and are the universe, expect the expected.

    Mar 17 2:55 PM | Link | Comment!
  • 19 March 20 March 2012 : The Greatest Equity Collapse Of The Last Millennium
    *The Historically Saturated Asset Money Debt System

    *The Crash Devaluation Fractal Sequence of A Historically Saturated Asset Money Debt System

    * A 15 February 2012 6/14-15/12/9 day :: x/2.5x/2x/1.5x trading day pattern similar to the saturation curve incorporating the 6 May 2010 flash crash

    * The Wilshire and CAC comparative 27 June 2011 x/2.5x/2.5x final reflexic series with base days of 31 and 32 days (x) respectively

    *The 2009 24/60/48/35 of 39 week Lammert x/2.5x/2x/1.5-1.6x sequence

    *Synchronized terminal portions of composite equity second fractals with bases of 70 years, 9 years, and 38-39 days starting respectively in 1789, 1982 , and 4 October 2011.

    * A final Wilshire 25 November 2011 decay y/2-2.5y/2-2.5y sequence of 17/40/17 of 39-43 days with the final 39-43 day composed of a 6/14-15/12/9-10 day sequence

    * For the week of 12-16 March 2011 composite world equity and CRB valuations 2-3 days down then 2-3 days up ....

    * Saturation Macroeconomics: The (system's asset valuation nodal low determined and) Patterned Science of the debt-money-asset system

    The world is at its global debt-money-asset system's politically have and have-not polarized maximum saturation limit.

    Too much bad global debt that cannot be repaid.
    Too great a supply of houses and vehicles for those who earn wages
    Too great of equity, commodity and real estate asset valuation whose valuation foundation .....
    is in a significant part premised on debt as an interchangeable money equivalent asset
    Too great of have and have-not dysequilibrium and polarity to produce the moment's need of an instantaneous World Keynesian Marshall plan.

    When the bad debt disappears in mass, a nonlinear reassessment of all assets' valuations will transpire.

    The nonlinearity will be breathtakingly historical.

    For the week of 12-16 March 2012: long positions on Monday and Tuesday and perhaps Wednesday and thereafter short positions on Thursday and Friday will be shaken out the market this week prior to a historical nonlinear devaluation occurring on Monday or Tuesday on 19 or 20 March 2012.

    The Wilshire's (and its progenitors)1789 70/154year :: x/2-2.5x terminal second fractal area contains an interpolated 1982 9/23 year :: x/2-2.5x terminal second fractal area which contains the following interpolated 2009 operative Lammert fractal series:

    24/60/48/35 of 39 weeks : x/2.5x/2x/1.6x ... The 60 week second fractal which is composed of a 9/23/18/14-15 :: x/2.5x/2x/1.6x and it is the 60 week time length that sets the ideal durations for the first, third and fourth fractals :: 24/2.5x/48/36-39 weeks.

    Equities have been bestowed rules and conditions by generation after generation bankers and their spawned trading houses and their politicians - that make equities the favored advantaged royalty of the debt money asset system and place money in the kill zone for the trading housing who skim and siphon from the rule facilitated speculation.

    Savers and pensioners have been crucified over the last three years with low interest returns on their savings. Keyesnian governmental spending was necessary to prevent the debt asset money system from imploding and interest rates of the global hegemony currency were driven down via QE programs. While there was no net new consumer demand for companies to produce more assets and new jobs in this saturated asset-debt-money system, year to year employment at least stabilized.

    This QE necessary action maximumly rewarded those who needed help the least, the rich and the equity holder tax advantaged dividend spared speculators.

    As long as the current rules exist, equities will have maximum Lammert reflexic x/2.5/x2.5x growth patterns prior to synchronized second fractal collapse. The next similar system second fractal nonlinear event may not occur for another 500 years

    What is the final day or two of maximum equity growth contained in the US equity 1789 x/2-2.5x first and second fractals series, the terminal interpolated second fractal area of the 1982 x/2-2.5x series , and the interpolated 2009 x/2.5x/2x/1.5-1.6x fractal sequences?

    By comparing the fractal anatomy of the Wilshire and French CAC, the final daily x/2.5x/2.5x sequences are respectively reflexive fractals of 31/77/72 of 77 days (Wilshire)and 32/79/75 of 79-80 days(CAC). This daily sequence starts on 27 June 2011.

    The Wilshire second 77 day fractal is the terminal 2nd and 3rd fractals in a series in the decay form of a y/2-2.5y/2-2.5y :: 17/40/38 days with day 17 ending on 9 August 2011.

    The Wilshire's third 77 day fractal of the 27 June 2011 x/2.5x/2.5x series is composed a 17/40/17 of 22-23 day x/2-2.5x/1x+ peak fractal series with the 2 May 2011 14500 Wilshire peak valuation at risk.

    The French CAC's 32/79/79-80 ::x/2.5x/2.5x day second fractal is composed of two conjoined and partially interpolated decay fractals y/2-2.5y/2.5y with a 3 day intiating fractal. The series are (3) 7/17/17 days with an 8 day base in the final 17 day third fractal with a second decay fractal of 8/21/19 days.

    The CAC's reflexic 32/79/79-80 day maximal growth fractal's third 79-80 day fractal is composed of a 17/43/17 of 22 to 23 days series ::x/2.5x/1x+ series.

    The 17 day third fractal of the Wilshire's/CAC's 17/40-43/17 day series is composed of a 6/12 day x/2x first and second fractal series. A terminal
    2x-2.5x 12-15 day nonlinear drop is expected over the next three trading days 12,13, and 14 March 2011. Thereafter there will be a sharp rise for two days taking the reflexic respective Wilshire-CAC fractal series to their x/2.5x/2.5x maximum limits of 31-32/77-79/77-80 days.

    The low for the Wilshire will come in a 15 February 2012 deteriorating Lammert growth pattern of 6/14/12/9 days and an interpolated Leap year day 29 February 2012 y/2.5y/2.5y decay fractal of 5/13/13 days.

    Halting of trading is expected during this time period. 6.5 trading hours which usually constitutes one trading may be extended over several trading days.

    The 6 May 2010 flash crash occurred on the 7th day of the third fractal of a similar 6/15/12/9 day :: x/2.5/2x/1.5x decaying Lammert growth and decay fractal series.

    The historical US crash is anticipated on Friday 16 March to Tuesday 20 March 2012 which is day 3-5 of the third fractal of a 6/14-15/12/9 day decaying 3 phase phase growth and one phase decay fractal sequence and which is day 8-10 of the 13 day second fractal of a 29 February 2012 5/13/13 day y/2.5y/2.5y decay series.

    Mar 11 10:00 AM | Link | 1 Comment
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