Red tape, revolution, conflict, cronyism – all of these political factors make doing business in the global arena a challenge for even the best prepared companies. The world’s rapidly changing political environment poses significant obstacles, but also great opportunities for today’s business community. Understanding the nexus between politics and business has never been more important.
Global Risk Insights provides expert political risk analysis for businesses and investors. Our goal is to help individuals and corporations analyze and understand how global political events are impacting economic & business climates. GRI provides this analysis so our readers can make better informed decisions about their economic activities in every corner of the world. From Washington, DC to Cairo to Beijing, our contributors are global in reach, local in expertise and have experience across the public and private sectors. Our contributors include current and former members of the US intelligence community, the financial sector, NGOs, and the Obama administration.
GRI has been widely referenced by leading publications, including The Wall Street Journal, The New Yorker, Business Insider and many more. GRI contributors have been featured speakers at global energy conferences, Reuters Trading Africa forums and the London School of Economics Political Risk Society. We have also produced custom reports, including one for the Kuwaiti Minister of Finance.
Seeking Alpha's transcripts team is responsible for the development of all of our transcript-related projects. We currently publish thousands of quarterly earnings calls per quarter on our site and are continuing to grow and expand our coverage.
The purpose of this profile is to allow us to share with our readers new transcript-related developments.
SA Transcripts Team
"One of the best ways to do well in this business is to go to areas that have been unexploited by research capability and work them for all you can." -Julian Robertson Managing partner of the Schildpad & De Haas partnerships. Seeking Alpha PRO contributor since the library's inception in 2013. A special selection of investment ideas is available through the Exclusive Research service.
Professional investor and overall good guy.
By reading Mako Research reports, you agree to use the information at your own risk. In no event should Mako Research or any affiliated party be liable for any direct or indirect trading losses caused by information contained in the research reports. Research reports are not investment advice or a recommendation or solicitation to transact any securities. Mako Research is not a registered investment advisor. You agree to do your own research and due diligence before making any investment decision with respect to securities covered herein. You should assume that Mako Research stands to profit in the event the issuer’s stock declines. Research reports may contain opinions, which are based upon generally available public information, field research, inferences and deductions through due diligence and analytical processes. All information is believed to be accurate and reliable, and has been obtained from public sources. Mako Research makes no representation, express or implied, as to the accuracy, timeliness, or completeness of any such information. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice, and Mako Research is not obligated to update or supplement any reports or any of the information, analysis and opinion contained in them. You should assume that Mako Research has and/or will submit findings with the Securities Exchange Commission, and other entities that may find the information useful.
The writer is a long term value investor and M.Sc graduate in Financial Markets with over 10 years experience. Value can be found in both long and short ideas and uses options to enhance the risk-return profile of investment ideas.
Disclaimer: This article provides opinions and information, but does not contain recommendations or personal investment advice to any specific person for any particular purpose. Do your own research or obtain suitable personal advice.
Named by Fortune as one of its "50 Great Investors". Acknowledged as Cash Flow From Operations (CFFO) expert by WSJ, Fortune, Forbes.com and Smartmoney.com after developing a CFFO algorithm that predicts bankruptcies for seemingly healthy large NYSE and NASDAQ traded companies.
In September 2007 Equities Magazine column predicted the 2008 collapses for all five of the U.S. major brokers including Lehman, Bear Stearns and Merrill Lynch. Wholesale sell recommendations for the five based on macro-analysis of brokerage industry's negative cash flow due to "sub-prime mortgage revenue".
Based on BOJ instituting a Negative Interest Rate Policy in early 2016, now predicting the global banking system will eventually crash unless negative rates are eradicated.
Developed a crash indicator (NIRP Crash Indicator) from an algorithm that he developed from conducting research on metrics of Crash of 2008,
Entered capital markets upon graduation from college in 1977. Broker, IPO banker, analyst and futures trader during career.
Founded: TrophyInvesting.com (2016), Dynastywealth.com (2014), Onlinefinancialsector.com (2007), StockDiagnostics.com (2002).
Currently: Analyst for Dynasty Wealth (focused on finding and covering disruptor companies that have 100X to 1,000X potential within 5 years).
Passion is recommending shorts for hyped companies that have inherently flawed negative CFFO models. Does not trade the markets and is instead a buy and holder.
Brandon is a senior in the Gabelli School of Business at Fordham University. He actively invests on his own personal time, utilizing contrarian strategies.
Brandon is originally from Los Angeles, California where he studied at Loyola High School.
If you need to get in contact with him, feel free to e-mail him at email@example.com - Thank you for your time.
Scott is a multidisciplinary engineer/consultant (owner of one-man technical consultancy) with 30+ year professional background that includes modeling physical and statistical systems. Background includes certificate in bioinformatics (U.C. Berkeley), M.S. computer science (Santa Clara University), and a B.S. engineering (mechanical, U.C. Davis). Scott has written and tested (single and multi-threaded) technical code in numerous languages, using a variety of operating systems.
First stock purchase was Amdahl shortly after it went public in the 1970s.
My preferred area of writing will be to provide easy-to-understand reasoning behind what appear to be either over-hyped or under-recognized technology, in as balanced a manner as my ability permits.
I am Howard Klein, Publisher and Publisher of THE HOUSE EDGE casino investment site on SA.
For 30 years I held senior vp and exec VP positions in major casino hotel operations among them Caesars, Ballys, Trump Taj Mahal and have done extensive consulting assignments for many others in the US, including the native American property Mohegan Sun, in Connecticut.
I have also done special projects for Caesars Palace in Las Vegas. I was the founder and publisher of Gaming Business Magazine, first ever publication covering the gaming industry and have written extensively about the industry. My two books are presently sold as
Kindle ebooks on the Amazon site:
MASTERING THE ART OF CASINO MANAGEMENT and
THE GREAT AMERICAN CASINO BAZAAR.
I have appeared on industry seminar panels and on national radio and television discussing
various aspects of industry growth.
I am a graduate of NYU's Stern School of Business and did work toward a Master's degree in economics
at the Columbia School of General Studies.
MY INVESTMENT STRATEGY:
Due to the necessities of my casino consulting business which encompasses many top gaming companies, I have placed my own gaming portfolio into a blind trust over ten years ago. At that time I instructed my money manager(who is a former industry colleague herself as well as a corporate lawyer and money manager) to follow my gaming investment strategy along these lines.
1. I am a value investor first. Knowing the industry in depth I am able to plumb opportunities and problems others cannot see. Mostly I like to identify price ranges over given periods where I believe the market is asleep and I can buy in at the lowest possible risk.
2. I am a strong believer in management quality. Knowing so many top people in the industry allows me to evaluate which ones I believe have the "right stuff" to move a stock and which are populated by corporate drones.
3. I have instructed my manager never to trade on sugar high spikes in earnings or news per se but use the "string theory" I have developed which in brief, follows a skein of news and earnings releases over set periods of time for each stock and then move in or out.
4. I have instructed her to keep the portfolio diverse with holdings in four basic areas: Casino stocks in Las Vegas, Macau and the regionals, gaming tech stocks with real moats not just cute apps.
Overall I have done immensely well and share my views with SA readers and more specifically with strong recommendations and gaming stock strategy analysis based on my network of industry contacts for subscribers to my SA Premium Site: THE HOUSE EDGE.
Forward View Consulting, located in Virginia, is not your typical investment research provider. We're never interested in hot stocks or Wall Street's darlings of the moment. Every research note and report we publish will be based on a long-term perspective and fundamental research methodologies. That's the Forward View difference. Forward View's proprietary equity valuation model underpins our stock price targets and utilizes years of historical financial statement data to produce detailed forecasts. We have formal ratings, estimates and targets on: Big 5 Sporting Goods (BGFV), Cabela's (CAB), Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS), Callaway Golf (ELY), Hibbett Sports (HIBB), MarineMax (HZO), Sportsman's Warehouse (SPWH) and West Marine (WMAR). Forward View is a proud StockViews Affiliate Partner.
I have over 7 years of experience in the stock market. 2 years I've worked as a financial analyst, and the last 5 years as a trader in an investment company. My main specialization - Russian stock market.
My investment strategy is tied to the search for promising ideas in stocks and bonds. I separately allocate a large share of the portfolio for the dividend shares.
-I have been investing since the fall of 2008 and invested through one of the most difficult investing periods in history and know the importance of dividend growth and stability during those times as well as during the good times. I started writing for Seeking Alpha a little over three years ago and I have been successful with the companies I write about, which is shown by my high TipRanks success rate (Link Below). https://www.tipranks.com/bloggers/brad-kenagy
Former Chicago Mercantile Instructor and staff member of Chicago Board of Trades. Author of five books on Trading. Currently trade for myself and offer computer trading and Spread trading courses in Chicago. Featured in Wall Street Journal. Strong advocate of Spread and Pairs trading.
New book on Amazon.com.
HORAN Capital Advisors (http://www.horancapitaladvisors.com) is an SEC registered investment advisor that manages investment portfolios for individuals and institutions. Our firm utilizes a disciplined investing approach that should create wealth for our clients over time. Our investment bias is to invest in companies that generate a steady return over time, i.e., singles and doubles. This singles and doubles approach tends to lead to investments in higher quality dividend growth/cash flow growth companies. On the other hand, there are times when a company's stock price seems to be trading below its fair valuation. Short term gains are possible in these situations. I have been managing investment portfolios for individuals and institutions for over fifteen years and believe investing is like running a marathon and not a sprint. Taking the road less traveled, more often than not, leads to higher returns. Visit: The Blog of HORAN Capital Advisors at (http://disciplinedinvesting.blogspot.com/)
Investment professional and CFA charterholder. I write on Seeking Alpha as a personal hobby and to elicit feedback on specific ideas and topics, help organize my thinking, and connect with intelligent people.
Rubicon Associates is headed by a Chartered Financial Analyst charter holder with over 20 years of experience in the investment management industry focused on the analysis, investment and management of fixed income and preferred stock portfolios. Over the years, he has analyzed and invested in both public and private companies around the world as well as advised institutional clients on fixed income strategies and manager selection. The principal has been responsible for managing nearly seven billion dollars in credit investments across the capital structure and overseeing the research and trading of credit market activities. Rubicon Associates has written for Seeking Alpha, Learn Bonds, a newsletter and TheStreet.com in addition to advising institutional and private investors.
“When you are inspired by some great purpose, some extraordinary project, all your thoughts break their bonds: Your mind transcends limitations, your consciousness expands in every direction, and you find yourself in a new, great and wonderful world. Dormant forces, faculties and talents become alive, and you discover yourself to be a greater person by far than you ever dreamed yourself to be.” (Author - Patanjali)
“Tentative efforts lead to tentative outcomes. Therefore, give yourself fully to your endeavors. Decide to construct your character through excellent actions and determine to pay the price of a worthy goal. The trials you encounter will introduce you to your strengths. Remain steadfast...and one day you will build something that endures: something worthy of your potential.” (Author - Epictetus)
"Hope sees the invisible, feels the intangible, and achieves the impossible." (Author - Unknown)
"When I stand before God at the end of my life, I would hope that I would not have a single bit of talent left, and could say, 'I used everything you gave me." (Author - Erma Bombeck)
Founded in 1939, Neuberger Berman is a private, independent, employee-owned investment manager. The firm manages equities, fixed income, private equity and hedge fund portfolios for institutions and advisors worldwide. With offices in 19 countries, Neuberger Berman’s team is approximately 2,000 professionals and the company was named by Pensions & Investments as a “Best Place to Work in Money Management” for three consecutive years. Tenured, stable and long-term in focus, the firm fosters an investment culture of fundamental research and independent thinking.
For important disclosures: http://www.nb.com/disclosure-global-communications
RIA & Family Office
East Daley is an energy assets research firm bringing greater transparency to the energy financial market. In addition to using top-level financial data to predict a company’s performance, East Daley is first-to-market with an asset-driven information service that provides comprehensive, bottoms-up, asset-level intelligence fueled by commodity fundamentals. Clients are supported by a team of unbiased, highly experienced research analysts. The combination of proprietary research and dynamic client support delivers a unique competitive advantage that enables North American energy capital markets to make more informed and accurate projections and investments.
A Canadian with numerous years of investment experience who has a BCom degree from a well respected Canadian university and has experience working in the wealth management industry.
“The way to win is to work, work, work, work and hope to have a few insights.”
– Charlie Munger
“People err who think my art comes easily to me. I assure you, dear friend, nobody has devoted so much time and thought to compositions as I. There is not a famous master whose music I have not industriously studied through many times.”
- Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart
"It is better to be roughly right than precisely wrong."
- John Maynard Keynes
My time frame for looking at an investment would generally be between two to five years.
Howard Penney is managing director at Hedgeye Risk Management. His research coverage focuses on the restaurant industry and other Consumer Staples sectors in the US. He has nearly two decades of experience following consumer related sectors including tobacco, beverage (including Latin America), gaming and restaurant sectors.
Prior to Hedgeye Risk Management, Howard spent 14 years at Morgan Stanley, including working on the MACRO team covering small company strategy. During his tenure at Morgan Stanley, Howard was ranked #1 by Institutional Investor (Restaurants) and #1 in the WSJ poll (Tobacco). In addition, after Morgan Stanley Howard worked at FBR and SunTrust Robinson Humphrey.
Howard received his bachelor’s degree in finance and economics from Florida Southern College.
Mid Market M&A consultant specializing in technology and energy industries. Individual Investor for over 25 years. Growth oriented investments primarily in market leaders and technology leaders. Investment philosophy is long term buy and hold with average holding time of several years.
I have a keen sense of cutting through management and Investment banker commentary and seeing true value of companies. A lot of my views tend to be controversial for that reason but at the same time remarkably accurate.
To get a feel for my writing, readers can puruse a few of my recent against the grain calls:- with extremely high success rates.
Scott Grannis was Chief Economist from 1989 to 2007 at Western Asset Management Company, a Pasadena-based manager of fixed-income funds for institutional investors around the globe. He was a member of Western's Investment Strategy Committee, was responsible for developing the firm's domestic and international outlook, and provided consultation and advice on investment and asset allocation strategies to CFOs, Treasurers, and pension fund managers. He specialized in analysis of Federal Reserve policy and interest rate forecasting, and spearheaded the firm's research into Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS). Prior to joining Western Asset, he was Senior Economist at the Claremont Economics Institute, an economic forecasting and consulting service headed by John Rutledge, from 1980 to 1986. From 1986 to 1989, he was Principal at Leland O'Brien Rubinstein Associates, a financial services firm that specialized in sophisticated hedging strategies for institutional investors.
Visit his blog: Calafia Beach Pundit (http://scottgrannis.blogspot.com/)