Douglas T

Another Crisis Looms Right Around the Corner

I agree with Frank. Enough of the Kramer like market bashing. History tells us he doesn't know what he's talking about. Would hate to have to say the same about this author. Look, the markets are only half way recovered from last years travesty at this point. Forget the cash scenario, stay invested in best performing sectors of the global market place as they present themselves and posted weekly at: mutualfundwealth.com/


On Nov 24 11:05 AM Frank Presgigiacomo wrote:

>
> You are beginning to sound like Krammer on CNN. Get with it, get
> out of the War we are in and start investing in ourselves and to
> hell with the rest of the world. Thank you Frank Prestigiacomo, Private
> Investor

Whatever Happened to Those Ethanol Companies?

Yes, alternative energy stocks and mutual funds have certainly gone by the way side. All equities rise and fall in cycles as hype and promotion dictate. Look for funds such as Creststreet alternative energy to rebound again. It's a sign of the times.

DougT......The mutual fund guy
www.mutualfundwealth.com/

On Nov 24 03:11 AM sako shooter wrote:

> Government loves green energy, the market does not. So, at the central
> planner’s behest, we shocked grain markets, drove the price of food
> higher, funneled scarce resources into ethanol production capability,
> and the ethanol refiners are declaring bankruptcy. Central planning
> at its finest. The Obama administration tells us we need more central
> energy planning. Wonder how long it will take windmills to go the
> way of ethanol?

Dow 10,000: Show Me the (Real) Money

I believe JMBishop comes closest to having it right. Well done...
www.mutualfundwealth.com/

The Next Major Crisis Brewing

Although an economic relapse of any magnitude would certainly be an unfortunate situation, I don't believe it will happen in the near term, and certainly not globally. With that in mind, get invested in best performing sectors of the global market place. www.mutualfundwealth.com/

10 Notes on Risk in the Markets

MBAmichael: Totally agree with your statements, couldn't have said it better. www.mutualfundwealth.com/


On Sep 14 04:49 PM MBAmichael wrote:

> Entrepreneurs need to invest in themselves first and position themselves
> for the opportunities that under achievers & gamblers will create
> over the next couple of years. All CEOs in bed with the government
> or with their hand out for a bailout should be removed. Until we
> see an end to the corruption that exists between Wall Street and
> government, the average investor isn't going to have much faith in
> corporate earnings. Risky behavior is rewarded these days with bailouts
> and bonuses.

Gold Is Still the Opportunity of a Lifetime

Not sure if your bank closure numbers are correct... www.mutualfundwealth.com/


On Sep 07 09:02 AM markfl wrote:

> This last Friday marked what may have been the start of the banking
> avalanche with the closure of 5 in advance of the holiday weekend,
> a faster pace than the usual 3-4 per "Failure Friday." This makes
> me wonder if FDIC waited for a long weekend with Monday's market
> closure to bury the happening. It's not clear if this was an anomaly,
> or if it may mark the start of a increase in the pace to 20 banks
> a month.
>
> We already know that many forecasters have predicted at least 300
> bank failures, so if this "Friday Five" trend continues we'd be on
> pace close as many between now and the end of the year as have been
> closed so far. If 300 is correct that pace would be right, with perhaps
> another 100-200 next year.

Friday Wrap: This Market's Running on Empty

Certainly enjoyed your comments Warm_Paw and your sense of humor regarding current market activity was refreshing as well. Excellent post.....www.mutualfundwealth.com/


On Aug 29 10:35 PM Warm_Paw wrote:

> It must be the infusion of dollars keeping this market going, because
> nothing else is. The earnings are a joke with the FASB accounting
> changes. Major unemployment, more oil than we know what to do with
> and the price keeps climbing, where the banks are with toxic assets
> is anyone's guess,the dollar should be tanking and isn't because
> the rest of the world has worthless currency (they've already went
> this route).
> Bottom line is the country has offshored the employment and without
> a consumer there's no way this situation is going to buy itself out
> through inflation. The govt has pulled out all the stops without
> realizing this isn't something that's going to get fixed with good
> old fashion brute force or throwing money at it.
> Wall St. continues to manipulate to get a fire going not realizing
> investors are staying on the sidelines because up is down and black
> is white. There's no stability. There's no logic. It's become a crap
> shoot. That does not create confidence.
> Where this ends up - nobody knows.
> I agree with this article in that the market is due for a correction.
> The fact that none is coming just tells me that when that correction
> comes, it's gonna be a whopper!
> For that reason I remain on the sidelines. Who wouldn't. For anyone
> making money in this market right now, I'm happy for you.
> Know this, the S&P grudgingly rises, but when it or the DOW fall,
> they do so with a vengeance.
> Picking up pennies in front of a steam roller.
> What do you invest in?
> One day they have no where to store oil and it goes to $69 - the
> next day someone's highjacking a ship or Opec's cutting production
> and we're back to $75. I've fallen off cliffs with a more gradual
> slope.
> The dollar is what the world's watching. Once the Fed HAS to raise
> interest rates, it's strength is going to wipe the markets out.<br/>As
> if there was ever a currency that would have the credibility of the
> US Dollar.

What Can Stop This Market Rally?

I concur, and the next 1 - 2 months may be the time when the next decline is triggered for the reasons you mention, or perhaps a scenario(s) you and most of us haven't even thought of.
www.mutualfundwealth.com/

On Aug 27 09:10 PM Neil459 wrote:

> The "truth" will stop this rally cold. If the public ever finds out
> or the money for manipulation runs out, no one will stick with the
> next decline. If its triggered it has the potential to be sharp and
> deep.

Cramer's Mad Money - Paul Krugman Is Wrong (8/10/09)

Cramer are you listening?? Most everyone knows you as a joke... I truly believe if you bought and sold the equities as you forecast them to the masses, or should I say the few investing rookies that haven't done any research on your record, you would have gone broke a long time ago.

Personally I don't read any of Cramer's stuff, opened this page by mistake and couldn't help but wonder where his ego and rants might be now that the market has begun it's long climb back. I wasn't disappointed, same old, same old. Maybe one day he will find my web page where sanity rules. Probably not...
www.mutualfundwealth.com/

A Stock Market Rally Does Not a Recovery Make

I agree with the article phrase: enjoy the party...but dance near the door. Real estate equity funds have played a fairly large part in the recent stock market rally of late, but the month of september and it's historically bearish results are just around the corner. If this happens to occur again this year, I would expect a rather large and some would say, justified correcton in the markets. www.mutualfundwealth.com/

Consider Yourselves Warned: This Bull Market Can't Last

On Jul 31 12:01 PM Douglas T wrote:

> Very unusual market activity lately. Ist part of June my personal
> charts indicated a significant drop in the market place was possible,
> so I moved my equity positions into money market and cash holdings.
> Well, the markets did drop 500 - 600 points rapidly and I was relieved
> not to have been involved in that slide. One unfortunate point is
> that my charts don't predict or indicate just how severe the drop
> will be. I doubt any chart available could predict the ultimate lows
> in any market. Would be nice though to have that kind of info.<br/>
>
> Having said this, although my charts have since returned to showing
> a buying trend, I am hesitant to return to equity positions at this
> time, because September the "ugly market month" of the year is just
> around the corner. There have been exceptions to this rule of course,
> but as a rule September is not a good time to be holding equity positions.
> I will leave answers to this phenomenon to the experts and of course
> Macro Man.... www.mutualfundwealth.com/

Consider Yourselves Warned: This Bull Market Can't Last

Very unusual market activity lately. Ist part of June my personal charts indicated a significant drop in the market place was possible, so I moved my equity positions into money market and cash holdings. Well, the markets did drop 500 - 600 points rapidly and I was relieved not to have been involved in that slide. One unfortunate point is that my charts don't predict or indicate just how severe the drop will be. I doubt any chart available could predict the ultimate lows in any market. Would be nice though to have that kind of info.

Having said this, although my charts have since returned to showing a buying trend, I am hesitant to return to equity positions at this time, because September the "ugly market month" of the year is just around the corner. There have been exceptions to this rule of course, but as a rule September is not a good time to be holding equity positions. I will leave answers to this phenomenon to the experts and of course Macro Man....

How Long Can the U.S. Dollar Defy the Law of Gravity?

The state of California (eighth largest economy in the world) is broke and handing out IOU's this week, and the US government is presently having discussions regarding yet another monetary stimulous package. I suggest that any global monetary ramifications as discussed in this article could come to fruition in the not too distant future. Investors should be prepared to seek relatively safe haven investments short term for their personal portfolios.

On the positive side of all this doom and gloom, there are always sectors of the global market place that do well no matter what economic conditions exist. The key to this of course is to be informed and invested in these areas as they arise.

www.mutualfundwealth.com/

ETF Investors Should Keep an Eye on Japan

Good article on Japan's current corporate economic situation Tom. An uptrend in Japanese equities has appeared to be one of the best performing sectors of the global market place in recent weeks. This may simply be a blip on the radar screen but it could also indicate a sign of positive developments that may be forthcoming as you indicate in your article. www.mutualfundwealth.com/

Why the Dow Is Headed to 6000

From the pessimistic side of things I enjoyed your article. I also know there are many optimistic views that would counter most of the views you have presented in your article. Personally, and I have posted this many times, I believe 8000 ish to be the bottom for the DOW and TSX markets. www.mutualfundwealth.com/