I am a first generation homebuilder who has been a builder for 25 years. I'm a member of the National Association of Homebuilders, and a member of the Board of Directors of the Long Island Builder’s Institute. I'm also a past member of the Associated Builders and Owners of Greater New York as well as the Rockland County Builder’s Association. I've built, and or consulted on projects in five states in the US (mostly in the Northeast), as well as overseas in Mexico and Eastern Europe.
I have been trading max pain type data since 2007 after noting odd trading patterns centered around options expiry. I am a more conservative trader/investor and only take high probability trades. I prefer to know where stocks won’t be rather than guess where they will be. Trading with this mind set gives you 80% plus probability of being correct.
I have always been a stock market enthusiast. My formal training is that of informal. I am self taught, soaking up as much knowledge as can be absorbed. I love the financial industry and would work for free. I am a fundamental investor at heart and like crunching the numbers. I picked up on Max Pain theory and use option data as a main thesis in taking my positions.
In the beginning; when studying Max Pain I was truly amazed at the power it had in pulling or pushing AAPL around. I have seen the stock drop 5% out of nowhere with no news. The only news would be it was the 3rd Friday of the month. I then picked up on hitting the Max Pain strike was about 50/50 odds. Max Pain would give you a tell on what direction AAPL would start heading for expiry. I started to build a strategy from my studies. Using the Max Pain strike is not really tradable, good to know, but not tradable. So I started to study open interest (OI) and its affect on AAPL. Long story short, I have altered the original Max Pain theory and morphed it into what my own studies have concluded. I call this OI/Max Pain, it uses open interest and a range. This way it is tradable as I now have a high probability range. It doesn’t stop there, using OI will tell you so much more. How a stock reacts at each strike depending on the amount of OI is a major tell.
Conclusion: When using open interest you can accomplish multiple things. We can use it for OI/Max Pain when AAPL is stuck in a range and we can use it for catching breakouts, breakdowns, buy and sell points. Enjoy.
I want to give a special thanks to some of my early influences: Turley Muller, Andy Zaky and Jason Schwarz. I thank Philip Elmer-Dewitt for his coverage on AAPL and letting us have a voice, Horace Dediu for his tireless studies and anyone attached to the AAPL community.
The author of Stockerblog worked for over 20 years in the financial services industry as a stockbroker, investment advisor, Vice President of a San Francisco money management firm, mutual fund wholesaler, and market maker on the Pacific Stock Exchange. He has written numerous articles for the Bond and Share Society Journal, Friends of Financial History Magazine, TheStreet.com and many other investment publications. He has also appeared on CNBC and Fox Business News, and is founder of WallStreetNewsNetwork.com.
Visit Stockerblog (http://stockerblog.com/) and WallStreetNewsNetwork.com (http://WallStreetNewsNetwork.com)
I am teaching and doing research in mathematics at University Paris 12. I have a PhD in Dynamical Systems from the University of Orsay.My main hobbies are investing, programming, playing pool, parenting and playing backgammon.I am co-founder of a startup which helps institutions digitize and organize paper documents. We hope to complete an OCR software developed in house that will allow indexing scanned books.
Bespoke Investment Group provides some of the most original content and intuitive thinking on the Street. Founded by Paul Hickey and Justin Walters, formerly of Birinyi Associates and creators of the acclaimed TickerSense blog, Bespoke offers multiple products that allow anyone, from institutions to the most modest investor, to gain the data and knowledge necessary to make intelligent and profitable investment decisions. Along with running their Think B.I.G. finance blog, Bespoke provides timely investment ideas through its Bespoke Premium (http://bespokepremium.com/) subscription service and also manages money (http://bespokepremium.com/mm) for high net worth individuals.
Visit: Bespoke Investment Group (http://bespokeinvest.com/)
Sam Antar is a convicted felon and a former CPA. As the CFO of Crazy Eddie, Mr. Antar helped mastermind one of the largest securities frauds uncovered during the 1980s.
Today, Sam Antar is a forensic accountant. His primary work focuses on identifying and investigating public companies engaged in securities fraud by performing an in-depth (deep-dive) forensic analysis. His clients include law firms, research firms, hedge funds, and certain other entities. He advises law enforcement agencies and professionals about white-collar crime and trains them to catch the crooks.
His views on white-collar crime are frequently quoted in the print news media, online news media, TV media, professional journals, books, and blogs. He has appeared on Fox News, Fox Business Channel, WSJ Live, CNBC, Canadian Broadcasting Corporation, Canadian Business News Network, National Public Radio’s Planet Money, Progressive Radio Network, Reuters TV, RT News, and other media outlets to give insights on white-collar crime. His articles have been published by Business Insider, CNBC, Newsweek, Seeking Alpha, TalkMarkets, and other publications.
I am the founder of the Braeburn Group of independent AAPL analysts and author of the Posts At Eventide web presence.
The objective of my work is to benefit readers seeking to understand Apple's financial performance and to provide a repository of information and analysis at my web presence for other independent AAPL analysts preparing quarterly estimates and share price forecasts.
In addition to following Apple, I maintain a keen interest in the personal technology product markets and follow publicly traded enterprises offering technology products and services to consumers.
Robert Paul Leitao
Horace Dediu authors the asymco blog, which is available at blog.asymco.com. He has 8 years of experience as an industry analyst and business development manager at Nokia, preceded by 6 years of startup software development.
Jason Schwarz authors the popular Economic Timing investment newsletter. His fundamental and technical research has become a primary resource for hedge funds and individual investors.
Wall Street Breakfast, Seeking Alpha's flagship daily business news summary, is a one-page summary that gives you a rapid overview of the day's key financial news. It's designed for easy readability on the site or by email (including on mobile devices), and is published before 7:00 AM ET every market day.
Wall Street Breakfast readership of over 900,000 includes many from the investment-banking and fund-management industries.
Sign up here to receive the Wall Street Breakfast in your inbox every business day: http://seekingalpha.com/account/email_preferences
Andy Zaky is a Hedge Fund Manager at Bullish Cross Asset Management, and editor of the Bullish Cross financial newsletter. His main area of knowledge is in global macro economics, fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Andy has about 14 years of investment experience, a strong background in accounting and financial statement analysis, technical analysis, broad market analysis, macro economics and law. Andy both focuses on long term investments and trading short term calls and puts on the major index-pegged ETFs (QQQQ, SPY and DIA). Andy has a J.D. from the UCLA School of Law.
I am a former hedge fund portfolio manager that trades for my own personal account. I espouse Graham and Dodd/Buffett style investing, always on the lookout for value equities or bonds. A graduate of Northwestern's Kellogg School of Management, I lived in NYC for a decade before relocating with my family to the Charlotte, NC area in 2007.
Asif Suria is an entrepreneur and investor with a focus on event driven strategies including merger arbitrage and insider trading. He publishes a weekly post that includes the latest mergers and highlights the largest spreads. He also publishes a weekly post that highlights the top 5 insider purchases and sales of the week. Asif is also one of the earliest contributors at Seeking Alpha and has been regularly contributing content since 2005.
I'm the Director of Research at Wonder. Come check it out (askwonder.com)
Previously, I worked for Seeking Alpha from 2008-2015. During that time, I was involved in building out the PRO and Marketplace subscription platforms, and also spent time writing 'Wall Street Breakfast' and writing for the Breaking News team.
Before joining Seeking Alpha, I co-founded a (short-lived) start-up for crowd-sourced angel investing and worked in the private banking division of a boutique bank. I've got an M.Sc. in applied economics from Georgia Southern University, and a B.A. in economics from Brandeis University.
My husband and I live in Israel with our two children.
Dave Fish is Executive Editor for The Moneypaper and co-manager (since 1999) of the MP 63 Fund (Symbol: DRIPX), a fund that invests exclusively in companies that offer Direct Investment (or Dividend Reinvestment) Plans. He is also the author of the U.S. Dividend Champions spreadsheet (and PDF), which is updated at the end of each month...and lists companies that have increased their dividend payout for at least 25 consecutive years. (Separate tabs list "Contenders" that have increased their payouts for 10-24 years and "Challengers" that have increased their payouts for 5-9 years.) http://dripinvesting.org/Tools/Tools.asp
Dan Plettner invests and licenses his own real time trading data to Covestor Ltd. Dan previously licensed his written content to DealFlow Media, for the Closed-End Fund Alert.
Dan focuses his qualitative investigative research methods on Closed-End Funds and other underfollowed securities. His efforts seek to identify potential valuation changes which are unanticipated by median market participants. He believes readily available “quantitative research” is of minimal value for achieving outsized returns within any particular investing style.
Dan Plettner was born in 1975 and has been investing since his teen years. After completing his undergraduate degree Magna Cum Laude from Miami University (Oxford, Ohio), he won the “NSD award” as a retail Financial Advisor at Morgan Stanley Dean Witter. Dan relocated to Morgan Stanley’s International Headquarters in Manhattan where he served as a Closed-End Fund Product Specialist until 2000 and then attained his MBA from New York University.
Kid Dynamite is now on Twitter: #KidDynamiteBlog
Kid Dynamite (pseudonym) spent 8 years as a trader at a major Wall Street investment bank. from June 1999 thru April 2005 he specialized in portfolio trading, and from May 2005 thru November 2007 he was the head trader for an internal hedge fund on the buy side of the same firm. Kid Dynamite managed a multi-billion dollar merger arbitrage portfolio, and continued to implement portfolio trading related strategies as well.
If you are interested in intelligent discussion about any of my blog posts, or have questions, please visit Kid Dynamite's World (http://kiddynamitesworld.com).
Tom, a native of Berwyn, IL, has been interested in stocks, bonds and real estate for over forty years. A classically-trained woodwind musician and retired High School Principal, he holds two master's degrees and blogs.
Mr. Smicklas values a conservative, diversified approach towards investing utilizing varied income streams, always sensitive to of the march of political and economic trends worldwide.
Tom knows that in the investment world there is no substitute for experience, with failure as well as success.
David Fry writes a subscription newsletter focused on technical analysis of exchange-traded funds, called ETF Digest (www.etfdigest.com). Dave founded the ETF Digest in 2001 and was among the very first to see the need for a publication that provided individual investors with information and actionable advice on global ETF investing.
We particularly like the overview of financial markets that his work provides. Even if you're not a fan of chart analysis, Dave provides insight and commentary into which global markets are "working" and why.
Specializing as a market strategist and tactician, Fry focuses on evaluating, creating and implementing a variety of ETF portfolios for individual investors and financial professionals. His philosophy and approach incorporates fundamental with technical analysis in pursuit of risk management and capital preservation especially during uncertain and volatile times.
His new eBook, The Best ETFs: U.S. Equities,is now available on Amazon Kindle. Written as a cheat sheet to only the best ETFs for you or your client’s portfolios. For those that don't have a Kindle, you can purchase the pdf here: The Best ETFs: US Equities [https://gumroad.com/l/The%20Best%20ETFs]