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RobbyRob

RobbyRob
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  • Sears to spin off Lands' End in early April [View news story]
    How does this affect pricing on SHLD options such as LEAPS? Will the strike price be adjusted?
    Mar 16 06:38 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Facebook: Do You 'Like' The Risk/Reward Ratio? [View article]
    FB denies advertisers the right to audit who is clicking through to their ads. It's in the fine print. Click farms, whether to gain likes or fake the impression that an ad is working, are fraudulent and deceptive to the advertiser/customer. How much of FBs revenue and earnings are due to such clandestine activities?
    Mar 6 09:25 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Facebook: Becoming The World's Connection Company [View article]
    I'd love to know how much of FB's revenue and earnings are based on charging advertisers for fake clicks...aka click farms. This should have been a bigger story.

    http://read.bi/1fHg2J4
    Mar 5 01:08 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Facebook rallies on Stifel PT hike [View news story]
    Agreed. Media buries and ignores stories about click farms, targeting teen girls...the former just might be a class action lawsuit one day when companies find that x% of their paid clicks are fake. See SF Gate / Business Insider recent article below...amazing what people ignore until it can't be pushed under the rug anymore. Like Enron. With WhatsApp purchase, market cap over 200 billion dollars.

    http://read.bi/1fHg2J4
    Mar 5 01:00 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Inside The Netflix / Comcast Deal And What The Media Is Getting Very Wrong [View article]
    If it were such a positive development for NFLX, we would hear about how the company is saving money. The company won't even elucidate the approximate cost of the deal, and is now having to deal with VZN, AT&T, etc. Goodbye whatever margins or free cash flow existed...or will this get pushed off balance sheet too?

    As a Comcast subscriber, I've already noticed a significant improvement in streaming quality...from unwatchable to decent. However, I'm not sure whether additional subs will accrue from this move, or whether or not the arrangement will support 4k or 3D streaming within the next couple of years...putting us back at last week's awful performance.
    Feb 24 07:52 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Investors size up Netflix-Comcast deal [View news story]
    You/we simply do not know the costs. To doubt whether or not they are prohibitive turns a NFLX investment into a riverboat gamble. Based on the FCF over the last few quarters, the company can't absorb very many additional variable or fixed costs.

    The CEO was dismissive about net neutrality at the earnings conference call last month, yet the press releases over the weekend state that Comcast and Netflix had been negotiating this for months. Was Mr. Hastings lying? If these costs are material, have shareholders who bought after the earnings conference call been deluded?
    Feb 24 08:23 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Investors size up Netflix-Comcast deal [View news story]
    Sell side analysts are falling over themselves and spinning the headlines: 'Netflix Customers to Get Better Streaming Service on Comcast' instead of 'Netflix Pays Comcast Toll for Streaming.' The fact that no financial terms were announced is always concerning. How can anyone weigh in on the news without the terms? Analysts' EPS models will have to be adjusted downward most likely.
    Feb 24 08:00 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Network traceroute points to Netlfix/Comcast peering deal [View news story]
    http://on.wsj.com/1k0neic

    Puts are looking good now. They paid to free up the bandwidth....and the PE ratio should also compress nicely down the drain.
    Feb 23 03:08 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Facebook Buys WhatsApp For $19 Billion: Value And Pricing Perspectives [View article]
    1) How many users of FB are also on WhatsApp? I'd like to see that Venn diagram.
    2) 1999 wasn't that long ago, but people seem to have forgotten those lessons. This is a dilution of $12B for shareholders, and there is no revenue model. I think the AH traders had it right two days ago.
    Feb 21 08:34 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Street weighs in on WhatsApp deal; FB -3.6% premarket [View news story]
    Gonna close in the green today. Gotta love this market. FB should buy whatever computer app/algo is pulling its stock today.
    Feb 20 02:03 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Netflix Already A Bubble? [View article]
    AAPL is building huge data centers; I suspect that iTunes Match (only $25/year for music) is a step on the path to full subscription-based services from AAPL. When movies get bundled with this, the 800 lb gorilla will have moved.
    Feb 7 10:17 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Netflix Pushes Closer To The Edge [View article]
    Agree with many other commenters; thanks for the thought-provoking read.
    Feb 6 10:35 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Strong subscriber growth at Netflix boosts shares [View news story]
    It did this last quarter following earnings in AH, only to lose most of the gains the following day. Let's see what happens tomorrow. I would think that a 10 million dollar revenue beat would only be worth $3.45 billion increase in market cap.
    Jan 22 04:48 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Netflix, Inc. beats by $0.15, beats on revenue [View news story]
    I want to hear CEO's comments about impact of potential net neutrality issue. If NFLX has to subsidize customers' data usage, goodbye profits.
    Jan 22 04:45 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Doing the math on Sears Holdings [View news story]
    SHLD should be taken private; let some PE firm deal with the real estate and selling of the brands. The brick and mortar stores don't seem to have a future.
    Jan 16 02:13 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
355 Comments
300 Likes