Seeking Alpha

4rdvark

4rdvark
Send Message
View as an RSS Feed
View 4rdvark's Comments BY TICKER:
Latest  |  Highest rated
  • The Fed Is Not Pushing Stock Prices Higher [View article]
    The Fed uses the open market committee to buy stocks and possess them. This is in addition to giving free money to investment banks under the agreement to prop the market.

    The actions of a politically independent and non accountable institution such as the Fed cannot be completely verified without espionage. You can, however, use mathematics to connect the dots. Note for instance.since the rally started the market has not down more than two days in a row, <i>ever</i>. Also note the very close cluster of down results. It is statistically fishy to say the least.
    Apr 4, 2013. 03:49 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Thoughts on the Silver Crash [View article]
    Once in a long while there is someone to blame. It is of course unhealthy to do it often, but a 100% margin increase in a few days is captain obvious manipulation.
    May 5, 2011. 04:48 PM | 7 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Silver Sell-Off [View article]
    It is a natural function of central planning rather than a conspiracy. The largest threat to these schemes is private parties with superior theory. Obviously they cannot defeat the threat intellectually, so they use the hamfist.
    May 5, 2011. 03:34 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • A Balanced Debate About Reforming Macroeconomics [View article]
    Macro will continue being useless as long as only liberal answers are allowed. Currently no one is allowed to tell the Keynesians that they have been falsified and need to STFU.
    Mar 31, 2011. 08:29 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Feb. Nonfarm Payrolls: +192K vs. consensus +185K, +63K prior (revised). Unemployment 8.9% vs 9.1% expected, 9% prior. Avg. hourly earnings +$0.01. to $22.87.  [View news story]
    You guys just fell behind CNBC: www.cnbc.com/id/41583533, safe enough now?
    Mar 4, 2011. 09:32 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • The 2010 Rise in Gold 'Was a Big Surprise'? [View article]
    Plato can't save the dollar now.
    Jan 3, 2011. 02:30 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • QE2 Not Suppressing Interest Rates [View article]
    The long term rates are effected by the Fed buying ordinary treasury bonds. This lowers long term interest rates and funds the operation of the government. It also entails the inflationary printing of money. The chain of steps that go from buying the bonds to the mint making the money is irrelevant to the destination of the process.

    It is vital that as an investor you don't just play along like some econ student, but you use your head and perceive the great intellectual game. After all, the only test is your profit/loss and profit that is gained by ignoring everything you learned in school is still profit, and loss from following consensus economics is still loss.
    Dec 9, 2010. 01:33 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Why the Fiscal and Monetary Free Put Will Disappoint [View article]
    This is the long term and we are dead. You don't get it, constant deficit spending can work for decades, but it has already been several decades since this policy started. The fundamental reality is that the Fed is paying for the federal budget with printed money. This is a nakedly inflationary policy and silly word games and horrible prose won't prevent the Argentine consequences.
    Oct 28, 2010. 03:18 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Martenson's Outlook: Inflation, Deflation, Stagflation [View article]
    He was to much of a coward to just say "inflation". Instead he had to worship the sacred cow of Not Directly Contradicting Professorial Consensus.
    Aug 13, 2010. 12:35 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Sovereign Debt Crisis Contained to Subprime? [View article]
    The metaphor of "disease" distracts us from the real matter of deliberate action and its consequences.

    By renaming decision nodes "infections", liberals frame the debate away from the obvious mechanical answer, that the Keynesian welfare state is mathematically absurd and is collapsing in front of our eyes.
    May 17, 2010. 12:25 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Market recap: What happened today? Was it growing fear over the Greece crisis, or one trader's fat finger? Either way, it's actually a relief that the Dow fell "only" 3.2% after a 1,000-point collapse shortly before 3:00. Regardless, three down days makes a pattern, and if investors had grown complacent that every time we had a bad day we followed with a good day, no one is complacent any more.  [View news story]
    I cleaned up with FAZ. Epic Win.
    May 6, 2010. 05:22 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Richard Russell's in Cash and Gold: 'No Time to Be Cute' [View article]
    Did Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac fall through a singularity? Can information regarding their credit promises be recovered from beyond the event horizon?

    Goldman's crime was to call nonsense on the full faith and credit of the United States. The government's Kafkaesque response is to maintain that the full faith and credit of the United States = infinity yet it is a crime to sell people securities as AAA under the aegis of the full faith and credit of the United States.

    In the moment of tyranny, however, is a sign of profound weakness. It appears the government has actually reached the point where it must confess, either explicitly or tacitly, some finite limit of government credit.

    As this plays out, they will have to spell out exactly how finite the "full faith and credit" of the United States.
    May 4, 2010. 03:35 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Goldman Case: One-Off or First of Many? [View article]
    It is both politically motivated and reinvigorating. Remember that the very nature of regulatory vigor is political.

    That's why the response must be political. Capitalists must not shy away from the ideological defense of Goldman. Socialists have no problem with this, we should not let the battle go uncontested.
    Apr 21, 2010. 01:26 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Inflation Denial Not Keeping Oil and Interest Rates Down [View article]
    A source of confusion is that all governments are inflating their currencies at the same time.

    Gold rising in both dollars and euros means both dollar and euro are tanking.
    Apr 7, 2010. 12:13 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Who Controls Bank of Japan? [View article]
    If the multiplier is zero negative than both fiscal and monetary policies do not work!!!!
    Apr 6, 2010. 01:35 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
22 Comments
24 Likes