Macro Investor | Mid/Long Term Horizon | US Equities, Commodities and Fixed Income | English, Dutch & German | Main Goal: Deliver the 1% of Global Data Needed To Make Money | Ask Me Anything: email@example.com |
I rub shoulders with the brightest and sharpest financial minds on a full-time basis. I have made great calls, I have made stupid calls over the course of my career as a professional investment executive.
As a student of the market, I use my educational background in psychology and business to understand the market environment and identify opportunities for generating performance. I have completed my MBA, obtained my CFA charter and I am a licensed derivatives trader.
My biggest aspiration for contributing on SA is to shine a light on stocks, bonds and volatility instruments so that the readers may learn and profit. I also find that writing to be quite stimulative and helps me improve my thought process, which is a huge bonus.
Larry Kummer has 37 years experience in the finance industry in a variety of roles. From 1994 to 2013 he was at UBS, the last 15 years as a senior portfolio manager and Vice President of Investments. He has most of the major licenses at FINA, plus those for commodities and insurance.
His articles are widely reposted. Those about economics & finance appear at Roubini’s Economonitor, Investing.com, OilPrice.com, Wolf Street, and (of course) Seeking Alpha. Those about climate change appear at websites such as Climate Etc (of eminent climate scientist Judith Curry). Those about geopolitics have been posted at Martin van Creveld’s website and elsewhere.
See his articles about the 2007-08 crash here: http://fabiusmaximus.com/financial-crisis/
Seeing the real estate crash coming, he began writing in Nov 2007. He called the recession in early 2008 (a controversial call then). Like everybody else, he didn't anticipate the depth of the crash in late 2008 -- although accurately reporting as it happened.
Mr. Roche is the founder of Orcam Financial Group, LLC, a low fee financial services firm based in San Diego, CA as well as the founder of the popular financial website Pragmatic Capitalism (some articles from Pragmatic Capitalism get syndicated on Seeking Alpha so please see the full site if you don't want to miss articles by Mr. Roche).
Orcam Financial Group, LLC (www.orcamgroup.com) is a low fee financial services firm offering asset management, personal advisory, consulting and educational services. Pragmatic Capitalism (http://pragcap.com) was founded by Cullen Roche in the midst of the financial crisis of 2008. Mr. Roche foresaw many of the events that led up to the crisis and felt that the government was slow to react and when it did finally react, responded with the wrong medicine.
Mr. Roche's primary areas of expertise include global macro portfolio construction, quantitative risk management, monetary economics and behavioral finance. Prior to establishing his own business, Mr. Roche worked at Merrill Lynch Global Wealth Management where he worked on a team overseeing $500MM+ in assets under management. Upon leaving Merrill Lynch, Mr. Roche managed a private investment partnership for 7 years generating substantial positive alpha (high risk adjusted returns) without a single negative year of returns. He has since transitioned back to retail asset management to better serve the much needed low fee retail space with sophisticated but simple asset management and financial planning services.
Mr. Roche is also a prolific writer. In addition to the daily musings on his website, he is the author of the popular book “Pragmatic Capitalism: What Every Investor Needs to Know About Money and Finance” as well as “Understanding the Modern Monetary System”, one of the top 10 all-time most downloaded research papers on the SSRN academic research network. He was named one of the “Top Wall Street Economists, Experts and Opinion Leaders” of 2011 by Wall Street Economists and was named one of the “101 Best Finance People” by Business Insider where he was described as “one of the most influential economic thinkers today.” In 2015 Mr. Roche was named one of the “40 Under 40” most influential people in finance by InvestmentNews. He is regularly cited in the Wall Street Journal, on CNBC and in the Financial Times.
Mr. Roche is a Georgetown University alumnus, growing up in the DC area and now living in Southern California with his wife Erica, troublesome collie Cal and 4 irritable laying hens. In addition to being a financial dork Cullen is an avid outdoorsman, mediocre gardener, proficient complex carbohydrate consumer (i.e., loves brownies and cake) and finisher of one of the most difficult IRONMAN races at Cabo in 2015.
Perhaps more than any other time in the last six decades, the fate of markets is inextricably intertwined with the ebb and flow of geopolitics. From the ECB's attempts to use the central bank's balance sheet to influence political outcomes across the eurozone to Saudi Arabia's efforts to transform the kingdom's influence over crude prices into an instrument of foreign policy, it's become increasingly clear that one simply cannot fully comprehend market movements without a thorough understanding of concurrent political outcomes. Drawing on extensive experience in both politics and finance, Heisenberg will help demystify a world in which investors can no longer hope to conceptualize markets as existing in anything that even approximates a vacuum. "I am the one who knocks."
I am a PhD candidate at the University of Cambridge. My research concentrates on a subfield of deep learning. I mostly write on technology and have recently started a "under the hood" series on artificial intelligence and technology. If you want me to cover any specific piece of software, technology or company as part of the series, shoot me a message or comment.
*For Elazar's Research on SA hit "Follow." and click "Real-time alerts on this author" for real time.
*Trading needs a gameplan and discipline. Elazar has served clients in the $100mm-$10B asset range.
See the market through a new simple perspective. Make decisions based on how the market functions.
*Your Trading Team is an Elazar service on Seeking Alpha to help you build and stick to a cookie cutter framework. Working together helps avoid common mistakes, cut losers and hold on to winners.
We follow SPY, Oil, GLD, SLV, UNG, XIV, XLV, XLF, XLI, EFA, CYB, WEAT, SOXX, IAU, FXY, TLT, BAL and many other securities with strong historical model results.
*Weekly SPY Model Historic Performance 56% in three years through July. All of the securities we closely follow have a strong model track record to support our fundamental work.
*Click for information about: Your Trading Team on Seeking Alpha.
Past performance can not predict future performance. Capital invested is capital at risk and especially when leverage is used large, some if not all of the principal can be lost. Please consult your financial advisor if such a service is right for you. The performance data shown includes back-tested past performance, which is not a guarantee of future results. Investment returns and principal value will fluctuate. Current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data cited. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations unlike actual performance record. Real time performance is in the process of being compiled in Your Trading Team on Seeking Alpha.
I manage a $1B+ portfolio for a family office. Our investments include bonds, equities, hedge funds, and private investments with a wide geographical and asset class dispersion. I have a J.D. degree from Yale Law School and practiced for 30 years as a trial lawyer in commercial cases.
That fellow in my icon is, of course, Galileo Galilei. Eppur si muove.
You can email me at Montana.Skeptic@gmail.com & follow me on Twitter where I am @MontanaSkeptic1
Nicholas Vardy is editor of The Global Guru, a weekly free e-letter; the monthly Alpha Investor Letter; and two weekly trading services, Bull Market Alert and Alpha Algorithm for Washington DC-based Eagle Financial Publications. He has been a columnist for TheStreet.com and currently writes for Dow Jones Markewatch. He has been cited in Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, Forbes, Investors Business Daily,Yahoo! Finance, theStreet.com, and MSN Money Central. He has appeared on CNBC Asia, Fox Business News and CNN International. Vardy is a graduate of Stanford and Harvard Law School, a former Fulbright scholar, and a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA).
John Thomas graduated with a bachelor’s degree in biochemistry with honors and a minor in mathematics from the University of California at Los Angeles (U.C.L.A.) in 1974. He moved to Tokyo, Japan where he was employed by a medium-sized Japanese securities house. Thomas became fluent in Japanese and was trained as a domestic Japanese research analyst and money manager. In 1977 Thomas became the Tokyo correspondent for The Economist magazine and the Financial Times of London. Thomas traveled extensively throughout Asia, interviewing premiers, presidents and prime ministers, writing on macroeconomic trends, and producing countless features about individual companies. Thomas witnessed China’s cultural revolution and was one of the first American correspondents to enter China prior to the U.S. normalization of relations. Thomas authored several books about the Japanese financial system still in use by business schools today. In 1983 Thomas joined a top US investment bank in New York with the mandate to develop an international equity business for the firm. In 1985 he moved to London, England to establish a presence in Japanese equity derivatives for the firm. In 1989 Thomas was appointed a director of one of the big three Swiss Banks with a mandate to design sophisticated hedging strategies for the bank’s considerable holdings of Japanese equity warrants and convertible bonds. With the invasion of Kuwait by Iraq, Thomas was drafted by the US Marine Corp to serve as a pilot. In 1990 Thomas became a pioneer in the nascent hedge fund industry by founding the first dedicated Japanese hedge fund. The firm managed segregated accounts for a variety of government agencies, banks, and high net worth individuals in Europe, the Middle East, and Asia. After a decade of spectacular absolute and relative performance he sold his firm in 1999 and retired to manage his personal investments in the oil and gas industry. Seeing incredible opportunities in the marketplace and yearning for the adrenaline and satisfaction offered by active management, Thomas launched a new hedge fund in 2007. In his free time Thomas is a commercial aircraft pilot, long distance hiker and mountain climber, wine collector and avid photographer.
Starting as a summer intern in 1978, Kirk worked for 20 as a scientist and engineer at Hewlett Packard's research and development department (R&D) designing solid state devices and components for optical communication. While he was at HP, Kirk invested ten to twenty percent per year of his salary. He made some mistakes early on (starting with paying high fees for "expert" advice that under performed) but soon he learned to invest his own money well enough to afford a life of "semi-retirement" to work for himself. In a way, since leaving HP in 1998, Kirk became his own "angel investor" using his his own money and investing success to finance his lifestyle in Los Altos, California to invest in a new career on the internet helping others do the same. More at http://kirklindstrom.com/About.html
Formerly Chief Market Strategist at Capital Ladders Advisory Group LLC. After the sale of certain of CLAG's retail and institutional assets in October 2015, I have commenced my latest venture in the CPG industry which is centered on the development and licensing of consumer and commercial technology. https://www.linkedin.com/profile/view?id=AAIAAA3lJ9IBNi1rhhFzRWElkJl4MpyNuIiHglQ&trk=nav_responsive_tab_profile
CooLinX Integrated Technologies develops technologies for the beverage and CPG industry. We are presently effecting licensing agreements with multi-national brands and co-developing products aimed for mass market consumption.
I am 38 years old, married and have two daughters 3 and 5. I live upstate New York near Ithaca.
My aim is to be objective about the macro investment environment and to provide sound analysis on stocks.
I'm a fan of the following people to help give a perspective of my biases I may hold with regards to investment and economics: Adam Smith, Milton Friedman, Charles Schwab (Steel Tycoon), Martin Armstrong, Peter Bernstein (Author), Henry Ford, Ayn Rand, to name a few.
Philstockworld.com is the fastest growing stock and option newsletter on the Web. "High Finance for Real People - Fun and Profits" is our motto and our Basic and Premium Chat Sessions offer readers a chance to speak to Phil live during the trading day as well as authors like Optrader, Sabrient, Income Trader and Trend Trader - who send out Alerts during the market sessions and discuss trade ideas live with Members.
We even have a new low-cost "Trend Watcher" Membership that lets readers view our chat sessions without directly participating a great solution for people who want to test-drive the site and profit from our experience! Trend Watchers get to view all of our Chat Archives, weekly Webinars - as well as the amazing PSW Wiki, which gives you Phil's recent opinions and trade ideas as well as technical and fundamental analysis of hundreds of stocks that we follow.
Philip R. Davis is a founder of Phil's Stock World (www.philstockworld.com), a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders. Mr. Davis is a serial entrepreneur, having founded software company Accu-Title, a real estate title insurance software solution, and is also the President of the Delphi Consulting Corp., an M&A consulting firm that helps large and small companies obtain funding and close deals. He was also the founder of Accu-Search, a property data corporation that was sold to DataTrace in 2004 and Personality Plus, a precursor to eHarmony.com. Phil was a former editor of a UMass/Amherst humor magazine and it shows in his writing -- which is filled with colorful commentary along with very specific ideas on stock option purchases (Phil rarely holds actual stocks).
Visit: Phil's Stock World (www.philstockworld.com)
I am a simple individual investor who believes that the playing field is level, but may require active management of one's holdings.
I've devised a series of steps that constitute a highly defined covered option strategy that most anyone can follow and that I've described in Option to Profit (2011).
Having retired from a career in Pediatric Dentistry, approximately 10 years ahead of schedule, after spending the previous 10 years working just 2 days each week, I now spend my time trading and alerting others of trading opportunities in large cap positions through the Option to Profit subscription service, a premium subscription service that provides actionable Trading Alerts via text messaging or e-mail at www.optiontoprofit.com. as well as a Web site access only subscription plan.
The Option to Profit subscription service is now in its 4th year.
Now, the Web Access subscription plan is available through Seeking Alpha's "Marketplace." A listing of those articles can be found at https://seekingalpha.com/account/research/subscribe?slug=george-acs
The subscription through Seeking Alpha also includes access to the full Option to Profit web mirror site at http://sa.optiontoprofit.com.
I want you to join me in making your stock portfolio improve the quality of your life. Whatever stage of life you are in, you can make your stocks improve that quality by putting them to work for you.
Avery B. Goodman is a licensed attorney and the author of the action-packed Wall Street thriller "The Synod".
He holds a B.A. from Emory University, where he concentrated on history and economics. He also holds a Juris Doctorate degree from the University of California at Los Angeles Law School and is a member of the Bar, licensed to practice law in several jurisdictions.
Mr. Goodman serves on the roster of neutral arbitrators of the National Futures Association (NFA) and the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA). His career has consisted not only of prosecuting cases on behalf of clients, but also in sitting in judgment on the cases involving others, and making important decisions on intra-industry and customer disputes involving securities issues.
An independent investor for decades, Mr. Goodman has observed that markets are subject to frighteningly high levels of disinformation. Investors desperately need a voice of logic, reason and common sense. For that reason, he is now sharing thoughts with the community.
My name is Alan I have qualifications in town planning and and an MBA. I have been actively developing land and investing in shares and foreign currencies for the last 25 years. My specialty is that I analyse investment opportunities within the framework of real estate and business cycles after the work of Henry George, Homer Hoyt, Fred Harrison and Phillip Anderson.
I'm a Managing Director at A North Investments (ANI), a quantitative hedge fund based in New York. Those who'd like to contact me, private message me here or email me at firstname.lastname@example.org.
Grey Owl Capital Management, LLC is an SEC registered investment advisor whose mission is to provide superior absolute investment returns for clients. Founded in May of 2009 and located in Falls Church, VA, the firm provides a go-anywhere, opportunistic investment process that seeks out the best alternatives for capital appreciation across multiple assets classes. The firm’s principals both hold the Chartered Financial Analysts (CFA) designation. You can find out more about Grey Owl Capital Management, LLC at www.greyowlcapital.com or by calling 888-GREY-OWL (888-473-9695).
Mark Shore founded Shore Capital Research LLC in 2008. Mr. Shore has more than 25 years of investment, research, portfolio management and futures experience. He is the Founder and Chief Research Officer of Shore Capital Research LLC that consults in alternative investments regarding due diligence, research, educational workshops, business development and expert witness research.
Prior to founding Shore Capital, Mr. Shore was Head of Risk for Octane Research Inc ($1.1 billion AUM) in NYC from 2007 to 2008, where he was responsible for quantitative risk management analysis and due diligence of Fund of Funds. He chaired the Risk Management Committee and was a voting member of the Investment Committee.
Prior to joining Octane, he was at VK Capital Inc ($300 million AUM) from 1997 to 2006, a wholly owned Commodity Trading Advisor subsidiary of Morgan Stanley. As Chief Operating Officer, Mr. Shore provided research and risk management expertise on portfolio issues, product development and business strategy. Before becoming Chief Operating Officer, he was a Senior Research Analyst at VK Capital where he developed systematic trading models and a due diligence platform to test trading strategies.
Retired (as of June 1, 2016) Physical Chemistry Professor deluded into thinking that a spreadsheet and 24 years worth of historical data are sufficient to devise a winning trading strategy that focuses on volatility ETFs.
My first experience with investing was just prior to the dot com crash. I read up on momentum investing (how do buy) but not when to sell. You can guess how that turned out.
I began developing my current strategies in 2011, based primarily on my own ideas, available data, and self-taught expertise in programming Excel spreadsheets. The strategies have worked well enough for me to retire from my day job eight years ahead of original expectations.
You can follow me on Twitter and StockTwits, just search Nathan Buehler.
I have always had a passion for finance and investing. I enjoy and appreciate engaging with like minded individuals that inspire me to think beyond what is generally accepted. My investment experience spans almost ten years. The bulk of my knowledge has come from independent observation, research, patience, and perseverance. Most of my strategy is geared towards long term outlook with focuses on short term events or situations that create attractive opportunities.
I hope the articles presented here help you in your investment decisions. I value our discussions and look forward to professional dialogues. If I can ever help you with anything please contact me. Know you are always going to get a straight answer. If I don't know the answer I will either research it for you or tell you I don't know.
During the school year there may be a delay in my responses. Keep the feedback coming!
Born June 27th 1935 in Vienna, Austria. The youngest singer in my family which sang with the von Trapp singers, of which the film Sound of Music was based. Maria (played by Julie Andrew) was actually my nanny before she married Capt von Trapp (played by Christopher Plumber) who was not in the navy of Austria since Austria, being a land locked country, had no navy.
The little boy "Kurt" in the film was actually me. My mom never sued Twentieth Century Fox for using our story without receiving payment. (the von Trapps never went over the Alps to Switzerland.. that was my family and me...the captain and his singing family went to Italy and from there came to America via London)
When arriving in USA we moved to Arlington VT. where my neighbor was Norman Rockwell. My mom disallowed me from sitting for him despite frequent invitations to do so. Second immortality lost. :-)
Graduated with honors(Wall Street Journal award) from Lafayette College in 1957. After attending med school became ER physician in Conn. hospital, on the night shift. Had a seat on the NYSE at the same time and commuted from the hospital to Wall Street daily. After a few years of this, left medicine to stay with the NYSE Stock exchange.
Was also partner with Leon Cooperman in a NYSE member firm in late sixties. Carl Ichan and other notables of Wall Street are on best friends list..
Traded money for many well known names on the street such as Peter Kellogg of Spear Leeds and Kellogg, etc.
Am only surviving founder of the CBOE opened In early 70's. Names of "stripp, strapp, iron condor, condor, straddle, strangle" were all names that were thought up and first used by me. Traded options long before the CBOE was founded.
Traded on the CBOE under acronym PPP (known as Peter Paul) till 1988.
Started a Classic Jaguar restoration company in 1988 till 2011.
Went back to trading my own account, off floor in 2008.
60 years trading experience. Have been an avid technician the entire 60 years. We use fundamentals, PE ratios, overall market conditions, Fibonacci retracements, Elliott Wave theory, my own mathematical formulas as well as my own technical chart work (5 minute, daily, weekly as well as yearly) charts in analyzing and preparing recommendations to buy sell or hold.
ALL OUR ARTICLES are and will contain material discussion on timing and will be geared for the short term trader as well as the long term investor. I am on my computers, monitoring live charts and financial news on a minute to minute basis every trading day, from pre-market trading opening to after-market trades and the final closing.
Unlike Seeking Alpha articles from other contributors, all our articles will be prepared for maximum gain and minimum loss by supplying sell and buy stop recommendations along with the original recommendation. These will be updated as necessary over future time intervals. All will be published and added to all our recommendations on an "as needed" basis as often as market forces cause the need for such alterations. The use of option strategies as adjuncts or substitutions for stock will also be used and discussed as well as updated as necessary, so the investor taking our advise will never be out there "on his own" after acting on our initial recommendation from Doc's Trading"..
Readers may contact me directly at: email@example.com or (cell)928 951 4779
I've been investing for nearly 30 years. I've lost a lot of money. I've made a lot of money. The school of hard knocks is rough sometimes, but you never forget the lessons. These days, I trade mostly volatility and momentum strategies.
I am an independent senior pension and investment analyst with years of experience working on the buy and sell-side. I have researched and invested in traditional and alternative asset classes at two of the largest public pension funds in Canada, the Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec (Caisse) and the Public Sector Pension Investment Board (PSP Investments). I've also consulted the Treasury Board Secretariat of Canada on the governance of the Federal Public Service Pension Plan (2007) and been invited to speak at the Standing Committee on Finance (2009) and the Senate Standing Committee on Banking, Commerce and Trade (2010) to discuss Canada's pension system. You can follow my blog posts on your Bloomberg terminal and track me on Twitter (@PensionPulse) where I post many links to pension and investment articles as well as my market thoughts and other articles of interest. Please remember to support my efforts by clicking on the ads on the blog but more importantly by contributing via PayPal clicking on the buttons below. Anyone can contribute any amount at any time (all tips are greatly appreciated) but institutional investors are kindly requested to support this blog via an annual subscription of $500, $1000 or $5000 CAD (third option includes specialized consulting mandates). For all inquiries and comments, email me at LKolivakis@gmail.com.
Focus on Futures is a fundamental-analysis based commodity and financial futures newsletter. The monthly publication covers US and international grains, tropical foods, base and precious metals, currencies, financial markets. The writers attempt to provide a broad overview of all significant supply and demand developments. A basic understanding of the commodity markets are assumed. Specific trading recommendations are provided at the end of each article.
Richard Zeits is an Oil & Gas industry analyst and consultant. His background includes fourteen years as Energy industry-focused investment banker, portfolio manager and senior investment analyst with bulge bracket firms in New York. Zeits Energy Analytics use elaborate proprietary analytics and data bases to provide in-depth industry research, market intelligence, and forecasting.
Wolf Richter is the founder and CEO of Wolf Street Corp. He has 20 years of C-level operations and finance experience, including turnaround situations and startups. He lived in five foreign countries and traveled to 100 others on all continents. Currently in San Francisco.